Trading Lessons

Trading Lessons

2021 Key Takeaways, Christmas Holiday Trading Schedule & Support and Resistance Levels 12.23.2021

December 22nd, 2021 Filed under Future Trading News | Comment (0)

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Thursday, December 23, 2021 – Normal Market Close Time.  However, since the markets will remain closed until Sunday – we will require *Any open positions must meet Exchange Maintenance Margin 15 minutes before the market close (3:45 pm CST).

2021 Key Takeaways with Craig Bewick of the

What a year it’s been… again. Even though there are still 7 more trading days left in 2021, and much could change in the next 7 trading days, we decided to take an assessment of where we’ve come since 12/31/2020.
  • S&P 500 and Nasaq-100 futures prices were up by over 20%; E-mini S&P 500 options implied volatility is trading at just about the same level as it was a year ago
  • Even though it’s trading well off its highs of the year, WTI Crude Oil futures prices are up by nearly 50%
  • Gold futures prices were a bit “range bound” this year. However, if we look at implied volatility as one measure of potential price movement, the average closing 30-day implied volatility in 2021 was nearly equal to the average closing level since December of 2011. Also, if we look at it by year, the average closing level in 2021 was 14.2%; higher than 2017 (10.7%), 2018 (9.8%) and 2019 (10.8%).
  • US Treasury yields increased. The 10-Year yield is up from under 1% to nearly 1.5%. We used data from the St. Louis Fed to get the 12/31/21 value and compared it to the current 10-Year Micro Yield futures price so it’s not perfect, but does provide an indication of the yield increase. Of course, as Jim Iuorio pointed out in a recent Yield Insights video that was published here, the last time inflation readings were at the current levels, the 10-Year yield was near 12%.
  • Soybean futures prices, after a year of historic volatility, wound up almost unchanged on the year. We downloaded data from QuikStrike to verify this and included the graph below in which the orange line depicts the price level at the beginning and end of the year.
  • Natural Gas futures prices have also been characterized by historic volatility and, even though they are trading well below this year’s high levels, are still 50% higher than a year ago
  • In a year that saw CME launch several new cryptocurrency products, Bitcoin has increased in price by about 66% and implied volatility, while still among the highest compared to other CME options products, has come down from over 100% to about 78%
So, in a year that was not short of potentially market moving headlines and seemingly as more questions than answers remain, we hope all of our In FOCUS readers have enjoyed our daily commentary.
We wish everyone a very happy and healthy holiday season and good trading year in 2022.
Craig Bewick has spent 25 years in futures and options markets, starting at CBOT and CME working in risk management, regulatory, technology, product management and client development.




Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.


Futures Trading Levels


Economic Reports, Source: 


This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trading Lessons from Janice Dorn | Support and Resistance Levels

November 28th, 2011 Filed under Trading Guide | Comment (0)

Jump to a section in this post:
1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000
3. Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Economic Reports for Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving holiday/ long weekend and are ready for the final stretch of 2011.

Good reading material for your review below:


Janice Dorn, M.D., Ph.D.

Janice Dorn, M.D., Ph.D. is a Financial Psychiatrist and Financial Futurist. Dr. Janice Dorn is believed to be the only Ph.D. (Brain Anatomist) and M.D. (Board-Certified Psychiatrist and Addiction Psychiatrist) in the world who actively trades, writes commentary on the financial markets and coaches fellow traders. Dr. Dorn has been trading the gold futures markets full time since 1993. She has written over 2000 articles on trader and investor psychology, and coached over 600 traders. Her website is and you can sign up to receive all new postings at this link:

Knowing yourself is the beginning of all wisdom…Aristotle

Bobby was a lonely trader who bought a talking bird to keep him company. Little did he know what he was getting himself into, since the minute Bobby tried to put it into a cage, the bird began speaking rapidly:

“Don’t put me in a cage, please. Let me free and I will tell you the three secrets of successful trading? I will, I promise you. Just let me go!”

Bobby was tired, his resistance was low from not working out and eating junk food plus he was on a three-month losing streak. This combination made the bird’s offer irresistible.

“Tell me, bird, what are the secrets?”

“Promise me you’ll pay close attention, Bobby?”


” OK. Here they are:”

Ignore the hype. If something seems too good to be true, it probably is!

Know yourself and what you are capable of doing. Know your strengths and your limitations

Always strive to do good things and don’t forget the good you have done. It comes back to you in ways that you may never suspect.

Bobby was not particularly impressed, especially with the “do good” part, but he let the bird go anyway. Flying away quickly, the bird rested on a tree branch and immediately started touting the trader.

“Hey, trader guy-Guess what? Just before you bought me and brought me home to put me in some miserable cage, I swallowed a rare, authentic alexandrite gemstone. If you had kept me, I might have told you about it— but I might not have because you would want to kill me, find the precious stone, sell it and get rich. ”

Bobby was furious, and regretted the instant he let the bird fly away. He lunged toward the tree and tried to climb it to get at the bird. Sadly, he was so out of shape and full of rage he couldn’t make it half-way up without falling down to the ground.

The bird watched this and then started lecturing to Bobby:

“You silly trader! You heard what I said but you didn’t listen one bit!

You did exactly what I told you not to do!

You believed the hype. What’s the chance that a bird would swallow a rare and precious gem and then tell you about it? Do you think I am such a stupid bird with a little brain that would risk being killed by you so you could get the stone out of my belly?”

Before Bobby could utter one word, the bird continued:

“You have no idea what your abilities are. You tried to climb the tree to capture me, and couldn’t even make it half-way up because you are so out of shape.
Finally, you forgot your good deed and did not keep your promise. You let me free then changed your mind and tried to get me back.
You failed in every respect. You did not keep your promises to me or to yourself.”

Bird 3: Bobby 0.

What lessons can you learn about trading and living from this story?

We are drowning in information overload. It’s especially bad because there is so much misinformation, disinformation and garbage competing for and assaulting our senses every day. As a trader, it is critical to filter out the signal from the noise. There is way too much hype and too many people trying to sell you something that is not real or true.

The instruction is to look beyond the noise, the hype and the predictions. If something sounds too good to be true, it probably is. There is no holy grail and there is no magical system that wins 100% of the time.

How many legs does a dog have if you call the tail a leg? Four— calling a tail a leg doesn’t make it a leg… Abraham Lincoln Read the rest of this entry »

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