The Mid-Term Election & The Markets + Trading Levels 11.10.2022
Posted By:- Ilan Levy-Mayer Vice President, Cannon Trading Futures Blog
“The Mid-Term Election & The Markets”
By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
To the extent that the futures markets are taking cues from the results of yesterday’s U.S. mid-term elections, the wait will continue. As had been widely believed, Election Day did not translate to Results Day. A number of key Senate races remain uncalled – including contests in Nevada and Arizona as well as in Georgia which will go to a runoff. The shape of the House also remains uncertain.
A few notable firsts:
- Florida elected the youngest-ever House member: 25-year old Maxwell Alejandro Frost, making him the first Gen Z candidate to hold federal office.
- Summer Lee will be the first Black woman elected to Congress from Pennsylvania.
- Katie Britt will become Alabama’s first female U.S. Senator.
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders became the first elected female governor of Arkansas
Looking beyond this, it looks like the heightened volatility in stocks and the majority of other futures sectors is here for the long run. You’re seeing big price swings due to factors like the war in Ukraine, elevated oil prices, residual supply chain issues, historically elevated grain & food prices and global central banks’ efforts to tame inflation, just to name some of the more influential forces. We’ll be apprised yet again of the inflation situation here in the U.S. with tomorrow’s release of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index Report, which measures the prices paid by consumers for a basket of consumer goods and services (7:30 A.M., Central Time). Due to the Veterans’ Day holiday this Friday, we’ll need to wait ‘til the following Tuesday for the corresponding Producer Price Index.
Dec. Silver traded to 5-month highs yesterday trading a up to $21.72 intraday, off a ±$1.44 ($7,200) move up last Friday. Since then, Dec. gold has increased ±$90/ounce ($9,000) to above $1,700/ounce after posting 19-month lows on Nov. 3.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
Economic Reports, Source:
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.