Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

Trading Tips Worth Repeating & Level 6.18.2024

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A few Tips worth repeating as we go head on into the summer months

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

From time to time I am asked by my clients for a viewpoint that is separate from the application of technical indicators to overcome some of their perceived, faulty analysis.

 

Without restructuring anyone’s methodology, I think it fair that a self-assessment applying some common biases that will easily reveal weaknesses in their trade and risk management selection process be applied to your decision making process.

If you practice exposing these biases during your trading decision process and write down in your journal when they occur with the net result of the trades, you can quickly tighten up your game plan.

 

It takes 21 days to create a habit according to Steven R. Covey in his  best seller “Seven Habits of Highly Effective People”

 

Technical analysis is not a flawless science and it can be prone to various biases.

 

I will try to make this brief; however, this topic requires a much deeper dive. Here is a list of some common biases.

1 Confirmation Bias-Preconceived notions about a market/ Actively seek out other technical signals.

2 Regency Bias-ignoring long term trends/ don’t rest your analysis simply on price action in shorter time frames.

3 Anchoring Bias-fixate on Price and refuse to adjust.

4 Availability Bias-rely too heavily on recent news.

5 Gamblers Fallacy- traders believe the past events increase the likelihood of future events. / eval trade independently.

6 Emotional Bias Fear, Greed clouds judgement.

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

 

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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Daily Levels for June 18th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter: FREE ebook: Day Trading Futures: The Essentials, Juneteenth Trading Schedule & Levels 6.17.2024

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Free eBook

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1198

In this issue:
  •  Important Notices – Rollover, Juneteenth
  • Futures 101 – Unlock the Secrets of Day Trading Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – July Hogs
  • Market Scanner – For Monday June 17th
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mini Nasdaq Swing Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

  • Juneteenth is this Wednesday, June 19th. Modified trading schedule.
  • Rollover is here! Start trading September mini SP, mini NQ, Micros etc.
  • Heavy Private Sector/Consumer Data: Tues: Retail Sales, Wed: Housing market Index, Thur: Bldg Permits, Housing Starts, Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, Fri PMI Flash, Existing Home Sales.
  • Heavy Fed Speakers:  7 Count ’em! , Mon: Cook,  Tues. Collins, Kuglar, Logan, Muselem, Goolsbee,   Thu. Barkin
  • Light Earnings: ACCenture PLC is the highest Cap stock reporting and it’s pre market open on Thursday.

 

 

Watch video below on how to rollover if you are a stock index trader on our E-Futures Platform!

How to roll over Chart and DOM on E-Futures

 

Futures 101 :

Are you ready to take your trading skills to the next level? At Cannon Trading, we’re excited to offer you a powerful resource designed to help you master the art of day trading futures.
Inside this comprehensive guide, you’ll discover:
Table of Contents (12 Chapters)
  • 1. Introduction to Day Trading Futures
  • What is Day Trading?
  • Overview of Futures Contracts
  • Why Trade Futures?
  • 2. Getting Started with Day Trading Futures
  • Education and Research
  • Choosing a Reliable Futures Broker
  • Creating a Trading Plan
  • Practicing with Simulated Trading
  • 3. Essential Tools and Platforms
  • Trading Platforms
  • Charting Software
  • News and Data Feeds
  • Advanced Trading Tools
  • 4. Technical Analysis for Day Trading Futures
  • Understanding Price Charts
  • Key Technical Indicators
  • Patterns and Trends
  • Using Technical Analysis for Entry and Exit Points
  • 5. Day Trading Strategies
  • Scalping
  • Momentum Trading
  • Breakout Trading
  • Mean Reversion
  • News-Based Trading
  • 6. Risk and Money Management
  • Importance of Risk Management
  • Position Sizing
  • Setting Stop-Loss Orders
  • Managing Leverage
  • 7. Psychological Aspects of Day Trading
  • Emotional Control
  • Developing Discipline
  • Overcoming Fear and Greed
  • Building a Winning Mindset
  • 8. Advanced Techniques and Concepts
  • Order Flow Analysis
  • Volume Profile
  • Market Profile (TPO)
  • High-Frequency Trading (HFT)
  • 9. Case Studies and Examples
  • Real-Life Trading Scenarios
  • Successful Day Trading Examples
  • Common Mistakes and How to Avoid Them
  • 10.Continuous Improvement and Adaptation
  • Reviewing and Analyzing Trades
  • Keeping Up with Market Changes
  • Ongoing Education and Development
  • 11.Conclusion
  • Summary of Key Points
  • Final Advice for Aspiring Day Traders
  • Resources for Further Learning
  • 12.Twenty-Five Essential Indicators for Day Trading Futures
  • 13. Index of Futures Trading Resources
  • 14.Disclaimer

