NFP Tomorrow, September Dollar Index, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Crucial Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on August 1st, 2025

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NFP Tomorrow

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

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Prepare for Tomorrow’s First Friday: NFP Meets Month-Start Volume

Tomorrow marks the first Friday of the month, which means two things for futures and FX traders: the release of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report and the natural volume uptick that often comes with month-beginning flows. Combining a high-impact economic release with typically heavier order flow sets the stage for elevated volatility—and potential opportunity.

Why NFP Drives Volatility

– The headline jobs number and the unemployment rate are among the most influential data points for Fed policy expectations.

– Surprises (even by a few thousand jobs) can trigger immediate swings in stock index futures, Treasury futures, FX and commodities.

– High-frequency and algorithmic traders often reload positions right before and after the print, amplifying short-term moves.

Month-Start Volume Patterns

– Corporate and institutional managers adjust exposures at month boundaries, generating extra order flow in equity and bond futures.

– Portfolio rebalancing, pension contributions, and cash withdrawals/additions create natural buy/sell pressure.

– Combining these flows with an NFP release can lead to deeper liquidity pockets—but also faster fills and bigger gaps.

Key Trading Considerations

1. Pre-print positioning

– Lighten large directional bets ahead of the 8:30 am Eastern release.

– Identify key levels (prior-month high/low, round numbers) to bracket potential moves.

2. Execution tools

– Use volume- or range-bar charts to filter noise during rapid price swings.

– Consider spread or straddle strategies to capture volatility without outright directional risk.

3. Risk management

– Widen initial stops to account for wider spreads and slippage.

– Trade smaller size or switch to highly liquid markets (e.g., E-mini S&P, 30-year bonds) if you’re concerned about whipsaw.

Action Plan for Tomorrow

– Monitor the Atlanta Fed’s jobs tracker and ADP release for hints of the NFP surprise factor.

– Set alerts at your chosen intraday levels and be ready to step aside if the market action outpaces your risk limits.

– After the print, watch volume‐profile clusters for early signs of trend continuation or exhaustion.

Tomorrow’s convergence of NFP data and month-start flows often produces some of the liveliest—and most tradable (riskier?)—sessions of the calendar. Prepare your playbook, mind your risk, and get ready to capture high-probability setups. Good luck!

 

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September Dollar Index

The September dollar index found stability earlier this month and now it has activated upside PriceCount objectives on the correction. The first count projects a possible run to the 100.58 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Aug 1st, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Corn, Soybean, Copper, Crude Oil; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 31st, 2025

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Corn

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

By Mark O’ Brien, Senior Broker

corn

General:

The Federal Reserve held rates steady for a fifth straight meeting today but faced rare dissents from two officials seeking an immediate cut. Officials maintained their benchmark policy rate in a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. Dissent came from two Fed governors and marks the first meeting since 2020 in which more than one Fed official voted differently than chair Powell, and the first since 1993 in which more than one board governor dissented.

Grains: Soybean, Corn

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures fell for the fourth consecutive session today, dragged down by favorable weather across the U.S. Midwest and sluggish export demand, analysts said. Weighing on prices were forecasts for cooler temperatures and periodic rainfall in the U.S. Midwest, bolstering expectations for big U.S. soy and corn harvests. Prior to tomorrow’s First Notice Day for the contract, August futures touched $9.77 3/4 per bushel, its lowest price of the year. Sept. corn futures matched yesterday’s intraday low of $3.87 3/4 per bushel, nearly a 2-year low.

Energy: Crude Oil

Crude futures rose for the third day, buoyed by concerns U.S. sanctions could reduce flows of Russian crude, optimism over trade deals such as those with the EU and Japan.

Focus ahead will be on the weekend meeting where OPEC+ will determine September output levels. The September West Texas futures contract on the NYMEX traded above $70/barrel for the first time since June 23, a ±$5.00/barrel in three trading sessions, equal to a $5,000 per contract move.

Metals: Copper

Last week, copper futures hit a new record high with the front month September contract trading to $5.9585/lb. Today, U.S. President Donald Trump signed a proclamation ordering 50% tariffs on certain copper imports, citing national security. However, the levies applied only to semi-finished products, such as copper pipes and wires and so-called derivate products such as pipe fittings and cables. It excluded refined materials such as copper ores and concentrates. Reacting to the anticipated limited impact on the base metal, September copper futures plunged over $1.20/lb. to below $4.60/lb. – a ±19% drubbing and a ±$30,000 per contract move for the contract, the largest single-day decline since 1989.

