This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.
If the first day of December is any indication of what’s to come….then watch out because it was a VERY VOLATILE day.
While risking sounding like a broken record,.. I must share the below once again – you need to adjust your thinking , action and discipline or risk blowing up your account if caught in any of the following:
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
On Friday, Omicron, the new COVID-19 variant took the oxygen out of newsrooms. Detected first in South Africa, this mutation is being described as potentially more contagious than the Delta variant. It is unknown whether the currently available vaccines will provide protection from it.
On Monday the markets shrugged the news and bounced hard….
Today, Tuesday fear, greed and everything in between took over again and we witnessed strong sell off across different markets with high volatility in many segments:
Stock indices, rates, grains, softs, energies…..
See 30 minute chart of the Mini NASDAQ from today below. In less than one hour, the difference from high to low was approximately $7750!! That is extreme leverage and can be a double edge sword…..This is when possibly trading smaller size, like 1-2 MICRO NQ may be a better fit for smaller accounts.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
On Friday, Omicron, the new COVID-19 variant took the oxygen out of newsrooms.
Detected first in South Africa, this mutation is being described as potentially more contagious than the Delta variant. It is unknown whether the currently available vaccines will provide protection from it.
The result was one of the most post Thanksgiving Friday trading session I have seen in over 22 years!
Intraday Volatility in stock index futures is extremely high. Actually across many markets BTC futures leading the volatility but metals, energies ( Natural Gas down 11% today!!) and grains have seen higher volatility.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
See trading schedule below, be aware of the different reports, what is the market focusing on and the different closing times for the different markets between tomorrow and Friday/Sunday evening.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
As the NQ started moving lower today ( I actually prefer the MNQ as it causes less stomach ache when moves against me….), I was looking for a target profit on a short position a client of mine had.
I draw FIB extension for yesterday sell off move and applied it to the high on the bounce made early this morning….Today it turned out out to be an excellent tool (click for LARGER IMAGE)….gave me targets, possible trailing stops, possible re-entry and more ( always easier looking back after the fact)….Of course there are many times where this will NOT work but you may want to take a look at Fibonacci extensions as another tool in your arsenal and just Fibonacci retracement….
Short Trading week ahead with Thanksgiving Holiday this week.
See trading schedule below, be aware of the different reports, what is the market focusing on and the different closing times for the different markets between tomorrow and Friday/Sunday evening.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Short Trading week ahead with Thanksgiving Holiday this week.
See trading schedule below, be aware of the different reports, what is the market focusing on and learn to walk away from the trading screen if you hit your daily profit target or daily loss limit.
This can be a game changer for some traders. The longer you are in front of the screen, the more chances for mistakes, mental fatigue, revenge trading etc.
Just like professional athletes don’t want to get hurt in “garbage time” and try to find ways to prolong their careers, you as a trader need to find ways to prolong your trading capital the best you can.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Crude Oil Futures Market Review and Daily Chart Analysis
Looking at both price and time FIB analysis, on the daily crude oil chart below (click here for LARGE IMAGE) I am showing a potential for crude oil to find support and have a short term reversal to the upside. I wont fight the short term trend and will look for a buy signal using 30 minute chart before I jump in front of this downward train…
What do I mean by that?
Daily chart still showing a good strength on the LONGER term scale ( see both Elliott Wave counts and trend strength). Short term we can see the strong sell of the highs made towards the end of October.
I ran both a Fibonacci retracement on prices from lows to high, as well as Fibonacci TIME retracement from the time of lows to highs to see the next TIMING window to look at.
We are getting close to a match on both time and price ( concept I was made aware of by Carolyn Boroden Strategies for Intraday Trading Fibonacci Retracements | Fibonacci Queen) so I will now look for a bullish trigger in the form of MACD cross over on the 30 minutes chart or possible turning up of RSI on the 30 minutes chart before simply trying my luck…..
As always the key will be risk and trade management if/when set up happens.
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The natural gas market has seen volatility increase sharply over the past 8 weeks. Once it broke above 4.65 in early September, the market ventured into new territory with heightened volatility.
Supply crunch across the globe along with the seasonality of entering winter contributed to the rally and the pull back.
Notice how the front, Dec. contract bounced sharply off the major support/demand area at 4.70 and is now trading against the major supply area ( red line / moving average) at 5.44.
This market can go either way and do it relatively fast. Weather, supply chain news will determine next move.
A close above 5.44 can trigger retest of $6. Failure at the same level can send market towards the 4.65.
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The above sources were compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Cannon Trading assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. It is meant as an alert to events that may affect trading strategies and is not necessarily complete. The closing times for certain contracts may have been rescheduled.
My name is Ilan Levy-Mayer and I am the Vice President and Senior Futures Broker at Cannon Trading. I came up with the following personal observations after serving online traders worldwide for more than 21 years.
The following steps are guides to progress, and are not necessarily in sequential order. Some of them are always required, but each futures trader is different and will relate to these stages in their own ways. While attempting to learn and progress, one must keep in mind that futures trading strategies are risky and can involve significant losses.
1. Education
Hopefully if you are already trading you have completed your initial education: contract specs, trading hours, futures brokers, platforms, the opportunities as well as the risk and need to use risk capital in futures, and so on. Understanding this information is essential to good futures trading strategies. The second type of education is ongoing: learning about trading techniques, the evolution of futures markets, different trading tools, and more.
2. Find A System
I am definitely not advising you to go on the web and subscribe to a “black box” system (using buy/sell triggers if don’t know why they are being generated). What I am advising is developing a trading technique: a general set of rules and a trading concept. As you progress, you may want to put the different rules and indicators into a computerized system, but the most important factor is to have a focus and a plan. Don’t just wake up in the morning and trade “blank.”
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Yesterday we had a nice volatile day, with price action both up and down and then we followed it today ( Veteran’s Day, banks are closed) with very choppy, much narrower price action. Tomorrow is Friday, after a quiet day and with some meanigful reports – which encouraged me to share the following with you on the different types of trading days:
In my opinion there are 3 main types of trading days:
1. The most common day are two sided trading action with swings up and down – this type of trading day is most suitable for using support and resistance levels along with overbought/oversold indicators.
2. Strong trending days, mostly one directional – this type of trading day is the least common, many times will happen on Mondays and maybe 3-5 times a month at most – this type of trading day is most suitable for using ADX, MACD crossovers and pretty much looking for pullbacks to jump on the trend perhaps with the help of parabolics.
3. Slow and/or choppy trading days – this type of trading day is best suited for taking small profits from the market by looking at volume spikes, using stochastics as possible entry signals and usually wait for a pullback before jumping in.
·A good question I’ve been asked is how can one asses what type of trading day we will have while the market is still trading….I have been doing some work in finding the answers and will be happy to hear feedback via email but here are some initial observations:
1. Was the overnight session a wide, two sided trading range? If the answer is yes, good chances for similar trading day during the primary session (primary session is when the cash/stock market is open)
2. Mondays have the highest chance for trending days
3. The behavior of the first hour of trading can also suggests the type of action for the rest of the day.
4. If the first 30 minutes of the trading day have good volume, better chances for type 1 or type 2 trading days.
5. Low volume during the first 30 minutes can suggest a choppy (type 3 trading day)
6. Are there other strong trends in other sectors? ( bonds? metals? energies? Dollar index? )
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Hourly/ 60 minutes chart ( click for larger image) of the 30 yr bonds (ZB or USA) for your review below. I have heard from some clients that they “like the personality of the bonds” better than the ES and NQ. Different dynamics, larger tick size – may be worth your time to follow and try in SIM MODE first
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
“You Must Understand That There Is More Than One Path To The Top Of The Mountain.”- Miyamoto Musashi, A Book Of Five Rings: The Classic Guide To Strategy
Many experienced traders say that the stiffest challenge you’ll face in becoming a futures trader is conquering your own psyche. Why? Because losing is part of trading, and people hate to lose.
In this “Trading Psychology” Course you will learn:
· How to examine your patterns and behaviors and recognize when they are holding you back
· Maintaining self-confidence as a trader even in the face of inexperience
· The mathematical expectation model and how it can decrease your losses
· Determining the trading plan that is right for your trading personality
· Understanding and using Motivation – Risk – Reward to its full advantage
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Inflation fears are also a factor but Bitcoin seems to compete with gold for attention.
The gold market experienced good amount of selling between 1835 and 1841 during the last few months, a break above it can trigger another leg higher, failure will send this market to being the range bound it has these past few months.
If you are looking at longer term trades, MICRO gold is a good, smaller size alternative.
Some traders like to use combination of futures and options, example long the futures, selling a call on rallies and using the premium to buy puts in case of a pullback. Many ways to lose money in the trading world and very few to try and profit…..
Knowing your risk is the first step, managing your risk is the 2nd step. Evaluating the trade, positions and market dynamics is an ongoing process.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Cut Your Losses Short – Quick but important advice by John Thorpe, Senior Broker and ex floor broker:
As Brokers we see too many self directed accounts under stress because losses are allowed to run.
I am not quite sure what the logic is, or even if there is logic attached to the decision to hang on to losing trade Ideas, and many times doubling up or even tripling up on the losing position. Invariably, when there is no more money left, the client is forced out only to see the market finally turn.
One of the traders Jack D. Schwager interviewed for his first Market Wizards book had this quote and a dose of reality.
I tend to cut bad trades as soon as possible, forget them, and then move on to new opportunities. The elements of good trading are: (1) cutting losses, (2) cutting losses, and (3) cutting losses. If you follow these three rules, you may have a chance. – Ed Seykota
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
NFP – Non Farm Payroll report out tomorrow at 5:30 AM ( lucky us on the west coast….) or 8:30 AM Eastern time.
This is probably the most watched market report each month and a market mover across the board!
Do your homework, be ready and if in doubt, stay out….
From ForexFactory.com:
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) Measures Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry; Usual Effect’ Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for currency;
Frequency Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; Next Release Dec 3, 2021
FF Notes This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts;
Why Traders
Care
Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
Also Called Non-Farm Payrolls, NFP, Employment Change;
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
FOMC came out and stocks reacted with another leg up – what’s next?
FEDERAL RESERVE BEGAN
TAPPERING ITS $120 BILLION A MONTH PROGRAM.
$10 BILLION A MONTH OF
TREASURIES
$5 BILLION A MONTH OF
MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES
WAS:
$80 BILLION OF TREASURIES
$40 BILLION OF MORTGAGE BACKED
$1.44 TRILLION FOR THE YEAR
Gold sold off before hand and only bounced slightly.
Bonds sold off slightly.
Crude sold off the most but in my opinion it was API/ OPEC related and not FOMC related.
Many times, the real reaction to FOMC comes out the next day so price action, asset allocation across the different markets is important to watch.
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Interest Rates/Credit Markets – Traders expect the Fed to detail tapering of asset purchases at the FOMC meeting this week.
Traders will pay close attention to the headline change in non-farm payrolls. The expected number is 400,000, up from 194,000 in September. A weak jobs number could have traders positioning a bit sooner for a fed fund rate increase.
Goldman Sachs thinks the Fed will raise its benchmark from a range of zero to 0.25% soon after it stops tapering its asset-purchase program. A second increase will follow in November 2022, and the central bank will then raise rates two times a year after that.
