Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

Trading Alerts – Free Trial! Plus Levels, Reports; Your 3 Crucial, Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on August 22nd, 2025

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Trading Alerts Free Trial

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

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Trading Alerts!

Real Time Email and/or Text Alerts

Directly to your Phone!

·    You will receive an email each time there is an entry or exit in a simple language along with the current price for that specific market.

·    Example from Tuesday Aug. 19th 2025:

Buy Nov. Beans at 1039’0 limit.

If filled Stop at 1026’0

Target at 1058’0

·    A licensed series 3 broker at your fingertips

·    Email alerts available to US and Canada and Int’l clients

·    Alerts available for: Stock Indices, Grains, Metals, Rates, Currencies, Meats & Softs

·    Alerts are SWING Trades

Start Now, Free Trial, No Obligation or credit Card Needed!

Questions? We are happy to help!

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Daily Levels for Aug 22nd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Jobless Claims, PMI, Cattle, Crude Oil, Levels, Reports; Your 6 Expert, Crucial Need-To-Knows For Trading Futures on August 21st, 2025

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Jobless Claims, PMI, Cattle, Crude Oil

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

By Mark O’ Brien, Senior Broker

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General:

Keep an eye out for a raft of economic reports tomorrow morning, all of which could create bumpy price movement in stock index, energy, interest-rate and other asset classes.

At 7:30 A.M., Central Time the Labor Department will release its weekly Initial jobless claims data, which looks at claims for unemployment benefits filed by unemployed individuals with state unemployment agencies.

At the same time, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia will release its monthly Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey tracks business conditions and provides short-term forecasts in a specific region: the manufacturing sector in eastern and central Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware, it also provides insight into the manufacturing sector throughout the country.

Next, at 9:45 will be The S&P Purchasing managers’ index (PMI), which is comprised of data derived from monthly surveys of private sector company S&P Global. The S&P PMI survey covers manufacturing, services and some construction.

Then at 10:00, the National Association of Realtors will report on Existing Home Sales in the United States which measures the change in the number of existing residential buildings that were sold during the previous month. This report helps to gauge the strength of the U.S. housing market and is a key indicator of overall economic strength.

At the same time, The Conference Board will release its Leading Economic Index (LEI), another indicator designed to forecast future economic activity. The LEI can be used to anticipate economic turning points and guide trading strategies.

Livestock

Chicago Mercantile Exchange cattle futures continued their meteoric rise today as a tight supply of cattle, surging wholesale beef prices and a decrease in slaughter rates supported prices. CME October live cattle futures ended 3.750 cent higher at 235.175 cents per pound. September feeder cattle rose 6.375 cents to 358.800 cents per pound. Both closing prices represent all-time record high closing prices for the two futures contracts.

Energy

Crude oil futures traded higher after the Energy Information Agency reported a larger-than-expected 6 million barrel decline in U.S. crude oil inventories for last week. The new front month October futures contract traded to an intraday high of $63.01/barrel, up $1.24/barrel before falling back slightly to within pennies of its 100-day moving average: $62.63.

Despite near-term support from lower inventories, the longer-term outlook is bearish.  A supply glut is expected as OPEC+ restores output and trade tensions are weighing on demand with industry executives exclaiming the return of previously curtailed oil production by OPEC+ members is cutting into U.S. shale growth.

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Chart Watch: Oct Crude 25

“Crude Oil Is At A Critical Technical Price Juncture! The Index is short from 9 days ago and There Are No bearish PriceCounts In Place. The market looks to be coiling!”

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Daily Levels for Aug. 21st, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC, Gold, Cocoa, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on August 20th, 2025

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FOMC Minutes Tomorrow & Gold Bear Put Spread Insight

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

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Markets have been calm so far this week (FOMC Minutes tomorrow)

What goes up must come down?

Does Newtons law of Gravity capsulized by the quote” what goes up, must come down” apply metaphorically to prices on assets? this quote reminds us of the inherent predictability and order found in nature by earths gravitational pull.

