Crude Oil Swings $42 as Mideast Crisis Deepens PLUS: CannonEdge Snapshot, April Feeder Cattle, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on March 12th, 2026

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Commodity Chaos: Crude Oil Swings $42 as Mideast Crisis Deepens

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— April (#GC)

5115.93 5150.97 5190.93 5225.97 5265.93

Silver (SI)

— May. (#SI)

81.64 83.88 86.79 89.03 91.94

Crude Oil (CL)

— April. (#CL)

79.17 83.74 86.37 90.94 93.57

 June Bonds (ZB)

— June. (#ZB)

113 16/32 114 115 1/32 115 17/32 116 18/32

oil

General:

Volatility in major commodity futures remained high as the crisis in the Mideast expanded into its second week. April crude oil traded as high as $119.48 / barrel Sunday night – a near 29% increase – and down to today’s low of  $76.73 for a jaw-dropping $42.75 / barrel price range over that time.

March E-Mini S&P 500

The March E-mini S&P 500 spiked down over 100 points to near 4-month lows below 6,600 late Sunday night, with the E-mini Dow losing over 1000 points at the same time. Gold and silver futures daily price ranges stayed well-above average with April gold holding above $5,000 / ounce for the last three weeks.

Notable News – Crude Oil

Notable news items contributing to recent movement include at least three ships were hit today in and around the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. military said it struck 16 Iranian mine-laying vessels near this crucial conduit for the global oil trade

Additionally, the International Energy Agency, which has operated for decades to monitor global crude oil supplies and help prevent price shocks, said that its 32 member countries would release 400 million barrels of oil from their strategic reserves, representing the largest release ever and the first such coordinated action since 2022, after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Heads up:

Keep in mind that day trading margins can change at your clearing firm / FCM – for certain markets, entire asset classes, i.e., energies, precious metals, stock indexes, etc., particular gateways, i.e., Rithmic, CQG, Sierra/Teton. They can also vary during overnight hours and prior to certain events, i.e., important economic report releases, scheduled statements by important people, agencies, etc. Contact your Cannon Trading Co. broker for specifics.

Cannon Edge for March 12th

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Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot Above

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change

  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows

  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals

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April Feeder Cattle

The break off the February high in April feeder cattle completed a second downside PriceCount objective and bounced with a corrective trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its slide with new sustained lows, the third count would project a possible decline to the 331.90 area.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 12th, 2026

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Futures Brokers and You: 8 Useful Crude Oil Market Insights and Predictions

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Crude Oil Market Insights and Predictions

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The Strategic Importance of Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil remains one of the most actively traded commodities in global derivatives markets. Energy contracts shape economic expectations, influence inflation, and guide corporate hedging strategies. For traders seeking opportunity in volatile markets, crude oil futures provide liquidity, leverage, and clear price discovery.

Geopolitical instability significantly amplifies oil market volatility. Recent tensions involving the United States and Iran have reintroduced risk premiums into global crude supply chains. Events affecting the Strait of Hormuz, where nearly one-fifth of global oil passes daily, immediately influence futures pricing.

In these environments, experienced futures brokers help traders interpret market signals and execute trades efficiently. Understanding supply disruptions, shipping risks, and OPEC responses allows traders to act strategically rather than emotionally.

Professional commodities brokers also assist clients in identifying hedging opportunities during geopolitical crises. Energy producers, airlines, and hedge funds frequently turn to crude futures to offset risk when Middle East tensions escalate.

Modern commodity trading platforms enable real-time monitoring of energy contracts, allowing traders to react quickly to breaking geopolitical developments. Platforms integrated with market data, depth-of-market analytics, and algorithmic execution tools help traders maintain an advantage.

For decades, Cannon Trading Company has supported traders navigating complex markets like crude oil futures.

How U.S.–Iran Tensions Influence Oil Market Dynamics

The conflict between the United States and Iran historically drives immediate reactions in crude oil futures markets. Political statements, military movements, and sanctions policies can trigger rapid price spikes.