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December Corn

December Corn is testing support against the contract low and key reversal. If violated, new sustained lows would project a potential slide to the third PriceCount objective to the $3.88 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 31st, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Crude Oil, The Dollar, FOMC, September KC Wheat, Levels, Reports; Your 6 Crucial Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 30th, 2025

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Dollar Strength, Crude Oil Rally’s hard, FOMC tomorrow

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

crude oil

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting tomorrow, July 30, 2025. Market analysts and interest rate traders currently assign a very high probability—over 95%- a pause, with no rate hike or cut anticipated at this meeting.

Economists are expecting the first look at US 2Q 2025 GDP to show the economy grew by +2.4% on quarter over quarter terms, if realized that would be up from the final 1Q report -0.5% contraction. The advanced 2Q 2025 chain weighted price index is expected up +2.3%, and compares with the final 1Q report, up +3.8%. The data will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning.

The Crude market rally’s hard today on news Trump threatens 100% tariff on China if it continues to buy Russian crude oil. Front month September +$2.77 as of this writing. $2700.00 per contract. Crude has rallied nearly $5.00 bbl since the opening of Sunday evenings session. Yesterday’s OPEC+ maintained its current oil output policy at the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting, with no changes to production plans.

The JMMC (Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee) emphasized the critical importance of full conformity with agreed production levels, noting uneven compliance among some members.

The US Dollar may have bottomed in the short term as the past week we have seen signs of life. A 2.5% rally from the July 1 lows. The awakening of the dollar is not bullish for our export markets.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  GDP, FOMC Rate decision, EIA Crude Stocks, Beige book

FED:  Rate decision @ 1:00pm, followed by 1:30 press conference.

Earnings:  Qualcomm, Meta, Microsoft

Tariff news:   Anything goes!

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September KC – Chicago Wheat

The September KC – Chicago wheat spread came up short of its low percentage fourth downside PriceCount objective early this month. Now, on the correction we have activated upside objectives. The first count projects a recovery to the -3 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 30th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Risk Management, Trading Psychology, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Expert Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 25th, 2025

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Trading Futures – Risk Management & Trading Psychology

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Risk management and trading psychology are two critical aspects of success in the futures and commodities markets. Effective risk management strategies and a solid understanding of trading psychology are essential for traders to navigate the complexities of these markets and achieve long-term profitability. In this comprehensive discussion, we will delve into risk management techniques such as stop-loss orders, position sizing, diversification, and hedging strategies. Additionally, we will explore the psychological aspects of trading, including managing emotions, discipline, patience, and mental resilience.
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Risk Management Strategies

Stop-Loss Orders

Stop-loss orders are one of the most widely used risk management tools in futures trading. A stop-loss order is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a futures contract once the price reaches a specified level, known as the stop price. The purpose of a stop-loss order is to limit potential losses by automatically closing out a position if the market moves against the trader beyond a certain point.

For a theoretical example, if a trader buys a crude oil futures contract at $60 per barrel, they may set a stop-loss order at $55 per barrel. If the price of crude oil drops to $55, the stop-loss order will trigger, and the trader’s position will be automatically liquidated, limiting their loss to $5 per barrel.

Position Sizing

Position sizing refers to the process of determining the appropriate size of a futures position based on factors such as risk tolerance, account size, and market conditions. Proper position sizing is crucial for managing risk and avoiding overexposure to the market.

Traders often use a percentage-based approach to position sizing, where they risk a certain percentage of their account equity on each trade. For example, a trader may decide to risk 2% of their account equity on any single trade. If they have a $50,000 trading account, they would risk $1,000 on a trade, adjusting the position size based on the distance between the entry price and the stop-loss level.

Diversification

Diversification involves spreading risk across different asset classes, markets, or instruments to reduce overall portfolio risk. In futures trading, diversification can be achieved by trading multiple contracts across various sectors, such as energy, agriculture, metals, and financials.