The question becomes, what pulls asset prices down? and how does the investor protect or benefit from forces pulling prices down?

Since the forces pushing prices of assets lower are much harder to determine than a simple law like gravitational pull without doubt make what goes up must come down a truest statement, that doesn’t mean we can’t protect our investments or even benefit from selloffs of commodities, equities and other assets we hold.

Gold will be a good example to explain 2 common risk management strategies since this asset has been range bound for some time now, having become comfortable in a relatively narrow price range since Memorial Day after a runup to start the year.

One report indicates that gold opened at $2,633 per ounce on January 2, 2025, and as of August 15, 2025, it was trading around $3,383 per ounce, marking a 24.9% increase,

Protecting your long gold futures contracts, GLD ETF or your personal gold stash you can use futures options as an insurance policy to cover your downside risk.

You believe the price of gold is ready to fall on a breakout to the downside. You can buy Comex Gold Puts. How Gold Puts Work:

Buying a Put

  • You buy a gold put option when you expect gold prices to fall.
  • The put gains value as gold declines.
  • If gold drops below the strike price, you can:
  1. Sell the put at a profit, or
  2. Exercise it to take a short position in gold futures at the strike price.

Gold option premiums consist of intrinsic value and time value:

Premium=Intrinsic Value+Time Value\text{Premium} = \text{Intrinsic Value} + \text{Time Value}Premium=Intrinsic Value+Time Value

  • Intrinsic Value = Max(Strike − Futures Price, 0)
  • Time Value = Based on volatility, time to expiration, and interest rates

For example:

If gold = $3380.00 and your put strike = $3400.00:

  • Intrinsic = $20
  • If option trades at $28 → Time Value = $8

A bear put spread is an options strategy used when you expect the price of gold to decline moderately.

You buy a put option (higher strike) and sell a put option (lower strike) with the same expiration date.

  • The long put gives you downside profit potential.
  • The short put helps reduce the cost of the trade.
  • This caps both your risk and your max profit.

Click here for the Gold Bear Put Spread Cheat Sheet.

Please click here to access the: Comex Gold Bear Put Spread Cheat Sheet. We will be happy to walk you through and answer any questions, just give us a call.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data: EIA Crude Stocks, 17-week T-Bill auction, FOMC Minutes. Jackson Hole symposium begins

FED: 2 speakers

Earnings: TJX Companies, Lowes, Analog Devices Inc. Target

Tariff news:  Anything goes!

Click here for the Gold Bear Put Spread Cheat Sheet.

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Dec. Cocoa

December cocoa completed its first upside PriceCount objective and is correcting lower. IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the second count would project a possible run to the 9379 area. It takes a trade above the June reactionary high to formally negate the remaining unmet downside objectives

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Aug 20th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Volatility, December Oats, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on August 19th, 2025

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Volatility

Quiet Start to the Week—Volatility Ahead with Powell & PMI

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️ Monday Market Brief – August 18, 2025

Low Volume, Calm Waters… Before the Storm?

Today’s trading session opened with notably light volume across major asset classes—a familiar rhythm for an August Monday. With many market participants still in vacation mode and key macro events on the horizon, it’s no surprise we’re seeing range-bound price action and muted volatility.

That calm won’t last long. By Thursday, the tempo is expected to shift dramatically as a wave of economic data hits the tape. PMI reports and the Philadelphia Fed survey will headline the day, offering fresh clues on growth and inflation trends. Then on Friday, all eyes will turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks following the Jackson Hole symposium—a moment that often sets the tone for monetary policy heading into Q4.

 Trading Insight

Recognizing the type of day ahead—like today’s low-volatility, sideways grind—can dramatically improve your tactical edge. In environments like this, fading the extremes of volume or volatility bands (buying the lows, selling the highs) tends to outperform breakout strategies. Of course, it’s always easier to see the ideal play in hindsight—but developing that intraday awareness is a skill worth sharpening.

Stay nimble, stay curious, and keep your powder dry for the back half of the week.

