Support & Resistance Levels Daily Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.


Forex or Future Currencies?+ Trading Levels for 07.19.2019

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Dear Traders,

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Short and Sweet blog post about future currencies and Forex trading written by my colleague Matt Kang at:
Daily Levels for July 19th
Economic Reports
provided by: bettertrader.co


Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Posted in: Future Trading News  

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Should I Trade FOREX or Currency Futures?

By Matt Kang, Senior Broker

FOREX (foreign exchange market or currency market) refers to an international exchange market where currencies(pairs) are bought and sold. For instance, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD and more. If you are trading forex, you can hold your positions as long as you want because it doesn’t have any expiration date. But there is a cost associated with keeping the position over night, it can either be a credit or debit depending on the interest difference between two countries.

Currency futures are in one currency such as EURO FX or Canadian Dollar. Unlike FOREX, there is an expiration date which means you can only hold the position until that time. For example, if you are trading Mexican Peso and South African Rand but carry the position after the expiration date, these currencies are physically delivered four times in a year on the third Wednesday of March, June, September, and December.

 

Liquidity and Centralized Market?

 

The FOREX market is the largest and most liquid market in the world.  There is no centralized location for FOREX, which means there is no one physical location which is supervising this market. Therefore, traders must check the quotes of various currency pairs from each dealer.

The currency futures market has a respectable daily average closer to $100 billion. Compared to the 4 trillion FOREX daily volume. Currency futures are not as liquid as forex, but sufficient enough to trade. Currency futures are a centralized market, and one key aspect of centralized markets is that all traders and investors are able to see same quotes and the existence of a clearing house, it guarantees the integrity of the transactions. The resulting benefit of reduced risk from not dealing with variable counterparties is a key aspect of this.

 

Cost of Trading and Commission?

 

Some people say “I trade FOREX because there is no exchange, no regulatory fees and no commissions” but it is not true.  If you trade currency futures, you will see all of these fees exist, such as NFA fees, exchange fees and commission fees. It will cost around $5-8 (buy and sell) for a self-directed account. If you are trading FOREX, then all of these fees are included in a bid/ask spread. A typical spread for EUR/USD is 1.2 pips which is equivalent to $12.

 

So Should I Trade FOREX or Currency Futures?

 

 

For the average investor who trades an account of $2,500 to $500,000 it is probably wiser, and more cost effective to trade Currency futures. The cost of trading will be lowest with this amount of funding and the roll-over rate will not dramatically impact your trading.

 

If you are working with very little money ($250 to $2,000) OR trading with more than $1 million OR trading some exotic pairs, then you will be better off with FOREX because it offers mini as well as micro trading sizes. Also, if you are investing over $1 million, then it is possible to earn interest and lower spread (fees).

 

Disclaimer – Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Posted in: Commodity Brokers   | Commodity Trading   | Currency Futures   | Day Trading  

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Maybe you should take a look at trading bond futures ( ZB)?

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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My colleague, John Thorpe, just shared a good post discussing interest rates futures, how it affects your mortgage and more. You can read the full post here.
Reading the post reminded me how much I personally like both the 30 yr bonds and 10 yr bonds for shorter term and medium term trading.
If you are a day-trader, read below and start following the bonds or 10 years and let us know if we can assist you in any way!
The ZB or the 30 year offers a different type of personality than the mini SP and other indices. It is more sensitive to certain economic reports and trades differently than other markets, just a total different personality.
The tick size on the ZB is 1/32 or $31.50 per one point/ tick.
I included some contract specs on the T Bonds futures below as well as an intra-day chart for your review.
The 10 yr notes or the ZN are very similar to the 30 yr except it does trade in half points, so minimum fluctuation is $15.625 and the 10 years will have smaller moves than the 30 yr although 99% in the same direction ( opens the door for spread trading on a daytrading basis).
If you like to have access to the trading signals like shown in the chart below, click on the get started now.
30 yr Treasury Bond Futures Specs
Hours: 05:00 PM previous day to 4:00 PM Central Time
Margins: $2530 initial, $2300 Maint. ( as of the date of this newsletter)
Point Value: full point = $1000 ( Example: 144.16 to 145.16 ). Min fluctuation is 0.01 = $31.25 ( Example: 144.16-144.17) Settlement: Physical Delivery
Months: Quarterly (March,June,Sep,Dec)
Weekly Options:YES
Some of the basic fundamentals to keep in mind when you are considering trading the U.S. 30yr Treasury Bonds for this matter:
1. Interest Rates.
2. FOMC Rate decisions and Language
3. Focus in macroeconomics
4. Bond Prices have an inverse relationship to Interest rates
5. Correlation to US Dollar prices
6. Inflationary prospects
7. Geopolitical Stability
8. U.S. Fiscal and Monetary Stability
Our brokers here at Cannon will be happy to chat about the Bond market, other interest rate products, other futures, options, futures spreads and much more! Feel free to contact us at any time.
Feel free to click on the chart below to view on larger scale.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

07-18-2019

 

 

try free demo account


Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Posted in: Commodity Brokers   | Day Trading   | Financial Futures  

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Interest Rate Futures, Real Estate and Mortgage Rates

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Over the course of the last 45 years, whether you own a small monopoly of commercial buildings or a condo on Oak street U.S.A. your investments are subjected to the actions of the Federal Reserve Bank.