Energy traders track these developments because Iran controls strategic access to the Persian Gulf. Any disruption to oil shipping routes can tighten global supply expectations.

Key geopolitical triggers include:

  1. Sanctions and Export Restrictions
    U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports reduce global supply expectations. Futures prices often rise as markets anticipate tighter inventories.
  2. Military Activity Near the Strait of Hormuz
    Naval deployments or threats to shipping lanes create immediate volatility in crude contracts.
  3. OPEC Policy Adjustments
    Other oil producers may increase output to offset potential shortages, moderating price spikes.

Experienced futures brokers analyze these factors daily. Their role includes helping traders interpret news events and translate them into actionable trading strategies.

Professional commodities brokers also provide insights into global inventory reports and refinery demand trends. This perspective allows traders to differentiate between temporary price reactions and long-term structural changes.

Many traders rely on advanced commodity trading platforms to track crude oil contracts listed on CME Group exchanges. These systems allow rapid execution when geopolitical headlines break.

Crude Oil Futures Mechanics and Trading Strategy

Crude oil futures contracts allow traders to speculate on or hedge against changes in oil prices. Contracts typically represent 1,000 barrels of crude and trade electronically through regulated exchanges.

Understanding contract mechanics is essential before entering the market.

Common crude oil trading strategies include:

  • Directional Trading
    Traders take long or short positions based on geopolitical expectations.
  • Calendar Spreads
    This involves trading price differences between different delivery months.
  • Inventory Reaction Trades
    U.S. Energy Information Administration reports frequently trigger short-term volatility.
  • Options Hedging
    Combining futures with options can help limit downside exposure.

Working with experienced futures brokers ensures traders understand margin requirements, contract specifications, and risk exposure.

Similarly, knowledgeable commodities brokers guide clients through advanced strategies such as spread trading or volatility hedging.

Reliable commodity trading platforms provide tools such as order-flow analytics, time-and-sales tracking, and DOM trading. These features allow traders to detect institutional activity and liquidity levels in real time.

Cannon Trading Company provides access to several leading trading technologies designed specifically for futures traders.

How a Futures Broker Supports Crude Oil Traders During Geopolitical Crises

Geopolitical conflicts introduce extreme volatility into oil markets. Sudden news releases can cause price swings of several dollars per barrel within minutes.

In these conditions, the expertise of professional futures brokers becomes invaluable.

A broker assists traders in several ways:

  1. Market Interpretation
    Brokers translate geopolitical developments into potential market scenarios.
  2. Execution Support
    Rapid order routing ensures trades are filled efficiently during volatile market conditions.
  3. Risk Management Guidance
    Brokers help traders determine position sizing and margin considerations.
  4. Strategy Development
    Traders receive insights into spread opportunities and volatility trades.

Skilled commodities brokers also maintain relationships with institutional research providers. This enables them to provide clients with deeper insight into energy supply forecasts and macroeconomic influences.

Additionally, modern commodity trading platforms enable traders to automate strategies that react to market volatility. Algorithmic tools can adjust stop levels, manage risk thresholds, and capture price momentum.

Cannon Trading Company’s brokerage services combine technology, human expertise, and decades of market experience.

The Role of Technology in Modern Oil Trading

Technology has transformed how traders interact with energy markets.

Today’s commodity trading platforms integrate advanced analytics, real-time news feeds, and customizable charting tools. These features allow traders to respond instantly to geopolitical developments.

Key technological advantages include:

  • Depth-of-Market Visualization
    Shows real-time liquidity across price levels.
  • Algorithmic Trading Tools
    Allows automated strategy execution.
  • Risk Management Dashboards
    Displays margin usage and exposure in real time.
  • Multi-Asset Integration
    Energy contracts can be analyzed alongside currencies, equities, and bonds.

Professional futures brokers help traders select the most suitable platform for their trading style. Some traders prefer DOM-based scalping interfaces, while others rely on advanced charting environments.

Experienced commodities brokers also assist clients in configuring data feeds and optimizing order routing.

Cannon Trading Company provides access to several industry-leading technologies through its brokerage infrastructure.