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Joseph Easton, breaks down trading options in ten easy steps.

December Oats

December oats are showing some stability after satisfying their second downside PriceCount objective earlier this month. At this point, IF the chart can sustain further weakness, the third count would project a possible run to the $3.18 area which is consistent with a test of the contract low.

And that’s December Oats for you, Traders! Make it a great trading week!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Aug 19th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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The Week Ahead: FOMC, Recorded Webinar with Insights into Futures Trading – Futures & Commodities Weekly Letter #1254

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1254

  • The Week Ahead – Jackson Hole, FOMC Minutes, Earnings

  • Futures 101 – Recorded Webinar on Futures Trading

  • Hot Market of the Week – September Brazilian Dollar

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Gold Day Trading System 

  • Trading Levels for Next Week

  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

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Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, 6th inning of the Earnings season, Fed Speakers, FOMC minutes

Retailers report earnings next week, WMT, TGT, Home Improvement Icons HD and Lowes

A three-day annual global symposium Begins Wednesday with Fed Chair Powell who is expected to be at the podium at 9:00 am CDT Friday.  The theme?  “Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy.”.

I find Jackson Hole every year has the same effect, Powell by necessity cannot tell us he is going to cut or not going to cut at the next Fed Meeting in September. According to the CME FEDWATCH tool the current probability of a ¼ bps cut is hovering around 88%. The Fed Has 2 mandates Inflation @ 2% and a stable workforce.  If Inflation is above their target 2%, , following the mandate rule, the committee should not cut borrowing rates. If a rate cut is announced, then a rate cut should be taken as the economy is not performing well and needs the lubrication offered by a lower borrowing rate.  What is confusing to the layperson is the words of the past don’t match the actions taken. Inconsistency.

The last 3 Fed Rate reductions were 9/2024 when the rate of inflation as measured by CPI was 2.9 the month prior. (Hight) Rate moved down ½ bps. Next, 11/2024 when the prior month CPI was 2.6. (Better) Rate moved down ¼ bps. Finally, 12/2024 when the prior month CPI was 2.7. (Sameas the past 2 months)  Rate reduced an additional ¼ bps.

Since the last rate decrease to 4.25-4.5%, the CPI Monthly rates have been as follows: 3.0 (jan ’25) then each subsequent month 2.8%, 2.4% ,2.3%,2.4% ,2.7% and this Past July ,2.7%. and no new Fed Borrowing rate reductions.

Tariff impacts are creating volatility in commodity markets for prices moving both up and down. (industrial metals, Orange Juice, Coffee, Grains) the news about China (extending negotiations out another 90 days ) is calming to our many markets. The on again off again nature of the talks has created golden opportunities for breakouts in some markets, rangebound trades in others. (see gold commentary below)

The Trump-Putin meeting has become the main commodity market news of this week, with analysts speculating about the likelihood of a comprehensive deal and the impacts this could have on oil markets. ICE Brent has been gradually sliding closer to $65 per barrel as lower sanction risks on Russia could further erode the market’s in-built risk premium, however a potential failure in the talks could spark another price rally above $70.  Remember that current market drivers for Equities are hard data on Jobs, Inflation, Trump tweets and Geopolitics. There is a high probability the results of the meeting will not be public until after the markets’ close today.

Three weeks ago, I wrote this: Watch for the gold market to maintain its rangebound stance, close below 3350 (basis December) or above 3500 should denote a breakout, begin trading the December(Z) contract next week.    Two weeks ago, I wrote:  Dec gold traded below 3350 today and the past three days but never closed meaningfully below 3350.0 (3348.60 Thurs.) Today we have breached $3500.00 oz with a high in the $3543.00 area per oz. while currently trading @$3493.00 oz as of this writing. Look for a close above $3500.00 on successive days to again accumulate longs. This may be the break from this range we are looking for. Manage your downside risk according to your account size, risk no more than 15-20% whether with options or futures.   Today, August 15th as of this writing that 3500.00 oz did not hold, always wait for confirmation prior to taking a position, several consecutive closes above or below a range is a start. We are teasing the bottom of the range today Dec gold in the 3380’s, I see psychological support @ 3350.00

Continued volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals, especially with China, India and Russia, remember that Mexico’s extension will end October 29.