We are expecting the Fed to concede to inflation cryptically in the next few months. Plan on hearing more about multi-year low inflation, historically low interest rates, and only a tiny whiff of inflation.
The following are my PERSONAL suggestions on trading during FOMC days:
· Reduce trading size
· Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
· Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 4325.00 with a stop at 4319.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 4319.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).
· Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
· Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
· Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
· Keep in mind statement comes out at 1 Pm Central time, the news conference which dissects the language comes out 30 minutes later so the volatility window stretches out.
· Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
· Be patient and be disciplined
· If in doubt, stay out!!
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
My colleague John Thorpe, Senior Futures Broker, wanted to share the following with everyone:
I would venture to guess that any futures trader who drills down into the nuts and bolts of fundamentals, technicals, astronomy, astrology, quantum mechanics, or any other academic pursuit associated with trading has a Library of books from well-silvered authors. One of my favorites, who has put out quite a bit of work over the past 50 years, is Jack D. Schwager. I’ll share one of his time honored quotes with you today.
“One of my favorite patterns is the tendency for the markets to move from relative lows to relative highs and vice versa every two to four days. This pattern is a function of human behavior. It takes several days of a market rallying before it looks really good. That’s when everyone wants to buy it, and that’s the time when the professionals, like myself, are selling. Conversely, when the market has been down for a few days, and everyone is bearish, that’s the time I like to be buying.”
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Potential long signal was generated today( based on personal technical factors I use) – Looking at the quote below, my biggest battle in this hypothetical example would be:
Entry level ( market? wait for lower price? enter if price breaks above?)
Exit in case of loss
Exit in case of profit
Trade size?
If at a loss will I exit all? or in parts?
If profit achieved will I exit part of the trade? ( assuming I am trading more than 1 contract or perhaps MICROS)
Do I need to bring stop to breakeven at any point ( if certain profit achieved?)
Obviously the answer to all of the above will change from trader to trader but bringing these points up can hopefully help you approach trading from a different angle.
“Every battle is won or lost before it is ever fought.”
Sun Tzu
The Art of War
This passage – dating back the 6th century B.C. – can aptly be applied to trading futures. Prepare for each trade. Set your risk. If the initial outcome is favorable, use your enemy’s resources (move your stop) to sustain your trading.
Don’t engage in extended battles (over trade) and consume your resources (money, time, mental energy).
Your “enemy,” (the market) only has the power to destroy your account if you let it.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
“Every battle is won or lost before it is ever fought.”
Sun Tzu
The Art of War
This passage that dates back the 6th century B.C. , can aptly be applied to trading futures. Prepare for each trade and set your risk. If the initial outcome is favorable, use your enemy’s (the market’s) resources (move your stop) to sustain your trading.
Don’t engage in extended battles (over trade) and consume your resources (money, time, mental energy).
Your “enemy,” (the market) only has the power to destroy your account if you let it.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Cotton Futures: Another leg up or corrective price action first?
By John Thorpe, Senior broker
After the October 8th hi in the 116.50 area and the subsequent low Wednesday the 13th, 4 trading days later , in the 103.50 area (notional move of $6500.00 hi to lo ) today the markets expressed a slightly bullish tone to start the week at 108.42 up 14, the last 10 minutes saw profit taking. .
The Cotton Futures market appears to be in a consolidation mode and preparing for a high energy move either up or down.. I would prepare to either buy an upside breakout with a stop order or sell one for a downside breakout with a stop. contact your broker for instructions on placing a strategy order to accommodate such an eventuality. this market may just foment around here a few more days before we go high energy in either direction again. stayed tuned for updates.
Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.
There is not an actual account trading these recommendations.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.
Cotton Futures Daily Chart Below
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Simpler Approach To Trading Using ALGOS And Trade Management
Sign up to receive family of studies along with trading ALGORITHMS you can place on your own charts, your own time frame and the markets you prefer.
Once you register to the free 3 weeks trial, you will also receive a 23 page PDF eBook that details the logic, concept and trading applications that can be used while applying these indicators.
Examples from today’s session using the mini NASDAQ chart below for your review.
What you see are signals in the form of either RED or GREEN Squares, trying to suggest possible market turn is coming.
If price action confirms, the turns, the logic behind the model says there is a better chance for continuation.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
10 Key Questions on Measuring Your Trading Progress, Success
At some point in nearly everyone’s trading timelines, they wonder how their trading successes (or failures) compare with those of other traders. Wondering just how well you stack up to other traders in the industry is a natural curiosity and a human psychological tendency. However, actually knowing the success or failure rates of others doesn’t do a lot to move you farther down the road of where you want to be regarding trading success. Futures Commodities Brokers can help you succeed.
Most traders also wonder about the success rates of the “professional” traders—the ones who make their living solely by the profits they generate from trading. I will provide you with an answer to this question at the end of this feature.
Below are 10 questions regarding measuring your own trading progress and success. These questions should help you determine where you stand in this challenging field of endeavor.
1. What is trading “success?” This is a most basic question. Most would agree that ultimate trading success is defined as being profitable at trading—making more money than you lose. There are other secondary factors that also define success in trading, such as finding a “balance” between trading and other life activities. But it’s being profitable at trading that is the benchmark of defining success.
2. What is trading “progress?” Beginning traders should not expect to have immediate and ultimate success trading futures, stocks or FOREX markets. What they can expect in the early going is to make steady progress through gaining knowledge and experience. Even veteran successful traders continue to make trading progress. Achieving and maintaining trading success requires continual progress—namely continuing to seek out trading and market knowledge. Traders who truly enjoy the “progress” and process of trading do have a significant trading edge over those who do not enjoy learning and gaining experience.
3. At what point in my trading timeline should I expect trading “success?” Trading success (winning trades) can come right away—even for the beginning traders. What is less likely for the inexperienced traders is sustained trading success. Beginners can even run into a “hot streak” that skews the overall reality of trading. Immediate (and likely fleeting) success for a beginning futures trader can do longer-term psychological harm—if he or she does not fully recognize and understand the hard work and perseverance required on the road to trading success. Many times I get questions from less-experienced traders that go something like this: “I’ve been trading two years and I’ve only been able to about break even.” My reply to them is, “Hey, you should not be too discouraged with those results. Many traders don’t have that kind of success in the early going.”
4. How long will it take to go from being a less-experienced trader to an experienced and hopefully successful trader? Determining a precise timeline at which trading success will arrive will vary greatly among traders. Some beginning traders will spend nearly full time coming up to speed. Others may spend an hour or two a week on the subject. There is no right answer on how much time to spend studying trading and markets. I have many readers who are taking up trading in retirement. I have a few that have taken up trading over the age of 80 years. One is never too young or too old to learn about markets and trading. A general rule would be for a beginning trader not to expect sustained trading success within a few months. More likely is a timeframe of a few years to achieve sustained trading success. Now you see why money management is so important in futures trading. You have to survive before you can succeed!
5. When should I “throw in the towel” and admit that trading is not for me? There is no one right answer to this question. If trading is making you miserable and creating other bad habits (kicking the dog), then it’s time to quit—or at least take an extended break. If you do not have the financial resources to trade futures, then you should not participate. Futures trading should be conducted only with money a trader can stand to lose, without impacting other more important obligations, such as grocery and rent money. It is important to point out that the beginning futures traders who “flame out” first are usually the ones who did not have the financial resources to trade futures in the first place.
6. Am I still hungry for trading and market knowledge? One should never stop endeavoring to gain more knowledge about markets and trading. Even the successful veterans who’ve been in the business for many, many years will say that they are still learning on a daily basis. If you are still striving to learn more about this business–and are enjoying doing it–then that’s a positive signal.
7. How many trading losers should I absorb before I change my trading plan of action? This is a real tough one to answer. Again, there is no single right answer. However, if you believe you have a well-founded and thoroughly researched trading plan of action, don’t abandon it just because you are on a losing streak. All traders have winning and losing streaks. That’s a part of trading. Traders enjoy the winning streaks and do not enjoy the losing streaks. But during the losing streaks they forge ahead, knowing that their plan of action is still solid. Trading plans can certainly be tweaked, such as trading fewer contracts or trading less frequently during a losing streak. For most traders, a complete overhaul of one’s trading plan is probably a last resort that merits much consideration. Futures Commodities Brokers has seen it happen before.
8. How can I keep myself motivated on the winding road to trading success? Traders who enjoy the entire process of trading don’t really need a lot of motivational help because they are already fascinated by what they are reading and learning. But during a losing streak or some other “dry spell” in trading—when morale can slip—it is prudent to read some trading books that are based less on specific methodologies and more on trading psychology. Attending trading seminars is a great way for a trader to become reinvigorated. (And it’s also a great value to those already invigorated!) You not only will gain fresh trading and market knowledge, but you also will get to see and speak with the seminar lecturers as well as traders who are in the same position as you.
9. How much should I listen to other traders when trying to evaluate my own trading progress or my own trading plan? It is good to have a trading partner or “buddies” with whom to share your ideas and to discuss markets and trading. The learning curve improves when a trader has another trader or traders with similar experience with whom to share ideas. It is also beneficial to have an experienced mentor to help guide you through the “rough waters” that all traders experience at times. But at some point, most traders do want to be more or less autonomous in their decision-making. As many traders gain more experience, knowledge and confidence, they will use outside influences as “second opinions” to reinforce or provide another angle to their own sound opinions. Many traders also have full-time “day jobs” and need outside sources to help save them time and to keep track of what’s going on in all the markets.
10. What is the average success rate of the “professional” trader? I have not seen any “official” studies of the percentage of winning trades of the average professional trader. However, it is generally agreed upon by many in our industry that the better professional traders have a winning percentage of around 4 out of every10 trades—or a 40% winning percentage. Breaking this down even further, it is estimated that half of the winning trades are only small winners and not much better than break-even. Thus, it can be loosely extrapolated that most of the professional futures traders make most of their money on one or two trades out of every 10. This only underscores the importance of sound money management in futures trading—namely cutting losses short and letting winners run. Understanding the future of the trading industry is easy when you learn with Futures Commodities Brokers.
That’s it for now. Next time, we’ll examine another important issue on your road to trading success.
Jim Wyckoff is the proprietor of the analytical, educational and trading advisory service, “Jim Wyckoff on the Markets.” He has a website at www.jimwyckoff.com
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc aka Futures Commodities Brokers. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading. Get educated with Futures Commodities Brokers.
Correlational Observations of Indices Market Behavior.
VIX Volatility futures Index.
By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
VIX futures expiration is a monthly occurrence. The expiration is somewhat varied, the remaining 2021 schedule is included below, typically, middle of the month on Wednesday mornings. Take a look at your daily chart for any of the indices and you see the sell offs during the week of or the week prior to VIX
expiration days.
My belief is there would be a smaller probability of a correlational relationship during a Bear stock market, However, Since we are in the 12th year of a bull market, I believe the underling price action is created by portfolio managers rolling their hedges and adjusting their risk for the coming month. They often use the week prior to Short the VIX at higher prices (lower equity index prices) for the first week of the new VIX contract month as they are buying back their old contract shorts pushing the VIX prices higher, thereby pushing negative sentiment into the marketplace. If there are more extreme price movements in their favor, they will elect to have the hedges expire to cash as the contracts are financially settled.
Coincidentally, September VIX expired Wednesday morning September 15th at 8:00 a.m. CDT and the October VIX expires in 10 days.