These advanced commodity trading platforms help traders maintain speed and precision in volatile oil markets.

Risk Management Strategies for Crude Oil Traders

Crude oil trading carries significant opportunity but also considerable risk.

Geopolitical developments can cause rapid price movements that exceed typical volatility ranges.

Traders should implement disciplined risk management strategies such as:

  1. Stop-Loss Orders
    Automatic exits limit downside exposure.
  2. Position Sizing
    Traders should limit risk per trade relative to account size.
  3. Diversification
    Combining energy contracts with other commodities reduces concentration risk.
  4. Spread Strategies
    Calendar spreads often carry lower volatility than outright positions.

Experienced futures brokers play a crucial role in guiding traders through these risk management techniques.

Professional commodities brokers also help clients interpret inventory reports, seasonal demand patterns, and refinery utilization rates.

Advanced commodity trading platforms support these strategies by allowing automated risk controls and conditional orders.

By combining broker expertise with sophisticated technology, traders can navigate oil market volatility more effectively.

Why Cannon Trading Company Is a Leading Choice for Futures Traders

futures brokers

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Cannon Trading Company has served futures traders for decades. Its reputation stems from transparent service, technological access, and personalized brokerage support.

The company has built strong relationships with both institutional and independent traders.

Reasons traders choose Cannon Trading include:

  • Experienced Brokerage Team
    Knowledgeable futures brokers provide personalized guidance.
  • Access to Global Markets
    Traders can access major energy, metals, and agricultural futures.
  • Advanced Technology
    Multiple professional commodity trading platforms are available.
  • Responsive Customer Support
    Traders receive direct assistance from experienced professionals.
  • Trusted Reputation
    Client reviews on Trustpilot reflect strong service quality.

Cannon’s team of commodities brokers understands the unique challenges of energy trading. Their expertise helps traders navigate volatile conditions caused by geopolitical developments.

This combination of experience, technology, and service has positioned Cannon Trading Company among the most respected brokerage firms in the futures industry.

Crude Oil Market Outlook and Predictions

Looking ahead, crude oil markets are likely to remain influenced by geopolitical developments.

Several factors will shape oil prices in the coming months.

  1. Middle East Security Risks
    Continued tensions involving Iran may maintain a geopolitical risk premium.
  2. Global Economic Growth
    Demand from major economies influences long-term price trends.
  3. OPEC Production Decisions
    Output adjustments can stabilize or amplify price movements.
  4. Energy Transition Policies
    Long-term shifts toward renewable energy could influence future demand expectations.

Traders who remain informed and disciplined will be best positioned to navigate these changes.

Working with experienced futures brokers helps traders stay ahead of market developments.

Professional commodities brokers provide valuable insights into supply disruptions, production forecasts, and inventory changes.

Reliable commodity trading platforms ensure traders can react instantly to breaking news events.

Cannon Trading Company continues to support traders seeking opportunities in the global energy markets.

FAQ: Crude Oil Futures Trading

What are crude oil futures?

Crude oil futures are standardized contracts that allow traders to buy or sell oil at a predetermined price for future delivery. They are widely used for speculation and hedging in energy markets.

Why do geopolitical tensions affect oil prices?

Oil supply chains depend heavily on politically sensitive regions. Events affecting production or transportation routes can reduce supply expectations, driving prices higher.

How can futures brokers help oil traders?

Professional brokers assist traders with market analysis, order execution, and risk management strategies during volatile market conditions.

What role do commodities brokers play?

They provide specialized expertise in physical supply trends, inventory data, and seasonal demand patterns that influence commodity pricing.

Why are commodity trading platforms important?

Modern trading platforms provide real-time market data, charting tools, and automated order execution that allow traders to react quickly to price movements.

Why choose Cannon Trading Company?

Cannon Trading Company offers decades of experience, advanced trading technology, personalized brokerage support, and access to global futures markets.

Try a FREE Demo!

