Cannon Trading Co. Inc.
We believe. The next frontier in futures trading.
Since 1988

Cannon Trading Futures Blog: Daily Support and Resistance Levels

Friday, March 30, 2007

Trading levels and reports for April 2nd

 
*To be removed, please reply with remove daytrading in subject line
 
Dear Trader,
 
First quarter of 2007 is behind us! Monday will be the start of the second trading quarter for the year.
 
As volatility is really picking up in some markets, I thought I would share the folowing money management technique I like to use in hopes it will help you.
 

A word or two about day-trading and money management…..

 

 

 

Trading futures and even more so, day-trading futures has grown significantly over the last few years, as seen by the increase in daily volume on some of the more popular electronic markets. (The Mini SP had 3,575,702 contracts traded on February 27th! Yes, that is 3.575 MILLION contracts….)

 

New traders as well as more experienced traders often wonder and search for the "holy grail" and the answer is different for each trader. Many factors influence what may be a good route for one trader versus a better alternative for another. Experience, risk tolerance, the person's schedule, financial situation along with other factors will greatly influence what is a suitable trading method for one trader or another.

 

One COMMON solution different traders can implement when it comes to day-trading is what I call: "Treat your daily Profit/Loss as you would treat an open trade" and allow me to expand:

 

As brokers we have seen different traders survive in this business, making progress and even getting to the point of consistently finding their set ups, however their main downfall is that "one bad day" where they may give up recent gains, lose a large percentage of their account or even lose their whole account.

 

A practical solution for eliminating those disastrous days and giving you a better chance for survival is using "stop losses, trailing stop losses and daily stop limits" for every given trading day.

 

Let's assume for hypothetical purposes that trader A is day-trading with $10,000 of risk capital. Part of her preparation for trading should be an understanding of her trading style, how active she is, how much on average does she risk per trade and other factors to help her calculate what her DAILY LOSS LIMIT should be. If you as a trader can be discipline enough to set your own daily loss limit and on days when you have reached your daily loss limit, simply stop trading for that day, you will give yourself better odds in surviving the day-trading arena and preventing days where you may loss a big portion of your account. Surviving to trade another day is a crucial element when it comes to day-trading.

 

The next step, now that we have decided on what our "daily stop loss" should be is to decide at what level of profit do you trigger "BREAKEVEN MONEY MANAGEMENT"? By that I refer to a level of daily profit that you have achieved as a trader and at that point should trigger the concept of "I am up $X amount and if for what ever reason the rest of my trading for today is not doing well and my daily profit/loss is back to zero, I should call it a day".

 

Moving on you should also decide on a certain profit target (higher than your "breakeven  point" ). That level of profit, when and if achieved during the trading day should trigger a corresponding "TRAILING STOP".  For example, let's assume the trader A is now up $1,000 during the trading day and after doing her homework, she has decided that if she is ever up a $1,000 during the trading day, her trailing stop is $500. That means that she will continue to trade as long as she does not give up more than $500 from her intraday gains. By implementing this technique a trader allows himself to continue trading as long as he or she does not give up too much of their profit for that day.

 

Last but not least is the element of "PROFIT TARGET". There are a few schools of thought when it comes to "daily profit target". Some say that if a trader is "hot" he/she should continue trading in order to maximize the potential for that day. I disagree. In my opinion setting a DAILY PROFIT TARGET based on your account size and other factors discussed previously will assist you better in the long run. In this example if trader A decided that her daily profit target is $2,000 and on any given day she has reached that profit, that should trigger a feeling of satisfaction and achievement and at that point trader A would close open positions, enjoy her good trading day and call it day.

 

 

It is my opinion that a trader will fair better in the long term by initiating these concepts I borrowed from trading system design. Getting to the point of working with these suggestions require one to analyze themselves as a trader, understand basic concepts of money management and have the SELF DISCIPLINE to execute his or hers trading plan.

 

Good trading!

 

© Copyright 2007 Ilan Levy-Mayer,  Cannon Trading Co. Inc. All Rights Reserved.

 

Disclaimer: This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss. 

The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits.

These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used.

Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results. 

