S&P 500

Category Archives: S&P 500


VIX Stock Index Trading Signals & Support and Resistance Levels 7.22.2021

July 21st, 2021 Filed under Commodity Brokers, Commodity Trading, Future Trading News, Indices, S&P 500 | Comment (0)

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VIX Stock Index Trading Signals

by Gabe Velazquez of www.TransparentTradingSolutions.com. For free trial to the room and more information, contact your broker.
Over the last several months, two of the major stock averages (the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100) have been on a relentless upward trajectory. This has occurred as the VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index) has remained elevated relative to its historical levels. In past bull markets, the VIX (which many refer to as the fear gauge) has traded in the low teens and even dropped to single digit readings during strong advances in the stock market. So why is this time different? More importantly, can we use the VIX to increase our odds of timing long and short entries in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures? I believe the answer is yes.
First, A quick definition of the VIX: It is an index that measures the premium of at-the-money Calls and Puts on the Cash S&P 500 going out one month in duration. Some market participants utilize options (because of their leverage component) to hedge long only portfolios. For that reason, when the stocks come under pressure, the demand for this protection increases and thus premiums (the cost to buy options) increases. Simply, there is an inverse correlation between the VIX index and stocks. As stocks drop, the VIX will rise and vice-versa.
Now that we have a better understanding of how the VIX works, let’s look at a 4 hour chart going back 2 months. In it, we can see that it has formed a clearly defined range between 15 on the lower band and 21 on the high extremity. If you look at a chart of the S&P 500 futures you will notice that on every corrective (drop) in this index over the last 2 months, the VIX has rallied up to 21. Additionally, note that when the VIX fails to move above this level, the ES (S&P 500 futures) stops falling and usually finds buyers. Conversely, when stocks advance, and the VIX stays above 15, stocks generally pause or struggle to have any meaningful move higher.
Of course, this range will not persist indefinitely, as these patterns never do. However, I believe we can glean useful information from this environment. Can we surmise that a break above the recent range in the VIX implies more selling (bearish) implications? Separately, a break below the key 15 level may insinuate that institutional investors feel more comfortable lifting their hedges, thus leaving more room for stocks to rally in the short-term.
We can never rely on one single indicator to buy or sell, but as traders, we always need to seek an edge. Perhaps this can give you a different way to look at the markets. More importantly, by monitoring the VIX relative to what options traders and institutions are doing to hedge their portfolios, my hope is that it can help you make better trading decisions.
Until next time, I hope everyone has a great trading week.
Gabe
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

7-22-2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.


Extremely High Intraday Volatility, ES Chart Review & Support and Resistance Levels 5.20.2021

May 19th, 2021 Filed under S&P 500 | Comment (0)

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Intraday Volatility in stock index futures is extremely high. Actually across many markets BTC futures leading the volatility but metals, energies and grains have seen higher volatility. I noticed the stock index futures today as i was actively monitoring and trading with some clients and saw the ES make 20 points moves and more, BOTH ways in the same 15 minutes….Intraday chart for illustration below.
  1. Learn to reduce trading size. Perhaps trade smaller contracts like the micros.
  2. Adjust stops and entries based on volatility ( ATR/ Parabolics).
  3. Be extra picky on entries without chasing trades.
  4. Understand that loses are part of trading and this is definitely not a good time to “fight the markets”.
  5. Focus more on risk management and ways to protect certain positions as needed. Survive to trade another day.
Markets are moving extremely fast and at times quoting systems, platforms can’t even keep up.
The risk is MUCH GREATER than I have seen, yet some traders look for it.
That is ok, as long as you :
Know the rules, understand current margins, know where the circuit breakers are/ limit moves.
Figure out your max risk.
After you do all that, feel free to trade but jumping in and trying to trade without the basic knowledge above is like jumping into a stormy ocean without a life vest…..
Mini S&P 10 Minute continuation chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

5-20-2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Futures Trading Levels for April 22nd, 2021