 Earnings Next Week: 

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue.  Home Depot, Medtronic, Toll Brothers
  • Wed.  TJX Companies, Lowes Analog Devices Inc., Target
  • Thu. Walmart, Intuit, Workday, Ross Stores
  • Fri.   Quiet

 

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT) 

  • Mon.  Quiet
  • Tues.  1:10 pm Bowman
  • Wed.  10 am Waller, 2 PM Bostic
  • Thu.    Quiet
  • Fri.      9am Fed Chair Powell

Economic Data week: 

  • Mon.  NAHB Housing MKT index.
  • Tue.    Bldg Permits, Housing Starts, Redbook,
  • Wed.  EIA Crude Stocks, 17-week Bill auction, FOMC Minutes, Jackson Hole begins
  • Thur. Philly Fed, Jobless claims, EIA NAT GAS Storage, S&P PMI Composite, Existing Home sales    Fed Balance sheet, Jackson Hole continues
  • Fri.  Fed Chair Powell
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Insights into Futures Trading Webinar

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

Advanta IRA’s Larissa Greene and Ilan Levy-Mayer of Cannon Trading Company break down the basics of futures trading and how it can fit into a self-directed IRA strategy.

 

Learn what futures trading is, who may not be a good fit for this investment type, and the different ways you can trade futures using your SDIRA funds.

 

Additionally, Ilan explains the aspects of:

·    Trading with a broker

·    Managing trades yourself

·    Using automated algorithmic trading

·    Working with a managed account

 

Watch the webinar recording below!

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

 

Weekly Brazilian Real

The weekly Brazilian real chart established a long-term low last fall. Now, on the correction higher, we have activated upside PriceCount objectives to aim for.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Swing71PlusIntr v.22L _ Gold GC

Markets Traded:   Gold Futures GC

System Type: Day Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $30,000

Developer Fee per contract: $150 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURE

Futures trading is complex and carries the risk of substantial losses. It is not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.

The returns for trading systems listed throughout this website are hypothetical in that they represent returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real-time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on backadjusted data (backadjusted).

Please read carefully the CFTC required disclaimer regarding hypothetical results below. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING.

FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for August 18th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Futures Trading in Your Self-Directed IRA: Strategies & Insights; Live Cattle Consolidates Near Highs – August 8th 2025

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What is Futures Trading Webinar?

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

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Advanta IRA’s Larissa Greene and Ilan Levy-Mayer of Cannon Trading Company break down the basics of futures trading and how it can fit into a self-directed IRA strategy.

Learn what futures trading is, who may not be a good fit for this investment type, and the different ways you can trade futures using your SDIRA funds.

Additionally, Ilan explains the aspects of:

  • Trading with a broker
  • Managing trades yourself
  • Using automated algorithmic trading
  • Working with a managed account

Watch the webinar recording below!

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October Live Cattle

October live cattle has been consolidating recently near its highs. At this point, IF the chart can sustain further upside, we are left with the low percentage fourth upside PriceCount objective to aim for in the 252 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Aug 15th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Stocks Climb Ahead of PPI, Retail Sales, and Global Talks; Dec Meal Outlook – August 14th 2026

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Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

By Mark O’ Brien, Senior Broker

trading futures

General:

Keep an eye out for the Labor Department’s release of this month’s Producer Price Index tomorrow. As with Tuesday’s Consumer Price Index, PPI will be looked at as guidance for the Federal Reserve as it approaches its September 16-17 meeting. The report shows the cost of wholesale goods and services and reflects what companies pay for supplies such as grains, fuel, metals, lumber, packaging and so forth. On Friday, the Census Bureau will release its latest Retail Sales numbers. Both reports come out at 7:30 A.M., Central Time

 

Also on Friday and potentially market moving across some asset classes, The president Trump will meet his Russian counterpart in Alaska to discuss ending the conflict between Moscow and Kyiv which is now well into its third year,

 

Indexes:

Stock index futures climbed today with the front month E-mini S&P 500 and E-mini Nasdaq Composite notching back-to-back record highs as investors bet almost unanimously on a Federal Reserve rate cut at its next meeting following Tuesday’s inflation data. Though the data from the Labor Department’s Consumer Price Index showed inflation had ticked up, it increased less than expected. The September E-mini Dow Jones is once again within striking distance of an all-time high last reached in December.

