Trading Commodity Futures


Jim Wyckoff’s Points for Trading Progress/ Success, & Economic Reports 6.26.2014

June 25th, 2014 Filed under Future Trading News | Comment (0)

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday June 26, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

10 Key Questions on Measuring Your Trading Progress, SuccessBy Jim Wyckoff

 

At some point in nearly everyone’s trading timelines, they wonder how their trading successes (or failures) compare with those of other traders. Wondering just how well you stack up to other traders in the industry is a natural curiosity and a human psychological tendency. However, actually knowing the success or failure rates of others doesn’t do a lot to move you farther down the road of where you want to be regarding trading success.

Most traders also wonder about the success rates of the “professional” traders-the ones who make their living solely by the profits they generate from trading. I will provide you with an answer to this question at the end of this feature.

Below are 10 questions regarding measuring your own trading progress and success. These questions should help you determine where you stand in this challenging field of endeavor.

1. What is trading “success?” This is a most basic question. Most would agree that ultimate trading success is defined as being profitable at trading-making more money than you lose. There are other secondary factors that also define success in trading, such as finding a “balance” between trading and other life activities. But it’s being profitable at trading that is the benchmark of defining success.

2. What is trading “progress?” Beginning traders should not expect to have immediate and ultimate success trading futures, stocks or FOREX markets. What they can expect in the early going is to make steady progress through gaining knowledge and experience. Even veteran successful traders continue to make trading progress. Achieving and maintaining trading success requires continual progress-namely continuing to seek out trading and market knowledge. Traders who truly enjoy the “progress” and process of trading do have a significant trading edge over those who do not enjoy learning and gaining experience.

3. At what point in my trading timeline should I expect trading “success?” Trading success (winning trades) can come right away-even for the beginning traders. What is less likely for the inexperienced traders is sustained trading success. Beginners can even run into a “hot streak” that skews the overall reality of trading. Immediate (and likely fleeting) success for a beginning futures trader can do longer-term psychological harm-if he or she does not fully recognize and understand the hard work and perseverance required on the road to trading success. Many times I get questions from less-experienced traders that go something like this: “I’ve been trading two years and I’ve only been able to about break even.”  My reply to them is, “Hey, you should not be too discouraged with those results. Many traders don’t have that kind of success in the early going.”

4. How long will it take to go from being a less-experienced trader to an experienced and hopefully successful trader? Determining a precise timeline at which trading success will arrive will vary greatly among traders. Some beginning traders will spend nearly full time coming up to speed. Others may spend an hour or two a week on the subject. There is no right answer on how much time to spend studying trading and markets. I have many readers who are taking up trading in retirement. I have a few that have taken up trading over the age of 80 years. One is never too young or too old to learn about markets and trading. A general rule would be for a beginning trader not to expect sustained trading success within a few months. More likely is a timeframe of a few years to achieve sustained trading success. Now you see why money management is so important in futures trading. You have to survive before you can succeed!

5. When should I “throw in the towel” and admit that trading is not for me? There is no one right answer to this question. If trading is making you miserable and creating other bad habits (kicking the dog), then it’s time to quit-or at least take an extended break. If you do not have the financial resources to trade futures, then you should not participate. Futures trading should be conducted only with money a trader can stand to lose, without impacting other more important obligations, such as grocery and rent money. It is important to point out that the beginning futures traders who “flame out” first are usually the ones who did not have the financial resources to trade futures in the first place.

6. Am I still hungry for trading and market knowledge? One should never stop endeavoring to gain more knowledge about markets and trading. Even the successful veterans who’ve been in the business for many, many years will say that they are still learning on a daily basis. If you are still striving to learn more about this business–and are enjoying doing it–then that’s a positive signal.

