PPI Tomorrow and the Last 2 Trading Days of the Week Review
Posted By:- Ilan Levy-Mayer Vice President, Cannon Trading Futures Blog
Last Two Trading Days of the Week:
By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
Despite the fireworks frequently on display from stock index futures immediately preceding the release of the Consumer Price Index report over the last several months, an interesting result followed. In each of the last five releases, the S&P 500 closed within 0.5% of the prior day’s settlement. This is in stark contrast to some of the reports last year, notably November’s CPI release that sent the Nasdaq up ±7%.
On the heels of today’s CPI release indexes are looking to finish up with a similar outcome. This morning’s report showed consumer prices up 4.9% from last year, yet it marked the tenth consecutive month the inflation gauge slowed – now down from its peak of 9.1% last June, but still well north of the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Next up tomorrow at 7:30 A.M., Central Time, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its latest reading on prices at the wholesale level: its Producer Price Index.
Metals: After piercing last month’s highs and touching $2,085 / ounce intraday last Thursday, June gold has consolidated somewhat, not too scared or encouraged by today’s inflation report – and not ready to anticipate the Fed.’s next move.
July copper sold off ±5 cents today and for the fifth time in the last ten trading sessions has tested 5-month lows near $3.82 / pound. This on the heels of languid economic reading from the world’s largest commodities consumer: China.
Energies: The negative sentiment from China dragged crude oil below its 5-6-month intraday low of March 20th at $64.58 per barrel, trading intraday last Thursday to $63.64 per barrel, a ±$20-per-barrel / $20,000 per contract skid from its mid-April ascendance to ±$83 per barrel. Given crude oil’s seemingly continual fixation with the events of the day – whatever they are – volatility remains – and the market has bounced ±$10 per barrel in barely four trading sessions.
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