Crude Oil

Category Archives: Crude Oil

A naturally found substance, crude oil is also one of the most traded commodities. It is crude oil that is further refined so as to make petroleum products. Just like with every other commodity, crude oil too has its specific ticker symbol, contract value and margin.

The margin is variable as it keeps changing as per the volatility in the market as well as according to the current value of the contract. If you are interested in crude oil trading or are already trading in this commodity, it is important for you to know that over the past 50 years the price of this commodity has been denominated in U.S. Dollars.

At Cannon Trading we help you trade crude oil at some of the best day trading margin rates. Our brokers will do their best to keep you aware of the market happenings to help you exercise call and put options carefully. In order to get more information on crude oil and commodities, read this category archive blog. Please feel free to share this information.


Weekly Newsletter #1044 Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures & Trading Levels for Week Ahead 3.22.2021

March 19th, 2021 Filed under Crude Oil, Weekly Newsletter | Comment (0)

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1044

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
Trading 102: Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures
Crude Oil Futures Volatility Offers A “Different Market Personality” Than Stock Index Futures. Here Is Some Of The Things You Need To Know About Day Trading Crude Oil Futures:
By: Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker & VP
Crude Oil is one of MY favorite futures market for day trading. Before I dive in and share with you how the volatility in crude oil fits my risk tolerance for day trading and provide a couple of chart examples, we should review some of the specifications of Crude Oil Futures.
Crude Oil Futures have monthly expiration. So each month we trade a different contract month, so one needs to know when is the first notice day and last trading day for crude oil futures in order to always make sure we are trading the proper month with the most liquidity and avoid any chance of getting into delivery situation.
Next is the contract size. Crude Oil futures are based on 1000 barrels. To be honest from a day trading perspective all I care is that each tick or 1 cent fluctuation is $10 against me or in my favor per contract. That means that a move from 92.94 to 92.74 = $200.
Another factor is trading hours. At the time I am sharing my thoughts with you, April 8th 2013, crude oil futures trade on the CME Globex platform and trade from 5 PM CDT until the next day at 4 PM CDT. That is 23 of straight trading hours. I definitely don’t recommend day trading this market 23 hours…but it is good to know the trading hours.
Volume in crude oil futures is pretty good to trade in my opinion. Averaging about 300,000 contracts per day.
One last pointer to touch on is the API (American Petroleum Institute) report that normally comes out Wednesday at 9:30 CDT (on short weeks, holidays etc. , this report will be pushed to Thursday at 10 AM CDT). I tell my clients that this report is way too volatile and I like to be out 5 minutes before and not resume trading 5 minutes until after the report comes out. This report by itself deserves a writing but on short, the report provides information on how our stock pile is doing ( = supply/demand) and the market will move based on the numbers versus what was expected. Again as a day trader, your main job is to know about this report, when it comes out and in my opinion stay out of the market during this time..Fill out the form below to read the full article.
Weekly chart of Crude Oil futures for your review below. Click here for Larger image.
Crude Oil Weekly Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

3-22-2021

 

Weekly Levels

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

MRCI Reports

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading


Weekly Newsletter #1037 Day Trading Mind Traps, Crude Oil Outlook/Chart and Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead 2.01.2021

January 29th, 2021 Filed under Crude Oil, Weekly Newsletter | Comment (0)

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1037

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Trading 102: Day Trading Mind Traps 
“One way our brain helps keep us safe is to protect us from an awareness of our weaknesses. The brain believes that it is better to be falsely confident than recognize the real risks. This protective mechanism tends to work against us in trading.” Kenneth Reid, Ph.D
MINDING THE MIND
The mind can play tricks on us. Intuitive Trading is an attempt to mind read the market, which makes us susceptible to whipsaws. Hindsight Bias causes traders to underestimate the difficulty of trading, while Competency Bias causes us to over-estimate our abilities. These are mental banana peels that set us up for a fall.
INTUITIVE TRADING
Intuitive trading is a natural response to excessive randomness and non-linearity in the market. But making informed guesses is not the same as formulating a rule-based pattern-recognition system that gives a trader a true edge. Without a rule-based plan, intuitive traders expend a great deal of energy mindreading the market, which will not improve your odds of success. In fact, professional traders make a good living exploiting the emotionally-driven behavior of intuitive amateurs.
The Bull / Bear Camps for crude oil
by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
For the bulls, when you’re hanging on to news from China that they’ve seen meaningful declines in crude oil stockpiles at key ports and increased refinery run rates playing catch-up to demand, that’s not a strong hand.
The new Biden Administration’s move to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline will likely elicit a muted response as its demise had been generally expected. Covid-related news continues to influence market sentiment, so the new South African variant and its impact on the global health crisis is ammunition for the bear camp. As well, last week’s Baker Hughes US oil rig count rose from 236 up to 289 rigs, within striking distance of the highest U.S. count since early May. It’s rational to view any intra-day price spikes with skepticism. Still, the bulls are not without their own home-court ammunition. Since the Nov./Dec. holidays, U.S. demand has improved and supplies have tightened per this week’s EIA report of a 9.9 million barrel inventory decline.
Crude Oil Futures Daily Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