You can trade both the VIX and Equity index futures with multiple leverage options, Reach out to your Cannon Trading representative for more details.
Here is a VIX contract description from the CBOE “
The CBOE Volatility Index – more commonly referred to as the “VIX Index” – is an up-to-the-minute market estimate of expected volatility that is calculated by using real-time prices of options on the S&P 500® Index listed on CBOE Exchange, Inc. (“CBOE Options”) (Symbol: SPX). Only SPX options with Friday expirations are used to calculate the VIX Index. The VIX Index is calculated between 2:15 a.m. CT and 8:15 a.m. CT and between 8:30 a.m. CT and 3:15 p.m. CT. Only SPX options with more than 23 days and less than 37 days to the Friday SPX expiration are used to calculate the VIX Index. These SPX options are then weighted to yield a constant, 30-day measure of the expected volatility of the S&P 500 Index”
The above is the opinion of John Thorpe, Cannon’s broker since 2002. Do your homework, take a look at charts, see if you can find any correlations and understand that this is provided as trading insight/ opinion and readers are urged to use their own due diligence.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
It is a four letter word. As traders it is something that we thrive on and dread. We chase and fear. We look for and look to avoid. It is RISK. Without it, there is no opportunity for profit. Without it trading lacks potential. With it, failure and heartache are the consequences when it is abused.
Risk itself is not a bad thing. When it is misused by traders, it becomes a problem. Controlled risk presents traders with exciting and profitable opportunities. Uncontrolled, it brings the end to the dreams and careers of many traders.
How should we as traders confront risk? The first step is to respect it. Realize the damage it can do to our account equities when it is abused. The two most important tools that we have to control risk are stops and position size. Oh, I know, you hate stops. We all do. We have all been stopped out at the high or low only to see the market immediately move in the direction that we thought it would. But without using stops on every trade that we enter, disaster will eventually prevail. I have a love/hate relationship with my stop orders. I hate to place them, but love how they save me from large, unacceptable account crushing losses. It is the same for all successful traders. Those foolish enough to trade without stop protection are risking disaster on every trade. Unless you as a trader have developed perfect discipline to exit a losing trade quickly, and according to your pre-entry criteria, stops are mandatory. And admit it, at least to yourself…..do you have perfect discipline? I think not.
The other critical element in controlling risk is position size. By this I mean the percentage of your equity that you are risking per trade. I do not risk more than 3.5% of my equity on any trade. Some traders are comfortable risking 5% of their equity. This amount for me is an amount of risk with which I am comfortable. It allows for aggressive trading, and it allows me to stay in the game ( financially and psychologically) even after a series of losses. This aspect of strategy building is often forgotten by the novice trader. These folks have dreams of “the big hit” or the monster trade that allows their account equity to soar to heights unimagined by mere mortals. The problem is, oops, what if you are wrong? This type of trading/thinking is out of control. It leads to broken dreams and short careers. You must always remember that this is a highly volatile, sophisticated business. Treat it as such. If you want to gamble, jump on an airplane and visit Las Vegas.
The futures markets are highly leveraged, as we all know. Those traders that abuse risk by not respecting its power will eventually join the long list of former futures traders. Risk must be treated like a beautiful, intelligent woman. Treated with respect, wonderful things can happen. But, abuse it, or disrespect it, and suffer the consequences.
As a futures trader you have to embrace taking risk. Understand its impact. Respect it. Stay in control of it. Develop a trading method that makes risk an asset to your account instead of an enemy of your account. Risk/reward analysis is an important part of our everyday lives. Can I make it thru the intersection before the light turns red? Do I need to re-apply my sunscreen? Should I have one more beer before driving home? In trading, always keep in mind your risk versus the reward. A 50% gain in your account is not equal to a 50% loss of equity. A 50% winning trade puts you up by one half. But a 50% loss means that you have to double your equity to get back to your starting point. Respect your risk levels. Trade only using a risk level that you, personally, are comfortable with.
Rome wasn’t built in a day. Neither will your account be built in a day, or a week. Respect risk. Enjoy it’s benefits and your trading in rest of this year and in 2011 will produce profits and satisfaction. Enjoy the ride.
IMPORTANT PLEASE NOTE: TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVE SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS. THE RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED IN THE LETTER IS OF OPINION AND DOES NOT GUARANTEE ANY PROFITS. THERE IS NOT AN ACTUAL ACCOUNT TRADING THESE RECOMMENDATIONS. THESE ARE RISKY MARKETS AND ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE USED. PAST PERFORMANCES ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Most Common Pitfalls To Avoid When Trading Futures-Commodity Futures
500 experienced futures brokers were asked what caused most futures traders to lose money when comes to trading futures.
Their answers reflected the trading experience of more than 10,000 futures traders. Download the PDF and find out what they said.
1) Have A Plan
Many futures traders trade without a plan. They do not define specific risk and profit objectives before trading. Even if they establish a plan, they “second guess” it and don’t stick to it, particularly if the trade is a loss. Consequently, they overtrade and use their equity to the limit (are undercapitalized), which puts them in a squeeze and forces them to liquidate positions. Usually, they liquidate the good trades and keep the bad ones.
2) News Factor
Many traders don’t realize the news they hear and read has, in many cases, already been discounted by the market.
3) Trade Objectively
After several profitable trades, many speculators become wild and non conservative. They base their trades on hunches and long shots, rather than sound fundamental and technical reasoning, or put their money into one deal that “can’t fail.”
4) Know Your Size
Traders often try to carry too big a position with too little capital and trade too frequently for the size of the account.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
No commentary today but feel free to join our private FB group and gain access to daily, morning insight into the markets for the day ahead with commentary such as below which our members had access to hours before the open:
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Today’s energy crude oil market is truly global. From West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to Brent and DME Oman, the crude oil market fuels many of the world’s leading economies and impact nearly every nation. Energy crude oil futures and options provide the tools the industry needs to manage risk. Explore the key concepts and structure of today’s energy markets, including the factors that affect supply and demand and move prices. Learn how to use these instruments to hedge exposure and unlock opportunities
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Correlational Observations of Indices Market Behavior.
VIX Volatility futures Index.
By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
VIX futures expiration is a monthly occurrence. The expiration is somewhat varied, the remaining 2021 schedule is included below, typically, middle of the month on Wednesday mornings. Take a look at your daily chart for any of the indices and you see the sell offs during the week of or the week prior to VIX
expiration days.
My belief is there would be a smaller probability of a correlational relationship during a Bear stock market, However, Since we are in the 12th year of a bull market, I believe the underling price action is created by portfolio managers rolling their hedges and adjusting their risk for the coming month. They often use the week prior to Short the VIX at higher prices (lower equity index prices) for the first week of the new VIX contract month as they are buying back their old contract shorts pushing the VIX prices higher, thereby pushing negative sentiment into the marketplace. If there are more extreme price movements in their favor, they will elect to have the hedges expire to cash as the contracts are financially settled.
Coincidentally, September VIX expired Wednesday morning September 15th at 8:00 a.m. CDT and the October VIX expires in 10 days.
You can trade both the VIX and Equity index futures with multiple leverage options, Reach out to your Cannon Trading representative for more details.
Here is a VIX contract description from the CBOE “
The CBOE Volatility Index – more commonly referred to as the “VIX Index” – is an up-to-the-minute market estimate of expected volatility that is calculated by using real-time prices of options on the S&P 500® Index listed on CBOE Exchange, Inc. (“CBOE Options”) (Symbol: SPX). Only SPX options with Friday expirations are used to calculate the VIX Index. The VIX Index is calculated between 2:15 a.m. CT and 8:15 a.m. CT and between 8:30 a.m. CT and 3:15 p.m. CT. Only SPX options with more than 23 days and less than 37 days to the Friday SPX expiration are used to calculate the VIX Index. These SPX options are then weighted to yield a constant, 30-day measure of the expected volatility of the S&P 500 Index”
The above is the opinion of John Thorpe, Cannon’s broker since 2002. Do your homework, take a look at charts, see if you can find any correlations and understand that this is provided as trading insight/ opinion and readers are urged to use their own due diligence.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Videos 101: Curious on an indicator that can help you with EXITS? How about using a certain indicator as a trailing stop?
Watch the latest trading videos we have posted and see if you can pick a tip or two on trading smarter!
In this blog entry today we are sharing four videos, each a few minutes long. The videos discuss practical tips for trading and sharing our experience with you
1. Using Bollinger Bands as a possible tool for exiting trades
2. One way you can use the Parabolics study ( also known as PSAR) to manage current positions, possibly as a trailing stop
3. Different ways traders can utilize support and resistance levels in their trading.
4. Entering trades on a stop, using “price confirmation”.
5. Utilizing Range Bar charts for shorter term trading as a way to try and filter out some noise.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Everyone loves an introductory guide to trading futures! Even experienced traders can learn something new or refresh their strategies by reviewing this trader’s guide to futures. If you’re a trader who is interested in branching out from equities or cash FX into futures, this guide will provide a great starting point. If you already know something about futures trading, you can jump to any chapter for a review. Additionally, you can also go to the back of the booklet and test your knowledge in our helpful Futures Quiz.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
I was doing some homework last night, back testing different entry signals etc.
By mistake I plugged in a system that takes crude oil signals and applies it to the current market I was testing – Seems that these past 2 years or so, signals taken based on crude oil were more accurate ( using this specific trend following formula I was using) than signals based on the underlying contract!! To clarify I am testing longer term model using the DAILY chart.
Cotton, Coffee, Corn,beans,Gold and SP500 all did better based on price action/ signals using crude oil prices than their own data!!
Obviously this requires more in depth work, statistical analysis and forward testing but I thought it was interesting enough to share with you and give you some ideas perhaps even something to look into on intra day basis?
Speaking on crude pay attention to inventory report tomorrow.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Other commodities like cotton and oats are also experiencing strong bull runs – is this due to in inflation? Supply chain fears? New “COVID world” environment?
Current levels to watch for on the major markets mentioned above:
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Every country in the world depends on energy. For some, energy production is the backbone of their economies. Energy products as a percentage of all that a country exports can be as high as 90% or more. Kuwait, Libia and Iraq are notable examples. For others, energy is a scarce resource within their borders making it necessary to import it. Countries like South Korea, Ireland and Japan import over 80% of their needed energy. Governments, multinational corporations, international consortiums (think OPEC) often vigorously compete for control of energy production and distribution – and the revenue that comes from them. Energy resources have literally fueled wars for their control. Without doubt, oil, its refined products and natural gas are among the world’s most valued commodities.
Not surprisingly, energy futures contracts like crude oil, heating oil, unleaded gas and natural gas are some of the largest futures contracts in the world by volume. The CME Group’s NYMEX Exchange offers trading on some of the energy sector’s benchmark products, including West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude, Henry Hub Natural Gas, Brent Crude and RBOB Gasoline.
Like stock index futures, energy futures trade 23 hours a day (5:00 P.M. – 4:00 P.M., Central Time), Sunday through Friday. Both crude oil and natural gas offer mini contracts and crude oil even offers a micro contract.
If you’re trading is solely focused on stock indexes, think about adding energy futures to your watch list and expanding your trading power (pun intended) with energy futures contracts.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
iSystems is a trading platform that allows you the investor/trader to browse and view performance from over 1500 professionally designed systems.