By diversifying their trading portfolio, traders can potentially offset losses in one market with gains in another, reducing the impact of adverse price movements on their overall profitability. However, it’s essential to note that diversification does not eliminate risk entirely but rather helps manage and spread it.

Hedging Strategies

Hedging is a risk management technique used to protect against adverse price movements in the market. Futures traders often use hedging strategies to offset the risk of their primary positions or to hedge against external factors such as currency fluctuations or geopolitical events.

Common hedging strategies in futures trading include:

  • Short Hedging: Selling futures contracts to offset the risk of a long position in the underlying asset. For example, a farmer may sell corn futures to hedge against price declines in the physical corn they produce.
  • Long Hedging: Buying futures contracts to offset the risk of a short position in the underlying asset. For instance, an airline company may buy crude oil futures to hedge against rising fuel prices.

Trading Psychology

Managing Emotions

Emotions play a significant role in trading decisions, often leading to impulsive actions and irrational behavior. Effective traders learn to manage their emotions, including fear, greed, and euphoria, to make objective and rational trading decisions.

Managing emotions involves:

  • Developing a trading plan with predefined entry and exit criteria.
  • Sticking to the plan and avoiding emotional reactions to market fluctuations.
  • Practicing mindfulness and emotional awareness to identify and control emotional triggers.

Discipline

Discipline is crucial for success in futures trading. It involves following a consistent trading strategy, adhering to risk management rules, and maintaining a structured approach to trading.

Key aspects of discipline include:

  • Following trading rules and strategies without deviation.
  • Avoiding impulsive trades or revenge trading after losses.
  • Accepting losses as part of trading and learning from mistakes.

Patience

Patience is a virtue in futures trading, especially when waiting for favorable trading opportunities and allowing trades to develop according to the plan. Impatience can lead to premature entries or exits, increasing the risk of losses.

Practicing patience involves:

  • Waiting for confirmation signals and setups before entering trades.
  • Avoiding overtrading and chasing the market.
  • Allowing trades sufficient time to reach their targets or stop-loss levels.

Mental Resilience

Mental resilience is the ability to bounce back from losses, setbacks, and challenges in trading. It involves maintaining a positive mindset, learning from failures, and staying focused on long-term goals.

Building mental resilience includes:

  • Developing a growth mindset and embracing failures as learning opportunities.
  • Staying adaptable and flexible in response to changing market conditions.
  • Seeking support from mentors, peers, or trading communities during challenging times.

Risk management strategies and trading psychology are integral components of successful futures trading. Traders must implement effective risk management techniques such as stop-loss orders, position sizing, diversification, and hedging to protect their capital and manage market risk. Additionally, understanding and mastering trading psychology, including managing emotions, discipline, patience, and mental resilience, are crucial for making rational decisions and maintaining consistent profitability in the dynamic and competitive futures and commodities markets. By combining robust risk management practices with a disciplined and resilient trading mindset, traders can enhance their trading performance and achieve their financial goals.

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October Hogs

October hogs recently satisfied the second downside PriceCount objective and corrected higher. A further recovery above the July reactionary high would formally negate the remaining unmet downside counts.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 25th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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E-Mini, September Yen, Natural Gas, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 24th, 2025

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Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

By Mark O’ Brien, Senior Broker

e-mini

Stock Indexes:

E-Mini

Stock index futures climbed today on the heels of news the U.S. struck a trade deal with Japan. The September E-mini Dow Jones contract rose more than 450 points, a ±$2,250-per contract move (>1%) and nearing its first record close of 2025. The E-mini S&P 500 moved up ±45 points, also a ±$2,250-point move and the E-mini Nasdaq rose ±60 points, both once again pacing for record closes.

Futures are readying for a big test in Google-parent Alphabet and Tesla’s earnings due after the bell, the first of the “Magnificent Seven” to report.

Energy:

Natural Gas

With elevated supply overshadowing demand, August natural gas futures floundered through midday today trading lower for a third consecutive session this week to an intraday low of $3.061, nearing an 8-month low of $2.974 posted intraday on Nov.4, 2024. The contract has made a ±$20,000 move down after trading briefly above $5.000 in early March.

