Top 50 Trading Rules: The Most Common Pitfalls To Avoid When Trading Commodity Futures
In This Issue
1. Top 50 Trading Rules: The Most Common Pitfalls To Avoid When Trading Commodity Futures
2. Hot Market Review - US Dollar Index
3. Economic Calendar
Five hundred experienced futures brokers were asked what caused most futures traders to lose money. Their answers reflected the trading experience of more than 10,000 futures traders. You may recognize some of your strengths and weaknesses. Many of the reasons given are very similar from broker to broker. The repetitions stand to demonstrate that, alas, many futures traders lose money for many of the same reasons. Perhaps the statements of these experienced brokers can help you in the sometimes fickle, often intricate, and always interesting marketplace of futures trading.
Here is what they said.
1. Many futures traders trade without a plan. They do not define specific risk and profit
objectives before trading. Even if they establish a plan, they "second guess" it and
don't stick to it, particularly if the trade is a loss. Consequently, they overtrade and
use their equity to the limit (are undercapitalized), which puts them in a squeeze and
forces them to liquidate positions. Usually, they liquidate the good trades and keep
the bad ones.
2. Many traders don't realize the news they hear and read has, in many cases, already
been discounted by the market. Download the PDF and find out what they said.
U.S. Dollar Index Bulls Remain in Firm Technical Control
From our friend Jim Wyckoff
Jim has an excellent daily newsletter where he reviews different markets, alerts you for potential trades and much more. Included is his great bi-weekly newsletter with charts and a little longer term outlook. We recommend checking out his website, educational CDROM, and services at www.jimwyckoff.com click on image below to enlarge
The U.S. dollar index is a basket of six major currencies weighted against the greenback. The dollar index is presently in a steep seven-week-old uptrend and this week hit a 7.5-month high. The dollar is being supported by some improving U.S. economic data recently and by safe-haven buying of the dollar and U.S. treasuries. If the European Union and Cyprus financial crisis escalates, look for even stronger demand for the U.S. currency. The dollar bulls are in firm near-term technical command, which means the path of least resistance is likely to remain sideways to higher in the near term.
Source: Moore Research Center, Inc.
Date | Reports | Expiration & Notice Dates |
03/25 Mon |
LT: Apr Copper Options(CMX) Apr Gold Options(CMX) Apr Silver Options(CMX) Apr Heating Oil Options(NYM) Apr RBOB Gasoline Options(NYM) Apr Natural Gas Options(NYM) |
|
03/26 Tues |
7:30 AM CDT - Durable Orders(Feb) 7:30 AM CDT - Durable Orders-Ex Transportation(Feb) 8:00 AM CDT - Case-Shiller 20-City Index(Jan) 9:00 AM CDT - Consumer Confidence(Mar) 9:00 AM CDT - New Home Sales(Feb) |
LT: Mar Copper(CMX) Mar Gold(CMX) Mar Silver(CMX) Mar Platinum(NYM) Mar Palladium(NYM) Apr Natural Gas(NYM) |
03/27 Wed |
6:00 AM CDT - MBA Mortgage Purchase Index 9:00 AM CDT - Pending Home Sales(Feb) 9:30 AM CDT - API & DOE Energy Stats 3:00 PM CDT - Dairy Products Sales |
FN: Apr Natural Gas(NYM) |
03/28 Thurs |
7:30 AM CDT - USDA Weekly Export Sales 7:30 AM CDT - Initial Claims-Weekly 7:30 AM CDT - GDP-Third Estimate(Q4) 7:30 AM CDT - GDP Deflator-Third Estimate(Q4) 8:45 AM CDT - Chicago PMI(Mar) 9:30 AM CDT - EIA Gas Storage 11:00 AM CDT - Quarterly Grain Stocks 11:00 AM CDT - Prospective Plantings 2:00 PM CDT - Quarterly Hogs & Pigs 3:30 PM CDT - Money Supply |
FN: Apr Copper(CMX) Apr Gold(CMX) Apr Silver(CMX) Apr Platinum(NYM) Apr Palladium(NYM) LT: Mar 2,3,5 Year Notes(CBT) Mar Feeder Cattle(CME) Mar Fed Funds(CME) Apr RBOB Gasoline(NYM) Apr Heating Oil(NYM) Mar Feeder Cattle Options(CME) Mar Fed Funds Options(CME) Apr Lumber Options(CME) |
03/29 Fri |
GOOD FRIDAY 7:30 AM CDT - PCE Prices-Core(Feb) 7:30 AM CDT - Personal Income & Spending(Feb) 8:55 AM CDT - Michigan Sentiment-Final(Mar) |
LT: Aug DJIA Options(CME)
Aug Nikkei Options(CME) Aug S&P 500 Options(CME) Aug E-Mini S&P 500 Options(CME) Aug NASDAQ Options(CME) Aug E-Mini NASDAQ Options(CME) Aug Russell Options(CME) Sep Cotton Options(NYM) Sep Orange Juice Options(ICE) |
04/01 Mon |
9:00 AM CDT - Construction Spending(Feb) 9:00 AM CDT - ISM Index(Mar) |
* Please note that the information contained in this letter is intended for clients, prospective clients, and audiences who have a basic understanding, familiarity, and interest in the futures markets.
** The material contained in this letter is of opinion only and does not guarantee any profits. These are risky markets and only risk capital should be used. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.
*** This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!