You can browse statistics, performance, logic and much more.
A series 3 professional broker is here to assist you if you would like to evaluate any specific systems and even better how to create a diversified portfolio based on your risk profile and capital.
The capital requirements for each Algo range from just $3000.00 and up.
You can choose between day trading Algos and swing trading Algos and much more….
Some clients like to have some automated systems in addition to their self directed account, some clients prefer to only utilize automated systems as they don’t have the time or desire to trade on their own.
Futures trading is complex and carries the risk of substantial losses. It is not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Some traders use these as stand alone strategies, others use them as hedges to straddle a time period, perhaps you don’t want full exposure during an important report but still like your entry price on one leg.
If this is the case you may offset a part of the risk with a different but similar product and receive a margin break for reducing your overall risk.
Inter Spreads are calculated as a percentage of Credit off the top of the full outright margin of the products that make up the legs of the spread.
17,000+9.000= 26,000 outright margin before SPAN inter spread credit is applied
With the inter spread credit applied to each leg of the spread, there is a savings of $11,750
( 17,000 x .55) = 9350 + (9000 x .55) = 4950 = 14,300
Of course, you can apply the same logic to the micro contract at 1/10th the size.
MNQ vs MYM = overnight requirement of $1430.00 rather than 1700.00 for the outright MNQ
There are hundreds if not thousands of combination based on correlated relationships that are recognized by the exchange. Please call your Broker or ,if you don’t have an account yet and would like to know more, call Cannon +1 310 859 9572 and we will be happy to spend time with you about this different way to manage your trading risk.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Cryptocurrency has taken off as an encrypted alternative to real spending money, giving people more options for doing business. Bitcoin is one of the leading cryptocurrencies on the market, especially after it boomed in 2017. Nowadays, many websites accept Bitcoin payments, which has helped the cryptocurrency market grow significantly. Micro Bitcoin futures have also made a significant impact on the futures trading industry.
Now, many brokers offer futures for Bitcoin and other types of cryptocurrency. It is easier than ever to trade shares of these types of currency, and traders of all experience levels can trade practically anytime and anywhere.
Keep in mind that before you start trading Bitcoin/ Micro Bitcoin and other crypto futures you will need to acknowledge additional risk disclosures on top of the standard futures disclosures.
One of the most convenient ways for traders to get the results from cryptocurrency is by trading micro futures. Recently, the CME Group announced new Micro Bitcoin futures, which have revolutionized futures trading. Now, for 1/10 the cost of the average Bitcoin share, a trader can purchase shares of this new type of future.
About Our Team
Cannon Trading has the tools traders need to begin trading cryptocurrency futures. We have various platforms that meet all needs, allowing traders to trade what they want when they want them.
Our experienced brokers are here to help traders of all levels through the process. We specialize in developing innovative platforms that help traders navigate the market.
Whether a trader is part of a professional trading organization or participating in day trading, our brokers can help. We work with clients from various backgrounds, providing everything from multilingual trading services to broker-assisted trading. If a trader is interested in our services, our customer support team of qualified brokers would be happy to help.
About Micro Bitcoin Futures
Micro Bitcoin Futures and Bitcoin Futures are both offered by CME to traders around the world. These contracts vary in size, depending on whether a client pursues a regular Bitcoin future or a Micro Bitcoin future.
Micro Bitcoin Futures allow traders to access Bitcoin Futures for a tenth of the cost of a regular Bitcoin future. Both types of contracts make it easy to get into the Bitcoin market, allowing clients to get the most out of their trading process.
Trading Micro Bitcoin Futures
The CME Group launched Micro Bitcoin Futures in May of 2021 and it has been a successful contract from the start. With Bitcoin rising in prominence worldwide, it is easy to see why this type of futures contract appears to be here to stay.
Bitcoin futures trading has been prominent since 2017 when the CME Group introduced it. Micro futures allow traders to speculate and hedge using 1/10th the size of a single coin of this iconic cryptocurrency. With Bitcoin still dominating the cryptocurrency industry, it is easy to see why many traders prefer the Micro futures over the traditional larger Bitcoin futures as the good faith deposit required is 1/10th of that of the standard Bitcoin contract.
While the new Micro Bitcoin Futures provide a value of 1/10 of a Bitcoin, these contracts are 1/50th the good faith deposit required of a traditional Bitcoin contract. This lower margin requirement allows traders to access more futures, giving them greater control of how much they can invest.
The versatility of the market, along with the lower capital involved, helps more traders access this type of future. It is for this reason that Micro Bitcoin Futures are popular with both active traders and cryptocurrency users.
Benefits of Micro Bitcoin Futures
There are many benefits involved in trading Micro Bitcoin Futures, which can help traders who have just started participating in the market.
Micro Bitcoin futures allow traders to take advantage of the many benefits of Bitcoin futures without investing as much. The CME Group saw the need for a minor Bitcoin futures contract, especially since the traditional contract was worth 5 Bitcoin.
More people could participate in cryptocurrency futures trading by creating this new, minor contract, which helped liquidity.
The institutional volume for Micro Bitcoin Futures has allowed the market to reach over a million contracts in just a short period. While this type of trading launched in the summer of 2021, it has become a popular choice, even seeming to outpace the traditional Bitcoin futures market.
Here are just a few of the benefits traders can expect when utilizing Micro Bitcoin Futures:
Smaller capital investment
Reasonable bid offer spreads
Lower entry price
Regulated financial products
More accessible to more traders
And more
The team here at Cannon Trading can help traders understand this type future, allowing them to get the most out of their opportunities. We understand that our traders have varying needs, which has led us to develop innovative solutions and platforms to achieve them.
Our team wants to help people get the most out of their Micro Bitcoin futures, which is why we have a dedicated group of brokers ready to assist our traders.
We also have platforms for various needs and trading opportunities, from mobile platforms to desktop applications. Our products were designed with traders in mind, giving people the functionality to access the market.
Impact of Micro Bitcoin Futures
While Micro Bitcoin Futures are relatively new to the market, they have made a significant impact on trading as a whole. This type of contract allows traders to explore the cryptocurrency futures market without spending as much capital as a traditional contract would require or coin in the Cash marketplace..
We understand that new traders may have a lot of questions regarding this type of cryptocurrency futures trading venue. There are risks involved in trading futures and even greater risks when trading Bitcoin and MICRO bitcoin futures. Our team is here to help field any questions a person might have regarding the trading process as a whole. Cannon Trading makes it easy to navigate the market, as we provide cutting-edge platforms that simplify the trading process.
Our brokers have been assisting traders since 1988, which has allowed Cannon Trading to become a leading name in the futures trading business. We opened our online trading service in 1998, which allowed more traders than ever to participate in the market. Over 20 years later, traders have continually recognized us as one of the leading brokerage services.
How Cannon Trading Can Help Micro Bitcoin Futures Traders
At Cannon Trading, we have the tools traders need to make informed decisions before investing in the futures market.
We provide access to cutting-edge software and programs that put our traders at the forefront of the industry.
Cannon Trading’s experienced brokers can help clients learn more about oil futures, offering insight into the overall market, as well.
We work with traders from many different backgrounds, including:
Broker-assisted traders
Day traders
Diversified traders
Institutions
Professional traders
And more
Whether you’re a beginning trader or an experienced one, our brokers can help you navigate the market. We have direct experience with the market so that we can help our clients best navigate the market.
We also provide them with the tools to make the most of markets and manage risk during volatile times.
Contact Cannon Trading
Our professional commodities brokers will work with you to understand your specific trading style and requirements and provide you the essential advice and information you need to thrive in this highly lucrative market.
As an example, Cannon Trading’s Broker-assisted Trading solution provides traders new to the field with the essential advice and tools they need to accelerate their understanding of some of the mechanisms that affect prices in any futures contract market.
Contact us today to learn more about commodities trading and information on futures options and other listed commodity contracts.
Disclaimer
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you regarding your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.
You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Yesterday we hosted a very interesting webinar with Bookmap about order flow, buy and sell zones, liquidity of large orders and MUCH MORE.
On a personal level I really enjoyed the information as I am the type of guy who has been looking at indicators/ volume charts, range bar charts and probably many of the things that many of futures traders are used to. The data and information shared yesterday during live market hours with forward thinking analysis was very interesting to me and I will do more homework on the topic.
If you did not attend the webinar and would like to see a recording, CLICK HERE.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
“The Market Keeps Hitting My Stop Orders!” by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker:
This is a shared annoyance among futures traders, particularly for those trades where their initial stop orders are hit. Certainly, this condition can be approached by discussing any trade’s risk – in terms of actual dollars, or number of points or cents. But for purposes of this blog post, let’s approach the condition by discussing strategy. One strategy in particular that can be implemented in lieu of simply placing a stop order is regularly termed a back spread. It involves taking a position – long or short – in a futures contract, then entering a long, opposing option position. A simple example would be to take a long position in the E-mini S&P 500 futures contract and purchasing a put option. The selection of which option to purchase will determine the risk/reward parameters of the overall trade. Generally, the closer to the money, or the deeper in the money the purchased option’s strike price is, the less tolerant the back spread will be to adverse price movement, because as the futures contract incurs losses, so too will the purchased option incur gains. The delta of the option at the time of purchase will provide the initial amount of protection against an adverse price move, expressed as a percentage of a single futures contract (equal to 100%) and which will increase with adverse price movement. Conversely, the protection will decrease with a favorable price move. An important component to this position, of course, is the expiration date of the option. It will not only determine how long the insurance will be in place, but it will also determine in part the overall strategy’s ability to tolerate. An at-the-money option whose expiration date is within days will more effectively provide protection against an adverse price move than one whose expiration date is weeks away, but for a more limited amount of time. Everything considered, if you’re looking for an alternate strategy substitute to simply placing a stop order, a back spread could be considered.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
FOMC tomorrow. Do your homework, look at price action during the last few FOMCs.
Also we will have a LIVE WEBINAR with live price action post FOMC and see in real time what type of information price action and order flow provide. Register here.
A Trailing stop Tweak by John Thorpe, Senior Broker:
When traders decide to deploy trailing stops, they may decide to take a look at avg truer range to determine volatility of the market so they have a better gauge of how much to risk on each trade and how likely, if they are correct about the direction, will they be to successfully set the trailing distance. Tweak your stops to reduce the risk to your Net Liquidating Value.
Whatever indicator or set of indicators you like to use to determine how many points the market must travel before your stop automatically modifies and moves to your new “Protection Level”, I think all traders agree when this happens, we have a winning trade on the books., Typically the worst we will get filled when the market does change direction, with a little slippage is a trade that finishes in the black!
What happens when the stop doesn’t trail, a hard stop is elected the market takes the position out, with a little slippage, below our breakeven? The trade ends in the red.
Whether you trail or use a hard stop, stops are part of risk management and in my opinion, essential to long range trading success: use stops or trailing stops. If the stop never trails, the trade will end with a predetermined loss,(less slippage and fees) , Some people like to set stops after they enter the market, (some say they do but rarely will). I do.
The importance of using stops can not be understated. What I do once I have determined how many ticks I will use for my trailer, is to place the Trailing stop LESS THAN my hard coded distance E.g. hard coded trailing distance is 20, I will place the stop at 12 or 14. That way, if the market modifies the stop at least once, the trade will do better than break even by 6 or 8 points less fees rather than getting stopped at breakeven less fees. If the stop modifies twice then I have the potential for a 34 to 36 point gain on this trade, less fees. If the position gets stopped I will not take a 20 point loss, rather a 14 to 16 point loss.