 

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  • Hot Market of the Week – July Hogs

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
July Hogs
July hogs resumed their break to a new low where the chart satisfied its second downside PriceCount objective, just above the contract low. At this point, IF the chart can erase the contract low and sustain further weakness, the third count would project a possible slide to the 81.23 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Market Scanner
If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.
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   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Swing61B Cont v.22 _ E-mini Nasdaq NQ

PRODUCT

NQ – Mini Nasdaq

SYSTEM TYPE
Swing
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$35,000
COST
USD 160 / monthly

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S

Daily Levels for June 17th 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

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First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Juneteenth Day 2024 Holiday Schedule for CME Exchange Hours

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Juneteenth

Juneteenth Day 2024 Holiday Schedule for CME Exchange Hours (including Globex & ICE Exchange)

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*Dates and times are subject to change

If you have any questions, please call the CME Global Command Center at +1 800 438 8616, in Europe at +44 800 898 013 or in Asia at +65 6532 5010

Globex® Juneteenth Day 2024 Holiday Schedule for CME Exchange Hours (including Globex & ICE Exchange)

More details at: http://www.cmegroup.com/tools-information/holiday-calendar.html 

Detailed holiday hours for ICE Futures: https://www.theice.com/holiday-hours

The above sources were compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Cannon Trading assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions.  It is meant as an alert to events that may affect trading strategies and is not necessarily complete.  The closing times for certain contracts may have been rescheduled.


Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Rollover Reminder for Index Traders as June Contracts Give Way to September

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel
Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

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For all of you index traders, you may have noticed the shrinking Open Interest and Volume in the June contracts. It’s that time when volume shifts to the next quarterly expiration contract. September! the symbol is U.

 

June volume will be drying up quickly, don’t get stuck next Friday morning with a June contract at the crack of dawn when the carousel stops.

I personally start trading the September, U contract this Monday but many traders will start switching as of today….just make sure your charts are aligned – meaning that both the DOM and the charts use the same symbol.

Watch video below on how to rollover if you are a stock index trader on our E-Futures Platform!

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If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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Daily Levels for June 14th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Fed Policy Holds Steady Amidst Economic Indicators

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel
Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

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Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

 

 

General: 

 

It’s looking like it’s going to be a slog of a summer for Fed policy as officials once again took a wait-and-see approach as the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in their June decision.

 

Based on the most recent economic data – including this morning’s lower-than-expected Consumer Price Index

reading – the central bank predicted it would cut borrowing costs just once before the end of 2024, a sign that they plan to be patient before turning a corner in their fight against inflation.

 

Powell suggested any change in policy will depend on inflation slowing, but that rate cuts could also come if the job market breaks down unexpectedly.

 

The consumer price index held flat in May though it increased 3.3% from a year ago. Both numbers were 0.1 percentage point below market expectations.

 

Next up tomorrow at 7:30 A.M., Central Time, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its latest reading on prices at the wholesale level: its Producer Price Index.

 

Stock Indexes:

 

The E-mini S&P 500 jumped to a record and closed above 5,400 for the first time Wednesday after May inflation data pointed to easing pricing pressures and the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement.

 

The E-mini Nasdaq gained about 1.5%. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit all-time intraday highs and closed at all-time record highs today.

 

 

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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Daily Levels for June 13th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

FOMC Tomorrow and CPI: Strategies for Trading Amidst Volatility

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel
Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

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FOMC and CPI Tomorrow!

