Commodities and Tariffs, Crude Oil, AG & Energies, September KC Wheat; Your 6 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 8th, 2025

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Commodities Face Pivotal Tariff Week Post 4th of July

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Commodities, Tariffs on the AG & Energy Markets

Description: Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, breaks down the post-holiday movements in the AG & Energy markets. This week’s key drivers include:

  • Crude oil volatility following OPEC’s surprise output announcement.
  • Heavy losses in corn, soybeans, and wheat tied to favorable U.S. weather.
  • Tariff countdown: U.S. trade negotiations with 18 countries near critical deadlines.
  • China’s geopolitical squeeze and strained EU-China relations.
  • Potential impact of new trade frameworks with the EU & Vietnam.

This week is shaping up to be pivotal. Will new trade deals support the commodities? Or will weather and global politics keep pressure on the markets? Don’t forget to Like, Subscribe, and turn on notifications to stay updated on key market insights.

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Sept. Kansas City Wheat

September KC wheat is testing the contract lows established in May. If this support level doesn’t hold, new sustained lows would project a slide to the second downside PriceCount objective to the $5.02 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 8th, 2025

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