Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

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Weekly Newsletter 1107: An Introduction to Crude Oil + Futures Levels for the Trading Week Ahead

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1107

Dear Traders,

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Trading 101: Free Course – An Introduction to Crude Oil

Today’s energy crude oil market is truly global. From West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to Brent and DME Oman, the crude oil market fuels many of the world’s leading economies and impact nearly every nation. Energy crude oil futures and options provide the tools the industry needs to manage risk. Explore the key concepts and structure of today’s energy markets, including the factors that affect supply and demand and move prices. Learn how to use these instruments to hedge exposure and unlock opportunities.
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-25-2022

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

Price Banding + Futures Trading Levels for July 22nd, 2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Price Banding

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
The CME Group – where stock index futures like the E-mini S&P 500, E-mini Nasdaq, E-mini $5 Dow Jones and other markets trade – has several measures in place to ensure that their markets work in an efficient and orderly manner during volatile market conditions. Among the more commonly-known put in place by the CME Group are their price limits and circuit breakers.
Another, maybe less-commonly known, but very important measure to understand is price banding.
Price banding is a mechanism designed to help prevent erroneous, unintended trades. Price banding rejects orders outside a given range, or band. Bands are calculated dynamically, meaning they’re constantly moving, based on the last traded price of a market. A price band is defined as the highest bid price and lowest ask price from the last traded price within which a non-stop order – like a limit order – can be placed.
For example:
The price banding for the E-mini S&P 500 is 6 points.
If the market’s last trading price is 3980.00, its price band is between 3986.00 (bid), 3974.00 (ask). If a BUY LIMIT order is placed with a LIMIT PRICE of 3988.00, because the LIMIT PRICE is outside/above the upper 6-point price band the order would be rejected.
If a SELL LIMIT order is placed with a LIMIT PRICE of 3942.75, because the LIMIT PRICE is outside/below the lower 6-point price band the order would also be rejected.
Price banding is applied to each CME Group produce individually. A complete list of banding information for CME Group markets is available via this Excel reference sheet.
A short video further explaining price banding – and price limits – is available at the CME Group web site on this page.
As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-22-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Price Limits & Circuit Breakers + Futures Trading Levels for July 21st 2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Price Limits and Circuit Breakers

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
The CME Group – where stock index futures like the E-mini S&P 500, E-mini Nasdaq, E-mini $5 Dow Jones and other markets trade – has several measures in place to ensure that their markets work in an efficient and orderly manner during volatile market conditions.
Given the volatility in several markets over these last many months – and of course the volatility that almost inevitably lies ahead – it’s important to know these measures. Among the more commonly-known put in place by the CME Group are their price limits and circuit breakers.
Price limits are the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in a trading session. Price limits vary from product to product, as does what happens when a price limit is hit. In some markets, trading is temporarily halted from moving beyond the price limit until it can be expanded. In others trading is stopped from moving beyond a price limit for the day.
Circuit breakers are price limits that, when reached, pause a market for a particular period of time. Most circuit breakers are “traditional,” where a series of price limits are set above and below a reference price, usually based on the market’s previous settlement price. Once a circuit breaker is triggered, the next level of circuit breaker comes into effect. Some circuit breakers are “dynamic,” meaning they move with the market and allow them to move a certain distance within a certain period of time, usually an hour. Each CME Group product has its own assigned values used to calculate the circuit breakers levels. Typically, they’re calculated as percentages of their previous settlement price.
By establishing these types of price fluctuation limits specific to each product, the exchange can help restrict a market from moving too far or too fast in a specific period of time.
As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-21-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Invaluable FedWatch Tool + Futures Trading Levels for July 20th 2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Invaluable FedWatch Tool

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
I have highlighted this tool before. the totally neat feature of this tool is it is based in the Fed Funds futures contract price movements. Because it is a reflection of market sentiment, this makes it relatively easy to see and sense the actual price discounting that is going on in the equity and bond markets and what represents “Fair Market Value” as this tool changes on a day to day basis. Imagine a zero news day. This tool would not provide any percentage changes, the FF Futures wouldn’t have moved much and the only “wiggle” in the stock indices would not be news driven and of only a technical nature. Now Imagine a day with a lot of information, as that information streams into the consciousness of traders “discounting of future prices” moves the market. As the importance of interest rate decisions have been providing market direction recently, I recommend every traded keep this link saved to your browser favorites as we approach the next and subsequent Fed Meetings . ( you can look at what the market expects for Futures Meetings as well using this tool) Spend some time with this tool https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-20-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

What’s moving markets this week? + Futures Trading Levels for July 19th 2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

What’s moving markets this week?

