Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

Market Highlights & Key Announcements: Inflation, Futures, and Energy Updates

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C115

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

General:  

While inflation has cooled substantially since the middle of 2022 – when it hit a four-decade high of more than 9 percent – more recently progress has slowed, or even stopped outright as evidenced by the Labor Department’s report this morning that the Consumer Price Index rose 0.4 percent from November, the fastest one-month increase in overall prices since February.  But in the same report, the “core” measure of inflation, which strips out volatile food and fuel prices to give a better sense of the underlying trend, rose 3.2 percent from a year earlier after three straight months of 3.3 percent gains.  Forecasters had not expected core inflation to show signs of slowing.

Going into the fed’s next meeting later this month investors widely expect the central bank to hold interest rates steady, breaking a streak of three consecutive rate cuts.  Some forecasters now believe policymakers may not lower rates at all this year.

Stock Indexes: 

Stock index futures took this morning’s news positively with the March E-mini S&P 500 soaring over 100 points as of this typing, posting a ±2% gain.  The E-mini Nasdaq scaled up ±500 points, over 2.25%, the E-mini Russell 2000 posted a gain of ±2% with a ±45-point climb and the E-mini Dow thrust up over 700 points/±1.75%.

More General: 

The CME group has taken an almost unprecedented step and reduced their exchange fees on one of the fastest growing futures contracts by volume.  Starting Feb. 1 Micro Bitcoin futures exchange fees will drop over 50% from $2.50  to $1.15.2025

Micro Ether futures, already with on for the CME Group’s lowest fees at $0.20, is dropping half to $0.10

This is a good time to remind you how to take the worry out of your crypto trading.  Manage your cryptocurrency risk with Bitcoin and Micro Bitcoin futures and options.

You can practice trading Micro Bitcoin in REAL time with simulated money!!

With efficient price discovery in transparent futures markets, prices based on the regulated CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR) and easily traded on your supported trading platform.

 

Energy:  

WTI crude oil futures (Feb.) rose almost 3% today and traded over $80 per barrel for the first in six months on the heels yesterday’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) report showing crude oil stocks fell last week to their lowest since April 2022 as exports rose and imports fell.  Excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve stocks fell by 2 million barrels to 412.7 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 10, about 6% below the five-year average for this time of year.

f75a5ad6 432c 4e23 a305 8465d9cd37bc

Daily Levels for January 16th, 2024

24f8eca1 3697 47d7 8099 bbfdcf0443ee

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
af3f2581 599d 4731 956a 80a08353b636
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Market Movers & Shakers: Reversals, Trends, and Key Insights for Traders

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C69

Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Today was a reversal day in a majority of the markets we all follow.

From the Energy Markets giving back some of their gains from the past few trading sessions, to the Precious metals , inching a little higher after a tremendous downward push yesterday.

Soybeans, while still in a strong up trend saw profit taking along with Corn and KC Wheat.

Equities have been struggling to maintain the election rally. The Bond markets slide was halted for a day.

 

Perhaps all this uncertainty is a result of the anticipation of tomorrow mornings CPI release.

This Economic data point has been one of the most talked about by the voting members of the FED and may portend a shift in policy..

Do keep an eye on changes in the CME FedWatch data (FedFund Futures) tomorrow, this will give traders an insight into future market direction. Higher inflation, leads to higher Bond yields, Higher Yields lead to lower bond prices, and greater hesitancy by the FED to lower rates anytime soon.

 

Lower CPI numbers are favorable to lower rates in the near term, therefore Higher Equity prices.

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

 

 

Today’s Movers

Today’s News:

Updated: January 14, 2025 6:23 am

**NFIB December US small business optimism index: 105.1 ; prior month 101.7 ; expected 100.0

Updated: January 14, 2025 7:31 am

US Producer Price Index (PPI) Headline Recap

 

**US December Producer Price Index (PPI) Final Demand: +0.2%; expected +0.3%

**US December Producer Price Index, ex. Food & Energy (PPI): 0.0%; expected +0.3%

**US December Personal Consumption: +0.3%

 

**US November Producer Price Index (PPI) Final Demand revised: +0.4% from +0.4%

 

Updated: January 14, 2025 7:55 am

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.0% in the first two weeks of January 2025 vs January 2024

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.0% in the week ending January 11th vs yr ago week

 

 

 

 

Watch Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

7:30 AM CST CPI Consumer Price Index!

