Report May Lead to Large Market Moves | Support and Resistance Levels

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. Notice to the Futures Trader
4. Economic Reports

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1. Market Commentary

The main thing about tomorrows report is the MARKET PERCEPTION of the data….

If the market takes the data in a positive way, we may see 1175 and maybe higher on the mini SP 500, on the other hand if the market “does not like the data”…then 1129 will be the first stop on the way down.

By the way you can listen to the SP500 squawk box live tomorrow ( you can login before the market open and listen to the un employment data as it comes out live.)

The trial is open this week and will be available until market close on Oct.7th so visit: traderaudio.com to start listening now.

Username: open

Password: squawk

Continue reading “Report May Lead to Large Market Moves | Support and Resistance Levels”

Watch for the Friday Unemployment Report | Support and Resistance Levels

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. Daily Mini Russell 2000 Futures Chart
4. Economic Reports

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1. Market Commentary

The long signal we got yesterday after the close ( which I shared on this blog yesterday afternoon) turned to be valid.

What stands in the way of more meaningful rally is this friday morning unemployment report.

If the market takes the data in a positive way, we may see 686 followed by 726 on the mini Russell daily chart below. But that’s a big if and time will tell…

By the way, you can listen to the SP500 squawk box live tomorrow and Friday ( you can login before the market open and listen to the data as it comes out live.)

The trial is open this week and will be available until market close on Oct.7th so visit: traderaudio.com to start listening now:

Username: open

Password: squawk

Daily chart of Mini Russell 2000 for your review below: Continue reading “Watch for the Friday Unemployment Report | Support and Resistance Levels”

What to do in Market Conditions of High Volatility and Increased Range | Support and Resistance Levels

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. Daily Mini S&P 500 Futures Chart
4. Economic Reports

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1. Market Commentary

Big volume day. We made new lows but then reversed and rallied strong into the last hour.

Bear market rallies can be pretty vicious…. If we would have taken out yesterdays high on this rally, the buy signal you see in the chart below would have been pretty powerful, but as is if this market can maintain the “legs” it showed today, we can see a test of 1154.

Should be another interesting trading day tomorrow.

Regardless of the market direction, understand that as volatility and ranges increase, one needs to adjust their trading size LOWER in order not to get “stopped by noise”.

Below is a daily chart of the mini SP Continue reading “What to do in Market Conditions of High Volatility and Increased Range | Support and Resistance Levels”

October Markets May Revisit August Lows | Support and Resistance Levels

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. Daily Mini S&P 500 Futures Chart
4. Economic Reports

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1. Market Commentary

First trading day of October started negative for stock indices and it seems that a retest of 1070 lows from August is on the way.

October however, started very positive for my day-trading model/ ALGO.

What you see below is a screen shot from the last hour or so of trading on the mini SP. You will notice DIAMONDS markings on the chart. These markings appear BEFORE THE BAR STARTS and are an output of what I have been working for over two years in an attempt to find an indicator that is LEADING by nature and NOT LAGGING….obviously not all days are as powerful as what you see in the chart below but for me this has been the one day-trading tool I have the most confidence in so far.

The DIAMONDS ALGO and a few other studies are available for traders to try using sierra charts, where one can apply the ALGO on different markets and different time frames at anytime on their PC (my recommended method) and/or via my webinar, where one is limited to see the few charts I share during US stock market hours. You can have a trial of either one if you have NOT had one before. Continue reading “October Markets May Revisit August Lows | Support and Resistance Levels”

Market Analysis of the S&P500 PIT Session Hourly Chart | Support and Resistance Levels

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. Daily S&P 500 Futures Chart
4. Economic Reports

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1. Market Commentary

I am back talking about the gaps and the PIT session SP500 as I have been for the last few days.

We closed the gap at 1159 going down today and a look at hourly chart suggest that the short term gaps are all filled. Bit oversold on the downside but overall my indicators suggest short to medium term further downside pressure – however the market will need to take out 1070 before we can see another leg down, until then we should see volatility both ways. Continue reading “Market Analysis of the S&P500 PIT Session Hourly Chart | Support and Resistance Levels”

Trade With Caution, FOMC Day Tomorrow | Support and Resistance Levels

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. Daily Mini S&P 500 Futures Chart
4. Economic Reports
5. Earnings Releases

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1. Market Commentary

 

Front month for Equities (eminis), currencies, bonds and financials and many other markets is now December. You should not be trading almost any September contract of any market.

Note to our clients who are trading with TransactAT:

The latest version is now TransactAT 5.2.2 (download). The newer version can be installed over the older version. Please contact you broker if you need any help.

FOMC tomorrow and before that more than a few economic numbers.

FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.

If you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market- FAST.

My observations suggest choppy, low volume up until announcement, followed by some some sharp volatile moves right during and after the announcement. However, with tomorrow early morning reports, we may see more volatility during first couple of hours as well.