 
LEVELS:
 
Contract (JUNE 2007)  SP500 (big & Mini) Nasdaq100 (big & Mini) Dow Jones (big & Mini) Mini Russell
Resistance 3 1463.00 1829.17 12685 822.42
Resistance 2 1451.50 1815.33 12588 816.33
Resistance 1 1441.50 1802.67 12511 811.17
Pivot 1430.00 1788.83 12414 805.08
Support 1 1420.00 1776.17 12337 799.92
Support 2 1408.50 1762.33 12240 793.83
Support 3 1398.50 1749.67 12163 788.67
         
Contract  June Gold June Euro May Crude Oil June Bonds 
Resistance 3 679.93 1.3565 62.45 112 20/32
Resistance 2 676.87 1.3503 61.25 112  9/32
Resistance 1 672.93 1.3451 60.60 111 25/32
Pivot 669.87 1.3389 60.00 111 14/32
Support 1 665.93 1.3337 59.20 110 30/32
Support 2 662.87 1.3275 58.60 110 19/32
Support 3 658.93 1.3223 57.90 110  3/32
 
REPORTS (EST): Provided by www.tradethenews.com audio news and interactive research directly from the pits
 

Monday, Apr 2nd, 2007


Economic
10:00am Mar ISM Manufacturing (last 52.3), Prices Paid (last 59.0)
Events
Fed's Plosser speaks to Economists in NYC at 12:30pm.
Earnings
Before the Open: ARD. After the Close: MERX.
 
Note all time are EST. ANY AND ALL TIMES AND DATES ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. INFORMATION HAS BEEN TAKEN FROM SOURCES DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE, BUT NO ASSURANCES CAN BE MADE TO THE ACCURACY OF ANY OF THIS INFORMATION.
 
 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

Sincerely,

Ilan Levy-Mayer, M.B.A

Vice President
Cannon Trading Co Inc.
http://www.cannontrading.com
http://www.E-Futures.com
ilan@cannoncapital.com

Yahoo IM ilanlevy1970
310-859-9572
800-454-9572
Fax 310-859-0547
9301 Wilshire Blvd. Suite #614
Beverly Hills, Ca 90210

The finest compliment I can receive is a referral from a trusted client.
 
* Important Please Note: 
Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss
The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits.
These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results. 
 

Thursday, March 29, 2007

Trading levels and reports for March 30th

 
*To be removed, please reply with remove daytrading in subject line
 
Dear Trader,
 
 
 
LEVELS:
 
Contract (JUNE 2007)  SP500 (big & Mini) Nasdaq100 (big & Mini) Dow Jones (big & Mini) Mini Russell
Resistance 3 1452.20 1833.67 12602 822.70
Resistance 2 1444.70 1817.33 12535 816.10
Resistance 1 1438.10 1802.67 12475 810.20
Pivot 1430.60 1786.33 12408 803.60
Support 1 1424.00 1771.67 12348 797.70
Support 2 1416.50 1755.33 12281 791.10
Support 3 1409.90 1740.67 12221 785.20
         
Contract  April Gold June Euro May Crude Oil June Bonds 
Resistance 3 676.67 1.3453 62.45 112     
Resistance 2 671.23 1.3424 61.25 111 27/32
Resistance 1 666.37 1.3400 60.60 111 22/32
Pivot 660.93 1.3371 60.00 111 17/32
Support 1 656.07 1.3347 59.20 111 12/32
Support 2 650.63 1.3318 58.60 111  7/32
Support 3 645.77 1.3294 57.90 111  2/32
 
REPORTS (EST): Provided by www.tradethenews.com audio news and interactive research directly from the pits
 

Friday, Mar 30th, 2007


Economic
08:30am Feb Personal Income (last 1.0%), Personal Spending (last 0.5%), PCE Deflator Y/Y (last 2.0%), PCE Core M/M (last 0.3%)
09:45am Mar Chicago Purchasing Manager (last 47.9)
10:00am Mar Final U. of Michigan Confidence (last 88.8), Feb Construction Spending (last –0.8%)
Events
Cellular, Tissue and Gene Therapies Advisory Committee meets at 8:00am. Fed's Plosser gives Opening Remarks at Financing Community Development conference at 8:30am. XTEX analyst meeting. Fed's Bernanke speaks at Financial Community Development conference at 12:30pm. Trading Ex-split: GROW 2-1. Trades Ex-dividend: RTN $0.255. KFT replaces TSG in S&P 500, KBR replaces NEWP in S&P MidCap 400, NEWP replaces LNX and PLXS replaces WLM in S&P SmallCap 600 after close of trading
Earnings
Before the Open: GPN. After the Close: None.
 
Note all time are EST. ANY AND ALL TIMES AND DATES ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. INFORMATION HAS BEEN TAKEN FROM SOURCES DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE, BUT NO ASSURANCES CAN BE MADE TO THE ACCURACY OF ANY OF THIS INFORMATION.
 