 

Here is Econoday.com’s consensus view

55975ff6 3185 4cb8 a04c 377334ad2439
Fed Speakers:

 

Barkin 8:20 CST, Kashkari 9 am CST, Williams 10 am CST, Goolsbee 11 am CST

 

Earnings:

 

(162 rpts) Pre-Open JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Black Rock, Citigroup, Bank of NY, Oracle after the close

Daily Levels for January 15th, 2024

49b238ba 9fdb 4b8c 9970 405a5cb60488

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
be5cd759 cde1 44f6 82c1 5a5c77488f6f
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Martin Luther King 2025 Holiday Schedule for CME Exchange Hour

Get Real Time updates and more by joining our Private Facebook Group! Subscribe to our YouTube Channel
MLK

Martin Luther King 2025 Holiday Schedule for CME Exchange Hours (including Globex & ICE Exchange)

9fe6c149 371a 4f53 a1f2 ae9a97080703 *Dates and times are subject to change If you have any questions, please call the CME Global Command Center at +1 800 438 8616, in Europe at +44 800 898 013 or in Asia at +65 6532 5010

Globex® Martin Luther King Holiday Schedule for CME Exchange Hours (including Globex & ICE Exchange)

More details at: http://www.cmegroup.com/tools-information/holiday-calendar.html  Detailed holiday hours for ICE Futures: https://www.theice.com/holiday-hours The above sources were compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Cannon Trading assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions.  It is meant as an alert to events that may affect trading strategies and is not necessarily complete.  The closing times for certain contracts may have been rescheduled.

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572. Explore trading methods. Register Here
3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39
* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Mastering Micro Bitcoin Futures: Basics and Strategies for Traders

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

 Bitcoin

Micro Bitcoin basics

Micro Bitcoin futures (MBT) provide an efficient, cost-effective new way to fine-tune bitcoin exposure and enhance your trading strategies. Offering multiple benefits for traders, it’s important to understand the contract mechanics. This course will cover the basics of Micro Bitcoin futures, the fundamentals behind the contract, and different ways to use.

0b471700 d22a 4c07 9f36 58ee7cc98e26
0f088299 cf68 491d b23a 346eba92f600

Daily Levels for January 14th, 2024

fea076a3 38bc 4f8a 8336 43e8363c93d3

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
34b2acce f407 4889 bfed 43f1d89b32b9
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Wheat Future Contract

The wheat future contract has been a cornerstone of the agricultural futures market for centuries, allowing producers, processors, and investors to hedge against price fluctuations in a volatile global market. Today, futures trading has evolved into a sophisticated financial tool supported by cutting-edge technology and regulatory frameworks. This article will explore the evolution of wheat futures and other farm crop contracts, providing real-life anecdotes, case studies, and hypothetical trading scenarios to illustrate their significance. Additionally, we’ll delve into why Cannon Trading Company, with its decades of experience, stellar reputation, and wide selection of free platforms, stands out as a premier choice for trading wheat and other agricultural futures like class 3 milk futures and the corn futures contract.

The Evolution of Wheat Futures and Farm Crop Contracts

The origins of wheat future contracts date back to the mid-19th century with the establishment of the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) in 1848. Farmers and grain merchants needed a system to protect themselves from unpredictable price swings caused by weather, supply chain issues, and geopolitical events. Enter the futures market: a standardized contract to buy or sell wheat at a predetermined price on a specific future date.

Over time, the concept expanded to include other farm crop contracts, such as the corn futures contract and class 3 milk futures. Initially, futures trading was dominated by local farmers and merchants. However, the advent of electronic trading in the late 20th century democratized access, attracting institutional investors, hedge funds, and individual traders from around the globe.

