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Correlational Observations of Indices Market Behavior.
VIX Volatility futures Index.
By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
expiration is a monthly occurrence. The expiration is somewhat varied, the remaining 2021 schedule is included below, typically, middle of the month on Wednesday mornings. Take a look at your daily chart for any of the indices and you see the sell offs during the week of or the week prior to VIX
My belief is there would be a smaller probability of a correlational relationship during a Bear stock market, However, Since we are in the 12th year of a bull market, I believe the underling price action is created by portfolio managers rolling their hedges and adjusting their risk for the coming month. They often use the week prior to Short the VIX at higher prices (lower equity index prices) for the first week of the new VIX
contract month as they are buying back their old contract shorts pushing the VIX prices higher, thereby pushing negative sentiment into the marketplace. If there are more extreme price movements in their favor, they will elect to have the hedges expire to cash as the contracts are financially settled.
Coincidentally, to the recent market sell off January VIX expires Wednesday morning 19th at 8:00 a.m. CDT
19 January 2022
16 February 2022
15 March 2022 (Tuesday, due to Good Friday on 15 April 2022)
20 April 2022
18 May 2022
15 June 2022
20 July 2022
17 August 2022
21 September 2022
19 October 2022
16 November 2022
21 December 2022
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