 

Energy:

U.S. crude oil inventories rose last week as domestic production and imports increased, while product stocks were mixed, according to data released today by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Commercial crude oil stocks excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve increased by 3 million barrels to 426.7 million barrels. Analysts predicted crude stockpiles would fall by 1 million barrels. As a result, September crude oil traded below $62/barrel intraday, its ninth lower daily price decline in ten trading sessions and a 2-month low.

 

After dropping to a new intraday eight-month low early in the session, September natural gas futures edged up today. On Tuesday, the contract closed at its lowest since November 14. The U.S. National Hurricane Center projected Tropical Storm Erin will strengthen into a major hurricane as it moves west across the Atlantic Ocean toward the Bahamas by early next week. The approach could negatively affect U.S. East Coast demand and further pressure prices.

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December Meal

December meal created an interim low last month and now has activated upside PriceCount objectives on the correction. The first count projects a possible run to the $301 area which would require a break out above the downtrend and a constructive shift in the chart formation.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Aug 14th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Markets Climb on Soft Inflation and Crops Reach Record Highs – August 13th 2025

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CPI Fizzles while the Northeast sizzles

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

C10

 

The consumer Price index was released today and offered another insight into inflation. Inflationary spikes maybe a thing of the past. Was it in line with expectations? 2.8 %? . the actual release? 2.7 % was all the fuel the equities need to rally to all-time highs in the Nasdaq 100 Index 23930.00, the S&P fell just shy of it’s July 31st all time high , as of this writing, the price is 6465.00 (still a few hours to go in the trading day).

Copernicus Data Space Ecosystem has reported that this year’s summer humidity index East of the Rockies , calculated using morning dewpoints have been the highest readings since the data has been accumulated. Conversely, according to Weather West “In fact, in some specific locations, the May-mid July 2025 period has been among the coldest in the past 30-40 years (meaning, for some younger folks in the Bay Area, this might be the coolest start to any summer in their living memory). It has been chilly, unusually windy, and often cloudy under a very persistent marine layer in these regions.”     These weather anomalies can certainly impact the crops we grow to feed the world.

Today the World Agriculture Supply /Demand Estimates were released and it appears east of the Rockies is generating a record corn crop. Average corn yield is forecast at a record high 188.8 bushels per acre, up 9.5 bushels from last year. NASS also forecasts record high yields in Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Virginia, and Wisconsin. As of Aug. 3, 73% of this year’s corn crop was reported in good or excellent condition, 6 percentage points above the same time last year.

Click here for Seasonal Spread Cheat Sheet!

Soybean yields are expected to average a record high 53.6 bushels per acre, up 2.9 bushels from 2024. If realized, the forecasted yields in Arkansas, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, and Virginia will be record highs.

We trade these markets; in many cases we put on seasonal bull or bear spreads. We created a PDF for those traders interested in reviewing strategies to potentially capitalize on seasonal price movements between front months (old crop) vs deferred months (new crop) for grain and oilseed contracts. One benefit is these tend to carry lower initial margin requirements.

Click here for Seasonal Spread Cheat Sheet!

We will be happy to walk you through and answer any questions, just give us a call.

 

Tomorrow:

Econ Data: EIA Crude Stocks

FED: 3 speakers

Earnings: Tencent, Cisco

Tariff news:  Anything goes!