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

The most salient measure of a recession may be the accumulated results of corporate profits or the lack of during this earnings season. Q-2 earnings reports are picking up steam, Monday we will see 20 with a notable 19:1 split for both Alphabet symbols. GOOGL and GOOG. After market close we have IBM. Before todays open we had mixed numbers relative to estimates with B of A BAC underperforming expectations and Goldman Sachs GS besting by 10% the pre report earnings estimates . Tuesday we’ll see 50 reports Wednesday 80, Thursday 81 and Friday only 30 with a MEME stock Gamestop GME 3;1 split. Netflix NFLX will be Tuesday’s big name reporting after the close with lower expectations of 2.90 per share , if the actual comes in much lower then the “streaming recession” will be in full force. Watchout below NQ and MNQ Wednesday after the close Tesla TSLA reports along with Alcoa AA as additional thermostats for the state of our economy. Estimates are 1.91 and 2.88 per share respectively. Economic numbers

 

Economic numbers for the week of importance :

Tuesday morning 7:30 CDT am US: Housing starts and permits

Wednesday 9:00am CDT US: Existing Home Sales 9:30 CDT am US: EIA Petroleum Status BOJ Rate announcement @ 9:30 PM CDT

Thursday EuroZone: ECB Rate announcement 7:15 CDT US: Jobless Claims 7:30 CDT

Friday a slew of EuroZone Retail sales and PMI numbers between 1 am CDT and 7:30 CDT with the US:PMI flash number due out at 8:45 CDT.

As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-19-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter 1106: On Demand Trading Psychology Course + Futures Levels for the Trading Week Ahead

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1106:

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!

Get An Edge With the Trading Psychology Course

“You Must Understand That There Is More Than One Path To The Top Of The Mountain.”- Miyamoto Musashi, A Book Of Five Rings: The Classic Guide To Strategy
Many experienced traders say that the stiffest challenge you’ll face in becoming a futures trader is conquering your own psyche. Why? Because losing is part of trading, and people hate to lose.
In this “Trading Psychology” Course you will learn:
  • How to examine your patterns and behaviors and recognize when they are holding you back
  • Maintaining self-confidence as a trader even in the face of inexperience
  • The mathematical expectation model and how it can decrease your losses
  • Determining the trading plan that is right for your trading personality
  • Understanding and using Motivation – Risk – Reward to its full advantage
  • Creating effective trading technique strategies
  • Qualities of Successful Traders
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-18-2022

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

What You Need to Know for Trading July 15th + Futures Trading Levels for July 15th 2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Highlights and Announcements for 7.15.2022

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
Financials: Yesterday’s release of the Labor Department’s Consumer Price Index showed prices that consumers pay directly climbed to 9.1% in June, a pace not seen in more than four decades. A broad array of food and energy categories rose by double digits year-over-year.
This morning, the Labor Department released the June Producer Price Index (PPI) showing the cost of wholesale goods and services jumped 1.1% in June and 10.8% year-over-year. The PPI report reflects what companies pay for supplies such as grains, fuel, metals, lumber, packaging and so forth.
Yet within the “headline” number, a few glimmers of hope that inflation might be abating surfaced. If food, gas and retail trade margins are omitted the so-called core PPI rose just 0.3% in June. That’s the smallest increase in the core rate in four months. In another good sign, wholesale food prices rose a scant 0.1% in June – the smallest advance in six months.
Economists still caution that steady progress has to be shown before it can be called a trend and households still devote a large share of their budgets to fuel and meals. And notwithstanding these hints that inflation is starting to recede, there is still pressure on the Federal Reserve to act more aggressively to slow rapid price increases throughout the economy.
Energies: Also yesterday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported crude oil inventories added 3.3 million barrels over the week to July 8. After falling ±7% on Tuesday – below $100 per barrel – and further yesterday, August crude oil touched $90.56 intraday today, certainly in part due to continued concern about the immediate future of the economy, both in the U.S. and globally.
Softs: Today Dec. cotton closed down its current daily price limit of 4 cents (a $2,000 per contract move) to $0.8371 (83.71 cents per pound), its lowest price since Sept. ’21. This marks a ±50-cent ($25,000) decline from its May 19 intraday high of $1.3379. Other softs such as coffee and sugar are seeing price declines in recent weeks as the U.S. dollar continues to strengthen, making U.S. dollar denominated commodities less attractive to international buyers.
Dollar: Speaking of U.S. dollar strength, this morning the September Euro FX futures contract traded down to an intraday low of exactly 1.0000, putting it briefly right on par with the U.S. dollar for the first time in two decades.  The euro has been losing ground against the dollar since the start of the year, when it hovered near $1.13 and well off its peak of nearly $1.60 in 2008.
As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-15-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trading Crude Oil Futures + Futures Trading Levels for July 14th 2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Crude Oil Futures Volatility Offers A “Different Market Personality” Than Stock Index Futures. Here Are Some Of The Things You Need To Know About Day Trading Crude Oil Futures:

by Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker & VP

Crude Oil is one of MY favorite futures market for day trading. Before I dive in and share with you how the volatility in crude oil fits my risk tolerance for day trading and provide a couple of chart examples, we should review some of the specifications of Crude Oil Futures.
Crude Oil Futures have monthly expiration. So each month we trade a different contract month, so one needs to know when is the first notice day and last trading day for crude oil futures in order to always make sure we are trading the proper month with the most liquidity and avoid any chance of getting into delivery situation.
Next is the contract size. Crude Oil futures are based on 1000 barrels. To be honest from a day trading perspective all I care is that each tick or 1 cent fluctuation is $10 against me or in my favor per contract. That means that a move from 92.94 to 92.74 = $200.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-14-2022

 

Futures Trading Levels, Support & Resistance

 

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

New Contract to Hedge Mortgage Price Risk + Futures Trading Levels for July 13th 2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

New Contract to Hedge Mortgage Price Risk

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker
The 10 year note has been a benchmark of the mortgage industry and the CBOT division of the CME has had a 10 yr note futures contract for nearly 35 years it is based on a 6% coupon and a $100,000.00 face value. the symbol is ZNU22. the initial margin is 1980.00 per 100,000.. Now you can trade the micro version and this one is yield based rather than Price based so for some, it will be easier to recognize against the current media stream of interest rate quotes on a percentage yield basis. If you have an opinion on the direction of interest rates, this is a low margin cost solution and the symbol is 10YN2 for the July contract that is cash(financially) settled! today’s last price is 2.965 or the rate of the 10 year note you would expect to see rather than 118.16 that represents the full sized contract.
Micro 10 Year Futures Note; 10YN22
The initial requirement is currently $264.00 it makes sense to have a few contracts running in the background of your portfolio to hedge interest rate price risk. the exchange lists the first 2 months rather than a quarterly cycle for you to trade.
As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-13-2022

 

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

This weeks potential Market Movers + Futures Trading Levels for July 12th 2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

This weeks potential Market Movers

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker
Happy Monday all! I hope everyone had a safe and memorable 4th of July week. We are back to a full trading week. Here are a few of the report highlights traders should pay attention to beginning on Wednesday. A rather light first two trading days with only two FRB board members speaking. John Williams today at 1 pm CDT and Thomas Barkin on Tuesday at 11:30 am CDT on Friday we have Raphael Bostic, 7:45 am CDT.
Recession talk should be the feature as the market will be paying attention to any mention of going off the current script which has been “watching the data points, “we have the tools” to determine policy”. Speaking of data points Wednesday will include the market volatility energizer : CPI report, The CPI published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will be early and pre cash market open for the equities. @7:30 am CDT. Consensus for the CPI is an 8.8 % inflation rate as measured by consumer prices with a 1.1% increase from the May reading( this is the June CPI reading) Two additional data points the FRB is interested in are released Thursday morning simultaneously @7:30 am CDT, Jobless claims and Producer Price Index (PPI) Weekly unemployment claims are expected to roll in around 234,000 , slightly above the moving average of 232,500 weekly claims and the PPI expectation is an increase of .8% m/m, with an annual increased rate of 10.4 % When we get to Friday the market will need to digest Retail Sales at 7:30 am CDT and Industrial production 45 Minutes later at 8:15 am CDT The energy markets will almost always be impacted by the schedule of economic report and also have their own , industry specific reports. Wednesday @ 8:30 am CDT the EIA Petroleum status report Highlights weekly changes in supply and demand for crude and it’s cracked products while on Thursday at 8:30 am CDT the EIA Nat Gas report will reveal the supply and demand nature of the Natural Gas sector of the energy market.
CannonTrading has a registered professional staff to talk about any and all of these reports and the potential impact on your positions in your account. If you are new to Cannontrading, please use us a your first stop resource for order management, risk management as well as fundamental and technical viewpoints. Good trading! plan your trade and trade your plan.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-12-2022

 

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

ba0d75b8 7040 4f02 8cd8 fcfdcf0d3816

 

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.