 

The Federal Reserve Bank seeks to provide stability in the largest world economy through interest rate regulation. Its mandate is to use financial tools to satisfy two congressional mandates, 1: Full Employment and 2: Moderate Inflation to a 2% annualized rate; Move too far too fast in any direction with policy shifts and financial perils for all! may be in the offing. The economy could move too fast in the wrong direction or too fast in the right direction which can lead to an overheating and a bursting of an economic bubble. Look no further than Savings and Loan crisis in the 1980’s and 90’s, the Japanese housing market collapse in 1989 (Japan is currently still struggling with a zero interest rate environment 30 years later) the Dot Com bubble after Y2K and most recently , the housing market collapse, which began with the bankruptcy of Iceland, no one paid attention, then the bankruptcy of Ireland, again, no one paid attention, then the bankruptcy of Bear Stearns,  some paid attention  (what did any of these entities have to do with the value of our homes, we thought) then Lehman brothers collapsed in September of 2008 and everyone paid attention as our home prices collapsed.

Use Google, DuckDuckGo, Bing or any of your favorite search engines and type in

10 yr. correlation with mortgage rates

 

You will find search pages full of information about the importance of interest rate policy and its effect on mortgage rates, specifically the Fedfunds rate.

 

 

Whether you have a 30 yr fixed, a 15 yr fixed or a 5/1 ARM  (usually capped after 5 years) you need to protect your largest investments by first understanding the tools available to the public to monitor these markets and second, knowing you can contact a professional to discuss the myriad of ways to hedge your real estate portfolio and be ready when you need to by utilizing the futures markets to protect your investments.

 

The hypothesis:  Generally speakingand largely from region to region diversity, when interest rates go lower, home prices go higher. Lower interest rates lead to increases in the value of real assets. Mortgage rates are sensitive to changes in Fed Policy, the 10yr note being the reference financial instrument moves in response to market reactions to Fed policy shifts.

 

When interest rates go higher, a definite time lag exists in the long run may make  home prices move lowerand real asset prices lower.

 

 

Watch futures market prices in the interest rate futures. Get comfortable watching the interest rate futures contracts.

 

I am by no means offering a pure hedge or even a short-term hedge in my analysis.

I believe what you will see and get a sense of the ebbs and flows of these markets from a visual perspective  while you are learning about the base currency (US Dollar) valuation of real assets changing and thereby affecting not only the value of the real assets you hold but also the cost to maintain those assets. The interest rate futures markets give you the clearest picture of how policy equates to real rates for you, the mortgage holder. 10yr Note Futures prices and chart

 

Major trends that are a serious harbinger of future housing price changes are important to understand so you may act to preserve, maintain and profit from potential shifts in policy.

 

 

FRED

 

Between 2008 and 2012 during the last recession, a major fed policy tool used was a series of fed fund rate reductions (net effect is the cost of money becomes cheaper relative to real asset prices), these calculated moves lowered the interest rate on longer term debt obligations  10Yr. Note Futures Prices and Chart as well as all dollar denominated Treasuries.

 

As you can see, Mortgage rates, I mean the 10yr Treasury Note rates (Freudian slip, sorry), are still at or near all-time lows.

In Summary, Familiarizing yourself with the interrelationships among Mortgage rates, 10 year treasuries and fed fund policy shifts are an important starting point for a conversation with a professional about protecting your family’s biggest investment.

 

A Cannon Trading professional is available between 8:30am to 5:00pm Eastern to answer your questions Call Now

 

Disclaimer – Trading Futures, Options on Futuresand retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledgeand financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market dataand recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Posted in: Economic Trading   | Financial Futures   | Futures Broker   | Futures Trading  

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Daily Silver Chart & Support and Resistance Levels 7-17-2019

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

____________________________________________________________________

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Cannon Trading is pleased to present a FREE 3 week trial to a simple day trading concept you can learn, evaluate and implement on all major futures contracts.
The trial includes a 23 page PDF that outlines our concept for daytrading, how to use the two main indicators/ ALGOS, money management rules and much more. Interested clients and qualified prospects will be able to set up two different 15 minutes desktop sharing sessions to review from the conceptual stage to the implementation page, as we walk you through the set up on your own machine and provide feedback as we assist you through the learning curve.
What’s Included?
Free demo that includes the charts along the indicators below: (Diamonds and Arrows)
23 page PDF booklet with examples, explanations and more…
Live remote session during market hours to review the model with realtime price action.
Daily silver chart below. Silver made a nice breakout today but we need to see some follow through to this move, specifically above 15.80 if the bulls want to get excited.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

07-17-2019


Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Posted in: Future Trading News  

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