Market Overview for the last 2 trading days of the week

By Mark O’Brien

Heads up:

Keep an eye out for the second of this week’s inflation reports: the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Producer Price Index.  The report will be released tomorrow, 7:30 A.M., Central Time.

Energy:   

This morning, the Energy Information Agency released its weekly crude oil stocks report and the data was a bullish curveball showing a surprise withdrawal in U.S. crude inventories and a bigger-than-expected drop in U.S. gasoline stocks.  April RBOB gasoline futures rose over seven cents as of this typing – a ±$3,000 per contract move – up to ±$2.66 per gallon, close to 6-month highs.  Spurring the price increase, Ukrainian drone attacks struck several oil refining facilities in Russia for the second day, damaging its refining capacity

Metals:   

In concert with the month-long slump in the U.S. dollar and a lingering expectation the Fed will reduce borrowing costs this June, today gold is chipping away at its ±$20 sell-off Monday and poised to around its prior all-time high close (basis April): $2,188.60/oz.  As of this typing, April gold is ±$2,177.00.

Indexes: 

All three major stock indexes have sustained trading near their all-time highs this week – after the Personal Consumption & Expenditures Price Index on April 1st (the Fed’s preferred U.S. inflation gauge), February’s non-farm payrolls last Friday and Tuesday’s higher-than-expected CPI reading yesterday.  As of this typing, prices are mixed ahead of tomorrow’s release of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Producer Price Index.

Softs: 

So far, the king of all-time highs this week is not Bitcoin (see below).  It’s Cocoa.  The May cocoa contract broke above $7,000/ton, nearly $2,000/ton higher over the last month – a ±$20,000 per contract move, including today’s 361-point ($3,6010) move today – with “no top in sight,” stated by The Hightower Report.

Crypto:

March Bitcoin futures are set to close at a new all-time high above 73,000 today.  With the Bitcoin ETF now trading, remember that the world’s largest futures and options exchange – the CME Group – offers Bitcoin and Micro Bitcoin futures and options with efficient price discovery in transparent futures markets, prices based on the regulated CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR) and easily traded on your supported trading platform.  Make it your choice for managing cryptocurrency risk.

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Daily Levels for March 14th, 2024

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.