Metals:

Gold

While gold futures are up around 30% so far this year (credit the global trade war, geopolitical risks and central bank buying as key drivers for the precious metals’ rally, that same trade deal saw Dec. Gold register a ±$45 per ounce loss today and once again trading back near $3,400 per ounce.

Copper futures hit a new record today as the U.S. market continues to brace itself for a 50% tariff next month. The most active September contracts on the CME soared as much to $5.930 per lb., a new all-time intraday high.

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September Japanese Yen

September Yen satisfied its second downside PriceCount recently and is correcting higher. IF the chart can resume its slide with new sustained lows, the third count would project a possible run to the 6528 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 24th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Trade and Risk Management, September OJ, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Inspiring Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 23rd, 2025

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Risk Management

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

risk management

Trade and Risk Management

Course Overview 14 minutes

“If you have an approach that makes money, then money management can make the difference between success and failure…I try to be conservative in my risk management. I want to make sure I’ll be around to play tomorrow. Risk control is essential.” – Monroe Trout, Trout Trading

START the FREE Course

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September OJ

September Orange Juice is breaking out of a multi month range trade and is activating upside PriceCounts in the process. The first possible price objective is in the 400 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 23rd, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Summer Trading, E-Mini S&P 500, December Meal V. Corn Spread, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 22nd, 2025

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Summer Trading

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

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Summer Trading at the Halfway Point

Today’s E-mini S&P 500 (ES) futures volume clocked in at just 874,000 contracts—a level we haven’t seen in months. Summer trading often brings thinner liquidity and choppier price action, so adapting your strategy is key.

To capture steadier intraday moves, diversify into other high-liquidity markets like gold futures, crude oil, and 30-year Treasury bond futures, where volume and volatility tend to hold up better in the off-season.

Also, swapping out time-based bars for range bars or volume bars will filter out noise and highlight true buying and selling pressure, giving you cleaner signals for entries, stops, and exits.

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December Meal vs. Corn Spread – in cents/lb

The Dec Meal vs. Corn protein spread satisfied its second downside PriceCount objective to the 6.48 and is correcting higher. At this point, IF the chart can resume its break with new sustained lows, the third count would project a possible drop to the 5.05 area. While this spread is historically narrow already, a 5 cent spread is not unprecedented; we have traded at sub 3 cents in the past.

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Daily Levels for July 22nd, 2025

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Updates, Fed Speakers, Trillions in Earnings, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of July 21st, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1250

  • The Week Ahead – Trillion $ Earnings, Fed Speakers & More!

  • Futures 101 – Basics in Futures Trading

  • Hot Market of the Week – October Sugar

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Gold Swing Trading System

  • Trading Levels for Next Week

  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

market

The Week Ahead,

The First Trillion-dollar market cap companies to report Q2 earnings, Google and Tesla.

The final Fed Speakers before the 8-day blackout will be Chair Powell and on Tuesday

Subdued Volatility, from the geopolitical front for the moment as tensions between Iran/Israel have relaxed in the near term. Of note, an Iranian proxy, Hamas spokesman willing to release all hostages to end the war. So far, the oil market has only moderately been affected by the Russia/Ukraine conflict.

Tariff impacts are creating volatility in commodity markets (industrial metals, Orange Juice, Coffee, Grains) look for news about China, Canada and Mexico Tariffs in the next 13 days to impact equity, bond and commodity prices.

Remember that current market drivers for Equities are hard data on Jobs, Inflation, Trump tweets and Geopolitics, clearly the Israel/Iran conflict jumps to the top of the list here. Watch for the gold market to maintain its rangebound stance.

Continued volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of Big Earnings, Fed Speak and U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Coca-Cola, Phillip Morris, Lockheed Martin
  • Wed. Google, Tesla, IBM, CME group
  • Thu. Blackstone, Intel
  • Fri.   Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

  • Mon.   Quiet
  • Tues.  7:30 am CT Fed Chair Powell, Noon CT, Vice Fed Chair for Supervision Bowman
  • Wed.  8 Day Blackout period begins for the July 30th Rate decision
  • Thu.   Quiet
  • Fri.     Quiet

Economic Data week:

  • Mon.  CB Leading Index
  • Tue.    Redbook, Richmond Fed
  • Wed. Existing Home Sales, EIA Crude Stocks, Beige book
  • Thur.  Chgo. Fed Activity Index, Bldg. Permits, Jobless claims, PMI, New Home Sales, EIA NAT       GAS Storage, K. City Fed Activity index
  • Fri.  Durable Goods
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First Steps in Trading Futures Market Basics

  1. Patience for a real clear situation.
  2. Trends and sound fundamentals are almost perfect market tone.
  3. Calculate risk reward: at least a 1 to 3 ratio.
  4. Place stops beyond some technical barrier, a hard-to-reach spot.

