FOMC: FED left rates unchanged. Now what?
Post-Press Conference Takeaway

The Federal Reserve maintained the federal-funds target at 3.75%–4.00%, described economic activity as “strong,” said inflation remains elevated, and had two dissenters who preferred an immediate 25-basis-point increase. [federalreserve.gov], [reuters.com]
The Federal Reserve delivered a hawkish hold. Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized strong growth, a healthy labor market, elevated inflation, and said financial conditions have tightened but are not yet tight.
He also avoided forward guidance, leaving a December hike firmly possible. [federalreserve.gov], [cnbc.com]
- Index futures: Neutral to bearish, especially Nasdaq. Strong growth helps earnings, but persistent inflation and potentially higher yields limit upside. Expect rallies to struggle unless Treasury yields decline.
- Gold: Slightly bearish to range-bound near term. Gold was around $4,038, down roughly 0.5%, after the decision. Higher yields and a firm dollar remain headwinds. [cnbc.com]
- Silver: More vulnerable than gold because it combines rate sensitivity with industrial-demand risk. Silver was down about 1.2% following the announcement. [cnbc.com]
- Copper: Mixed. Strong economic growth supports demand, but a stronger dollar and tighter financial conditions could cap gains.
Bottom line: No immediate hike, but no dovish relief either. The Fed appears willing to wait for more data while keeping another hike available. That favors choppy-to-lower index futures and metals, unless yields and the dollar reverse lower. Tomorrow’s PCE inflation and GDP reports are now the next major catalysts. [cnbc.com], [federalreserve.gov]
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