Technological advancements have played a pivotal role in this evolution. Today, platforms like those offered by Cannon Trading Company provide traders with real-time market data, advanced charting tools, and risk management features, making futures trading more accessible and efficient than ever before.

Real-Life Anecdotes and Case Studies

The 2008 Wheat Price Surge

One of the most dramatic examples of volatility in the wheat market occurred in 2008. Global wheat prices skyrocketed due to poor harvests, rising demand from emerging markets, and export restrictions imposed by major producing countries. For farmers in the U.S. Midwest, this presented both challenges and opportunities.

A Kansas wheat farmer, for example, used wheat future contracts to lock in a sale price of $12 per bushel in March 2008, months before harvesting. By the time his crop was ready, spot prices had dropped to $8 per bushel due to improved weather conditions and easing supply concerns. His decision to hedge through futures saved his business from significant losses, highlighting the value of futures trading for risk management.

The Corn Belt Hedge Fund

In the 2010s, a small hedge fund based in Illinois recognized the interconnectedness of farm crop contracts. By analyzing weather patterns, they predicted a poor corn harvest in the Midwest, leading them to short corn futures contracts while going long on wheat future contracts due to substitution effects in animal feed markets. Their calculated bets paid off handsomely, yielding a 35% return for the year and showcasing how futures can be used for speculative gains as well as hedging.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario: A Dairy Processor

Imagine a dairy processor who relies on milk as a primary input. Concerned about rising costs, they decide to trade class 3 milk futures to secure a stable price for the next six months. By locking in a price of $17.50 per hundredweight, they mitigate the risk of price spikes caused by fluctuating feed costs for dairy cattle. Meanwhile, a speculator on the other side of the trade takes on the risk, hoping to profit from price movements. This mutually beneficial arrangement demonstrates the dual nature of futures markets: risk transfer and price discovery.

The Role of Cannon Trading Company in Futures Trading

Cannon Trading Company has established itself as a trusted partner for traders of all experience levels. Its wide selection of free platforms, including advanced tools for analyzing wheat future contracts, class 3 milk futures, and the corn futures contract, makes it an excellent choice for anyone engaged in futures trading. Here’s why:

  1. User-Friendly Platforms
    Cannon Trading offers an array of platforms tailored to different trading styles and needs. Whether you’re a novice looking for simplicity or a seasoned trader requiring advanced analytics, Cannon has you covered. Real-time data, customizable charts, and automated trading options empower traders to make informed decisions.
  1. Decades of Experience
    With over three decades in the industry, Cannon Trading has weathered market ups and downs, earning a reputation for reliability and expertise. Their deep understanding of markets like wheat future contracts and farm crop contracts positions them as invaluable advisors to clients navigating the complexities of futures trading.
  1. Regulatory Excellence
    Cannon Trading Company’s exemplary track record with regulatory bodies underscores its commitment to transparency and integrity. In an industry where trust is paramount, this reputation provides peace of mind to traders.
  1. Educational Resources
    For newcomers to futures trading, Cannon offers a wealth of educational resources, including webinars, tutorials, and market analysis. These tools help traders understand the nuances of markets like the corn futures contract and class 3 milk futures, enabling them to trade with confidence.
  1. Stellar Customer Support
    Cannon’s 5-star ratings on TrustPilot reflect its dedication to customer satisfaction. Their team of experienced brokers is available to assist clients with everything from platform setup to strategy development, ensuring a seamless trading experience.

Why Trade Wheat Futures?

Trading wheat future contracts offers several advantages:

  • Risk Management: Farmers and processors can hedge against price fluctuations, ensuring stable income and cost structures.
  • Liquidity: The wheat market is highly liquid, making it easy to enter and exit positions.
  • Leverage: Futures allow traders to control large amounts of wheat with relatively small initial investments, amplifying potential returns (and risks).
  • Diversification: For investors, wheat futures provide exposure to a commodity that behaves differently from stocks and bonds, enhancing portfolio diversification.