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 (US) or (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

 

Premium TradingView Indicators PLUS: Intraday Indicator Examples, April Crude Oil, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on February 20th, 2026

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Unlock Your Edge with Premium TradingView Indicators

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— April (#GC)

4939.33 4978.47 5010.63 5049.77 5081.93

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

74.87 76.54 77.97 79.64 81.08

Crude Oil (CL)

— April. (#CL)

64.07 65.38 66.08 67.39 68.09

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar. (#ZB)

117 2/32 117 12/32 117 18/32 117 28/32 118 2/32

 Unlock Your Edge with Premium TradingView Indicators 

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Ready to level up your trading game? Our proprietary indicator suite is now available on TradingView—designed for traders who want clarity, precision, and confidence.

✅ 5 custom-built studies powered by mathematical algorithms

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Whether you’re day trading or swing trading, these tools can help you spot high-probability setups and avoid common traps – an example of the way signals look below!

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Above is an intraday Gold chart from this morning, showcasing how our indicators plot signals in real time:

  • Green triangles → potential buy setups

  • Red triangles → potential sell setups

  • Green squares → possible exit for a short and/or an aggressive counter‑trend buy

  • Red squares → possible exit for a long and/or an aggressive counter‑trend short

…and much more built into the logic behind the scenes.

These visual cues are designed to help traders quickly interpret momentum shifts, trend strength, and potential reversal zones—without clutter or guesswork.

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Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change

  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows

  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals

  • Coverage across equity indices, metals, energies, currencies, and ags

Whether you’re scanning for breakout setups, trend reversals, or just staying informed — Cannon Edge puts the data in your hands before the open.

Built for speed. Backed by insight. Powered by CQQ.

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April Crude Oil

April Crude Oil has resumed its rally into a new high which has the chart approaching its third upside PriceCount objective to the 67.22 area which is consistent with a challenge of the contract high from last summer. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade, at least. IF we can sustain further upside we would be left with the low percentage fourth count to aim for near $80.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for February 20th, 2026

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Post FOMC, February Unleaded Gasoline, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 12th, 2025

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Markets Post December FOMC

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4198.17 4251.23 4284.27 4337.33 4370.37

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

60.54 62.24 63.48 65.18 66.42

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

55.99 56.89 57.92 58.82 59.85

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 30/32 115 8/32 115 25/32 116 3/32 116 20/32
 

fomc

Post FOMC

The FOMC decision is behind us, with a rate cut that has impacted market sentiment. Meanwhile, silver and gold have reached new all-time highs, signaling strong demand and market shifts. This has contributed to increased volatility, as seen in the VIX index. For futures traders, managing risk is crucial, and keeping a trade journal can help track strategies and improve decision-making.

Staying informed about these market movements is key to navigating the current landscape. With the FOMC now behind us and the Fed signaling a cautious pivot in December, markets are recalibrating around a lower-for-longer rate path that has already shifted flows into commodities and risk assets.

That backdrop helped push silver and gold to fresh all‑time highs this month as investors chase safe havens and physical demand tightens—silver’s rally has been especially dramatic, doubling year‑to‑date in some feeds, while gold has repeatedly printed new records through 2025. Those moves have come with higher intraday volatility—options and VIX dynamics show spikes around policy events and rapid repricing as traders digest Fed language and macro headlines.

For futures traders that means wider ranges, faster margin signals, and more false breakouts; the best defense is disciplined position sizing and a simple, consistent trade journal: record your thesis, entries, exits, size, and the market context for every trade so you can separate skill from luck, refine setups, and survive the next volatility swing.

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February Unleaded Gasoline

February unleaded gasoline has resumed its break into a new recent low where we satisfied the second downside PriceCount objective. From here, the chart has support against the fall low but if the break can be sustained, the third count projects a potential deeper slide to the 1.68 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Dec. 12th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Silver and Copper, Crude Oil, March – May Wheat Spread, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 4th, 2025

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What You Need to Know!

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4198.13 4219.37 4246.33 4267.57 4294.53

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

57.49 58.22 58.94 59.66 60.38

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

57.77 58.44 59.04 59.71 60.31

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

115 30/32 116 9/32 116 19/32 116 30/32 117 8/32

crude

General:

This morning’s November ADP jobs report was well into negative territory falling to the lowest levels since 2020. The payrolls processing firm reported private companies cut 32,000 workers, with small businesses hit the hardest.

