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In This Issue

Crude Oil is King in Commodity Futures Markets

Historical View of Gold and Crude Oil

Economic Reports and Expiration Notices

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November 7th, 2007 — Issue #402

 


 

Crude Oil is King in Commodity Futures Markets

by Jim Wyckoff

Click the image to enlarge.

Crude Oil is King in Commodity Futures Markets

December crude oil prices on Wednesday hit another all-time record high as prices are in a steep and accelerating uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the crude oil bulls is to push prices to the major psychological resistance level of $100.00 a barrel. In fact, by the time you read this on Wednesday the crude market may have already touched that key price level. Importantly, traders in the other raw commodity futures markets are paying very close attention to crude oil. Bigger price moves in the "black gold" market will spill over into sympathy moves in other raw commodities, for at least the near term. There are no early technical warning signals to suggest the uptrend in crude oil futures will end anytime soon. However, there is little argument that crude oil prices are in the mature stages of a powerful bull market run. History shows that powerful bull market runs in which prices quickly move to fresh highs are generally followed by prices then backing off the highs just as quickly as those highs were scored. Look for still-higher price volatility in the crude oil market, and the other raw commodity futures markets, in the near term. Indeed, crude oil is king and will continue to be a major influence on other markets for at least the near term. Stay tuned!

Disclaimer: There is a risk of financial loss in futures and options trading. Futures trading is neither easy nor an easy way to make money. It takes hard work to have success. Please use sound money management when trading futures. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Nothing in this newsletter is intended to be a trading recommendation for you to buy or sell futures or options. All information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Readers are solely responsible for how they use the information in this newsletter.

Jim has an EXCELLENT daily newsletter where he reviews different markets, alerts you for potential trades and much more. Included is his great bi-weekly newsletter with charts and a little longer term outlook. We recommend checking out his website, educational CDROM, and services at JimWyckoff.com

 


 

Historical View of Gold and Crude Oil

In light of their new highs, we have put together twenty-year historical charts of both gold and crude oil.

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Economic Reports and Expiration Notices

Source: Moore Research Center, Inc.

Date Reports Expiration & Notice Dates
11/08
Thu
7:30 AM CST - USDA Weekly Export Sales
7:30 AM CST - Initial Claims-Weekly
9:30 AM CST - EIA Gas Storage
3:30 PM CST - Money Supply
LT: Nov Orange Juice(NYBOT)
 
 
 
11/09
Fri
7:30 AM CST - WASDE & Crop Production
7:30 AM CST - Supply & Demand
7:30 AM CST - Export & Import Prices(Oct)
7:30 AM CST - Trade Balance(Sep)
9:00 AM CST - Michigan Sentiment-Prel(Nov)
2:00 PM CST - Dairy Products Prices
LT: Nov US Dollar Index Options(NYBOT)
Nov Canadian Dollar Options(CME)
Nov Currency Options(CME)
Dec Cotton Options(NYBOT)
Dec Coffee Options(NYBOT)
Dec Sugar Opttions(NYBOT)
11/12
Mon
Veterans Day Holiday
 
 
 

 
 
 
11/13
Tue
1:00 PM CST - Treasury Budget(Oct)
 
 
 
LT: Dec Crude Oil Options(NYM)
 
 
 
11/14
Wed
NOPA Crush
7:30 AM CST - PPI & Core PPI(Oct)
7:30 AM CST - Retail Sales(Oct)
9:00 AM CST - Business Inventories(Sep)
9:30 AM CST - API & DOE Energy Stats
LT: Nov Soybeans(CBT)
Nov Rough Rice(CBT)
 
 
11/15
Thu
7:30 AM CST - CPI & Core CPI(Oct)
7:30 AM CST - NY Empire State Index(Nov)
11:00 AM CST - Philadelphia Fed(Nov)
7:30 AM CST - USDA Weekly Export Sales
7:30 AM CST - Initial Claims-Weekly
9:30 AM CST - EIA Gas Storage
3:30 PM CST - Money Supply
FN: Dec Cocoa(NYBOT)
LT: Nov Feeder Cattle(CME)
Nov Lumber(CME)
Nov GSCI(CME)
Nov Feeder Cattle Options(CME)

 


 

* Please note that the information contained in this letter is intended for clients, prospective clients, and audiences who have a basic understanding, familiarity, and interest in the futures markets.

** The material contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

*** This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!