 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

Sincerely,

Ilan Levy-Mayer, M.B.A

Vice President
Cannon Trading Co Inc.
http://www.cannontrading.com
http://www.E-Futures.com
ilan@cannoncapital.com

Yahoo IM ilanlevy1970
310-859-9572
800-454-9572
Fax 310-859-0547
9301 Wilshire Blvd. Suite #614
Beverly Hills, Ca 90210

The finest compliment I can receive is a referral from a trusted client.
 
* Important Please Note: 
Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss
The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits.
These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results. 
 

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Trading levels and reports for March 29th

 
*To be removed, please reply with remove daytrading in subject line
 
Dear Trader,
 
Tensions with Iraq and some big moves in the crude oil market sent the market down. Expect higher volatility to stay for a while.
 
LEVELS:
 
Contract (JUNE 2007)  SP500 (big & Mini) Nasdaq100 (big & Mini) Dow Jones (big & Mini) Mini Russell
Resistance 3 1450.57 1825.83 12565 816.87
Resistance 2 1443.53 1817.42 12507 811.93
Resistance 1 1438.07 1803.83 12447 807.87
Pivot 1431.03 1795.42 12389 802.93
Support 1 1425.57 1781.83 12329 798.87
Support 2 1418.53 1773.42 12271 793.93
Support 3 1413.07 1759.83 12211 789.87
         
Contract  April Gold June Euro May Crude Oil June Bonds 
Resistance 3 675.70 1.3465 62.45 112 27/32
Resistance 2 672.60 1.3441 61.25 112 17/32
Resistance 1 669.70 1.3399 60.60 112  2/32
Pivot 666.60 1.3375 60.00 111 24/32
Support 1 663.70 1.3333 59.20 111  9/32
Support 2 660.60 1.3309 58.60 110 31/32
Support 3 657.70 1.3267 57.90 110 16/32
 
REPORTS (EST): Provided by www.tradethenews.com audio news and interactive research directly from the pits
 

Thursday, Mar 29th, 2007


Economic
08:30am Initial Jobless Claims (last 316K), Q4 Final GDP Annualized (last 2.2%), Personal Consumption (last 4.2%), GDP Price Index (last 1.7%), Core PCE Q/Q (last 1.9%)
10:00am Feb Help Wanted Index (last 32)
10:30am Natural Gas Inventories
01:00pm Treasury's 5-year Note Auction results
Events
Anesthetic and Life Support Drugs Advisory Committee meets at 8:00am. Cellular, Tissue and Gene Therapies Advisory Committee meets at 8:00am. Fed's Lacker gives Opening Remarks at Financing Community Development conference at 8:30am. BRCD, LMNX analyst meeting. BofA Media, Telecommunications & Entertainment conference in NYC through 3/29. Fed's Kohn testifies on Industrial Loan Companies in front of House Financial Services Committee at 10:00am. Fed's Stern speaks on Federal Reserve in Ohio at 12:00pm. Fed's Lacker speaks on Inflation and Unemployment in Richmond at 8:00pm. Trades Ex-dividend: TYC $0.10.
Earnings
Before the Open: AGE KMX CMRG CHINA CONN FDO MOV SCS SRR TXI UTIW WTSLA WOR. After the Close: BSET CKR COGN DSW FINL KNTA RHT SLR TIBX.
 
Note all time are EST. ANY AND ALL TIMES AND DATES ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. INFORMATION HAS BEEN TAKEN FROM SOURCES DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE, BUT NO ASSURANCES CAN BE MADE TO THE ACCURACY OF ANY OF THIS INFORMATION.
 
 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

Sincerely,

Ilan Levy-Mayer, M.B.A

Vice President
Cannon Trading Co Inc.
http://www.cannontrading.com
http://www.E-Futures.com
ilan@cannoncapital.com

Yahoo IM ilanlevy1970
310-859-9572
800-454-9572
Fax 310-859-0547
9301 Wilshire Blvd. Suite #614
Beverly Hills, Ca 90210

The finest compliment I can receive is a referral from a trusted client.
 
* Important Please Note: 
Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss
The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits.
These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results. 
 

