day trading


Big Moves in Metals Sector & Futures Support and Resistance Levels 1.12.2021

January 11th, 2021 Filed under Future Trading News | Comment (0)

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Dear Traders,

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Big Moves in the metals sector the last few days, including the “favorite child” – Dr. Copper….
Previous sell signals in the shape of red diamonds only generated very small downward moves if any, compare to the same exact signal to the buy side = mechanics of a bull trend. The big question today is will we see more follow through on this sell signa?
Copper Futures Daily Continuation Chart 1.11.2021

Big Moves in the metals sector the last few days, including the “favorite child” – Dr. Copper….

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

1-12-2021

Futures Support & Resistance Levels 1.12.2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

BetterTrader Economic Indicators 1.12.2021

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Trading Insight: “Look Before You Leap” and Support & Resistance Levels 12.23.2020

December 22nd, 2020 Filed under Future Trading News | Comment (0)

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Dear Traders,

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This was shared with me by a colleague of mine few years back and I can fully relate and wanted to share it with you as well:
“Look Before You Leap”
On the way to becoming (trying to become…) a successful Futures trader you will incur many losses.
That I can attest to.
One way to guarantee you will never be a successful trader is by taking “out sized” losses.
There was a time, in my 22 year career, that I would get an idea, in my head, that I had to be in a market, jump in and then look at where a proper stop loss would have to be placed and panic because the loss would be too great if the stop loss was reached.
So being the rookie that I was, I would place what was known as a “money’ stop, which is one that is based on how much money I was willing to risk rather one that was based on support or resistance.
Because this type of stop level was arbitrary I kept getting stopped out and then watching as the market turn around and go the way I thought it would.
Then it dawned on me. Look before you leap! So before jumping into the fray, look at where the stop goes first and if it is too far away you can just pass on it or place your “resting” or limit order closer to where a stop can be placed based chart support or resistance, not on “how much you want to lose”
Of course you can still get stopped out but at least you might have a better chance of keeping your losses smaller.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-23-2020

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


New Product:  Small Exchange Treasury Yield & Support and Resistance Levels 12.16.2020

December 15th, 2020 Filed under Future Trading News | Comment (0)

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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Have you heard? There’s a new futures exchange in town and NOW you can trade the 10 years Yield!.
Interest rates have never been lower,* and now trading them has never been easier. Small Treasury Yield / S10Y gives you access to the lowest interest rate environment in the history of US Treasuries all in a small, standard, and simple future. And the Small Exchange is letting you test it out for zero exchange transaction fees! Put oversized, complicated bond products in your past… trade the future of interest rates.
Don’t miss this limited-time opportunity to trade S10Y for zero exchange transactions fees! The Small Exchange will waive all exchange transaction fees for the Small Treasury Yield futures until January 29th.†
*All-time low in 10-year Treasury rate of 0.52% on August 4, 2020, according to treasury.gov.
†The Small Exchange $0.07 and $0.15 exchange transaction fees will be waived. Commissions and other fees charged by, or passed through from, your broker will still apply. Visit the Small Exchange fee page for a full list of our fees.
© 2020 Small Exchange, Inc.  All rights reserved.  Small Exchange, Inc. is a Designated Contract Market registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.  The information in this advertisement is current as of the date noted, is for informational purposes only, and does not contend to address the financial objectives, situation, or specific needs of any individual investor.  Trading futures involves the risk of loss, including the possibility of loss greater than your initial investment.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-16-2020

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Weekly Newsletter #1031: Knowing What You Don’t Know in Trading Markets, Copper Futures Daily Chart & Futures Levels 12.07.2020

December 4th, 2020 Filed under Weekly Newsletter | Comment (0)

