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Dear Traders,
Bitcoin: Will Stunning Rally Sustain or Sour in 2018?
- 4 Dec 2017
- By Erik Norland
- Topics: FX, Equity Index, Metals
Our previous article on bitcoin focused on the crypto asset as a currency and delved into the inherent tension in its role as a medium of exchange and a store of value. This paper examines why bitcoin is so volatile; its supply and demand drivers, and how the cryptocurrency compares to commodities.
What is most striking about the economics of bitcoin is the certainty of its supply and the vagaries of demand. The rate at which bitcoin is mined has been highly predictable and unlike almost any other asset – currencies or commodities – its ultimate supply is a known quantity, fixed well in advance. There will never be more than 21 million bitcoins. This feature makes supply almost perfectly inelastic. No matter how high prices go, miners will not produce more than 21 million coins. Moreover, price increases won’t necessarily incentivize a more rapid mining of bitcoin. Even if they did, it would only influence miners to create more bitcoin today at the expense of creating less in the future since the total supply will reach a hard, asymptotic limit of 21 million coins…..Read the Rest
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