The report’s data were worse than anticipated as the Dow Jones consensus estimate from economists was to see an increase of 40,000 and a sharp step down from October, which saw an upwardly revised gain of 47,000 positions.

The ADP report is the last monthly jobs picture the Federal Reserve gets before it meets Dec. 9-10. Futures traders are now assigning a nearly 90% probability that the central bank will approve another quarter percentage point cut, according to the CME Group FedWatch tool:

This month’s release of the Labor Department’s monthly non-farm payrolls report has been moved from its traditional first Friday of the month to Tuesday, December 16, 2025, 7:30 A.M., Central Time. The report is widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy.

More General:

Last Friday, a vital data center used by CME Group, overheated and suffered a more-than-ten-hour outage, shutting down trading at the world’s largest derivatives exchange. On an average day, it processes equity indexes futures and options trades tied to $1.5 trillion of underlying assets, and interest-rate-related trades with a notional value of $9.6 trillion.

While the blow was softened because it came late on Thanksgiving Day, this was the longest outage in recent CME history.

Energies:

In a credible sign that the world’s largest crude importer is nearing peak demand, China’s oil consumption next year – although still growing – will be surpassed by India’s for the first time. This was forecast by Singapore-based Trafigura Group, the world’s second-largest oil trader.

A key component to this, they explain, is that China’s main demand driver for crude – its consumption of road fuels – is weakening as adoption of electric cars and, increasingly, electric trucks has grown rapidly.

Metals:

New front month March silver futures traded to new all-time highs today, trading intraday to $59.65½ per ounce. The move includes a ~$8.00 per ounce move since Mon. Nov 24, a ±$40,000 per contract move for the main 5,000-oz. futures contract.

Driven by persistent concerns over a tightening global supply, March copper futures surged ~15 cents per pound (±2.8%) and traded up to ~4-month highs near $5.40 per pound today.

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March – May Wheat Spread

The March – May Wheat Spread satisfied the first upside PriceCount objective off the August low. The chart is reacting with a short-term correction, which is normal. At this point, if the spread can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the second count would project a possible run to the -5.5 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Dec. 4th, 2025

a163f421 04af 49e6 87ce 0e076a899f0f

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Second Interest Rate Cut, December Cotton, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Critical Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on October 30th, 2025

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What You Need to Know Before Trading Futures Tomorrow!

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

3861.93 3910.07 3978.13 4026.27 4094.33

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

46.01 46.69 47.60 48.28 49.19

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

59.02 59.67 60.34 60.99 61.66

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

117 7/32 117 20/32 118 13/32 118 26/32 119 19/32

interest

Interest Rates

It wasn’t even apparent during Chair Jerome Powell’s post-announcement news conference what triggered the price jolts in several of the futures markets this afternoon – including a ±50-point decline in the E-mini S&P 500 and a ±200-point decline in the E-mini Nasdaq in the span of eight minutes, or the ±$40 sell-off in gold in the span of two minutes.

Regardless of the cause, they served as the latest real-world examples of why it’s so important for traders of all types to assess the risks of their trades – before you enter into them – and have a plan to manage that risk. Day traders and position traders alike should be aware of important planned events – just like FOMC announcements and press conferences – and anticipate the potential risks to those events (these days it’s wise to include occasions when the U.S. president speaks, considering his ongoing involvement and influence in global trade relations).

These events certainly create opportunities for traders – outsize moves can also result in outsize favorable outcomes – but the most important aspect to trading – is always to manage risk.

General – Interest Rates:

Day 29 of the U.S Government shut-down, now the second-longest on record.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point today – its second consecutive rate cut, lowering the Fed’s benchmark interest rate to a range of 3.75 to 4 percent, its lowest level in three years.

Stock Index Futures:

We’re amidst earning season for the third quarter. Moving into full swing, all eyes were on Microsoft, Google-parent Alphabet and Facebook-owner Meta today– all releasing their latest earnings results after the closing bell.