2-01-2021

Futures Support & Resistance Levels 2.01.2021

 

Weekly Levels

Weekly Futures Support & Resistance Levels 2.01.2021 - 2.05.2021

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

MRCI Weekly Reports 1.29.2021 - 2.05.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in tradin


Weekly Newsletter #1036 Day Trading Commodities w/ Crude Oil Futures, Soybean Futures Chart and Resistance Levels 1.25.2021

January 22nd, 2021 Filed under Crude Oil, Future Trading News, Weekly Newsletter | Comment (0)

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1036

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Trading 202: Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures
Crude Oil Futures Volatility Offers A “Different Market Personality” Than Stock Index Futures. Here Is Some Of The Things You Need To Know About Day Trading Crude Oil Futures:
By: Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker & VP
Crude Oil is one of MY favorite futures market for day trading. Before I dive in and share with you how the volatility in crude oil fits my risk tolerance for day trading and provide a couple of chart examples, we should review some of the specifications of Crude Oil Futures.
Crude Oil Futures have monthly expiration. So each month we trade a different contract month, so one needs to know when is the first notice day and last trading day for crude oil futures in order to always make sure we are trading the proper month with the most liquidity and avoid any chance of getting into delivery situation.
Next is the contract size. Crude Oil futures are based on 1000 barrels. To be honest from a day trading perspective all I care is that each tick or 1 cent fluctuation is $10 against me or in my favor per contract. That means that a move from 92.94 to 92.74 = $200.
Another factor is trading hours. At the time I am sharing my thoughts with you, April 8th 2013, crude oil futures trade on the CME Globex platform and trade from 5 PM CDT until the next day at 4 PM CDT. That is 23 of straight trading hours. I definitely don’t recommend day trading this market 23 hours…but it is good to know the trading hours.
Volume in crude oil futures is pretty good to trade in my opinion. Averaging about 300,000 contracts per day.
One last pointer to touch on is the API (American Petroleum Institute) report that normally comes out Wednesday at 9:30 CDT (on short weeks, holidays etc. , this report will be pushed to Thursday at 10 AM CDT). I tell my clients that this report is way too volatile and I like to be out 5 minutes before and not resume trading 5 minutes until after the report comes out. This report by itself deserves a writing but on short, the report provides information on how our stock pile is doing ( = supply/demand) and the market will move based on the numbers versus what was expected. Again as a day trader, your main job is to know about this report, when it comes out and in my opinion stay out of the market during this time..
March soybeans fell sharply today, losing ±$0.60 cents (-4.4%) down to $13.09 ¾ / bushel erasing all of its gains for the month of January. March corn declined as well, by $0.24 / bushel (-4.6%) to close at $5.00 ¼ / bushel. More welcome rain was forecast for Argentina today boosting forecasts of the last two days. That opened the door for improving crop conditions into early February. Forecasts for even more rain next week in Argentina and Brazil contributed to the sell-off’s momentum. Brazil’s 1-2-week forecast called for widespread rains over most growing regions. All this points to better-than-expected crop conditions across those two important growing areas into early February.
Would you like to try out the “turning points Algo” you see on the chart in the form of blue circle and red circles?
Soybean Futures Continuation Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

1-25-2021

Futures Support & Resistance Levels 1.25.2021

 

Weekly Levels

Weekly Futures Support & Resistance Levels 1.25 - 1.29.2021

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

MRCI Reports 1.25-1.29.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in tradin


COVID and How it’s Affect the Futures Markets, Crude Oil Futures Chart & Support and Resistance Levels 1.06.2021

January 5th, 2021 Filed under Crude Oil | Comment (0)

_________________________________________________

Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

_________________________________________________

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Light at the End of the Tunnel?
by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker:
As we transition into 2021, the overriding impact on the global economy and commodity prices remains the world-wide pandemic. Rising post-holiday infection figures in the U.S. from California to Rhode Island, in Europe, particularly the U.K., a return of the virus in China, and a newly discovered more contagious variant are all pointing to seeing January as the worst month in this now year-long scourge. Yet, a wide range of markets have been steadfast over the last 3-4 months in their ability to look past this crisis and price in demand improvement. Grains, metals, energies, gasoline, softs all have staged heady rallies. Soybeans are at 6-year highs. Crude oil traded through $50/barrel today, platinum trading above $1,100/ounce breached 4-year highs. Likely, as new and existing vaccines are made available and administered, as the holiday infection surge passes and hospital capacities come down, as we move toward the herd immunity that health officials have explained, the markets will take stock of the light at the end of the tunnel and assess these gains. Likely as well, overall price volatility across most if not all commodity asset classes will remain for the new year.
Crude Oil broke above $50 for the first time in almost a year on OPEC meeting. Daily chart below.
Crude Oil Futures Daily Chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

1-06-2021

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 1.06.2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

Better Trader Futures Reports 1.06.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Crude Oil Futures Trading Updates for February 2019

February 18th, 2019 Filed under Crude Oil, Day Trading, Futures Trading | Comment (0)

Crude Oil Futures Trading Updates for February 2019

Crude oil futures experienced one of the strongest sell offs to finish 2018. The market sold from the mid 70’s into the mid 40’s in a matter of 7 weeks.