7. How many trading losers should I absorb before I change my trading plan of action? This is a real tough one to answer. Again, there is no single right answer. However, if you believe you have a well-founded and thoroughly researched trading plan of action, don’t abandon it just because you are on a losing streak. All traders have winning and losing streaks. That’s a part of trading. Traders enjoy the winning streaks and do not enjoy the losing streaks. But during the losing streaks they forge ahead, knowing that their plan of action is still solid. Trading plans can certainly be tweaked, such as trading fewer contracts or trading less frequently during a losing streak. For most traders, a complete overhaul of one’s trading plan is probably a last resort that merits much consideration.

8. How can I keep myself motivated on the winding road to trading success?  Traders who enjoy the entire process of trading don’t really need a lot of motivational help because they are already fascinated by what they are reading and learning. But during a losing streak or some other “dry spell” in trading-when morale can slip-it is prudent to read some trading books that are based less on specific methodologies and more on trading psychology. Attending trading seminars is a great way for a trader to become reinvigorated. (And it’s also a great value to those already invigorated!) You not only will gain fresh trading and market knowledge, but you also will get to see and speak with the seminar lecturers as well as traders who are in the same position as you.

9.  How much should I listen to other traders when trying to evaluate my own trading progress or my own trading plan? It is good to have a trading partner or “buddies” with whom to share your ideas and to discuss markets and trading. The learning curve improves when a trader has another trader or traders with similar experience with whom to share ideas. It is also beneficial to have an experienced mentor to help guide you through the “rough waters” that all traders experience at times. But at some point, most traders do want to be more or less autonomous in their decision-making. As many traders gain more experience, knowledge and confidence, they will use outside influences as “second opinions” to reinforce or provide another angle to their own sound opinions. Many traders also have full-time “day jobs” and need outside sources to help save them time and to keep track of what’s going on in all the markets.

10. What is the average success rate of the “professional” trader? I have not seen any “official” studies of the percentage of winning trades of the average professional trader. However, it is generally agreed upon by many in our industry that the better professional traders have a winning percentage of around 4 out of every10 trades-or a 40% winning percentage. Breaking this down even further, it is estimated that half of the winning trades are only small winners and not much better than break-even. Thus, it can be loosely extrapolated that most of the professional futures traders make most of their money on one or two trades out of every 10. This only underscores the importance of sound money management in futures trading-namely cutting losses short and letting winners run.

That’s it for now. Next time, we’ll examine another important issue on your road to trading success.

Jim Wyckoff is the proprietor of the analytical, educational and trading advisory service, “Jim Wyckoff on the Markets.” He has a website at www.jimwyckoff.com

 

 

 

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How to Trade Copper Futures

March 28th, 2014 Filed under Commodity Trading, Future Trading News, Future Trading Platform, Futures Trading | Comment (0)

Copper Futures Trading is one of the most popular vehicles in the industrial metals market. Copper is used in a wide variety of markets such as construction, plumbing, manufacturing and architecture. With such a wide array of usages, trading copper offers many opportunities for gain. More and more investors are looking to raw commodities as trading vehicles as they provide more liquidity and volatility within their respective markets. Trading raw commodities as futures contracts also allows for better price transparencies.

Copper is usually a great indicator of economic growth within a region. As the demand for copper rises, the more valuable the commodity becomes given its vital contributions to industrial and urban development. Worldwide copper consumption has been on the steady rise since 2011, with China being the world’s top copper consumer. Industrial copper producing companies use the futures market to hedge against losses and for price mitigation. Investors generally use the copper futures market to leverage their capital against price fluctuations to generate returns on their investments.