Tomorrow:

Apple and Amazon

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December Cotton

December cotton violated its contract low this month but for now was unable to sustain the break towards the low percentage drawn downside PriceCount objective near 57 cents not shown here for presentation purposes. The new chart has activated upside counts on the correction higher and is quickly approaching the first objective to the 66.27 area. To achieve any additional upside targets, we will first have to break out above the long-term downtrend

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Oct. 30th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC Tomorrow, December Live Cattle, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on October 29th, 2025

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FOMC Tomorrow

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

3837.43 3906.47 3970.33 4039.37 4103.23

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

44.83 46.01 46.69 47.88 48.56

Crude Oil (CL)

— Nov (CLX5)

58.65 59.28 60.39 61.02 62.13

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

118 18/32 118 27/32 119 1/32 119 10/32 119 16/32
fomc
 

October 29th, Tomorrow, is the 96th anniversary (seems like the term “anniversary” should be celebratory rather than marking a day of dread for the nation) Black Tuesday: when the US Stock Market crashes, ending the Great Bull Market of the 1920s and eventually contributing to the Great Depression. While we don’t expect this current Great Bull Market will crash tomorrow, yet anytime soon, it is not a novel idea to manage risk, it’s imperative.

Tomorrow is also the release of the expected 2nd to last in a series of Fed Rate cuts while Chairman Jerome Powell will read a statement and will avail himself to the Press Corps. Expectations are for .25 reduction to the 3.75-4.00 range. Although surprises do occur, the only surprise tomorrow would be in the language used to massage future rate cuts, rather than the cut itself. Big Earnings after the close tomorrow as Microsoft, Google and Meta.

Previously in this blog I have included some option strategies, for both high volatility markets and low volatility markets. Measures of volatility are important to understand more holistically your risk management requirements when implementing your option strategy. I am including some basic definitions of the “Greeks” used to measure the impact of volatility on Option Premiums. In trading futures options, they help traders assess risk and manage their portfolios. Below are the definitions of the primary Greeks, tailored to futures options:

·        Delta: Measures the rate of change in an option’s price for a $1 change in the underlying futures contract’s price. It ranges from 0 to 1 for calls and -1 to 0 for puts. For example, a delta of 0.5 means the option’s price moves $0.50 for every $1 move in the futures price. Delta also approximates the probability the option will expire in-the-money.

·        Gamma: Measures the rate of change in delta for a $1 change in the underlying futures price. It reflects the acceleration of the option’s price movement. High gamma indicates delta is highly sensitive to price changes, which is common for at-the-money options near expiration.

·        Theta: Measures the rate of change in an option’s price due to the passage of time, often called time decay. It’s typically negative, as options lose value as expiration approaches. For example, a theta of -0.05 means the option loses $0.05 per day, all else equal.

·        Vega: Measures the sensitivity of an option’s price to a 1% change in the implied volatility of the underlying futures contract. For example, a Vega of 0.10 means the option’s price increases by $0.10 if implied volatility rises by 1%. Vega is higher for longer-dated options.

·        Rho: Measures the sensitivity of an option’s price to a 1% change in interest rates. For futures options, Rho is often less significant due to typically short maturities and stable interest rates, but it still indicates how much the option price changes with shifts in the risk-free rate.

These Greeks are critical for understanding how factors like price movements, time, volatility, and interest rates impact futures options pricing and risk. If you’d like, I can dive deeper into any specific Greek or provide examples of their application in trading strategies.

 Instant Viewing/Download: Commitment of Traders Report – How to Use?

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December Live Cattle

The rally in December live cattle lost its momentum this month and activated downside PriceCount objectives on the correction lower. The break accelerated to its third count to the 224.50 area where it appears we may try to stabilize for a moment, at least. At this point, IF the chart can sustain further weakness, the low percentage fourth count would project a possible move to the 200.00 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Oct. 29th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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January Beans, Why Many Traders Lose Money Trading Futures (WITH CAN’T MISS VIDEO!!!!), Levels, Reports; Your 4 Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on October 28th, 2025

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Where is the Edge?

