FOMC Tomorrow and CPI: Strategies for Trading Amidst Volatility

FOMC and CPI Tomorrow!

CPI will be first and the last 10 CPI or so reports have been pretty volatile with large moves happening as soon as the numbers come out. Be careful of “vacuum”, lack of liquidity for few seconds when the report comes out.

Once the report settles, cash stocks open we will have the energy numbers and then a couple of hours before FOMC rate decision…

FOMC Rate decision tomorrow.

The following are my PERSONAL OPINION on trading during FOMC days:

·    ·Reduce trading size

·    Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade

·    Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 5325.00 with a stop at 5319.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 5319.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).

·    Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement

·    Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.

·    Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.

·    Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues

·    The rate announcement comes out exactly at 1 PM central. As of this morning there is a 99.1% chance of no change in rates.

·    Traders will pay EXTRA attention to the language and the Q&A which starts at 1:30 PM Central

·    Be patient and be disciplined

·    If in doubt, stay out!!

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

Daily Levels for June 12th, 2024

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.