{"id":23357,"date":"2026-10-05T13:33:16","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T20:33:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/?p=23357"},"modified":"2026-10-05T13:33:58","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T20:33:58","slug":"market-oct-6-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/market-oct-6-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Your Important Labor Market Futures Trading Guide | October 6th, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n
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At A Glance Levels<\/h3>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
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Instrument<\/th>\nS2<\/th>\nS1<\/th>\nPivot<\/th>\nR1<\/th>\nR2<\/th>\n<\/th>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
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Gold (GC)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u2014 Dec. (#GC)<\/td>\n

4123.37<\/td>\n4144.83<\/td>\n4171.87<\/td>\n4193.33<\/td>\n4220.37<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Silver (SI)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u2014 Dec. (#SI)58.79<\/td>\n

59.73<\/td>\n60.57<\/td>\n61.48<\/td>\n62.32<\/td>\n63.24<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Crude Oil (CL)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u2014 Nov. (#CL)<\/td>\n

86.81<\/td>\n88.03<\/td>\n89.95<\/td>\n91.17<\/td>\n93.09<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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\u00a0Dec. Bonds (ZB)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u2014 Dec. (#ZB)<\/td>\n

100 27\/32<\/td>\n101 16\/32<\/td>\n102 11\/32<\/td>\n103<\/td>\n103 27\/32<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
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The Labor Market Cracked and Stocks Went Up<\/h2>\n

By Eli Gal Levy, Senior Analyst<\/em><\/h3>\n

Is the risk worth the reward at this point? Part 7<\/em><\/h2>\n

\"market\"<\/p>\n

The question I keep getting is not about a level. It\u2019s about whether to be in this market at all. Stay invested while indexes print records, or take a guaranteed yield in short-term paper and sit this out until it works itself out. It sounds like the conservative choice, and it is \u2014 but conservative is not the same as costless. Every decision in this tape charges you something, including the decision to do nothing.<\/p>\n

The labor market cracked and stocks went up.<\/h3>\n

If you paid close attention on Thursday you noticed: the SPX found support at the last all-time high, the DOW at a 61% retracement for the year & the Russell 2000 (IWM) found support at the 200-day moving average \u2014 all around the same time. September payrolls came in at 29,000 against an 84,000 estimate \u2014 barely a fifth of forecast and a collapse from August\u2019s 162,000 \u2014 and the S&P 500 rose 0.74% on the news to close the week at 7,722.72, with the Nasdaq 100 leading.<\/p>\n

The index finished the week down just 0.27% from the prior Friday\u2019s 7,743.41, about 1% under its August 13 record close of 7,798.99, after being down 1% through Thursday. The 10-year ended near 5.25%, having touched 5.34% on Thursday \u2014 the highest since April 2002.<\/p>\n

Friday\u2019s internals were the week\u2019s best \u2014 59% of volume to the upside, advancers ahead of decliners, TRIN at 1.00 \u2014 but the concentration got worse, not better: SPY against RSP finished at 3.670, the widest reading of the stretch. The money flow keeps shifting toward the tech and AI-infrastructure complex at the expense of the non-AI parts of the market, which are the ones higher rates actually hurt.<\/p>\n

And the rate move has been fast: the 10-year is up 50 basis points in a month, with velocity doing more damage than level. With Q3 earnings season not really starting until October 13, oil and the trajectory of Treasury yields are likely to drive price action until then.<\/p>\n

Ed Yardeni named the contradiction on Saturday: \u201cThe 10-year Treasury yield just broke 5.25%, yet the S&P 500 sits less than 3% from year-end targets. One of these markets has the story wrong.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Week in Sequence<\/h3>\n

Monday opened on a rare public split between the Treasury and the Fed. Secretary Scott Bessent used a Sunday interview to urge the Fed to keep \u201can open mind,\u201d framing the growth surge as deregulation-driven, while Chair Kevin Warsh keeps signaling more work to do on inflation. Trump had rejected Iran\u2019s offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz \u2014 Tehran wanted the blockade lifted and assets unfrozen \u2014 and crude reflated to $95.<\/p>\n

The S&P fell 0.77% to 7,683.69 and closed under the dealer-gamma flip, ending eight sessions of positive gamma. The tell was in the hedges: gold fell 3.85% and silver 5.45% on the CQG settle while the dollar firmed. The assets people hold against debasement traded as long-duration instruments and got marked down with everything else.<\/p>\n

