CPI Tomorrow + Futures Trading Levels for Oct. 12th

What you need to know for the last two trading days of the week

 By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General: 

This morning the Labor Department released data on U.S. producer prices.  It showed a higher-than-expected 0.5% uptick in food and energy prices at the wholesale level.  The so-called core Producer Price Index – a narrower measure that excludes food, energy and trade services – showed a 0.2% increase, which matched forecasts.  Looking at the big picture, the report suggests inflation remains stubborn and the Fed will remain vigilant in it continued efforts to check the U.S. economy with care and reduce inflation.

Markets look at the PPI as a leading indicator for inflation, as it gauges a wide variety of costs for pipeline goods that feed to consumer products.

In recent days, central bank officials have indicated that they may not need to enact additional hikes as Treasury yields have risen sharply on their own, tightening financial conditions. That in turn has helped assuage market fears, leading stocks higher this week.

Tomorrow, The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its more closely watched Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which measures the prices paid by consumers for a basket of consumer goods and services.

Metals: 

Trading off its near one-year lows below $1,825/ounce on Friday, Dec. Gold has raced up ±$70/ounce as the crisis in Israel / Gaza / Lebanon has intensified.  This commodity futures contract will likely show to be more sensitive to the turn of events in the region than any other.

Along the same lines, from a from a commodity price influencing perspective, the fighting in Israel / Gaza / Lebanon should have a limited impact on most commodities.  Any sensitivity reactions in the markets will presumably be seen in indexes (seemingly sensitive to anything), energies and some currencies.  Any signs the conflict escalates to involve other notable / regional state / non-state actors, traders should anticipate increased volatility in these market sectors and approach your trading appropriately.

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

10-12-2023

#ES, #NQ, #YM, #RTY, #XBT, #GC, #SI, #CL, #ZB, #6E, #ZC, #ZW, #ZS, #ZM, #NG

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Economic Reports, Source: 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.