CPI will be first and the last 10 CPI or so reports have been pretty volatile with large moves happening as soon as the numbers come out. Be careful of “vacuum”, lack of liquidity for few seconds when the report comes out.

 

Once the report settles, cash stocks open we will have the energy numbers and then a couple of hours before FOMC rate decision…

FOMC Rate decision tomorrow.

The following are my PERSONAL OPINION on trading during FOMC days:

 

·    ·Reduce trading size

 

·    Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade

 

·    Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 5325.00 with a stop at 5319.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 5319.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).

 

·    Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement

 

·    Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.

·    Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.

·    Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues

·    The rate announcement comes out exactly at 1 PM central. As of this morning there is a 99.1% chance of no change in rates.

 

·    Traders will pay EXTRA attention to the language and the Q&A which starts at 1:30 PM Central

 

·    Be patient and be disciplined

 

·    If in doubt, stay out!!

 

 

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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Daily Levels for June 12th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

How to Choose the Right Broker for Your Future Trading Needs

Are you considering learning how to trade futures?

Futures trading has substantial benefits for investors. The high liquidity, high leverage and ease of short selling all make futures contracts a great way to hedge or diversify your portfolio. However, futures trading does come with complexities and risks and shouldn’t be entered into on a whim.

Or perhaps you have been trading futures for a while but would like to choose a new broker, try a new platform, and restructure your strategy.

In any of these cases, the right broker will give you substantial advantages by providing you with the tools and guidance you need in order to start trading futures successfully.

When it comes to future trading, choosing a broker with a variety of tools and an easy to use platform can mean the difference between great profit and disappointing outcomes. With the right tools at your disposal you can easily manage your futures portfolio.

How Futures Trading Works

A good futures charting software platform will give invaluable insights as you trade futures

Perhaps you have heard about the benefits of futures trading but are unsure as to the mechanics of the process. Understanding futures contracts is vital if you intend to make more than a nominal investment in this market.

What are Futures Contracts?

A futures contract is an agreement between a buyer and a seller regarding the sale of a commodity at some point in the future. This commodity could be physical assets, or even financial instruments.

Purchasing futures means committing to buying a given commodity, at a given time, for a given price. Selling futures means committing to sell that commodity, at a given time, for a given price.

Why Is There a Futures Trade?

Futures trading helps producers to be assured of a certain reasonable price for their commodity when the time comes to sell said product. This helps spread the profits of production over a wider span of time rather than all the profits coming in at the time of the physical commodities being sold.

Why Do Investors Buy Futures?

Investors purchase futures contracts in the hopes that prices of the commodity will be higher at the time that the contract specifies for the sale will be higher than they are at the time that the contract is purchased. When this date, called the “expiration date,” arrives, the commodity belongs to the investor who holds the futures contract and can then be sold, giving the proceeds of the sale to the holder of the contract.

Choosing the Right Software for Trading Futures Contracts

Cannon Trading has a stellar reputation for their customer service in futures markets

Amazing changes have taken place in how stocks are traded in the last couple of decades, and futures trading has become a possibility for anyone because of software that brings access to every investor.

However, this accessibility can be a double edged sword. It’s possible for you to learn all you need to know to make great gains in futures trading, but it’s equally possible for you to lose every penny if you don’t have a complete understanding of how futures contracts work, or a way to determine your risk tolerance.

For these reasons, choosing the right software can make a big difference in your profits. Choosing software that lines up with your trading strategy will give you the information you need to navigate price volatility and avoid assets that carry substantial risk. Futures trading can be a great way for you to take charge of your portfolio–but only if you are getting the best guidance.

Trade Futures With Confidence: Tools of the Trade

The futures market is an exciting place, filled with a variety of commodities that can fluctuate in value over the years, months and even weeks. As with any investment, the goal will always be to “buy low, sell high”–but as with any investment, it’s impossible to arrive at 100% certainty about how low and how high.

Using the internet, it is easy to get access to futures markets around the world. But as you navigate these markets, how do you decide which futures contract to buy?