A copper futures contract represents 25,000 pounds of copper. Standard trading hours operate from Sunday through Friday beginning at 6:00 p.m. until 5:15 p.m. the following day Central Standard Time, allowing a 23 hour trading platform. The 45 minute break allows for the close out on the previous day’s results. Trading in copper futures requires paying close attention to market fluctuations and remaining active on developing markets. Because copper moves within the market at high volatility, neglecting a position for even a short period of the day can be very costly. Below are a few of the most popular exchanges copper futures trade on:

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Crude Oil and Gold Futures Chart, Futures Levels and Economic Reports 2.12.2013

February 11th, 2014 Filed under Commodity Trading, Future Trading News, Futures Trading | Comments Off on Crude Oil and Gold Futures Chart, Futures Levels and Economic Reports 2.12.2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday February 12, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

 

Trader Planet

 

Voted Best Blog 2013 by Trader Planet

Thanks everyone who voted!! Appreciate your help in winning the #1 blog for futures trading by Trader Planet!! Please feel free to forward our daily blog to friends and other fellow traders who might be interested.

Another two markets I like to touch on when it comes to “other markets to daytrade beside the mini SP 500” are crude Oil and Gold futures.

More than a few similarities between the two markets.

They are both volatile, can move VERY fast. I have seen some very large moves happen in matter of minutes if not seconds. The “fear & greed” factor really plays a role in these specific two markets.

Both have active trading hours starting with Far East trading around 10 PM est all the way to the next morning until about 3 PM est. Good volume generally speaking but not close to the mini SP or ten year notes. So you may see some slippage on stops but the volume is more than enough to trade size.

Each tick on gold is $10, so every dollar move =$100 against you or in your favor. Crude is similar, each tick = $10. One full $1 move = $1000.

Both markets were quiet today relatively speaking but even on a quiet day, the range on gold was  $21 or = $2100 wide using one futures contract. Crude ranges today was less than $1 or about $890 between hi/lo.

I like using overbought/ oversold indicators on the two markets as well as using range / Renko charts.

If you never traded these markets before, I highly recommend exploring in simulation/ demo mode. get a feel for the explosiveness, volatility, personality for a few weeks before trying in live mode.

As always, any questions, please feel free to email me.

Two charts from today’s session of gold and crude for your review below ( if you like to try the charts I am using along with indicators displayed, send me an email):

 

Crude 18 ticks range bar Feb. 11th 2014

CLE - Crude Lights (Globex), Equalized Active Continuation - Range Bar 18 Ticks Units

Gold, 36 ticks range bar Feb. 11th 2014

 

GCE - Gold (Globex), Equalized Active Continuation - Range Bar =, 18 Ticks Units

GCE – Gold (Globex), Equalized Active Continuation – Range Bar =, 18 Ticks Units

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ROLLOVER + Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 12.12.2013

December 11th, 2013 Filed under Commodity Trading, Future Trading News, Future Trading Platform, Futures Broker, Futures Trading | Comments Off on ROLLOVER + Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 12.12.2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday December 12, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

Rollover Notice for Stock Index Futures

Important Notice: For those of you trading any stock index futures contracts, i.e., the E-mini S&P, E-mini NASDAQ, E-mini Dow Jones, the “Big” pit-traded S&P 500, etc., it is extremely important to remember that tomorrow, Thursday, December 12th, is rollover day.

Starting December13th, the March 2014 futures contracts will be the front month contracts. It is recommended that all new positions be placed in the March 2014 contract as of December 13th. Volume in the December 13 contracts will begin to drop off until its expiration on Friday December 20th.

The month code for March is H4.

Traders with electronic trading software should make sure that defaults reflect the proper contract as of Thursday morning.

Please close any open December Currency positions by the close on Friday the 13th.Should you have any further question please contact your broker.

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STAR AWARDS – Trading Levels & Economic Reports for 12.03.2013

December 2nd, 2013 Filed under Commodity Trading, Future Trading News, Futures Trading | Comments Off on STAR AWARDS – Trading Levels & Economic Reports for 12.03.2013

Connect with Us! Use Our Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports RSS Feed.

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday December 3, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

I was informed Friday that our blog is being nominated for the STAR award by traderplanet.com which is very nice to hear and know that the work and amount of time we put into it is not going unnoticed!

I have gotten and getting great feedback from many of you and would appreciate if you can take a couple of seconds to vote at:

http://www.traderplanet.com/l/WEd

Trader Planet Award

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