If we always place the trailing stop at the same distance when we initiate our entry trade, we will always do worse than breakeven if we get stopped out. If you loosen your trailer and tighten your entry, you might just turn the account from red to black.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Some very large swings and intra-day moves across more than a few markets!
Volatility is increasing.
When that happens, my personal opinion says:
*Reduce trade size
*Be a bit more stubborn in entry points with the thought of, “No trade is better than a bad trade”
Just in case….Here is a refresher about limit moves and circuit breakers:
A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions can occur depending on the product being traded. Markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded, they may remain in a limit condition or they may stop trading for the day, based on regulatory rules.
CME Group U.S. equity index price limits (and corresponding CME and CBOT rules) are designed to coordinate with circuit breakers provisions as applied by the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
7%, 13%, and 20% price limits are applied to the futures fixing price and are effective from 8:30 a.m. CT – 2:25 p.m. CT. Mondays through Fridays. From 2:25 p.m. to 3:00 p.m. CT, only the 20% price limit will be applied to the futures price fixing.
7% up-and-down limits are effective 5:00 p.m. – 8:30 a.m. CT. Sundays through Fridays; and 3:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m. CT, Mondays through Fridays. Between 3:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m. the 7% price limit will not be allowed to breech the 20% daily limit.
The fixing price is the volume weighted average price, VWAP, calculated during the 30 seconds of trading from 2:59:30 p.m. – 3:00:00 p.m. CT. View Equity Index Fixing Prices page
If you don’t understand how the circuit breakers/ price limits work…make sure you call us and talk to a broker at + 1 310 859 9572, feel free to reach out even if you are not a current client – we will be happy to assist.
So we went from 6 weeks of lower volatility, overall higher stock prices to Dow being down over 1000 points at one point today!!
This is MAJOR alert in my opinion that market sentiment may have changed.
Be aware and if the below applies, you are in a better spot….
If you know how to take a loss.
If you know how to reduce trading size based on volatility.
If you know how to trade spreads ( NQ vs ES?)
If you understand options spreads.
THAN there are some very interesting set ups out there ( STILL with HIGHER RISK than normal). However if none of the above applies to you, the risks outweighs the potential opportunities. – PERSONAL opinion
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Futures, futures options, stock options and single stocks all expire tomorrow morning right on the open of the stock market.
Keep in mind that September mini SP and it’s relatives ( mini Dow, mini Nasdaq etc.) EXPIRE tomorrow and cash settle based on special settlement price….Markets can get volatile tomorrow morning right before and around the open.
The September contract will simply cease to trade. If you have not switched to December yet, now is the time…..
Know the rules, understand current margins, know where the circuit breakers are/ limit moves.
Figure out your max risk.
After you do all that, feel free to trade but jumping in and trying to trade without the basic knowledge above is like jumping into a stormy ocean without a life vest…..
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Wednesday Sept. 15th insight by Mark O’Brien, Cannon Senior Futures Broker:
Market Insight: Natural Gas
In just three weeks of trading (Aug. 25-today), Oct, natural gas has made a massive ±$1.50 rally ($15,000 per contract), doubling in price from a year earlier reaching prices not seen since early 2014. Yet, at ±$5.50 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), natural gas prices are a fraction of that in Europe and Asia where prices have approached $18.00-20.00 MMBtu! The fundamental bases for these high prices: the U.S. is behind schedule stocking up for the winter. At the same time, it’s an important exporter to Europe which is in its own precarious supply situation with storage for winter ±16% below its 5-yr. average.
What’s next for prices depends largely on what kind of winter is in store for the U.S. and Europe and the degree to which U.S. producers can ramp up on storage. Catching up on the 5-yr. average build-up will be closely monitored.
Daily Chart below
Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Tuesday Sept. 14th insight by Austin LaChapelle, Cannon Futures Broker:
It seems institutions are on the sidelines waiting for the fed announcement next week. Maybe the quad witching will give an opportunity to go long the index futures into the FOMC meeting.
I see an opportunity to go long the Nasdaq futures at 15150 – That is my personal bias. That being said I am waiting in the weeds for ES futures. We are nearing points in the ES that I am going to call very important pivotal areas.
We have 4437.50-4439 and 4426-4427. Offers below both of those levels could get things rolling for a real nice sell off. Will you be ready?
Another market that I am looking at, is crude oil futures. I am looking ( again this is my personal opinion) to get short around 71.20 hopefully the report tomorrow will be the catalyst to get into the trade.
Right now I prefer trading the December contract and sometimes you get a little squeeze into the expiration of the front month. We will see if we can get these to align to hit my target below 68.85.
Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Good Bye BIG S&P500 by John Thorpe, senior broker:
A Swan song for the venerable FULL Size or BIG S&P 500 Futures contract.
The initial $500.00 per point then subsequently $250.00 per point S&P contract is done, over. Because the contract became unwittingly large as the index value increased, the CME will be delisting the “Big” S&P following this week’s expiration leaving the E-Mini and Micro E-mini contracts as its legacy to thrive.
The price of the index itself became too expensive for smaller investors and lead to the creation of the ES in 1997 and the MES in 2019 as index values soared from 959.90 on September 17th 1997 to 4450.00 as of Friday’s close.
This from the CME:
As announced on May 4, 2021, and subject to regulatory review, CME Group will delist its standard-size futures and options on futures contracts on the Standard and Poor’s 500 Stock Price Index (“standard-size contracts”) following the expiration of the September 2021 contracts on Friday, September 17, 2021. After the delisting of the standard-size contracts, the E-mini suite of futures and options on the S&P 500 Index will continue to meet the trading and risk management needs of customer
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Trading 201: To Become a Winning Trader, you Must Learn How to Lose…
Markets are constantly changing. The period of after Labor Day and into October can be more volatile at times. These Volatile Times Require MAJOR Adjustments In How You Approach Trading And Risk Management. I Hope This Article Helps And I Encourage You To Utilize Our Brokers And The Knowledge They Have To Assist You.. Contact Us
Many different factors go into trading. Too many to discuss efficiently in one blog post. Some relate to trading techniques, other to money management, mental aspect, risk capital and much more.
But one that sticks in my eyes is the inability to accept a loss. I see many clients who can make money and have days where they make money but when they lose, they lose much more, sometimes even losing control and losing a big portion of their account.
I am not sure how a trader can embed this into their trading mind, BUT in my opinion if you train your brain to expect losses, understand losses and that losing days will happen, you will increase your chances of surviving in this business, which in return will actually give you a chance to succeed….
Losses are part of trading and as long as your losses are part of the plan( AND RISK CAPITAL) and are quantified in advance and you can adhere to your rules, then you have a chance. I think it’s easy when traders are winning…making money etc.
Much harder when you lose or down. Your brain starts playing tricks on you…it tells you to double down, maybe reverse even though your analysis does not say so….all of a sudden you start pulling trades out of instinct, fear rather than a calculated plan that has solid risk/ reward. If a trader learns how to lose, to accept losses, to have realistic expectations, then he/ she can avoid having one of those terrible days when traders can lose almost of all their account.
I went into this subject and detailed day-trading money management in an article I wrote a few years back for SFO magazine. You can read the full article by filling out the form below
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
09-13-2021
Weekly Levels
Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading
Starting today traders will start trading the December contract rather than the September contract.
Symbol for Dec. is Z.
Example: ESZ21
The rollover period will be complete by next Friday when December Stock Indices contracts expire into cash, however currencies and financials are deliverable products!.
If you have any questions, please reach out to your broker here at Cannon and they can provide more insight.
I personally will switch once I see the December volume higher than the September volume.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Put on your “Trading Glasses” – Quick Insight by John Thorpe, senior broker:
During a recent conversation with a long time client who was experiencing a relatively long losing streak and looking for a new indicator, a different indicator, a different time frame, she was looking for answers to make a major change in her approach. I asked her what she is currently using. She told me, Candlesticks and a number of other indicators. I suggested she doesn’t need to change much, a different perspective , a simpler perspective may be beneficial.
Using the same chart, simply change the glasses you are looking at the market through.
Change the style of your chart. I like to use the LINE Chart for clarity, Changing the style of your chart and add a simple moving average, the number of time frames are really not too important, ( 8,10,12,14,16, any will do the smaller the more sensitive, the longer the more smoothed) if simply for a few minutes, this unclutters your brain and will likely give you a different perspective about current market price volatility around your indicators and may give you a better understanding of how the market is moving so you can better assess where not only enter the market but where to place your trailing stops the SMA provides a rudimentary S&R and will tell you when we are in a sideways stance and help you avoid trading during the chop. I will cover a neat little trick with the trailing stops during my next discussion about “a different Perspective” Good trading and make it an excellent week!
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
I was wrong….when the MICROS first came out I was saying to myself “that defeats the whole point of leverage” BUT I am a big fan now.
MICRO CL, MICRO ES, MICRO NQ are just some of the markets with very nice volume and they offer the flexibility of scaling in and out, smaller exposure.
The NQ for example is trading at such levels compare to 3 years ago that a “normal 0.5%” move is worth approx. $1000 against you or in your favor simply because we are trading at 15613….compare to 780 3 years ago!! That is more than double the value/ exposure etc.
The MICRO CL got great volume and at times when this market is very volatile or you want to take a swing trade but still sleep well at night…..
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
NFP report tomorrow. Non Farm payroll, usually known as unemployment report. This is a market moving report that comes out usually the first Friday of every month.
Learn more about market moving reports by reading this well written article:
Trading 101: Ranking Market Events ( knowing what you don’t know…)
by: Cannon Trading Staff
Every trader has done it. You’ve done it, your friends have done it, even your broker has done it at one point early in their career.
Here’s the scenario:
You’ve finally finished your futures education at Cannon Trading Company. You’ve done you’re homework on stops, limits, indicators and price movements for the market you’re trading. You’re ready to go, you enter your limit order and you wait.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
MICRO crude oil is seeing some good volume. Over 53000 contracts traded today.
In my opinion a great vehicle for the following:
New traders and smaller traders.
When one wants to average in to increase/ build position and then scale out.
At times of higher volatility like today when numbers came out.
At 1/10th of the regular crude oil contract along with good liquidity the MICRO crude oil is now joining MICRO ES, MICRO NQ, MICRO russell, MICRO dow, MICRO gold and the MICRO bitcoin as what I consider good, SMALLER, liquid markets.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
The above sources were compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Cannon Trading assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. It is meant as an alert to events that may affect trading strategies and is not necessarily complete. The closing times for certain contracts may have been rescheduled.
*Dates and times are subject to change
If you have any questions, please call the CME Global Command Center at +1 800 438 8616, in Europe at +44 800 898 013 or in Asia at +65 6532 5010
First trading day of the month tomorrow. Wishing all of us a successful trading month and a healthy, safe September.
Was hoping to share some valuable insight about trading or the markets today but honestly I think the markets are waiting for Labor Day weekend coming up and volatility is still relatively low in most markets.
One advice I have to share is, observe and trade more than one market. if you are only trading crude oil and your trading model/ style looks for volatility and crude goes into low volatility – now what? ( Talking about crude oil….don’t forget tomorrow we have inventories at 10:30 AM EST and dont forget we have MICRO crude oil with nice volume and 1/10th the size!)