Many futures trading platforms have tools to help you visualize and understand such characteristics as risk, contract value and trading activity. Choose the right futures trading platform to keep your priorities first and stay on the right investment plan.

Risk Management Tools

A good futures trading platform for beginners will have a built in risk manager tool, which will help you manage concepts like hedging.

Some commodities at certain times have very volatile futures prices, and can change substantially in value before their expiration date. Use a trading platform that allows you to see historic trends of the commodity you are considering.

The Right Broker Will Help You Find the Right Tools For Your Futures Trading Needs

When you are ready to start trading futures contracts, it is strongly advisable to choose a futures broker who is familiar with multiple futures markets and able to provide excellent technical analysis.

Your broker can help you create a plan to start trading futures in a way that lines up with your risk tolerance and can meet your profit goals. The advice of a good broker who is in your corner is invaluable to soften the learning curve of figuring out the futures market.

How Does a Broker Help Your Futures Trading?

Your broker can be as involved or as hands-off as your experience level requires. They will be able to do all your futures trading on your behalf, with you contributing only the investment capital via wire transfer; or they can let you take the wheel, choosing the futures contract that you consider the most promising, and only providing you with the tools and guidance that you request.

Next Steps As You Trade Futures

Whether you are brand new to the futures markets or whether you have been learning to trade futures contracts for the last decade, Cannon Trading can help you improve your margins, assess underlying asset values and perfect your margin trading.

Cannon Trading was the first futures broker to enter the online trading market and continues to command respect as they manage their customers’ assets. Your futures trading account will be in good hands with this long established company. So when you are ready to start purchasing commodity futures and diversify your portfolio, call Cannon Trading and find out what they have to offer for your next purchase of a futures contract.

Deciphering FOMC: Navigating Market Volatility

Get Real Time updates and more by joining our Private Facebook Group!
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel
Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

Trading chart

 

FOMC Week

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

This week’s market moving features will be the closely watched with CPI pre market Wednesday and The FOMC meets Tomorrow and Wednesday.

The FOMC statement released at 1:00 CT on Wednesday will give a close read for any guidance in regard to the interest rate outlook.

This meeting will also be the release of the “Summary of Economic Projections” or SEP

The prior SEP was issued on March 20 and implied three rate cuts of 25 basis points later in 2024. Shortly after that, the data on inflation, the labor market, and economic growth made that projection out-of-date.

It is widely anticipated that the SEP will reduce the forecast for rate cuts to only one or two this year.

Powell’s prepared remarks regarding this rate decision will occur @1:30 CT.

Traders who are well informed know of the Interest Rate decision probabilities “Baked” into the market. They use the CME’s FedWatch tool.. as we do.

If you would like a personal tutorial, please call 800 454 9572 and simply ask for a fed watch tutorial!  The current probability of no rate movement up or down this week is 99.1 %.

If you are curious about the Next fed meeting in July? It’s currently @ 91.1 % probability of stay the same with an 8.9% chance of a .25 reduction.

From a trader’s standpoint, it’s fascinating to watch these percentages change intraday as new data, like the Wednesday CPI release, will undoubtedly change the percentage probabilities for all future FOMC rate decision meetings on the calendar.

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

 

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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Daily Levels for June 11th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter: Forecasting the Soybean Market and Milk Futures Analysis + Futures Levels 6.10.2024

Get Real Time updates and more by joining our Private Facebook Group!
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

C14

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1197

In this issue:
  • Important Notices – FOMC is the main event
  • Futures 101 – 5 Things You Need to Know About Soybeans 2024
  • Hot Market of the Week – July Class III Milk
  • Market Scanner – For Monday June 10th
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Crude Oil Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

  • Monday starts quietly
  • Tuesday FOMC Meeting begins. Oracle announces Earnings after the close.
  • Heavy Wednesday! CPI Pre-Market, WASDE and Crop Production, FOMC Rate Decision, Chairman Powell presser, Broadcom Earnings after the close
  • Thursday, the data keeps rolling; Jobless Claims, Producer Price Index, NY FED President Williams speaks, Adobe earnings after the close
  • Friday Michigan consumer Sentiment, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks.
  • Monitor Open interest and Volume between June (M) indices and September (U) Look to begin trading September the following Monday.