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1031

Dear Traders,

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Trading 101: Knowing What You Don’t Know in Trading Markets
From our friend Jim Wyckoff at JimWyckoff.com
The headline of this educational feature may be a bit confusing, but I will explain what I mean shortly. First, I want to reiterate that trading futures, stock and FOREX markets is not an easy undertaking. It disgusts me that there are a few unsavory people in our industry that portray trading as an easy, get-rich-quick scheme, or as some endeavor for which there are “secrets” to be learned from those who hold “trading secrets.”
Folks, the plain truth is that there are no trading secrets and no easy paths to quick success in trading markets. Beware of anyone who tries to tell (or sell) you such. One of the biggest obstacles to success in trading markets is a lack of knowledge and understanding of the process of trading. The “process of trading” includes understanding financial leverage, market behavior and trader psychology. Understanding the process of trading can be achieved with perseverance and a willingness to continue to learn.
It’s not coincidental that trading markets is similar to most other human endeavors: Hard work and experience are required to achieve notable success. A person who enjoys classic automobiles would not attempt to tear down and successfully rebuild an engine without having some previous experience, or without having learned about the workings of an automobile engine—including knowing about the tools involved in the operation
Click here to Read the rest of the article
Dr. Copper
Copper and copper futures have a special place in the commodity futures universe. As one of the most important industrial and building materials in the world, copper’s market price is seen as an important fundamental economic indicator for not only the health of the U.S. economy, but also for the robustness of the world’s economy as a whole. In fact, because of copper’s generally accepted importance as an economic indicator in predicting and reflecting over-all economic health, it is ascribed to be the only commodity with a doctorate degree in the field of economics, hence the title, “Dr. Copper”. Cannon Trading’s brokers affectionately call out the words “Dr. Copper” when referring to copper’s present price and market movements, amongst themselves, in a cheerful genuflecting to the respect we believe this commodity and futures contract deserves. Copper’s recent market trading range /trend can be observed in the daily chart below.
Copper Futures Specs
Hours: 5:00 PM to 4:00 PM next day PM Central Time
Margins: $4620 initial, $4200Maint. ( as of the date of this newsletter)
Point Value: full Cent = $12.50( Example: $5.60 to $5.61/bu ). Min fluctuation is 2/8ths of a cent = $12.50 ( Example: 5.60 -5.602)
Settlement: Deliverable, FND is last business day preceding the contract month
Months: March (H), May (K), July (N), September (U,) December(Z)
Weekly Options: NO
To access a free trial to the ALGOS shown in the chart along with other tools, visit and sign up for a free trial for 21 days with real-time data.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-07-2020

 

Weekly Levels

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading


Day Trading Comex Gold Futures – Contrary to Conventional Wisdom

June 11th, 2018 Filed under Day Trading, Future Trading News, Gold Futures | Comment (0)

Day Trading Comex Gold Futures

(Contrary to Conventional Wisdom)

 

By: John Thorpe, Cannon Trading Senior Broker

Markets are forward looking. Today’s price is as much a reflection of yesterday’s fears, needs , wants and desires as the current reaction to a political leader rattling sabers, or the effect that a surprise Government Report  will have on the prices of a security or commodity.

Contrary to conventional wisdom, Day Traders tend to be well educated and well capitalized.

Risk takers, by any other name, Wildcat oil drillers? Computer geeks working out of their parent’s garage? Mom and Pop managing their hard earned 401k’s; The Day trading approach is not very different from any other investing approach, with one major distinction from other risk takers who operate on a much greater time horizon.  As a day trader, you open an investment and close an investment between sunup and sundown and often many times during a market session.  One of the greatest risks that day traders must avoid is gauging their success or failure within that same sunup to sundown time frame. I like to call this a fiction trap. A fiction trap occurs when the day trader believes that once he has a good day trading, his subsequent days will always yield the same results. The fiction trap results in unrealistic expectations for success.  The Market, like the ocean current, is sometimes similar in repetition, but rarely identical in motion. When risk takers begin the process of assessing a strategy, they do it with the long view in mind.

By taking a longer view of returns, like all other risk takers, you can avoid the fiction trap of unrealistic expectations by incorporating the Rule of 72 into your long-range plans. The Rule of 72 is a formula that tells you how quickly (given a rate of return) it will take for your account size to double. Although your account size can double in one day trading futures, it is rare to hold on to those gains. The Rule of 72 forces you to be patient, emotionally subdued, and in line with long-term goals.

As with any risk taking, timing is key. A day trader needs to become:  a scientist, a student of the discipline, a tester, a collector of data, and an executer of plans.

With any project, the scientist keeps good notes and uses the microscope (technical indicators, charts, et al.) to determine the intersections of volume, price. This approach yields more accurate results than a random approach, such as throwing darts at the WSJ securities settlement page to find the correct asset and the correct position. Doing the homework and creating a practical plan should lead to positive results.

I like day trading in the Futures markets because with no more effort than buying a position, you can just as easily sell to open a new position.  In other words, if you have ever sold a stock or ETF short, you know you can short the asset by requesting from the stock loan department shares of a stock to borrow so you can short it.  Now patiently for an uptick to assume your position. This can be a time-wasting exercise when split-second decision making is required.  For this reason and this reason alone, day trading futures makes far greater sense than day trading stocks or ETF’s.

 

What I want to accomplish with you in this draft is to lay out a blueprint for day trading the NY Comex 100 oz. Gold futures contract, traded electronically through Globex.

 

 Factors Affecting Gold Prices

As part of the road map to the price discovery process, be aware of the London fixing times, or ocean currents, then can determine our Comex Gold prices. You can find charts and data points available like the one below from the U.S. St Louis Fed

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GOLDAMGBD228NLBM

You may find, upon research, that you have an identifiable price pattern around these times in the Comex market equivalents. Allow your research to guide you. These prices from London represent settlement prices for the fabricators, miners, hedgers and speculators from which they close their daily business dealings.  These fixings are as variable as the US Market prices are for gold. The US Market pays attention to the London market, and although not fungible, they are interchangeable in price discovery. London watches Comex and Comex watches London. The auctions are run at 10:30am and 3:00pm London Time for gold and 12:00pm London time for silver. The final auction prices are published to the market as the LBMA Gold Price AM, The LBMA Gold Price PM and the LBMA Silver Price Benchmarks.