My SWING trading model is currently short the mini Russell from 693 ( target around 672, stop around 716) which may not suite everyone’s stomach ahead of the what maybe volatile overnight and tomorrows FOMC session, but chart for your review below.

If you would like to be included on my SWING trade ideas, send me an email. Continue reading “Trade With Caution, FOMC Day Tomorrow | Support and Resistance Levels”

Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks Tomorrow | Support and Resistanec Levels

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. Economic Reports

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1. Market Commentary

FRONT MONTH FOR EQUITIES AND BONDS IS DECEMBER

SYMBOL FOR DECEMBER IS Z

Good article on our weekly futures newsletter regarding “knowing your risk” Continue reading “Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks Tomorrow | Support and Resistanec Levels”

Gaps in the Underlying Asset for the Mini S&P 500 | Support and Resistance Levels

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. December Mini S&P 500 Continuous Futures chart
4. Economic Reports

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1. Market Commentary

FRONT MONTH FOR EQUITIES AND BONDS IS DECEMBER

SYMBOL FOR DECEMBER IS Z

When looking at the pit SP 500 ( or what some call the “big SP” as each point is $250 or one big SP = 5 emini sp….) what we see is plenty of GAPS.

These GAPS are a result of overnight moves ( the PIT SP follows the cash stock index of SP500, which is the underlying asset for the future contracts. It is one of the reasons that GAPS on the SP are watched by certain traders and there is a saying ” all GAPS get filled” and if I may add, the question is really when….

Below is an SP500, pit session, hourly chart for your review. I marked the few gaps we had recently with circles. The diamonds that appear are my condition/ ALGO that I have programmed and in this case, the red diamond alerts me for a potential sell for the night session/ early trading tomorrow. Continue reading “Gaps in the Underlying Asset for the Mini S&P 500 | Support and Resistance Levels”

NYMEX Energy Futures Margin Requirements Changes – Heating Oil Futures and RBOB Gasoline Futures

Please be aware of margin requirement changes for selected energy futures contracts starting after the close of business on Monday, September 12, 2011. Below we provided a few selected contract changes.

NYMEX Heating Oil Futures Margin Requirement Changes

CC Rate Type Description Change ISO Current Initial Current Maintenance New Initial New Maintenance
HO Spec Tier 1 Decr. USD 9,788 7,250 8.775 6,500
HO Hedge/Member Tier 1 Decr. USD 7,250 7,250 6,500 6,500
HO Spec Tier 2 Decr. USD 9.788 7,250 8,775 6,500
HO Hedge/Member Tier 2 Decr. USD 7.250 7,250 6,500 6,500
HO Spec Tier 3 Decr. USD 9,788 7,250 8,775 6,500
HO Hedge/Member Tier 3 Decr. USD 7,250 7,250 6,500 6,500
HO Spec Tier 4 Decr. USD 9,450 7,000 8,438 6,250
HO Hedge/Member Tier 4 Decr. USD 7,000 7,000 6,250 6,250

 

NYMEX RBOB Gasoline Futures Margin Requirement Changes

CC Rate Type Description Change ISO Current Initial Current Maintenance New Initial New Maintenance
RT Spec Tier 1 Decr. USD 11,475 8,500 10,463 7,750
RT Hedge/Member Tier 1 Decr. USD 8,500 8,500 7,750 7,750
RT Spec Tier 2 Decr. USD 11,475 8,500 10,463 7,750
RT Hedge/Member Tier 2 Decr. USD 8,500 8,500 7,750 7,750
RT Spec Tier 3 Decr. USD 11,138 8,500 10,125 7,750
RT Hedge/Member Tier 3 Decr. USD 8,250 8,500 7,500 7,750
RT Spec Tier 4 Decr. USD 10,125 7,500 9,113 6,750
RT Hedge/Member Tier 4 Decr. USD 7,500 7,500 6,750 6,750

You can view the rest of the NYMEX energy futures margin requirements changes here: http://www.cmegroup.com/tools-information/lookups/advisories/clearing/files/Chadv11-317.pdf

CME Group Moment of Silence During Futures Market Hours | Support and Resistance Levels

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. December Mini S&P 500 Continuous Futures chart
4. Economic Reports
5. Highlighted Earnings Releases

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1. Market Commentary

FRONT MONTH FOR EQUITIES AND BONDS IS DECEMBER

SYMBOL FOR DECEMBER IS Z

On a different note:

On Friday, September 9, 2011, CME Group will observe the tenth anniversary of the attacks on the World Trade Center. As a result, NYMEX/COMEX markets on CME Globex will observe voluntary moments of silence at: 07:46 CT/08:46 ET, 08:03 CT/09:03 ET, 08:59 CT/09:59 ET and 09:29 CT/10:29 ET. We request that all electronic market participants refrain from trading NYMEX and COMEX products on CME Globex and CME ClearPort during these moments of silence

December mini SP continuous chart for your review below: Continue reading “CME Group Moment of Silence During Futures Market Hours | Support and Resistance Levels”