 

 

 

Futures 101 :

Five Things to Watch in the Soybean Market in 2024

By AgResource

 

The opinions expressed in this report are those of AgResource and are considered market commentary. They are not intended to act as investment recommendations. Full disclaimers are available at the end of this report.
HIGHLIGHTS
Actual size of 2024 Brazilian crop
There’s currently no consensus on the size of Brazilian soybean production in 2024. South America’s surplus will be large in almost any scenario, but there’s currently a discrepancy of 6.3 million tons between the Brazilian government (CONAB), which projects production at 147.7 million tons, and USDA, which estimates production at 154 million. Some in the trade are still forecasting Brazilian soybean production in 2024 at 140 million tons or less, and some forecast production above 155 million tons.

 

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  • Hot Market of the Week – July Class III Milk

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
July Class III Milk
The July milk chart satisfied its third upside PriceCount objective last month and has developed a sideways consolidation trade. At this point, IF you can extend the rally with new sustained highs, we are left with the low percentage fourth count to aim for in the 24.75 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Market Scanner
If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.
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   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Balance Cont. V2 Copper

PRODUCT
SYSTEM TYPE
Swing
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$20,000
COST
USD 150 / monthly

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
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Daily Levels for June 10th 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

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First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

NFP Tomorrow, non-farm payrolls + Levels for June 7th Futures

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NFP tomorrow, FOMC Next Week:

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

Tomorrow is the first Friday of the month and for traders it marks the release of the Labor Department’s monthly Non-farm payrolls report.  The report is widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy.  It’s released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time.

 

To review, the Labor Dept.’s Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 individual work sites.  The report excludes farm workers, private household employees, domestic household workers and non-profit organization employees.  The report also includes other detailed industry data including the overall unemployment rate as a percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking work, wages, wage growth and average workday hours.

Economists are expecting May job growth of 180,000 payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold tight at 3.9%

 

If the jobless rate comes in below 4.0 percent as expected, it would mark the 28th consecutive month of sub-4% unemployment, which would be the longest streak in more than 70 years going back to the early 1950’s.

 

General, Part 2:

 

In what could be the turning point in the international fight against inflation, the Canadian central bank cut its interest rate a quarter-point from 5.0% to 4.75%.  It’s that country’s first reduction in four years, making them the first G-7 nation to lower borrowing costs/interest rates following its post-pandemic surge.  Like the U.S., Canada has a 2% target for inflation.

 

Certainly planned well before Canada announced its rate cut, on Thursday the European Central Bank lowered interest rates for the first time in nearly five years which applies across all twenty countries that use the Euro.  The bank’s benchmark deposit rate was lowered from 4% – the highest in the bank’s 26-year history and where the rate had been set since September – down to 3.75%.

 

Last month Sweden’s central bank cut its key interest rate to 3.75% from 4.00% and in what was characterized as a surprise move in March, the Swiss National Bank lowered its main policy rate by 0.25 percentage points to 1.5%.

 

Meanwhile, back in the U.S., there is more reluctance to ease.  Officials at the Federal Reserve are waiting to be more confident that a recent run of stubborn inflation readings will end. The Federal Reserve is not expected to cut rates at either of its next two meetings – including next week’s – and there is debate about whether it will plan to cut rates at all this year.

 

Stock Indexes:

 

Major stock index futures climbed to new all-time highs yesterday as traders continued their buying into the excitement surrounding artificial-intelligence technology.

The June E-mini S&P 500 jumped 1.2% Wednesday to beat its record set two weeks ago. The E-mini Nasdaq rallied even more – 2% – to set its own all-time high.

 

Energies:

 

Crude oil futures rose for the second straight day today, bouncing back from four-month lows after the decision by OPEC+ to increase production triggered a selloff this week.

 

 

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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Daily Levels for June 7th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.