Risks and Rewards in Futures Trading

While futures trading offers significant opportunities, it’s not without risks. Leverage can magnify losses as well as gains, and market movements can be unpredictable. However, with the right tools and strategies—like those provided by Cannon Trading Company—traders can navigate these challenges effectively.

The Future of Farm Crop Contracts

As climate change and geopolitical tensions continue to impact agricultural markets, the role of farm crop contracts like wheat future contracts, class 3 milk futures, and the corn futures contract will only grow in importance. Technological innovations, such as blockchain-based smart contracts and AI-driven market analysis, promise to further revolutionize futures trading, making it more transparent and efficient.

The journey of wheat future contracts and other farm crop contracts from their humble beginnings to today’s sophisticated markets is a testament to the resilience and adaptability of the agricultural sector. Real-life examples and hypothetical scenarios illustrate the value of these contracts for hedging and speculation alike. For traders seeking a reliable partner in this dynamic market, Cannon Trading Company stands out with its top-rated platforms, extensive experience, and commitment to customer success.

Whether you’re trading wheat future contracts, class 3 milk futures, or the corn futures contract, Cannon Trading provides the tools and support you need to succeed. By leveraging their expertise and resources, you can navigate the complexities of futures trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

 

Weekly Newsletter: Week Ahead+ World Cup Championship, Trading Levels for Jan 13th

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C114

In this issue:

  • StoneX/E-Futures Platform Updates
  •  Important Notices – Earnings, CPI, PPI, Housing
  • Futures 102 – World Cup Trading Championship
  • Hot Market of the Week – March 10 Year Notes
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week
To our clients whose accounts are with StoneX and currently using the E-Futures Platform:

  • The new StoneX Futures platform will be up and running Monday, Dec. 16th.

 

  • Your existing LIVE user name and password will be accepted.

 

  • Your existing exchange data subscriptions will migrate to the new platform.
  • To login to the new trading interface please login here:

https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

  • If you like a demo ( and did not have a demo of StoneX Futures yet) CLICK HERE
  • In the mean time, your E-Futures platform will stay active until a date no earlier than Fri., Dec. 27th, with a firm decommission date to be announced
Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

766 corporate earnings reports as the season swings into action with the largest U.S. Banks! A number of meaningful Economic data releases including CPI, PPI and There will be a series of FED Speakers throughout the week.

 

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet (59rpts mid and smallcaps)
  • Tue. Quiet (25rpts Mid and smallcaps)
  • Wed. (162 rpts) Pre-Open JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Black Rock, Citigroup, Bank of NY, Oracle after the close
  • Thu.  ( 186 rpts) Pre-open Tiawan Semiconductor, United HealthCare, BofA, Morgan Stanley, US Bank.
  • Fri. Quiet (108 mid and small caps rpts)

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tues. Schmid 9 am CST, Williams 2:05 CST
  • Wed. Barkin 8:20 CST, Kashkari 9 am CST, Williams 10 am CST, Goolsbee 11 am CST
  • Thu. Quiet
  • Fri. Quiet

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Consumer Inflation Expectations,
  • Tues. RedBook, PPI
  • Wed. CPI, NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
  • Thur. Jobless claims, Philly Fed, Retail Sales, Business Inventories, NAHB Housing Market Index
  • Fri. Building Permits, Housing Starts, Industrial Production

Futures 102: World Cup Trading Championship

Minimum Starting Balance

The minimum starting account balance is $10,000 for Futures and $5,000 for Forex.

Win a Bull & Bear Trophy

1st place finishers win a coveted pewter bull and bear trophy. 2nd and 3rd place finishers win beautiful crystal bull and bear trophies.

Global media exposure.

Prove your abilities on the world’s stage and build credibility.

Launch Your Trading Career

Top finishers may be invited to have their trading featured on WorldCupAdvisor.com. Subscribers may pay to follow their trades automatically.