April 21st, 2021 Filed under Day Trading, Future Trading News, Index Futures, S&P 500 | Comment (0)

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Dear Traders,
Today’s action in Silver, gold, SP and NQ lead me to write the quick piece below.
Few words on BREAKOUT trading.
The concept is one of many different traders use.
Some like to use COUNTRER TREND trading.
others look at ORDER FLOW, some will use support and resistance mainly and hopefully more traders will master a few different techniques and use the appropriate one depending on the type of trading day that is developing in front of their eyes.
The concept of break out trading looks for the market to “snap out” of a certain trading range and continue moving in that direction. The toughest part is to filter out the “fake breakouts” and recognize early enough which breakouts have the potential to be a powerful one.
A few tips to explore:
Look for a breakout on a smaller time frame that will coincide with a longer time frame CURRENT trend. So you may look at a daily trend and look for a breakout on the hourly chart?
You may trade smaller time frames and look for breakouts that will coincide with the 30 minute chart time frame.
Last but not least ( for today only of course as I am sure there are MUCH more than the short few pointers I am sharing….) try utilizing different type of charts and do your homework in regards to which breakouts seem to work better than others. Look at RANGE BAR charts, explore VOLUME charts, maybe even take a look at Renko bars and other types as well.
30 MINUTES chart of ES below with 4 different pointers to look at, marked A through D. CLICK for larger IMAGE. ALWAYS much easier to look back in hindsight and explain what happened….I wish it was that easier when trading live….Click on the chart so you are able to read the pointers along with some insight for educational purposes.
To access a free trial to the ALGOS shown in the chart along with other tools? (Slanted arrows possible buy, diamonds = possible exit/ tighten stops) visit and sign up for a free trial for 21 days with real-time data.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

4-22-2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Volatility Continues, ES Chart Review & Support and Resistance Levels 3.04.2021

March 5th, 2021 Filed under Indices, S&P 500 | Comment (0)

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Dear Traders,

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Volatility continues. Rates are the driving force now days.
June is now the front month for rates.
May is front month for silver, copper and most grains.
April crude and natural gas. OPEC meeting tomorrow!
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Hourly chart of the ES below for your review along with potential levels of support and resistance.
Mini S&P ES Futures 60 minute chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

3-04-2021

Futures Trading Levels 3.04.2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


CME MICROS: Micro Mini Futures Contract

January 6th, 2021 Filed under Futures Trading, S&P 500 | Comment (0)

CME MICROS, more commonly known as Micro E-Mini Futures Contracts, have been trading with great success since they were first introduced by the CME Group in 2019.   In terms of liquidity, for both smaller and newer futures traders, the Micro E-Mini has made futures trading more affordable and  accessible to the independent investor, who may not have large amounts of risk capital to invest.

Standard futures contracts and Mini Futures Contracts are sized to a certain value multiplied by the futures price.  For example a mini contract sells for $50 x the contract price.  The E-mini S&P 500 has a contract size of $50 times the E-Mini futures contract price, which if the contract price is say $1,240, then the contract value is $62,000.

CME states all four of the Micro E-Mini Futures Contracts are 1/10 the size of their respective E-mini futures counterparts – allowing all traders futures exposure without the notional constraints of the larger contracts.  These Micro Minis include the follow contracts:  S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, Russell 2000, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

 

What Is a Micro Mini Futures Contract

Micro E-Minis are one-tenth of the size of a traditional E-Mini contract, which allowing for lower margins and requires a significantly lower investment capital than their standard counterparts.

If the S&P 500 index is 2950, the micro e-mini value is 5 times the value of the index or $14,750 versus the value of a  standard e-mini contract, which is 50 times the price, and would set an investor back $147,500.  While the contract value is significantly higher, so is the exposure to market fluctuations.  This is where the benefit of the Micro E-mini comes in.

The Micro E-Mini contract is a significantly smaller contract than the mini or standard futures contract, which can set an investor back several thousand dollars.  The micro E-mini offers a much more affordable way for traders to access the equity index futures markets.

