FOMC Facts

FOMC Facts


Suggestions to Help you Trade FOMC Tomorrow; Introducing Mini Ether & Support and Resistance Levels 12.15.2021

December 14th, 2021 Filed under Bitcoin Futures, Future Trading News, Futures Trading | Comment (0)

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FOMC Statement tomorrow:

 The following was written by my colleague, John Thorpe, an ex floor broker and a Senior Broker with Cannon Trading:
Since the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been buying U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities in the open to signal its commitment to easy money policies. The Feds balance sheet has more than doubled during the Pandemic, from just under 4 trillion to nearly 9 trillion U.S. dollars. At the November Fed meeting , the governors had for the first time admitted that inflation may not be “transitory” and charted a path to “gradually” taper purchases with a target of mid 2022 to wind down the necessary taper .“If the market perceives that the Fed is behind the curve in controlling inflation, it would lead to higher inflation expectations and long-term interest rate hikes, potentially weakening the dollar and pressuring asset values,” said Madhavi Bokil, senior vice president at Moody’s Investors Service. In lieu of a gaudy CPI number recently at 6.8 and PPI increased by the largest amount in recorded economic history.
The market is looking for the Fed to acknowledge the existence of inflation in clearer terms than the November statement and the need to decelerate asset purchases and accelerating the “Taper” in an attempt to prevent a flat yield curve between the 2 yr and 10 yr notes. If this portion of the yield curve flattens or turns negative, this typically signals a recession. It has narrowed in recent weeks to a spread of only .75. This meeting is a very important one and so far this week, the equity markets are reacting to a potential need to accelerate the taper, an admission by the FED that they may be nervous about their inability to control inflation and an impending recession.

The following are my PERSONAL suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

·    Reduce trading size
·    Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
·    Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 4325.00 with a stop at 4319.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 4319.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).
·    Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
·    Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
·    Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
·    Keep in mind statement comes out at 1 Pm Central time, the news conference which dissects the language comes out 30 minutes later so the volatility window stretches out.
·    Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
·    Be patient and be disciplined
·    If in doubt, stay out!!
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes

Introducing Micro Ether Futures

At 1/10 the size of one ether, Micro Ether futures (MET) provides a precision, efficient, cost-effective way to manage your exposure to one of the largest cryptocurrencies in the world by market capitalization.
  • Features & Benefits
  • Fine-tune your Ether exposure
  • Enjoy price discovery on a regulated exchange
  • Lower margin
  • Diversify your portfolio

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-15-2021

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 12.15.2021

 


Economic Reports, Source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

Better Trader Economic Reports

 

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Trading Tips for FOMC Day Tomorrow & Support and Resistance Levels 11.03.2021

November 2nd, 2021 Filed under Future Trading News, futures trading education | Comment (0)

Dear Futures Trader,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

FOMC Statement tomorrow:

Interest Rates/Credit Markets – Traders expect the Fed to detail tapering of asset purchases at the FOMC meeting this week.
Traders will pay close attention to the headline change in non-farm payrolls. The expected number is 400,000, up from 194,000 in September. A weak jobs number could have traders positioning a bit sooner for a fed fund rate increase.
Goldman Sachs thinks the Fed will raise its benchmark from a range of zero to 0.25% soon after it stops tapering its asset-purchase program. A second increase will follow in November 2022, and the central bank will then raise rates two times a year after that.
We are expecting the Fed to concede to inflation cryptically in the next few months. Plan on hearing more about multi-year low inflation, historically low interest rates, and only a tiny whiff of inflation.
The following are my PERSONAL suggestions on trading during FOMC days:
·    Reduce trading size
·    Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
·    Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 4325.00 with a stop at 4319.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 4319.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).
·    Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
·    Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
·    Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
·    Keep in mind statement comes out at 1 Pm Central time, the news conference which dissects the language comes out 30 minutes later so the volatility window stretches out.
·    Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
·    Be patient and be disciplined
·    If in doubt, stay out!!
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-03-2021

Support and Resistance Levels 11.02.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


FOMC Interest Rate Decision due 10.29.2014 at 14:00 ET & Economic Reports

October 29th, 2014 Filed under Future Trading News | Comment (0)

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

 

The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 14:00 ET in the US tomorrow ( Wednesday, October 29th ).

 

FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.

 

I have shared this same post before more than a few times but I do encourage you to read and try to implement as I think tomorrow’s meeting may be even more volatile than the last few. 

 

if you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.

 

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days: Read the rest of this entry »


FOMC Facts, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 10.28.2014

October 27th, 2014 Filed under Future Trading News | Comment (0)

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

 

Two pointers I picked from an email service from factset.com that are worthy in looking ahead this week, as we will have FOMC statement this Wednesday:

 

Earnings metrics improve:

  • According to FactSet, the blended growth rate for Q3 S&P 500 EPS pushed up to 5.6% this week from 5.1% at the end of last week and 4.6% at the end of the quarter. In addition, of the 208 companies that have now reported results for Q3, 75% have beat consensus EPS expectations. This is up from 68% last week and ahead of the 73% four-quarter average. In the aggregate, companies are reporting EPS 3.8% ahead of the Street, slightly better than the 3.6% four-quarter average. As was the case last week, some of the better takeaways came from cyclical names where sentiment has been fairly depressed. MMM +8.1% reported a high-quality, margin-driven earnings beat and slightly raised the midpoint of F14 guidance. ITW +5.5% reported its best organic growth since 2011. Europe held up better and the company raised full-year guidance. HVAC leveraged plays like LII +15.1% and WSO +8.6% were some of the post-earnings standouts. UPS +3.4% had some upbeat commentary on the peak holiday shipping season. Outlook commentary following strong results from UNP +7.7% was also positive. Results and guidance from the airline sector also highlighted a still favorable domestic demand backdrop. Read the rest of this entry »
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