WYNTK before trading tomorrow, Aug 18 2022 Futures Trading Levels
Posted By:- Ilan Levy-Mayer Vice President, Cannon Trading Futures Blog
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Bullet Points: Highlights and Announcements
By Mark O’Brien Senior Broker
Financials: On Monday, the People’s Bank of China cut two key interest rates by ten basis points and pumped the equivalent of ±$60 billion into the financial system to rev up lending and prod wider economic growth. A number of economists viewed the unexpected move as a small opening move toward future support by China’s central bank for the country’s economy, and may foreshadow deeper cuts to borrowing costs down the line. The rate cuts came on the heels of data released Monday showing economic activity slowed across the board in July, including factory output, investment, consumer spending, youth hiring and real estate.
Today the U.S. Federal Reserve released its minutes of their prior meeting showing the board was unanimous in the central bank’s last rate decision – a second 75-point increase in as many meetings – and in their outlook that further rate increases were needed, but were sensitive to the risk of going too far. “Participants judged that, as the stance of monetary policy tightened further, it likely would become appropriate at some point to slow the pace of policy rate increases while assessing the effects of cumulative policy adjustments on economic activity and inflation,” the minutes said.
Energy (
Crude oil): After trading to 6-month lows Tuesday, September WTI crude oil advanced ±$1.20/barrel to ±$87.75 after the EIA’s weekly supply report showed a steeper-than-expected draw down in U.S. crude stocks.
(
Natural gas): Today, September Natural gas traded to new intra-day high of 9.677 – also a new life-of-contract high as analysts warned European natural gas prices could rise an additional 60% this winter.
Softs (
Cotton): on Friday the USDA supply/demand report dramatically lowered estimates for the U.S. cotton crop and slashed the 2022/23 projected ending stocks to their lowest level on record – primarily due to the extended drought in Texas. Since the mid-July lows near 83 1/2 cents/pound, Dec. cotton advanced to near $1.20 / pound yesterday, a ±$18,000 move.
Livestock (
Cattle): Today, Dec. live cattle traded to within .40/lb. of its contract high close of $152.07/lb. on April 21. The cattle market remains in a steady 2 1/2-month uptrend as traders see tightening supply over the next three quarters.
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Futures Trading Levels
08-18-2022
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