Oil Outlook

Oil Outlook


Oil outlook by Erik Nolan of the CME group 10.28.2016

October 27th, 2016 Filed under Crude Oil, Future Trading News | Comment (0)

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Greetings!

Good read by the CME about oil prices:

Oil: Tell-Tale Signs in U.S. Inventories

  • 25 Oct 2016
  • By Erik Norland
  • Topics: Energy

For those hoping for a sustained rebound in oil prices, U.S. inventories might present a mixed picture.  First the bad news: crude oil inventories are still near record high levels and are continuing to rise on a year-on-year basis.  Gasoline and ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD) inventories are also increasing year on year but to a lesser extent.  Inventories of all three remain near seasonally-adjusted record highs.

The good news is that the pace of inventory accumulation is slowing rapidly.  For a while in 2015, crude oil inventories were rising as much as 31% year on year.  Currently, they are just 5% greater than a year ago (Figure 2).  Gasoline inventories are up about 4% from last year while ULSD inventories are up about 7% from a year ago.  At their peak rate of increase, gasoline inventories rose at about 11% year on year, while ULSD inventories increased by as much as 27% year on year.

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