But if you learn the fundamentals of few markets, lets say ES, Cl and ZB and you scan these markets for set ups you like – I personally feel that may be a better approach than just trading a single market.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
At times we may see higher volatility and/or larger moves on last and first trading days of the month as large traders/ institutions may adjust for accounting reasons.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
The following rankings are based on actual results with commissions and monthly vendor fees included.
Profit and Loss as shown below is not necessarily representative of a single account, but is a compilation of several accounts over time, and is based on the physical trade ticket. Past performance may not be necessarily indicative of future results. Results are based on actual trades with commissions, monthly vendor fees, and exchange/nfa fees included. Broker tracks only actual trading and key punches in trade data from trading ticket on a daily basis. So long as there is at least 1 contract by a client auto-trading system broker has ability to track. The risk of loss in trading commodity futures and options can be substantial and may not be suitable for all investors.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Trading 101: Ranking Market Events ( knowing what you don’t know…)
by: Cannon Trading Staff
Every trader has done it. You’ve done it, your friends have done it, even your broker has done it at one point early in their career.
Here’s the scenario:
You’ve finally finished your futures education at Cannon Trading Company. You’ve done you’re homework on stops, limits, indicators and price movements for the market you’re trading. You’re ready to go, you enter your limit order and you wait.
**DING**
You get filled. Your heart rate picks up, a wry smile crosses your face and you begin to imagine the possibilities of the one trade you’re in: How much can I make? How much can I lose before it’s too much? You’ve waited through months of technical trading and deep meditation to get here, and now it’s finally paying off with one of your first trades in the live market. Sayonara paper trading; aloha live futures.
Then, all of a sudden, the top of the hour hits and the market starts acting up. It’s getting more volatile and more volatile; it’s picking up speed and taking an unforgiving turn against you. You can’t think straight, all you can think about is your losing position that could get worse and worse as the seconds go by. You race to put in a stop order, but you finally have to settle for a market order just to stop the bleeding. You stare.
**DING**
You’re out of the market. What the hell just happened? You stare at the screen; did your indicators lie to you? Is your system faulty? Did you not listen to your broker? Well, probably not. But you’re down several handles, you’ve lost some money and your pride is aching…
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Well, STOP WONDERING. You can call upon a professional, experienced, Series-3 broker who can access and share all the information above and more – utilizing our firm’s cumulative experience in futures trading: over 30 years!
LIVE WEBINAR: Cannon Trading and CME Group invite you to attend an online event on Monday, August 30, to learn more about Micro Treasury Yield futures, a streamlined approach to trading US treasury benchmark rates launching on August 30.
Join us for a conversation with Craig Bewick, Senior Director of Client Development and Sales, to discuss the contract specs in greater detail. Traded in yield, the contracts directly reference the most recently auctioned Treasury securities at key tenor points across the curve. Cash-settled and available on four key tenors, Micro Treasury Yield futures offer exposure to on-the-run Treasury yields plus the precision of a smaller contract.
Craig Bewick is senior director of client development and sales at CME Group. Mr. Bewick has spent 25 years in futures and options markets, starting at CBOT and CME working in risk management, regulatory, technology, product management, and client development. After spending over eight years with WH Trading LLC, he returned to CME Group working to educate and promote futures trading. Mr. Bewick currently writes for InFocus Options Corner.
In This Webinar You Will Learn:
• What is unique about the MICRO rate futures?
• Different ways to trade the new instruments
• Possible spread set ups between the MICRO rates and other products
Risk: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Micro Futures and Why Treasury Markets Matter to the Retail Trader
By Jim Iuorio
U.S. treasuries are, by far, the largest and most liquid market in the world. In 2020, U.S. treasuries traded over $600 billion in value per day, well above the $450 billion traded in the U.S. stock market. This number is independent of the enormous notional amounts that trade in futures and other interest rates derivative products. The point is that the reach of the treasury market is massive.
Now, combine this fact with one of the most significant shifts we’ve seen in the trading world over the last two years: the growing involvement of the retail trader/investor who is taking a much larger role in managing their own finances and investments. Treasuries are a natural fit for the trader looking for choice in their trading approach.
Up until this point most treasury products were geared toward institutional use. New Micro Treasury futures will open the door for the retail trader and add flexibility for this growing group.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
When markets are moving SO FAST like the NQ/ ES and others have recently, I like using automated stops and limits. One can do so using brackets or even built in strategies where you specify different limits, stops, when to move your stop as a trailing stop and much more.
I know my stomach feels much better when I have stops and limits working in the system working….( also maybe use MICROS for the same reason?)
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Micro Treasury Yield futures see strong liquidity on launch day: 2,265 contracts traded
In the first day of trading, Micro Treasury Yield futures saw a warm reception as robust screen liquidity across all tenors enabled active trading, with activity from over a dozen global participants.
In this webinar John Seguin will present, “The Logical Approach to Trading”, where he will review the professional trader’s checklist and introduce the Varea Signal Menu and Macrograph. Whether you’re a seasoned professional or novice, his techniques will give you great ideas and tools to use on your journey of becoming a better trader.
By the end of this informative presentation, we hope you will be able to compete with pros and create better trading strategies.
About John Seguin: John spent years 20 at the Chicago commodity exchanges. In 2002 he finished his career as a broker when electronic trading began to replace trading pits. While servicing institutional traders in the pits of the CBOT and CME, John developed a training program and Macrograph, a unique charting tool. He teaches charting techniques and fundamentals. John publishes daily commodity market updates.
Risk: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Cannon Trading & AlgoReturns.com invites you to attend an online event on Thursday August 19th.
In this webinar John Seguin will present, “The Logical Approach to Trading”, where he will review the professional trader’s checklist and introduce the Varea Signal Menu and Macrograph. Whether you’re a seasoned professional or novice, his techniques will give you great ideas and tools to use on your journey of becoming a better trader.
By the end of this informative presentation, we hope you will be able to compete with pros and create better trading strategies.
About John Seguin: John spent years 20 at the Chicago commodity exchanges. In 2002 he finished his career as a broker when electronic trading began to replace trading pits. While servicing institutional traders in the pits of the CBOT and CME, John developed a training program and Macrograph, a unique charting tool. He teaches charting techniques and fundamentals. John publishes daily commodity market updates.
Risk: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Cannon Trading & AlgoReturns.com invites you to attend an online event on Thursday August 19th.
In this webinar John Seguin will present, “The Logical Approach to Trading”, where he will review the professional trader’s checklist and introduce the Varea Signal Menu and Macrograph. Whether you’re a seasoned professional or novice, his techniques will give you great ideas and tools to use on your journey of becoming a better trader.
By the end of this informative presentation, we hope you will be able to compete with pros and create better trading strategies.
About John Seguin: John spent years 20 at the Chicago commodity exchanges. In 2002 he finished his career as a broker when electronic trading began to replace trading pits. While servicing institutional traders in the pits of the CBOT and CME, John developed a training program and Macrograph, a unique charting tool. He teaches charting techniques and fundamentals. John publishes daily commodity market updates.
Risk: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Would you pay $700.00 for a one way airplane ticket between Chicago and Dallas? Economy? How about $650.00 one way between Oakland and Seattle in a middle seat? What if the price of your favorite coffee-chino increased by 50% or even 90%, how much will you be willing to pay to get that same fix? Or would you buy a lesser product? Is it rational we as consumers are forced to change our buying habits due to unexpected price increases?
A jeweler needs to buy resources (platinum, silver, gold, etc.) to make what he is going to sell, even when resources are sparse and costs are high. A farmer may be forced to sell his product when there is an abundance and prices are low. This doesn’t seem fair to the jeweler, who needs his supplies even when their costs skyrocket, or the farmer, who toils through a growing season and takes on the risks of weather, insects, and disease. These prices can fluctuate dramatically on the world market, and yet it is important for sellers to keep their prices a steady as possible to please their customer base. Perhaps where it is most apparent how important these fixed prices are is with your daily cup of coffee. A coffee roaster like Starbucks must try to control the cost of inputs even when the price for raw coffee bean fluctuates, sometimes dramatically, on the world market. If they couldn’t control the cost of the coffee, then you would not be able to depend on your daily $5.00 fix. Even Airlines are subjected to price variability in the form of costs for jet fuel. As fuel costs rise, the ticket price needs to cover the expense, and a rational increase in the price of a coach ticket should be expected; Budget prices no more. Irrational market price moves for the basic inputs of industry are long and storied throughout human history.
All of the above hedge price risk, to try to offset some of that price risk. But where do they begin?
On a different topic, have you looked at some of our automated trading systems recently?
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
At some point in nearly everyone’s trading timelines, they wonder how their trading successes (or failures) compare with those of other traders. Wondering just how well you stack up to other traders in the industry is a natural curiosity and a human psychological tendency. However, actually knowing the success or failure rates of others doesn’t do a lot to move you farther down the road of where you want to be regarding trading success.
Most traders also wonder about the success rates of the “professional” traders—the ones who make their living solely by the profits they generate from trading. I will provide you with an answer to this question at the end of this feature.
Below are 10 questions regarding measuring your own trading progress and success. These questions should help you determine where you stand in this challenging field of endeavor.
1. What is trading “success?” This is a most basic question. Most would agree that ultimate trading success is defined as being profitable at trading—making more money than you lose. There are other secondary factors that also define success in trading, such as finding a “balance” between trading and other life activities. But it’s being profitable at trading that is the benchmark of defining success.
2. What is trading “progress?” Beginning traders should not expect to have immediate and ultimate success trading futures, stocks or FOREX markets. What they can expect in the early going is to make steady progress through gaining knowledge and experience. Even veteran successful traders continue to make trading progress. Achieving and maintaining trading success requires continual progress—namely continuing to seek out trading and market knowledge. Traders who truly enjoy the “progress” and process of trading do have a significant trading edge over those who do not enjoy learning and gaining experience.
3. At what point in my trading timeline should I expect trading “success?” Trading success (winning trades) can come right away—even for the beginning traders. What is less likely for the inexperienced traders is sustained trading success. Beginners can even run into a “hot streak” that skews the overall reality of trading. Immediate (and likely fleeting) success for a beginning futures trader can do longer-term psychological harm—if he or she does not fully recognize and understand the hard work and perseverance required on the road to trading success. Many times I get questions from less-experienced traders that go something like this: “I’ve been trading two years and I’ve only been able to about break even.” My reply to them is, “Hey, you should not be too discouraged with those results. Many traders don’t have that kind of success in the early going.”
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
iSystems is a trading platform that allows you the investor/trader to browse and view performance from over 1500 professionally designed systems.
You can browse statistics, performance, logic and much more.
A series 3 professional broker is here to assist you if you would like to evaluate any specific systems and even better how to create a diversified portfolio based on your risk profile and capital.
The capital requirements for each Algo range from just $3000.00 and up.
You can choose between day trading Algos and swing trading Algos and much more….
Some clients like to have some automated systems in addition to their self directed account, some clients prefer to only utilize automated systems as they don’t have the time or desire to trade on their own.