Tuesday brought soft data the bond market ignored. JOLTS openings fell to 7.08 million against 7.23 million expected and consumer confidence dropped to 81.9 versus 89.2 \u2014 and the 10-year still closed at 5.26%. Then New York Fed President John Williams said, \u201cWith the policy action we took at our September meeting, there is no need for urgency,\u201d and October hike pricing fell from 70.3% to 42.6% overnight.<\/p>\n

Wednesday delivered the cool inflation print \u2014 core PCE at 3.0% year over year against 3.3% expected \u2014 and the index fell for a third session anyway, to 7,651.54, with the Dow off 0.86%. Two things under that print matter. Part of the improvement came from methodology revisions to portfolio-management prices, which also lowered July. And personal spending rose 0.9% against income of 0.2%, with the saving rate down to 4.1% \u2014 households covering the gap out of savings with the 30-year mortgage at 7.6%, its highest since November 2023.<\/p>\n

Thursday was all reversals. Claims fell to 197,000, a fourth straight decline, ISM manufacturing eased to 54.5 but its prices-paid index jumped to 77.9 from 71.1, Accenture rose 21.4% on record bookings \u2014 its best day ever \u2014 and oil added 2.7% on a third US carrier strike group and Chinese refiners suspending October fuel exports. Then Friday\u2019s payroll miss, and the labor market that had looked bulletproof all week suddenly didn\u2019t.<\/p>\n

What is still deteriorating<\/h3>\n

Three series moved one way regardless of price. Participation: the share of S&P members above their 200-day average fell from 45.98% to 39.6% on Wednesday before recovering to 41.97% by Friday\u2019s close, and new 52-week lows outnumbered new highs in every session of the week.<\/p>\n

Credit<\/strong>: the ICE BofA high-yield spread widened at seven consecutive prints, from 2.80% to 3.12%, up 39 basis points on the week, with equities within 2% of a record. Liquidity: net liquidity flipped from ADDING to DRAINING on Wednesday, down about $52 billion to $5.75 trillion as the Treasury\u2019s cash balance built into quarter-end. Bond volatility stayed the stress point \u2014 MOVE near 107 against a VIX that never left the mid-teens.<\/p>\n

Structurally, cash closed below the gamma flip four sessions running, so hedging has been the amplifying kind. The 7,700\u20137,703 band \u2014 flip, call wall and Cannon\u2019s R1 within a few points \u2014 capped the index every day until Friday took it back.<\/p>\n

Who moved<\/h3>\n

Tony Pasquariello (Goldman Sachs)<\/strong> cut himself from crowded-long to cautious: \u201cthe number one clear and present danger for the stock market\u2026 is the bond market.\u201d Colleague Ben Snider raised Goldman\u2019s 12-month target to 8,700 the same week. One firm, two conclusions from one rate backdrop.<\/p>\n

Ed Yardeni<\/strong> cut his year-end target to 7,900 from 8,250, blaming \u201cthe invasion of the Bond Vigilante Algorithms,\u201d then spent Friday on CNBC saying the market has \u201cfurther to go\u201d on a productivity-led boom with weak job growth caused by labor-force decline. His own numbers: forward EPS $406.45, forward P\/E 19.0, expected Q3 earnings growth of 23.4%, and information technology now 39% of S&P market cap \u2014 above the dot-com peak \u2014 on a 36% share of earnings. He still thinks the Fed should reverse at least two more of last year\u2019s insurance cuts.<\/p>\n

Mike Wilson (Morgan Stanley)<\/strong> turned near-term cautious: a 5\u201310% pullback he would welcome if bond volatility doesn\u2019t settle. More than half the Russell 3000 trades 20% below June highs, which he calls classic mid-cycle behavior.<\/p>\n

Jan Hatzius (Goldman)<\/strong> moved the next hike out of October to December and added that there is \u201ca strong chance that the FOMC will ultimately conclude that additional rate hikes are unnecessary.\u201d Drew Matus (MetLife) took the other side Friday: a December hike, possibly March, and \u201ceverything the Fed is doing is just signaling rather than an attempt to reduce inflation.\u201d His warning on the leadership is the sharper line \u2014 \u201cwe\u2019re a one-trick pony right now. We have AI investment driving the real economy.\u201d<\/p>\n

Michael Hartnett (BofA) told clients to \u201cbuy the humiliation\u201d and start adding bonds, with risk-off lasting until the dollar and yields peak.<\/h3>\n

Scott Rubner (Citadel Securities)<\/strong> made the October case on positioning \u2014 low exposure, quarter-end rebalancing done \u2014 with his own data as the counterweight: the top ten names are 41% of the index, a record, and the equal-weight-to-cap-weight ratio is the lowest since 2003.<\/p>\n

