Economic Trading Archives - Support & Resistance Levels

Economic Trading

Category Archives: Economic Trading


What you need to know for trading the week ahead + Levels for July 22nd

July 19th, 2024 Filed under Charts & Indicators, Commodity Brokers, Commodity Trading, Day Trading, Economic Trading, Future Trading News, Futures Broker, Futures Trading, Trading Guide, Weekly Newsletter | Comment (0)

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The Week Ahead by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Economic Data :

  • Mon. Chi Fed Natl Activity index,
  • Tues. Redbook, Existing Home Sales
  • Wed. Bldg Permits, Trade Balance, Retail/Wholesale Inventories , PMI, New Home Sales.
  • Thu. Durable Goods, GDP and Jobless Claims
  • Fri. Core PCE, Mich. Consumer Sentiment

Earnings Reports:

  • Tues. A.M. UPS – P.M. Google, Tesla, Visa, Texas Instruments
  • Wed. A.M. CME – P.M. IBM, Qualcom

Fed Speakers:

  • Just one this week that we know of, Wed, Bowman @3:05 P.M. Central

 

 

 

 

 

Hot Market Report – October Lean Hogs

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

 

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October Lean Hogs

 

October lean hogs finally stabilized their extended slide and activated upside PriceCount objectives on the correction higher. The recovery rally has accelerated and is approaching the second upside PriceCount objective to the 75.62 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

 

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results. The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

 

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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Daily Levels for July 22nd, 2024

 

Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Today’s Headlines and Tomorrow’s Market Movers: IMF Growth Forecast, Fed Updates, and Key Economic Data

July 16th, 2024 Filed under Charts & Indicators, Commodity Brokers, Commodity Trading, Day Trading, Economic Trading, Future Trading News, Futures Broker, Futures Trading, Trading Guide | Comment (0)

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Movers & Shakers

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Today’s Headlines recap:

  • The Int’l Monetary Fund (IMF) raised their 2024 China growth forecast to +5.0% from the previous +4.6% estimate
  • CDC officials Tuesday said there are still no signs of human to human transmission of bird flu, risk of infection still remains very low for the general population
  • The Int’l Monetary Fund (IMF) claimed tariff increases could push inflation upward.
  • Fed Gov Kugler: inflation upside risks and labor market down side risks have become more balanced, but would be appropriate to lower rates sooner rather than later if labor market cools too much. If economic conditions continue to evolve favorably, then it will be appropriate to begin easing later this year

 

Tomorrow’s Market movers:

 

  • US housing starts and building permit data will be released Wednesday morning at 7:30 am CT. Economists are forecasting housing starts +1.8% month-to-month to 1.30 mln unit annualized pace in June. They are also forecasting US building permit data +1.0% to 1.40 mln unit rate.
  • Richmond Fed President Barkin will speak at a Greater Prince George’s Business Roundtable event Wednesday, starting around 8:00 am CT.
  • The Federal Reserve will release their monthly industrial production and capacity utilization data Wednesday morning around 8:15 am CT. Analysts expect June production +0.3% on month-to-month terms, and expect capacity use at 78.5% compared to the previous month’s 78.7%.
  •  Kansas City Fed event will start Wednesday with Federal Reserve Governor Waller and Kansas City Fed President Schmid set to give opening remarks around 8:35 am CT.
  • US Treasury announced it will auction $60 bln in 17 wk TBills on Wednesday
  • Federal Reserve “Beige Book” of anecdotal economic conditions from US Federal Reserve districts will be released Wednesday afternoon around 1:00 pm CT.

 

 

 

Daily Levels for July 17th, 2024

Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Economic Events for the Week Ahead + Trading Levels for July 16th

July 15th, 2024 Filed under Commodity Brokers, Commodity Trading, Day Trading, Economic Trading, Financial Futures, Future Trading News, Futures Broker, Futures Exchange, Futures Trading, Trading Guide | Comment (0)

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Busy day tomorrow!

  • Core Retail Sales m/m
  • Import Prices m/m
  • Business Inventories m/m
  • NAHB Housing Market Index
  • FOMC Member Kugler Speaks

Please see all Data Release times below on the calendar!