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Daily Levels for Aug 13th, 2025

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Wheat Spread Outlook; Webinar Tomorrow: Futures Trading in an SDIRA – August 12th 2025

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Futures Trading in an SDIRA(Self Directed IRA): What You Need to Know to Get Started

 

Futures trading offers exciting opportunities—but it’s not for everyone. In this informative webinar, Advanta IRA’s Larissa Greene is joined by Ilan Levy-Mayer, an Associated Person with Cannon Trading Company, to break down the basics of the concept and how it can fit into a self-directed IRA strategy.

You’ll learn what futures trading is, who may not be a good fit for this investment type, and the different ways you can trade futures using your SDIRA funds.

 

 

This webinar takes place at 12 pm ET on Tuesday, 8/12, don’t miss out! Register now.

https://www.advantaira.com/event/futures-trading/

#FuturesTrading #InvestingForRetirement #InvestingWebinar #AdvantaIRA

 

Additionally, Ilan will explain the aspects of:

·    Trading with a broker

·    Managing trades yourself

·    Using automated algorithmic trading

·    Working with a managed account

 

This session is designed for beginner and sophisticated investors to help you understand your options and risks so you can make informed decisions.

 

Register today.

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September – December KC Wheat Spread

The Sept–Dec KC wheat spread corrected after it completed the third upside PriceCount objective at the beginning of the month. Now, the chart has resumed its rally into a new high which, if sustained, projects a possible run to the low-percentage fourth upside count to the -11 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Aug 12th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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The Week Ahead: Day Trading MES vs MNQ? , NQ Auto System – Futures & Commodities Weekly Letter #1253

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1253

  • The Week Ahead – Sanctions, Tariffs, CPI, WASDE and more earnings

  • Futures 101 – Day Trading MES vs MNQ?

  • Hot Market of the Week – September Natural Gas

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mini NASDAQ Day Trading System

  • Trading Levels for Next Week

  • Trading Reports for Next Week

WEBINAR: Futures trading offers exciting opportunities—but it’s not for everyone. In this informative webinar, Advanta IRA’s Larissa Greene is joined by Ilan Levy-Mayer, an Associated Person with Cannon Trading Company, to break down the basics of the concept and how it can fit into a self-directed IRA strategy.

This webinar takes place at 12 pm ET on Tuesday, 8/12, don’t miss out! Register now.

https://www.advantaira.com/event/futures-trading/

#FuturesTrading #InvestingForRetirement #InvestingWebinar #AdvantaIRA

 

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Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Sanctions, Tariffs, CPI, WASDE and more earnings, predominantly tier 2.

Aside from a big Tuesday CPI report and World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, Tariff impacts are creating volatility in commodity markets (industrial metals, Orange Juice, Coffee, Grains) look for news about China, Canada Tariffs in addition to whatever rumblings are leaked about Russia/US talks. The on again off again nature of the talks has created golden opportunities for breakouts in some markets, rangebound trades in others. (see gold commentary below)

The potential Trump-Putin meeting has become the main commodity market news of this week, with analysts speculating about the likelihood of a comprehensive deal and the impacts this could have on oil markets. ICE Brent has been gradually sliding closer to $65 per barrel as lower sanction risks on Russia could further erode the market’s in-built risk premium, however a potential failure in the talks could spark another price rally above $70.  Remember that current market drivers for Equities are hard data on Jobs, Inflation, Trump tweets and Geopolitics. Two weeks ago, I wrote this: Watch for the gold market to maintain its rangebound stance, close below 3350 (basis December) or above 3500 should denote a breakout, begin trading the December(Z) contract next week.  Last week I wrote:  Dec gold traded below 3350 today and the past three days but never closed meaningfully below 3350.0 (3348.60 Thurs.) Today we have breached $3500.00 oz with a high in the $3543.00 area per oz. while currently trading @$3493.00 oz as of this writing. Look for a close above $3500.00 on successive days to again accumulate longs. This may be the break from this range we are looking for. Manage your downside risk according to your account size, risk no more than 15-20% whether with options or futures.