Mark Newton (Fundstrat)<\/strong> posted Friday evening that a 38.2% price retracement lining up with a 38.2% time retracement suggests \u201cour stealth mkt correction might be nearing an end.\u201d Adam Parker (Trivariate) called tech \u201cboth defense and offense,\u201d favoring fast earnings growth that doesn\u2019t miss \u2014 Nvidia, AMD, Palo Alto, CrowdStrike. Ayako Yoshioka took the other side on valuation and prefers financials on deposit betas.<\/p>\n

Warren Pies (3Fourteen)<\/strong> moved bonds from underweight to benchmark at 5.1\u20135.2% fair value. Andrew Tyler\u2019s JPMorgan desk flipped tactically bullish Monday on yields finding a level; the 10-year made a new high the next day.<\/p>\n

Single names<\/h3>\n

Micron beat and raised \u2014 $54.23 billion revenue, $33.42 EPS, next quarter guided near $61.5 billion \u2014 and the stock went nowhere while Rosenblatt ($1,900), DA Davidson ($2,100) and Mizuho ($1,400) all lifted targets. Nike fell about 10% on a 26% drop in Greater China and a high-single-digit cut to fiscal 2027 revenue. Nvidia added $150 billion to its buyback.<\/p>\n

Tesla\u2019s third-quarter deliveries drew a relieved reaction, with Dan Ives calling them \u201ca big step in the right direction.\u201d MongoDB lost 20% on its CEO\u2019s exit to Meta. Michael Burry said he is shifting from shorts to puts on the AI leaders \u2014 a statement about cheap volatility, not a new view.<\/p>\n

Into next week<\/h3>\n

FOMC minutes Wednesday, then October 13 does double duty: Q3 earnings season begins and buyback blackout ends for most of the index. September CPI lands October 14, and the October 15 tax date pulls cash into the Treasury\u2019s account as the 3-, 10- and 30-year auctions settle. A 29,000 payroll print makes December the argument and October close to settled \u2014 unless CPI says otherwise. And credit has now told a different story from equities for seven straight prints.<\/p>\n

I am biased toward the tape. I follow what the market does, not what I think it should do. Right now the tape is a percent off its highs with volatility at a year-to-date low, the front end pricing a hike, and breadth thinning underneath \u2014 and I will keep watching the ten-year, the credit spreads, the equal-weight index and the HYG ETF to tell me when that changes.<\/p>\n

View Charts and Analysis for SP, Nasdaq, Dow, Gold, Crude Oil, Dollar Index, VIX, Bonds, BTC and More!!<\/a><\/em><\/h3>\n

Need help looking at different markets? get some insight from an experienced series 3 broker?<\/em><\/h3>\n

The call is free and we are here to assist – try us!<\/a><\/em><\/h3>\n

+310 859 9572<\/em><\/h3>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
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Cannon Edge \u2014 Your Daily Futures Snapshot for Oct. 6th<\/h3>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
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Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:<\/h4>\n

\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Current price and daily % change<\/p>\n

\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a030\u2011day and 52\u2011week highs\/lows<\/p>\n

\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0PROPRIETARY Short\u2011term and long\u2011term trend signals<\/p>\n

\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Coverage across equity indices, metals, energies, currencies, and ags<\/p>\n

Whether you’re scanning for breakout setups, trend reversals, or just staying informed \u2014 Cannon Edge puts the data in your hands before the open.<\/h3>\n

Built for speed. Backed by insight. Powered by CQG.<\/h3>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
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Daily Levels for Oct 6th, 2026<\/h3>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
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Economic Reports<\/h3>\n

provided by: ForexFactory.com<\/a><\/p>\n

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.\u00a0You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n
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Cannon Trading Co., Inc<\/span>.<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

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Los Angeles, CA 90025 US<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

At A Glance Levels Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 Gold (GC) \u2014 Dec. (#GC) 4123.37 4144.83 4171.87 4193.33 4220.37 Silver (SI) \u2014 Dec. (#SI)58.79 59.73 60.57 61.48 62.32 63.24 Crude Oil (CL) \u2014 Nov. (#CL) 86.81 88.03 89.95 91.17 93.09 \u00a0Dec. Bonds (ZB) \u2014 Dec. (#ZB) 100 27\/32 101 16\/32 102 11\/32 103 103 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[239,234],"tags":[1864,1835],"class_list":["post-23357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-financial-futures","category-trading-guide","tag-labor","tag-market"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23357","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23357"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23357\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23359,"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23357\/revisions\/23359"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.cannontrading.com\/tools\/support-resistance-levels\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}