Futures trading is complex and carries the risk of substantial losses. It is not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
The different pulse of the markets on different days makes a big difference. The strategies used on fast and volatile market may not work when the same market is choppy and quieter. I think that maybe there are some rare strategies that will work in all market environments but I have never seen one yet….So be aware of how the market/ markets you are trading are acting.
What type of action did the overnight session had?
How did the first 30 minutes of primary session went ( in markets like stock index futures where the underlying asset, i.e. stocks, just opened)?
Does it seem like the day ahead will be one of those speedy, crazy type of price action? or perhaps choppy? possibly a trending day?
Certain strategies will work better. Know what weapons in your trading arsenal will work better in what type of market conditions and try to adjust accordingly.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
To access a free trial to the ALGOS shown in the videos along with other tools? (Slanted arrows possible buy, pink squares = possible exit/ tighten stops) visit and sign up for a free trial for 21 days with real-time data.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Most Common Pitfalls To Avoid When Trading Futures-Commodity Futures
500 experienced futures brokers were asked what caused most futures traders to lose money when comes to trading futures.
Their answers reflected the trading experience of more than 10,000 futures traders. Download the PDF and find out what they said.
1) Have A Plan
Many futures traders trade without a plan. They do not define specific risk and profit objectives before trading. Even if they establish a plan, they “second guess” it and don’t stick to it, particularly if the trade is a loss. Consequently, they overtrade and use their equity to the limit (are undercapitalized), which puts them in a squeeze and forces them to liquidate positions. Usually, they liquidate the good trades and keep the bad ones.
2) News Factor
Many traders don’t realize the news they hear and read has, in many cases, already been discounted by the market.
3) Trade Objectively
After several profitable trades, many speculators become wild and non conservative. They base their trades on hunches and long shots, rather than sound fundamental and technical reasoning, or put their money into one deal that “can’t fail.”
4) Know Your Size
Traders often try to carry too big a position with too little capital and trade too frequently for the size of the account.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
The following are my PERSONAL suggestions on trading during FOMC days:
· Reduce trading size
· Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
· Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 4325.00 with a stop at 4319.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 4319.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).
· Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
· Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
· Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
· Keep in mind statement comes out at 1 Pm Central time, the news conference which dissects the language comes out 30 minutes later so the volatility window stretches out.
· Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
· Be patient and be disciplined
· If in doubt, stay out!!
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
We had a few conversations in the office last week and the topics included:
breakout trading, counter trend trading, trend following and such.
While the answer usually reveals itself after the fact, the following information shared by
By Gabe Vasquez of Transparent Trading Solutions
is helpful in our opinion:
Three-Sigma is a statistical calculation where the data is within three standard deviations from the mean. The mean can be an average price or average daily range. The premise is, when prices moves too far, too fast, outside of this statistical anomaly, mean reversions (pullback, or reversals) may occur with a high degree of probability
The Keltner Chanel is a volatility-based technical indicator composed of three separate lines. The middle line is an exponential moving average (EMA) of the price. Additional lines are placed above and below the EMA. The upper band is typically set two times the ATR above the EMA, and the lower band is typically set two times the ATR below the EMA.
The bands expand and contract as volatility (measured by ATR) expands and contracts.
Since most price action will be encompassed within the upper and lower bands (the channel), moves outside the channel can signal trend change or an acceleration of the trend. The direction of the channel, such as up, down, or sideways, can also aid identifying the trend direction of the asset.
Keltner channels have multiple uses and how they are used will largely depend on the settings a trader uses. A longer EMA will mean more lag in the indicator, so the channels won’t respond as quickly to the price changes. A shorter EMA will mean the bands react quickly to price changes but will make it harder to identify a true trend direction.
A bigger multiplier of the ATR to create the bands will mean a larger channel. The price hit the bands less often. A smaller multiplier means the bands will be closer together and the price will reach or exceed the bands more often.
**You are about to leave the Cannon Trading website. No responsibility is assumed to any such statement or any expression of opinion herein. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement. Good Trading!
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
DAILY COFFEE COMMENTARY7/22/2021 Frost damage significant; temps well below expectations (29) Another cold night for Brazilian Arabica growing areas added to this week’s frost damage, and that gave a significant boost to the coffee market as it is likely to further reduce their upcoming 2022/23 “on-year” coffee crop. Brazilian coffee trees have dealt with very dry conditions since the second half of 2020 and may have another La Nina to contend with later this year, so there was little room for any additional negative weather conditions. There is an increasingly strong case for coffee prices to climb above the 200.00 level. While it was highly unlikely before this week that it would approach the output totals seen in the last 2 “on-year” crops, Brazil’s 2022/23 Arabica production may be heading for their lowest “on-year” Arabica production since the 2014/15 season.
Near-term support for September coffee is at 180.00 and 176.90, with resistance is at 188.10 and 195.00
Daily Chart for your review below. CLICK for LARGER Image. The market has provided multiple buy signals since early April.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
Over the last several months, two of the major stock averages (the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100) have been on a relentless upward trajectory. This has occurred as the VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index) has remained elevated relative to its historical levels. In past bull markets, the VIX (which many refer to as the fear gauge) has traded in the low teens and even dropped to single digit readings during strong advances in the stock market. So why is this time different? More importantly, can we use the VIX to increase our odds of timing long and short entries in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures? I believe the answer is yes.
First, A quick definition of the VIX: It is an index that measures the premium of at-the-money Calls and Puts on the Cash S&P 500 going out one month in duration. Some market participants utilize options (because of their leverage component) to hedge long only portfolios. For that reason, when the stocks come under pressure, the demand for this protection increases and thus premiums (the cost to buy options) increases. Simply, there is an inverse correlation between the VIX index and stocks. As stocks drop, the VIX will rise and vice-versa.
Now that we have a better understanding of how the VIX works, let’s look at a 4 hour chart going back 2 months. In it, we can see that it has formed a clearly defined range between 15 on the lower band and 21 on the high extremity. If you look at a chart of the S&P 500 futures you will notice that on every corrective (drop) in this index over the last 2 months, the VIX has rallied up to 21. Additionally, note that when the VIX fails to move above this level, the ES (S&P 500 futures) stops falling and usually finds buyers. Conversely, when stocks advance, and the VIX stays above 15, stocks generally pause or struggle to have any meaningful move higher.
Of course, this range will not persist indefinitely, as these patterns never do. However, I believe we can glean useful information from this environment. Can we surmise that a break above the recent range in the VIX implies more selling (bearish) implications? Separately, a break below the key 15 level may insinuate that institutional investors feel more comfortable lifting their hedges, thus leaving more room for stocks to rally in the short-term.
We can never rely on one single indicator to buy or sell, but as traders, we always need to seek an edge. Perhaps this can give you a different way to look at the markets. More importantly, by monitoring the VIX relative to what options traders and institutions are doing to hedge their portfolios, my hope is that it can help you make better trading decisions.
Until next time, I hope everyone has a great trading week.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
After a large sell off yesterday, stock index futures bounced sharply today….
I wish I REALLY knew…..However, a mentor of mine once told me that in situations like this, the 3rd day action is critical to watch and see if the market really holds and a temporary bottom is in or if the sell off resumes.
4 hour chart of the RTY for your review below.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
COVID Variants fears…..While past performance is not indicative of future results, it might be worthwhile to look at how markets behaved during Jan-May of 2020.
Intraday Volatility in stock index futures is extremely high. Actually across many markets Crude and NASDAQ futures leading the volatility but metals, energies and grains have seen higher volatility. I noticed the stock index futures today as I was actively monitoring and trading with some clients and saw the ES make 14 points moves and more, BOTH ways in the same 15 minutes….Intraday chart for illustration below.
1. Learn to reduce trading size. Perhaps trade smaller contracts like the micros.
2. Adjust stops and entries based on volatility ( ATR/ Parabolics).
3. Be extra picky on entries without chasing trades.
4. Understand that loses are part of trading and this is definitely not a good time to “fight the markets”.
5. Focus more on risk management and ways to protect certain positions as needed. Survive to trade another day.
Markets are moving extremely fast and at times quoting systems, platforms can’t even keep up.
The risk is MUCH GREATER than I have seen, yet some traders look for it.
That is ok, as long as you :
Know the rules, understand current margins, know where the circuit breakers are/ limit moves.
Figure out your max risk.
After you do all that, feel free to trade but jumping in and trying to trade without the basic knowledge above is like jumping into a stormy ocean without a life vest…..
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Policy Responses and Outcomes to Great Recession and Pandemic
By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist ,CME Group
Lessons from 2008 and 2020
Great Recession began September 2008, equities recovery started in March 2009.
Real GDP reached pre-recession peak in Q1 2011, jobs fully recovered in May 2014.
Pandemic hit U.S. equities in late February, market recovery began one month later.
Real GDP on track to reach or exceed pre-pandemic peak by Q2 2021.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
CME Group has removed the trading halt between 3:15 and 3:30 p.m. CT on CME Globex for Equity Index products.
Webinar Invite: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday, July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure launching on July 12. Join John Bria, CME Group’s Director of Client Development & Sales, as he discusses the contract specs for Micro WTI Crude Oil futures in greater detail. At 1/10 the size of the benchmark WTI futures contract, the Micro contract offers the same robust transparency and price discovery, but with smaller margin requirements.
Webinar Invite: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure launching on July 12.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
A good start for MICRO WTI Crude Oil Futures today with close to 18,000 contracts traded on the first day.
We will have a webinar this Wednesday on the topic of MICRO Crude Oil and a few interesting pointers on possible uses for the smaller contract.
Webinar Invite: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures.
**CME Group has removed the trading halt between 3:15 and 3:30 p.m. CT on CME Globex for Equity Index products.
Webinar Invite: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure launching on July 12.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, Futures Trading Levels,
a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure launching on July 12. Join John Bria, CME Group’s Director of Client Development & Sales, as he discusses the contract specs for Micro WTI Crude Oil futures in greater detail. At 1/10 the size of the benchmark WTI futures contract, the Micro contract offers the same robust transparency and price discovery, but with smaller margin requirements.
Webinar Invite: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure launching on July 12.
FREE Futures Forthright Premium eBook
Cannon Trading Is Pleased To Present “Futures Forthright eBook“, Available For Instant Download Written By Cannon Trading Staff
Fresh off the press is Cannon Trading’s new eBook! Written by our very own staff of brokers, this eBook is designed as a guide to the commodities market for both beginners and veterans alike. Inside you can find:
• A plan with steps that may lead to success
• Steps Towards Mastering your Day Trading
• The top mistakes traders make daily
• How to handle the market noise
• and much more…..
The futures industry is complex and risky, which is why you need someone to be forthright with you…. Download eBook instantly.
Risk: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
7-12-2021
Weekly Levels
Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
If you are a short term or swing trader, use a 4 hour chart and look for lower risk/ higher reward type of set ups.
I would look to go short at upper 74 levels ( 74.88) and I would look to go long at 71.20. Both entries can be used with a small stop.
If you are an option trader look to sell vertical call spreads above 77 and vertical put spreads below the 70 level with 30 days or less to expiration. More on this strategy here.
If you are a day trader, than good news! The CME is launching a MICRO WTI Crude Oil futures which are 1/10 the size and can be used for hedging, “pyramiding positions and more. The new contract will start trading July 12th. More info here.
For now, until I get a close a daily close below 70.97 I favor the long side, a close below 70.97 based on the daily chart will shift the strength to the bear camp.