See daily chart below:

 

There were many reasons for the sell off. US China trade talks or lack off, OPEC production, US $ strength and much more but all this is old news at this point and the main focus of futures traders going forward is ”what next?” Before I try to answer that, lets take a look at some key factors that are general in nature to futures trading and crude oil futures trading:

Crude Oil is part of the energy sector along with “it’s” brothers “RBOB – Unleaded gas” and heating oil and cousin, natural gas. All traded on the NYMEX/GLOBEX exchange.

Crude Oil Futures Specs
Hours: 5:00 PM to 4:00 PM next day PM Central Time
Margins: $3410 initial, $3100 Maint. ( as of the date of this newsletter)
Point Value: full point = $1000 ( Example: 71.80 to 72.80 ). Min fluctuation is 0.1 = $10 ( Example: 71.80 to 71.81)
Settlement: Physical, deliverable commodity

Months: Monthly cycle, All Months

Weekly Options: YES
Crude Oil is one of my favorite markets for Day Trading because of the intraday volatility and movements. Be careful, these factors can work against you or in your favor.

Some of the basic fundamentals to keep in mind when you are considering a trade in the crude oil as well as other energies

  1. Longer term view of current market prices
  2.  Dates and times of important reports. Namely, Tuesday afternoon report (API) and the DOE report on Wednesday mornings at 10:30 Am EST
  3. Weather and Seasonality
  4. Correlation to US Dollar prices
  5. Inflationary prospects
  6. Geopolitical Stability
  7. U.S. Fiscal and Monetary Stability

Keep in mind that the GLOBEX/NYMEX also offers the mini Crude oil contract which is half the size and may be a good alternative for smaller/ begginer traders.

MINI Crude Oil Futures Specs
Hours: 5:00 PM to 4:00 PM next day PM Central Time
Margins: $1705 initial, $1550 Maint. ( as of the date of this newsletter)
Point Value: full point = $500 ( Example: 62.80 to 63.80 ). Min fluctuation is 0.25 = $12.5 ( Example: 61.80 to 61.825)
Settlement: Cash Settled commodity one day prior to the Big Contract

Months: Monthly cycle, All Months

So just like when you are trading any commodity or futures contract, one has to ask themselves the following questions in my opinion:

  • What time frame are you trading / looking at? Seconds and minutes? Hours and days or maybe even weeks and months? The answer can definitely impact the type of strategy you will use
  • Do you have a view of the market? Is it going higher? Going lower? Range bound? Is there a trend?
  • What is your personal preference? Risk capital? How much time do you have for following the markets?
  • Are you experienced enough to take a go at it on your own or would you like to chat/ discuss, dissect the markets with a commodity broker, a series 3 licensed futures broker?

If your goal is to scalp and day trade crude oil futures, then take a look at what I consider a timeless piece I wrote a few years back on how to utilize fear and greed to day-trade crude oil futures.

This article has some chart examples and specific trading set ups using crude oil futures trading: Crude Oil Day Trading

Now back to the “million dollar question” – What is next for Crude Oil Futures in the next few weeks?

In order to answer that I will look at the daily chart above and then take a look at the weekly chart below:

Based on the fact that we had a major sell off that stopped on support levels, the fact that we are bouncing since then and the opinion I hold that crude oil longer term pressure is still down, my current view for this market is that we will see expanded range bound trading. I am looking for the market to trade between $48 and $59 ( hence the word expanded) over the next few weeks and perhaps more BEFORE it may attempt to take another stab at the down side.

“Well, what good is that you may say to yourself…..” If I am right and you are willing to speculate with risk capital, then this information can be valuable.

My preferred method would be to try and sell call options spread ( vertical call spreads) when the market rallies and sell vertical put spreads when the market sells off. Selling options is a risky strategy!! It is not for new commers and you can learn much more here.

The main theory behind selling the calls and the puts is to take advantage of the time decay of options.

As many of us know, geo political events affect the markets in general and crude oil futures in specific. No one can tell what news, wars, events will take place and that is obviously the unknown factor.

I tell my clients many times on different occasions that entering a trade is only the first part of the equation, the main and even more important part is: how to manage the trade? Where do I exit if I am correct? Where should I exit if I am wrong? Should I use multiple contracts? How much am I willing to risk on the trade?

Many ways to trade any market, many ways to lose money in any market and only very few ways to lock in gains – this one is not different. If you need help creating a trading plan, visit our broker assist services.

Disclaimer – Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Trading Tips You Can Use Right Away!


Watch 4 short videos on the topics of:
  • Using Bollinger Bands and Parabolics
  • Using range Bars for Day-Trading
  • The concept of Price Confirmation
  • How to Use Support & Resistance Levels
  • License 3 Broker at your Fingertips
________
Doing Business With
See more...
Loading
Loading

Loading