 

 

 

Daily Levels for July 16th, 2024

Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Insights on Powell’s Testimony, CPI Report, and Market Movements Ahead of the Week’s Close

July 10th, 2024 Filed under Charts & Indicators, Commodity Brokers, Commodity Trading, Day Trading, E-Mini Futures, Economic Trading, Energy Futures, Future Trading News, Futures Broker, Futures Trading | Comment (0)

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Heading into the last 2 trading days of the week!

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

 

General:

 

The two-day testimony from Fed Chair Jerome Powell – in front of the Senate Banking Committee yesterday and the House Financial Services Committee today – is over.  Akin to required summer reading, traders are all ears listening for clues on the central bank’s outlook on the current economic environment and future interest rate policy.  The head of the central bank acknowledged the cooling job market and persistently high prices.  If chair Powell tipped his hand at all, he did indicate the Fed had made “considerable progress,” in quelling inflation over the last two years, though it still remains above the central bank’s 2% target.

 

From March 2022 to July 2023, the Fed raised its benchmark lending rate 11 times to a two-decade high of 5.3% to fight inflation, which peaked at 9.1% two years prior.  Those hikes increased the cost of consumer borrowing by raising rates for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards, among other forms of borrowing. The goal was to slow borrowing and spending and cool the economy.

 

Up next, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the latest Consumer Price Index report tomorrow at 7:30 A.M., Central Time, which measures the prices paid by consumers for a basket of consumer goods and services.  Economists see headline CPI slowing to 3% year-over-year growth.  Core CPI, which removes the volatile food and energy categories, is expected to hold steady at annualized growth of 3.4%. The Producer Price Index will be released Friday.

 

Indexes: 

 

The September S&P 500 stock index futures contract climbed to it latest all-time high today, currently ±5673.00 up 41.75 points / ± 0.75% – its 36th record high of the year.  The September Nasdaq futures contract followed suit, thrusting up ± 1% / ± 190 points to near 20,900.

 

General, Part 2: 

 

Take a look at the top returns for the first half of 2024 among major global financial assets.

In first place with a 22% return: Silver.  After the S&P 500 and NASDAQ in second and third place (two of the most actively traded futures contracts) the next four top returns came from commodities: WTI crude oil, Copper, Gold and Brent crude oil.

 

Daily Levels for July 11th, 2024

Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Powell Testimony, CPI and PPI Insights: Market Volatility and Economic Expectations

July 9th, 2024 Filed under Commodity Brokers, Commodity Trading, Economic Trading, Future Trading News, Futures Broker, Futures Trading, Trading Guide | Comment (0)

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Powell Testimony, CPI and PPI.

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

 

With a 20 point swing in the ES and a 155 point range in the NQ today and In lieu of the fact we have two days of Humphrey Hawkins testimony in both chambers of the house this week, I have always wondered what he Effects of the Federal Reserve Chair’s Testimony on Interest Rates and Stock Prices have been historically.

From the Cleveland Fed, I found a scholarly paper Dated 2023, for the numbers nerds among us, that attempts to, through past data sets, assign volatility to price changes in Long term and short term Treasuries and the S & P 500 index, during and after the testimony. Here are some links I hope some of you will enjoy. The Effects of the Federal Reserve Chair’s Testimony on Interest Rates and Stock Prices   wp2326 (4).pdf  https://www.clevelendfed.org>working-papers.

If you opt not to read the document, here is a quick synopsis of their conclusions: Day 1 causes the largest price movements compared to day 2. They go on to talk about the differences in the types of testimony and their findings on price volatility associated with that testimony. Be prepared for the next Humphey -Hawkins, Semi-annual testimony!

 

What are the US CPI Report Expectations? Traders and economists expect the US CPI report to fall to 3.1% y/y on a headline basis, with the “Core” (ex-food and -energy) reading expected to hold steady at 3.4% y/y.

What are the US PPI Report Expectations? Producer prices in June are expected to rise 0.1 percent on the month versus an unexpected 0.2 percent decline in May. The annual rate in June is seen at 2.3 percent versus May’s 2.2 percent. June’s ex-food ex-energy rate is seen up 0.2 percent on the month versus no change in the prior month.

 

 

 

 

Daily Levels for July 10th, 2024

Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

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