ENTER NOW

0f088299 cf68 491d b23a 346eba92f600
  • Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

 

March 10 Year Treasury Notes

The March 10 year treasury notes have resumed their break into a new low. At this point the chart is taking aim at its third downside PriceCount objective to the 106^24 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

76aa429e 04e2 4cb0 9571 7225c082a9bb

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

 

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

COST

USD 199 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

0a609d8c b92b 403b 9e6b 6ac738000ef8
04c5535c a74a 4b3a 9faf 15582ff0809b
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?
Yes
No

Daily Levels for January 13th, 2025

35de3622 d569 43b7 a6e3 46a99d607ade

7d5f26c3 8986 41e5 8614 67d99457488f

Weekly Levels

a44391f7 4185 4d2a b387 daf5b6ae1068

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
b8048144 49cc 4d7d b6df 0d6127e94918
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Market Highlights and Key Announcements: Jobless Claims, Non-Farm Payrolls, and Commodity Winners

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C70

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

General:

 

In a one-day early release, the Labor Department said on Wednesday that the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell to an 11-month low last week.  Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 201,000 for the week ending Jan. 4, the lowest level since February 2024.  The report was published a day early as federal government offices are closed today in honor of former President Jimmy Carter who died on Dec. 29 at the age of 100.

 

Coming up tomorrow, the first Friday of the month, the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report.  It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy.  Forecasters predict the U.S. created a modest 155,000 new jobs in the final month of 2024.  The economy added 227,000 jobs in November. The unemployment rate is forecast to be unchanged at 4.2%.  The report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time.

 

Stock Indexes:

 

U.S. stock index futures closed today in a mark of respect for the late former president.  President Joe Biden declared a National Day of Mourning following Carter’s passing.

 

Grains:

 

Also due out Friday: the latest USDA crop production and world supply & demand report as well as the final production numbers and stocks as of Dec. 1.  These reports are released at 11:00 A.M. Central Time.

 

Softs:

 

The hands down 2024 commodity price gain winner: cocoa.  Despite new all-time highs in Bitcoin futures, eclipsing 110,00 in mid-December and gold surpassing $2,800 per ounce in late October, cocoa nearly tripled in price over 2024, far outpacing other commodities.  The March ’25 futures contract hit an intraday and record high of $12,931 a metric ton on Dec. 18.  Top cocoa producers Ivory Coast and Ghana have suffered crop losses due to adverse weather and bean disease.

 

Energy:

 

In the meantime, Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures posted a second consecutive annual decline in 2024 as supply outstripped a rebound in demand growth.

 

0f088299 cf68 491d b23a 346eba92f600
 

Daily Levels for January 10th, 2024

c6c02899 f4c2 4e69 8d19 e271430b0774

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
6f783d7f cd56 47b2 bfb7 00e12d34e45b
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Silver Futures Price

Silver futures price is a topic of immense importance for futures traders, both novice and experienced. The ability to predict and trade silver futures effectively requires a deep understanding of historical price trends, the dynamics of futures contract trading, and the factors influencing the value of this precious metal. This article delves into the evolution of trading silver, its price fluctuations over time, and the advantages and disadvantages of silver futures trading. To illustrate key points, we include real-life anecdotes, case studies, and hypothetical scenarios. Additionally, we explore why Cannon Trading Company stands out as a top choice for trading futures.

Evolution of Trading Silver

Historical Context

Silver has been traded for centuries, with its value historically tied to its dual role as a monetary asset and an industrial commodity. During the Roman Empire, silver coins were a primary medium of exchange, anchoring economies with a standardized weight and purity. Fast forward to the 19th and early 20th centuries, silver’s role shifted as the gold standard dominated monetary policy. However, silver remained integral to global trade and industrial applications.

The establishment of futures markets in the 19th century transformed silver trading. The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) introduced standardized contracts, enabling traders to hedge and speculate on price movements effectively. This innovation made futures trading accessible, offering a regulated platform for trading futures contracts based on silver.

Price Fluctuations

Silver’s price has experienced dramatic fluctuations. For instance, in the late 1970s, the Hunt brothers attempted to corner the silver market, driving prices from $6 per ounce in 1979 to an all-time high of $49.45 in January 1980. This bubble burst shortly after, causing prices to plummet, underscoring the volatility inherent in silver futures trading.

