China, Copper and Futures for the last 2 trading days + Trading Levels 4.20.2023
Posted By:- Ilan Levy-Mayer Vice President, Cannon Trading Futures Blog
Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements:
By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
General: Albeit a lurching progression, as it’s coming out of the first quarter, China’s Post-Covid recovery looks to be gaining traction – arguably more so than here in the U.S. – if their trade balance numbers are a good yardstick. Data released early last week showed a meaningfully-above-consensus $88.2 billion surplus, including a year-over-year 14.8% increase in exports (its first YOY gain in six months) and a stout 28% monthly increase in crude oil imports (12.3 million barrels per day) over February. Iron ore and coal imports also showed considerable month-over month gains. We keep an eye on this country’s economic health because it accounts for ±18% – almost a fifth of the world’s GDP, second to the U.S. at ±25%. The next 10 countries combined, including Japan, Germany, the U.K., India, Canada and South Korea account for another ±30%.
With their economies in competition with each other, further recovery for China against the U.S.’s current grind to control inflation and stave off a recession – even the slightest of one – puts pressure on the dollar, now ±6 months in decline from its 20-year highs. This bodes well for physical commodities such as copper, crude oil grains and soy complex markets. Keep an eye on the world economic picture – particularly China’s journey to recovery – to provide guidance for your trades.
Plan your trade and trade your plan.
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Futures Trading Levels
for 04-20-2023
Economic Reports, Source:
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.