DJ OIL FUTURES: Crude Up; Tensions Over Iran Up Risk Premium(DJ)

DJ OIL FUTURES: Crude Up; Tensions Over Iran Up Risk Premium(DJ)
  By David Elliott
  Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
 
  LONDON (Dow Jones)--Crude oil futures were trading higher
Wednesday morning in London as the market factored in further risk
premium on continued tensions between Iran and both the U.K. and
U.S.
  Traders said conditions remained jittery after prices spiked
around 8% late Tuesday on unconfirmed speculation, later denied by
the U.S. government, that Iran had attacked a U.S. vessel in the
Persian Gulf.
  Most of the gains have since been pared but a continued stalemate
over the 15 U.K. sailors detained by Iran, along with further
strength for the gasoline market, is expected to push prices
higher again.
  At 1111 GMT, the front-month May Brent contract on London's ICE
futures exchange was up $1.21 at $65.82 a barrel.
  The front-month May contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange
was trading $1.28 higher at $64.20 a barrel.
  ICE's gasoil contract for April delivery was up $15.50 at $570.25
a metric ton, while Nymex RBOB gasoline for April delivery was up
185 points at 209.15 cents a gallon.
  Concern military action against Iran could interrupt the supply of
crude oil from the Persian Gulf remains the main focus of the market
and, although Tuesday's speculation proved unfounded, the sharp
price reaction has forced traders to take a more cautious
approach.
  Up until then most market participants felt the release of the 15
U.K. naval personnel seized by Iran in the Persian Gulf would be
resolved through diplomatic means but the growing concentration of
naval vessels from the U.S. and other western regions in the Persian
Gulf has put the market on edge.
  Frederick Lasserre, an analyst at SG Securities in Paris, said the
market's sharp reaction shows the potential for military action
hadn't been factored into prices at the $62 a barrel level.
  As a result, he sees the market adopting a further risk premium of
$2 to $3 a barrel even if Iran releases the sailors, as tension over
Iran's disputed uranium enrichment program continues.
  The U.K. government reiterated Wednesday that the sailors were
within Iraqi waters when they were detained, while Iran maintains
they were within Iranian waters and it was justified in its
actions.
  But amid the political tension, there are suggestions a risk
premium is unjustified.
  "People are saying there is a worry over an interruption to supply
but we went through two Gulf wars when oil supply wasn't badly
affected," said a London-based broker. "Iran isn't going to want
to risk the flow of its main export."
  Further bolstering underlying support for the crude oil market is
gasoline.
  Strong gains in this market have dragged crude prices higher over
the last few weeks and show little sign of slowing their upward
trajectory amid extended refinery closures.
  This has been exacerbated by a strike by port workers in
Marseille, France, which has forced Total, Esso and Ineos to
reduce crude runs in their southern France refineries.
  And another expected slide in U.S. gasoline stocks in the weekly
Department of Energy inventory report, due 1430 GMT, would add
further support for gasoline prices.
  Analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires expect gasoline stocks to
fall by 1.8 million barrels, distillates by 800,000 barrels crude
stocks are seen rising by 1.1 million barrels.
  These bullish factors have prompted analysts at Lehman Brothers
predict the current upward trend for oil prices continues in the
coming months as focus shifts to the U.S. driving season.
  They attribute the 24% rally in prices since mid-January to robust
demand, continued supply pressure from OPEC and recent geopolitical
events associated with Iran.
  "We believe these factors put further pressure on an already tight
oil market," they said.
 
  -By David Elliott, Dow Jones Newswires;


Sincerely, Ilan Levy-Mayer, M.B.A Vice President Cannon Trading Co Inc. http://www.cannontrading.com http://www.E-Futures.com ilan@cannoncapital.com Yahoo IM ilanlevy1970 310-859-9572 800-454-9572 Fax 310-859-0547 9301 Wilshire Blvd. Suite #614 Beverly Hills, Ca 90210 The finest compliment I can receive is a referral from a trusted client. * Important Please Note: Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Trading levels and reports for March 28th

 
*To be removed, please reply with remove daytrading in subject line
 
Dear Trader,
 
Housing market/ interest rates are the main force behind the stock market action right now, therefore making the different housing reports more important to monitor. Technically, the market is in a range between 1434 and 1450.
 
LEVELS:
 
Contract (JUNE 2007)  SP500 (big & Mini) Nasdaq100 (big & Mini) Dow Jones (big & Mini) Mini Russell
Resistance 3 1452.47 1828.83 12596 820.37
Resistance 2 1448.33 1823.42 12563 816.93
Resistance 1 1444.47 1816.83 12523 813.37
Pivot 1440.33 1811.42 12490 809.93
Support 1 1436.47 1804.83 12450 806.37
Support 2 1432.33 1799.42 12417 802.93
Support 3 1428.47 1792.83 12377 799.37
         
Contract  April Gold June Euro May Crude