**CME Group has removed the trading halt between 3:15 and 3:30 p.m. CT on CME Globex for Equity Index products.
Webinar Invite: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure launching on July 12.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
CME Group has removed the trading halt between 3:15 and 3:30 p.m. CT on CME Globex for Equity Index products.
Here is what our private Facebook members ( private group – free to join)
saw this morning before the open. These past few weeks Al was able to provide guidance with the uptrend both in Crude and SP 500 with very accurate support levels as well as targets. You can join the private group at:
DEFLATIONARY PRESSURES which is spooking & confusing the EQUITY market again. Paradoxically, with the Interest rates racing to new lows, the money managers are desperate and struggle to generate yield, which is BULLISH for EQUITIES in the end. It’s the only game in town.
LOWER rates have a BULLISH UNDERTONE for TECHNOLOGY, hence the NASDAQ closing higher yesterday as the DOW and S&P’S closed LOWER.
U S&P
4377.00 is the next OBJECTIVE until
a close below 4300.25 occurs.
KEY MA 4253.75
Bullish undertone above
KEY TREND MA 4209.00
CLOSE BELOW DAMAGES the
SECULAR Bull TREND.
4137.50 is MASSIVE MA SUPPORT
CRITICAL MA SUPPORT!!
4082.00
MUST HOLD!!
U S&P Closed 4334.00 -8.75
ALGO SUPPORT:
4308.50
4300.50 Sell SCO
4291.75
U NASDAQ
LOWER BOND YIELDS POWERING
NASDAQ HIGHER!!
MA SUPPORT:
14,268.00
Bullish bias above
KEY MA SUPPORT
13,891.00 ******
Secular Bull Trend
MUST HOLD!!
MASSIVE MA SUPPORT
13,694.50
CRITICAL MA MUST HOLD!!
13,567.00
U NASDAQ
Closed 14,775.50 +61.75
ALGO SUPPORT:
14,561.00
14,520.00 Sell SCO
14,474.50
Q CRUDE Closed $73.37 -1.79
Q CRUDE
ALGO RESISTANCE:
74.55
73.99 Buy SCO
73.51
72.38 Key MA
69.32 CRITICAL MA
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Webinar Invite: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure launching on July 12.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.
CME Group has removed the trading halt between 3:15 and 3:30 p.m. CT on CME Globex for Equity Index products.
Webinar Invite: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure launching on July 12. Join John Bria, CME Group’s Director of Client Development & Sales, as he discusses the contract specs for Micro WTI Crude Oil futures in greater detail. At 1/10 the size of the benchmark WTI futures contract, the Micro contract offers the same robust transparency and price discovery, but with smaller margin requirements.
Webinar Invite: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to attend an online event on Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure launching on July 12.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
CME Group has removed the trading halt between 3:15 and 3:30 p.m. CT on CME Globex for Equity Index products.
4th of July Holiday Schedule below for your review.
Make sure you are aware of the different hours and which markets are closed Monday, July 5th.
Non Farm Payroll tomorrow at 5:30 Am pacific, 8:30 AM EST. This is a market mover report!
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
CME Group has removed the trading halt between 3:15 and 3:30 p.m. CT on CME Globex for Equity Index products.
Big moves in some sectors while stock indices have been pretty “sleepy” recently.
Grains snapped higher following USDA planted acres report. At times locked limit up.
I have also seen a bit more volatility in the softs, like Sugar, Cotton and Coffee.
Below you will see Fourth of July trading schedule for your information.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The above sources were compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Cannon Trading assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. It is meant as an alert to events that may affect trading strategies and is not necessarily complete. The closing times for certain contracts may have been rescheduled.
Starting June 28, 2021, CME Group has removed the trading halt between 3:15 and 3:30 p.m. CT on CME Globex for Equity Index products.
This enhancement will allow market participants to access liquidity continuously throughout the trading day and manage event risk that occurs during the trading session with greater ease.
Tomorrow is also the last trading day of the month!
Last trading days and first trading days of the months will at times have unique characteristics. Possible larger moves, sharper turns, higher volume.
Large traders/ funds will try to “close the books for the month”, book profits or losses etc.
Do you homework, go over notes from your journal, study the charts from prior last/ first trading days and be prepared.
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
To access a free trial to the ALGOS shown in the chart along with other tools? (Arrows possible buy/sell, diamonds = possible exit/ tighten stops) visit and sign up for a free trial for 21 days with real-time data.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Starting today, June 28, 2021, CME Group has removed the trading halt between 3:15 and 3:30 p.m. CT on CME Globex for Equity Index products.
This enhancement will allow market participants to access liquidity continuously throughout the trading day and manage event risk that occurs during the trading session with greater ease.
Subject to regulatory review and effective June 28, 2021, CME and CBOT will eliminate the 3:15 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. Central Time (CT) trading halt on CME Globex which currently exists for certain Equity futures and options contracts.
The halt was initially implemented to account for transactions conducted via open outcry in the trading pits and is therefore no longer necessary.
June is almost over and just like that next week is 4th of July and the beginning of what we consider “summer trading”…
Summer trading USUALLY = less volume, narrower ranges but also larger moves on certain reports.
Below is a video I put together a few years ago on trading using overbought and oversold conditions – still very valid in m opinion.
To access a free trial to the ALGOS shown in the chart along with other tools? (Arrows possible buy/sell, diamonds = possible exit/ tighten stops) visit and sign up for a free trial for 21 days with real-time data.
Futures Trading Levels
for June 29th
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
Please note that July grains are slowly getting into delivery period and some of the grains front months are changing. Bean oil active month is now December.
Soybeans futures sitting on decision area. read more…..
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
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Soybeans futures are sitting on what I consider a “junction level”. Price action will determine if the recent sell off is a shift in market bias and the trend is now favoring lower prices OR if this is a support level and simply profit taking.
It is worth noting that most grains are currently in “contango” where front month prices are higher than back months and that by itself presents some interesting spread set ups.
To access a free trial to the ALGOS shown in the chart along with other tools? (Arrows possible buy/sell, diamonds = possible exit/ tighten stops) visit and sign up for a free trial for 21 days with real-time data.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Please note that July grains are slowly getting into delivery period and some of the grains front months are changing. Bean oil active month is now December.
Bitcoin futures tested MAJOR chart support level today. So far it held….
To access a free trial to the ALGOS shown in the chart along with other tools? (Arrows possible buy/sell, diamonds = possible exit/ tighten stops) visit and sign up for a free trial for 21 days with real-time data.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
We started the week with a strong up-trending Monday in equities, crude oil and a strong downtrend in bonds which encouraged me to share the following with you on the different types of trading days:
In my opinion there are 3 main types of trading days.
1. The most common day are two sided trading action with swings up and down – this type of trading day is most suitable for using support and resistance levels along with overbought/oversold indicators.
2. Strong trending days, mostly one directional – this type of trading day is the least common, many times will happen on Mondays and maybe 3-5 times a month at most – this type of trading day is most suitable for using ADX, MACD crossovers and pretty much looking for pullbacks to jump on the trend.
3. Slow and/or choppy trading days – this type of trading day is best suited for taking small profits from the market by looking at volume spikes, using stochastics as possible entry signals and usually wait for a pullback before jumping in.
A good question I’ve been asked is how can one asses what type of trading day we will have while the market is still trading….I have been doing some work in finding the answers and will be happy to hear feedback via email but here are some initial observations:
Was the overnight session a wide, two sided trading range? If the answer is yes, good chances for similar trading day during the primary session (primary session is when the cash/stock market is open)
Mondays have the highest chance for trending days
The behavior of the first hour of trading can also suggests the type of action for the rest of the day.
If the first 30 minutes of the trading day have good volume, better chances for type 1 or type 2 trading days.
Low volume during the first 30 minutes can suggest a choppy (type 3 trading day)
Are there other strong trends in other sectors? ( bonds? metals? energies? Dollar index? )
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Daily 30 yr bonds chart for your review below. I have heard from some clients that they “like the personality of the bonds” better than the ES and NQ. Different dynamics, larger tick size – may be worth your time to follow and try in SIM MODE first.
To access a free trial to the ALGOS shown in the chart along with other tools? (Arrows possible buy/sell, diamonds = possible exit/ tighten stops) visit and sign up for a free trial for 21 days with real-time data.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Strong US $ resulted in weak metals, grains and currencies. Strong bond market and VERY volatile stock index trading.
Nasdaq making all time highs while Dow was down over 500 points at one point.
If you are a member of our FREE Facebook group, you would have had access to the information below BEFORE the day started ( if you are NOT a member, simply visit: https://business.facebook.com/groups/1105191589938254/ ) :
06.17.21 Thursday post FOMC days can see very large moves.
SCO = STOP CLOSE ONLY
MA= MOVING AVERAGE
GOOD MORNING.
FOMC DECISION:
FED FUNDS
NO CHANGE 0 – 0.25%
ASSET PURCHASES PROGRAM of
$120 billion per month remains intact.
2021 INFLATION FORECAST:
UP 1.0%
From 2.4% to 3.4%
Unemployment:
Seen at 4.5% for 2021
3.8% for 2022
THE DEFLATIONARY SPIRAL MAY STILL
BE LINGERING. THAT’S WHY THE INFLATIONARY TRADE ISN’T GAINING ANY TRACTION AND THE FED MAY BE CORRECT
ALGO IS LONG THE US $ AGAIN, WHICH
IS HAMMERING THE GOLD & SILVER.
Chicago
Export Sales 7:30
Jobless Claims 7:30
U S&P
KEY MA 4191.75
LOW yesterday 4190.25
MUST HOLD!
CLOSE BELOW 4191.50 triggers 4156.00
KEY MA 4173.75
Market must hold to
maintain SECULAR Bull TREND.
4173.50 close triggers 4105.00
4063.75 is MASSIVE MA SUPPORT
CRITICAL MA SUPPORT!!
4018.75
MUST HOLD!!
U S&P
ALGO RESISTANCE:
4240.25
4231.50 Buy SCO
4224.00
U S&P Closed 4213.00 -23.50
ALGO SUPPORT:
4194.75
4186.50 Sell SCO
4177.00
U NASDAQ
MA SUPPORT:
13,697.75
MAJOR SUPPORT
13,656.75 *******
KEY MA!!
MUST HOLD!!
A close below damages the Secular Bull trend and triggers 13,470.00
CRITICAL MA SUPPORT
13,422.50 ******
LAST MA 13,418.00
U NASDAQ Closed 13,972.75 -49.00
ALGO SUPPORT:
13,970.25
13,942.50 Sell SCO
13,911.50
13,710.74
13,649.50 Sell SCO
13,578.25
U NASDAQ
FIBONACCI RETRACEMENTS:
14,155.25 to 12,906
38.2% = 13,679
50.0% = 13,531.25
61.8% = 13,384.50
N CRUDE
74.75 is the next OBJECTIVE,
then 80.00 long term.
N CRUDE Closed $72.15 +0.03
N CRUDE
ALGO SUPPORT:
70.65
70.30 Sell SCO
69.91
67.93 Key MA
66.11 CRITICAL MA
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
To access a free trial to the ALGOS shown in the chart along with other tools? (Arrows possible buy/sell, diamonds = possible exit/ tighten stops) visit and sign up for a free trial for 21 days with real-time data.
Good Trading
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.