 

How Do Micro E-Mini Futures Contract Work?

While a standard E -mini S&P 500 futures contract has a value of $50 times the contract price – the Micro E-mini S&P 500 futures contract has a value of just $5 times the contract price, making this a much more affordable futures contract vehicle.

Your upward and downward exposure to fluctuations in the market is significantly reduced.

Most traders will use MICROS for short term trading, and can day trade the micros with less than $2,000 in the account.  Both losses and gains are smaller relative to the Mini S&P, but there are still risks associated even if you trade Micro E-Mini Futures.

Open a new trading account here

 

Why Invest in Micro E-Mini Futures

Experienced traders will enjoy the efficiency of the contract, the ability to sell short with ease, and the possibility of benefitting from short- and long-term profit and loss tax rules.  New traders will appreciate more affordable options of Micro E-Mini Futures Contracts, that incur less risk at just $5 times the contract value and have lower margins.

This allows new investors with limited assets to participate in this exciting market with limited exposure to risk, and for a much larger pool of traders.  Cannon is excited to bring in new traders, as well as, offering more diverse and flexible portfolio of futures trading options to new and  current clients.

Contact Cannon Trading here for more details on investing in Micro E-Mini Futures Contracts, or other futures investments.

“The MICROS offer a few advantages for both new and experienced traders”, says Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon’s VP. “If one wants to move from demo to live trading, one can start with the MICROS and utilize less capital and ease into the live trading part with smaller contracts. Another advantage is the ability to scale in and scale out and last but not least, longer term trades or maybe swing trades might be better utilized using the smaller MICROS.”

In addition to the micro e-minis, Cannon Trading brokers can also help investors trade MICRO gold.  Learn more here.

Appx Daily & Monthly Volume(December 2020)

Micro E-mini S&P March Contract (MESH21) Daily Volume – 57,180

Micro E-mini S&P March Contract (MESH21) Monthly Volume – 1,143,585

Micro E-mini Nasdaq March Contract (MNQH21) Daily Volume – 227,598

Micro E-mini Nasdaq March Contract (MNQH21) Monthly Volume – 4,551,970

Micro E-mini Dow Jones March Contract (MYMH21) Daily Volume – 50,061

Micro E-mini Dow Jones March Contract (MYMH21) Monthly Volume – 1,001,220

Micro E-mini Russell March Contract (M2KH21) Daily Volume – 34,335

Micro E-mini Russell March Contract (M2KH21) Monthly Volume – 686,700

Micro gold Feb Contract (MGCG21) Daily Volume – 51,118

Micro gold Feb Contract (MGCG21) Monthly Volume – 1,022,350

 

Benefits of the Micro E-Mini Futures Contract

The economical aspect of the Micro E-Mini is perhaps its largest draw. In the S&P a trader traditionally must maintain a minimum margin of $13,000, but with the new Miro E-Mini, that margin may now be as low ae $1,300. With these lower margins, more and more traders will now be able to make investments based on where they think the markets may be headed with Stock index futures contracts. Those who now trade with exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can now more easily expand to the futures market.

Cannon Trading stresses the importance of finding a broker that offers the most up-to-date technology and resources available. They also stress the importance of choosing a firm whose brokers have experience and specialize in an array of market corners, thus making it easier for them to customize their services to every trader’s needs and objectives. “At Cannon Trading we offer an expansive selection of cutting-edge technology, and our brokers are knowledgeable and experienced enough to assist any level of trader with his or her needs”.

FREE, real-time demo, with live prices of ALL MCIROS futures available at:

 

https://www.cannontrading.com/software/e-futures-international

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Trading Tips You Can Use Right Away!


Watch 4 short videos on the topics of:
  • Using Bollinger Bands and Parabolics
  • Using range Bars for Day-Trading
  • The concept of Price Confirmation
  • How to Use Support & Resistance Levels
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