Continued volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals, especially with China, India and Russia, remember that Mexico is currently under a  90-day extension.

 Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue.  Sea Limited, CoreWeave
  • Wed. Cisco
  • Thu. Alibaba, Applied Materials, Ross Stores
  • Fri.   Quiet

 

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT) 

  • Mon.   Quiet
  • Tues.  9 am Barkin, 9:30 am Schmid
  • Wed.  6:30 am Barkin, Noon Goolsbee, 1:30 pm Bostic
  • Thu.   1 pm Barkin,
  • Fri.     Quiet

Economic Data week: 

  • Mon.  Quiet
  • Tue.    CPI, Redbook,  WASDE
  • Wed.  EIA Crude Stocks,  17-week Bill auction
  • Thur.  PPI, Jobless claims, EIA NAT GAS Storage, Fed Balance sheet
  • Fri.  Empire State data, Retail sales, Cap Utilization, Business inventories, Mich. Consumer Sentiment
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Day trading futures using correlated markets for spread strategies

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

Day trading futures using correlated markets for spread strategies—such as trading the Micro Nasdaq (MNQ) against the Micro S&P 500 (MES)—offers a powerful way to manage directional risk while capitalizing on relative performance.

These two indices often move in tandem, but subtle divergences can emerge intraday due to sector weightings, earnings reports, or macro headlines. By going long one and short the other, traders can isolate relative strength or weakness between tech-heavy Nasdaq and broader-market S&P exposure. This approach reduces exposure to broad market swings and instead focuses on the spread between the two instruments, which tends to revert to a mean over time.

To execute this effectively, traders should monitor correlation metrics, use synchronized charting (e.g., Renko or range bars), and define clear entry/exit rules based on spread behavior rather than outright price movement. It’s important to size positions proportionally—since MNQ and MES have different volatility profiles—and to track the spread ratio rather than individual P&L. Economic releases, Fed commentary, and sector rotation can all influence spread dynamics, so staying nimble and avoiding over-leverage is key.

This strategy works best in liquid hours (8:30 AM–11:30 AM EST) when volume and volatility are high but more predictable.

Next steps for exploring and refining your MNQ vs MES spread strategy:

Step-by-Step Exploration of the MNQ/MES Spread Strategy

To begin, monitor both MNQ and MES in real time using side-by-side charts and DOMs (Depth of Market) to observe how they move in relation to each other. Pay attention to divergences during key market events, such as economic releases or sector rotations. Start in a simulated environment to test your thesis without capital risk. Try creating an order ticket that treats the spread as a unified trade—some platforms allow custom spread orders, while others may require manual execution through two DOMs. Compare both methods to see which offers better control and execution efficiency.

Refinement Through Data and Journaling

Track daily price movements and note how the spread behaves—record the dollar value difference between MNQ and MES and how it would have impacted your P&L if traded as a spread. Consider experimenting with different ratios, such as 2 MES contracts versus 1 MNQ, to balance volatility and margin requirements. Keep a detailed journal of your observations, trade setups, and emotional responses. This will help identify patterns and refine your edge.

Finally, reach out to to our series 3 licensed brokers with ANY questions! who specialize in index spreads—they can offer insights on execution, risk management, and platform-specific tips that accelerate your learning curve.

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

September Natural Gas

September natural gas broke down into a new contract low where it satisfied its third downside PriceCount objective. It would be normal to get a near-term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade, at least. At this point, IF the chart can resume its break with new sustained lows, we are left with the low-percentage fourth count to the 1.77 area that we view as highly unlikely.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Sentinel E-mini Nasdaq 15′

Markets Traded:  Mini NASDAQ Futures NQ

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $20,000

Developer Fee per contract: $120 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURE

Futures trading is complex and carries the risk of substantial losses. It is not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.

The returns for trading systems listed throughout this website are hypothetical in that they represent returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real-time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on backadjusted data (backadjusted).

Please read carefully the CFTC required disclaimer regarding hypothetical results below. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING.

FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for August 11th, 2025

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Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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