Scarcity or the perception of scarcity and lack thereof drives market sentiment.

Markets are forward looking. Today’s   price is as much a reflection of yesterday’s fears as anything else. So we need to anticipate market price impact from Governmental reports, increases and decreases in potential supply or demand,

Central banks have quite a bit to do with the value of the “Yellow Metal” based on how they perceive the underlying economy’s strengths and weaknesses and whether they print money or not, by increasing or decreasing the velocity of the sovereign nations’ cash supply.  When a Central bank adjusts the Nation’s supply of dollars of their native currency, Gold will typically behave reciprocally: More dollars in circulation, value of gold increases, fewer dollars in circulation, the value of gold decreases.

During large chunks of the 20th century, the world’s central banks were net suppliers of gold. After spending their early history accumulating gold to back up national currencies, central banks sold more gold than they purchased after the U.S. dollar became the de facto world reserve currency under the Bretton Woods Agreement.

In recent years, however, the trend has changed. Central banks have become net demanders of gold, which puts upward pressure on both production and retail costs. As some sovereign currency markets are in a constant to variable state of flux and turmoil due to political upheaval or disequilibrium in their balance of trade and payments, investors residing in these countries buy gold to use as a safe haven asset to offset the risk of holding their assets in their sovereign currency.

As with any worthwhile endeavor, a true student of any process understands addtional  research should be done to thoroughly understand the potential  risks and rewards from either day trading or position trading, or with equal vigor, engaging in short term or longer term investing of any kind.

As Greek philosopher Aristotle thoughtfully observed and written for us to learn from over 2000 years ago,  “Bring your desires down to your present means. Increase them only when your increased means permit.”

What Aristotle was saying (as it applies to investing) is to use risk capital only. Risk capital is capital that, if lost in the pursuit of reward, will not impact negatively your ability to take care financially of any of your current obligations, nor will it negatively impact your current lifestyle. This statement is also true for day traders to focus on the risk they are taking on in their own accounts. Just because you had a few good days trading doesn’t necessarily mean you should put more of your account at risk and increase the size of your trades exponentially. This happens all too often and turns successful day traders into unsuccessful traders in the intermediate term, and in many cases these traders end their trading because what was once a growing account with a tempered approach becomes one great big washout.

  1. No distractions, clear the table, shut the door, unplug your devices-FOCUS
  2. Perspective- where has the market been ( long term and intermediate term charts and try to identify the reason for large price moves in either direction
  3. Just because the market is open 23 hours, don’t try to physically trade the market for 23 hours, your money will burn out faster than you will. A quote I like is “the Market can remain irrational for longer than I can be solvent”
  4. Define your daytrading timeframe. (for example: 8am-10am, 2pm-4 pm), set it, and stick to it for at least 30 trading days. Markets have the tendency to behave similarly day in and day out during the same time frames. Remember, like currents in an ocean, markets are sometimes similar in repetition, but rarely identical in motion.
  5. Research – Know the market you are trading. Research it, understand what makes it move. Who the players are in the cash market.
  6. Stay informed – Know the recent daily dollar volatility of the market you are trading. I like to take the past 30 to 45 days for the Aug  Comex 100oz Gold contract. For example, I recently used 30 trading days and arrived at $1220.00. I took the distance between the high and low of each full day, totaled them, added 30 data points together for an average daily range and multiplied that by the value of a tick in the gold  ($10.00)
  7. With my trading platform I have the ability to adjust the time frame to include only the time I  have set aside to view the market. In my research I  will also have a full daily chart

a weekly chart

And a monthly chart

of August Comex Gold  which will show me the critical areas of technical support that I can apply intraday to my abbreviated chart.

Why is dollar volatility Important? (see above) – You can manage your expectations here; you now know you shouldn’t expect to make 2,000.00 on a single trade and you can better gauge how many contracts, and how much risk you can take, on each trade. You now have a template of recent activity to better judge expected volatility without having to utilize an expensive add-on or chart indicator.

8) Call – Please speak with your broker on the phone to determine the appropriate amount of risk capital you need to trade your plan in the Gold Futures Market.

The Comex Gold Contract trades in Chicago through a registered Broker. www.cannontrading.com

Gold Contract specs are as follows:

Quoted in Dollars and Cents per Troy OZ.

Minimum price fluctuation: $0.10 per troy oz.

Symbol GC or GGC

Initial margin requirement: $3,410.00

Maintenance requirement: $3,100.00

Hours traded: 6pm EST Sunday, through to Friday at 5pm EST with an hour break each day between 5pm and 6 pm EST

As always, lean on your broker for guidance, call him or her and discuss what your risk tolerance levels are. Where to use stop loss orders or options to hedge your trading plan to ensure you leave yourself with a fighting chance.

Disclaimer: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.

The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.

There is not an actual account trading these recommendations.

Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

 

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