Read Report Now  

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

October Sugar

October Sugar came close enough to completing third wave PriceCount objective of 15.12 and reversed higher. Now the chart has activated upside PriceCounts as seen below with 17.19 being first objective.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Intr. Swing71_Full v.2.3 _ Gold GC

Markets Traded:   Gold Futures GC

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $45,000

Developer Fee per contract: $160 Monthly Subscription

 

Get Started

Learn More

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Disclaimer

The risk of trading can be substantial, and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURE

Futures trading is complex and carries the risk of substantial losses. It is not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.

The returns for trading systems listed throughout this website are hypothetical in that they represent returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real-time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on backadjusted data (backadjusted).

Please read carefully the CFTC required disclaimer regarding hypothetical results below. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT.

IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for July 21st, 2025

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Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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CPI, PPI, Crude Oil, Treasury Bonds, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 16th, 2025

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CPI Gone, PPI & Beige Book Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

cpi

  C.P.I. has come and gone

In what used to create excess volatility, the C.P.I. posted it’s numbers pre stock market opening and was met by futures market equity participants with little enthusiasm. PPI, which has always followed a day later, will be released tomorrow .

The Mini S&P had a 15 point swing in less then twenty minutes and proceeded to trade lower, slowly throughout the live session. The Mini-Nasdaq popped with a 71 point range as it too, slowly marched with little enthusiasm lower the rest of the day.

It can be said that the only thing moving the markets these days in a consistent direction has been  a focus on tariffs. Not monetary policy, not fiscal policy, as more data is released, the negative cloud over the markets had been inflation and the effects tariffs would have on inflation. The economic data is just not materializing as Tariff hawks would have been inclined to bet the farm on.

Today, major earnings were reported in the first tranche of earnings reports for Q2 from the banks   JPM, Wells Fargo, Blackrock, Citi, B of NY, State Street. Tomorrow, we continue with more large money center banks namely PNC, B of A, J & J, Gold Sachs, Morgan Stanely in addition to Alcoa, a market measure of industrial demand.

 Tomorrow: 

Econ Data:  PPI, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production, EIA Crude Stocks, Beige book

       FED  8:15am CT Hammack, 9 am Barr, 5:30 pm Willams

Earnings: PNC, B of A, J & J, Gold Sachs, M. Stanely, Alcoa

Tariff news:  Anything goes!

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September Lumber

September lumber satisfied its second upside PriceCount objective and is correcting lower. From here, IF the chart can sustain further strength we have the ‘liberation day’ gap to aim for followed by the third count to the 714 area which would be consistent with a challenge of the contract high. The low percentage fourth count – not shown here – comes in at 836.

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Daily Levels for July 16th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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CPI Tomorrow, Crude Oil, September Silver, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 15th, 2025

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CPI Tomorrow

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

CPI

cpi

Tomorrow’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) release is poised to set the tone for equity markets—with consensus expecting only a modest month-over-month uptick in headline inflation and core readings to remain steady, any upside surprise could trigger sharp moves in stock index futures.

Against the backdrop of trading volumes that have been running at their lowest levels in over two months, thinner liquidity may magnify those swings.

Crude Oil

That makes it an ideal moment to diversify your day-trading playbook: crude oil futures still react vigorously to geopolitical headlines and inventory reports, while 30-year Treasury bond futures offer a lower-correlation alternative when equity volumes ebb.

Please see reports scheduled for tomorrow as we have plenty of Fed speakers scheduled and stock index futures will listen.

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September Silver

September silver is accelerating to the topside where the first upside PriceCount objective has been satisfied. It would be normal to get a near term reaction form this level int eh form of a consolidation or corrective trade. If the chart can sustain further strength, the second count would project a possible run to the 42.03 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 15th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

 Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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