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
Gold (GC) — Dec (GCZ5) 3900.53 3953.07 4038.43 4090.97 4176.33
Silver (SI) — Dec (SIZ5) 44.59 45.67 47.13 48.21 49.67
Crude Oil (CL) — Nov (CLX5) 59.92 60.68 61.42 62.18 62.92
 Dec. Bonds (ZB) 117 15/32 118 6/32 118 17/32 119 8/32 119 19/32

beans

Why do Many Traders Lose Money Trading Futures? See presentation below!

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January Soybeans

January beans gapped higher and the chart is accelerating to its second upside PriceCount objective to the $10.92 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. IF you can sustain further strength, the third count would project a possible run to the $11.30 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Oct. 28th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Algorithmic Precision Trading, December Soymeal, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on October 24th, 2025

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Enhance Your Edge with Algorithmic Precision

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
Gold (GC) — Dec (GCZ5) 4035.77 4083.83 4127.67 4175.73 4219.57
Silver (SI) — Dec (SIZ5) 46.88 47.71 48.47 49.30 50.05
Crude Oil (CL) — Nov (CLX5) 58.60 60.12 61.16 62.68 63.72
 Dow Jones (YM) — Dec 2025 46437 46669 46831 47063 47225

Enhance Your Edge with Algorithmic Precision

algorithmic

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✅ Identify possible high-probability setups

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Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.  

The recommendations contained in this blog are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.  

Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

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December Soymeal

December meal satisfied its first upside PriceCount objective off of the October low. It would be normal for the chart to react from this level in the form of a near term consolidation or corrective trade. From here, if we can extend the rally with sustained strength, the second count would project a possible run to the $298 area.

And that’s a December Soymeal projection for you!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Oct. 24th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Futures FYI: Metals, Stock Index Futures, Energies, Dec-March Corn Spread, Levels, Reports; Your 6 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on October 23rd, 2025

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What You Need to Know Before Trading Futures Tomorrow!

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

futures

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
Gold (GC) — Dec (GCZ5) 3951.53 4035.67 4105.33 4189.47 4259.43
Silver (SI) — Dec (SIZ5) 46.09 47.19 47.92 49.02 49.75
Crude Oil (CL) — Nov (CLX5) 56.37 57.88 58.86 60.37 61.35
 Dow Jones (YM) — Dec 2025 46315 46553 46877 47115 47439

General:

Day 22 of the U.S Government shut-down, now the second-longest on record. Today it overtook the 21-day shutdown of 1995-96. Without a fix, many federal employees will not be getting paid this Friday, the first full paycheck they’ll miss as a result of the shutdown.

Stock Index Futures:

We’re amidst earning season for the third quarter. Moving into full swing, all eyes were on IBM, AT&T and in particular Tesla – all releasing their latest earnings results after the closing bell.

Tomorrow: Intel

Metals:

It’s another installment of the broken record precious metals report – with a twist.

On Monday, Dec. gold futures rose to a new all-time intraday high of $4,398.00/ounce and closed up nearly $150/ounce above Friday’s close. As this blog is being composed, the contract is trading ±$300/ounce lower ±$4,090/ounce – a ±$30,000 per contract move. This includes yesterday’s free-fall of over $300/ounce marking its largest single-day sell-off in 13 years.

Despite the dip, gold is still up over 50% year-to-date. HSBC predicts that the precious metal will hit $5,000 next year.

Energies:

After remaining on their lows last week – with a new multi-month intraday low of $55.96/barrel in the December contract on Monday, futures rose after President Trump again said India would reduce its purchases of Russian oil, while today’s EIA’s report showed a one-million-barrel drop in U.S. crude oil inventories following three weekly builds. Today, Dec. crude oil rose over $2.00/barrel to an intraday high of $59.67/barrel.

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Dec – March Corn Spread

The Dec-March corn spread has resumed its rally into a new high. At this point, the chart appears to be taking aim at its third upside PriceCount objective to the -12 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Oct. 23rd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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