Weekly Newsletter: Notional Value, May Copper Outlook & Trading Levels for April 8th - Support & Resistance Levels

Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

Weekly Newsletter: Notional Value, May Copper Outlook & Trading Levels for April 8th

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1188

In this issue:
  •  Important Notices – Earnings Season Starts April 12th
  • Trading Resource of the Week – About Contract Notional Value
  • Hot Market of the Week – May Copper
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – RBOB Swing System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices –

  • Market Moving Data Wed. /Thur.  CPI and PPI respectively , w/Jobless Claims Thur. as well
  • 1 Fed discussion RE: new BASEL lll requirements Wed. AM (raises min. Cap Req from 2% to 4.5% for all banks)
  • AG WASDE Thur.
  • Q1 Earnings Season Begins Fri. the 12th Bank Earnings, JPM, C, WFC, BLK all report on this day.

 

 

 

 

Trading Resource of the Week : About Contract Notional Value by CMEgroup.com

Contract Unit
The contract unit is a standardized size unique to each futures contract and can be based on volume, weight, or a financial measurement, depending on the contract and the underlying product or market.
For example, a single COMEX Gold contract unit (GC) is 100 troy ounces, which is measured by weight.
A NYMEX WTI Crude Oil contract unit (CL) is 1,000 barrels of oil, measured by volume.
The E-mini S&P 500 contract unit (ES) is a financial calculation based on a fixed multiplier times the S&P 500 Index.
Contract Notional Value
Contract notional value, also known as contract value, is the financial expression of the contract unit and the current futures contract price.
Determining Notional Value
Assume a Gold futures contract is trading at price of $1,000. The notional value of the contract is calculated by multiplying the contract unit by the futures price.
Contract unit x contract price = notional value
100 (troy ounces) x $1,000 = $100,000
If WTI Crude Oil is trading at $50 dollars and the contract unit is 1000 barrels, the notional would be;
$50 x 1,000 = $50,000
Now assume E-mini S&P 500 futures are trading at 2120.00. The multiplier for this contract is $50.
$50 x 2120.00 = $106,000

 

 

  • Hot Market of the Week – May Copper
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
May Copper
May copper is completing its third upside PriceCount objective that is consistent with a challenge of the contract high. It would be normal to get a reaction in the form of a near term consolidation or corrective trade, at least, from this level. From here, IF the chart can sustain further gains, we are left with the low percentage fourth upside count to the 4.94 area to aim for (not shown here for presentation purposes).
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
PRODUCT
SYSTEM TYPE
Swing
COST
USD 160 / monthly
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$25,000
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
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Daily Levels for April 8th 2024

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

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