More recently, during the 2008 financial crisis, silver prices dropped to around $9 per ounce as industrial demand waned. However, as investors sought safe-haven assets, prices rebounded to $48 in 2011. These swings highlight the interplay of macroeconomic factors, including inflation fears, currency fluctuations, and industrial demand, that affect silver futures prices.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Silver Futures Trading

Advantages

  • Leverage and Capital Efficiency Futures contract trading allows traders to control large amounts of silver with a relatively small margin. For example, a futures trader can enter a position worth $50,000 with only $5,000 in initial margin. This leverage amplifies potential returns, making futures trading attractive to investors seeking significant profits.
  • Hedging Opportunities Silver futures are a powerful hedging tool for both miners and industrial users. By locking in prices through futures contracts, businesses can mitigate the risk of adverse price movements. For instance, a jewelry manufacturer anticipating a rise in silver prices might buy futures to secure their raw material costs.
  • Liquidity and Price Transparency The silver futures market is highly liquid, ensuring that traders can enter and exit positions with ease. Exchanges like the CME Group provide transparent pricing, fostering confidence among participants.

Disadvantages

  • High Volatility Silver prices are notoriously volatile. While this volatility presents opportunities for profit, it also increases the risk of substantial losses. Traders must use risk management tools, such as stop-loss orders, to protect their capital.
  • Complexity Futures trading requires a nuanced understanding of market dynamics, margin requirements, and contract specifications. Novice traders may find it overwhelming to navigate these complexities without proper guidance.
  • Leverage Risks While leverage magnifies gains, it also amplifies losses. A futures trader who misjudges market direction can quickly face margin calls or account liquidation.

Real-Life Anecdotes and Case Studies

The Hunt Brothers’ Infamous Trade

In the late 1970s, Nelson and William Hunt sought to monopolize the silver market by amassing substantial physical holdings and futures contracts. Initially, their strategy drove prices to record highs, creating immense paper profits. However, regulatory changes, including increased margin requirements, forced the Hunt brothers to liquidate their positions. This led to a catastrophic price crash, resulting in billions of dollars in losses.

This case underscores the importance of understanding regulatory frameworks and using leverage prudently when trading futures.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario

Consider a futures trader anticipating a short-term spike in silver prices due to geopolitical tensions. The trader buys a December silver futures contract at $24 per ounce, with an initial margin of $5,000. Over the next month, silver prices rise to $26 per ounce. The trader closes the position, realizing a profit of $10,000 (2,000 ounces x $2 price increase).

Now, imagine an alternate scenario where silver prices drop to $22. Without stop-loss orders, the trader incurs a $10,000 loss, highlighting the risks associated with leverage.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company?

Cannon Trading Company is an industry leader in futures trading, offering unparalleled advantages for futures traders of all experience levels. Here’s why it stands out:

  1. Top-Performing Trading Platforms

    Cannon Trading provides access to a wide selection of advanced trading platforms, catering to diverse needs. From user-friendly interfaces for beginners to sophisticated tools for seasoned traders, their platforms enable seamless trading futures.

  1. TrustPilot Ratings and Reputation

    With a 5 out of 5-star rating on TrustPilot, Cannon Trading has earned the trust of its clients. Positive reviews consistently highlight the firm’s exceptional customer service, knowledgeable futures brokers, and commitment to transparency.

  1. Decades of Experience

    Established in 1988, Cannon Trading boasts decades of experience in the futures markets. Their team of seasoned professionals understands the intricacies of futures trading and offers personalized guidance to clients.

  1. Regulatory Compliance

    Cannon Trading maintains an exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies like the National Futures Association (NFA) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Traders can trust that their funds and transactions are handled with the utmost integrity.

Silver futures trading offers a unique blend of opportunities and challenges. Understanding historical price trends, leveraging advantages like hedging and liquidity, and navigating the risks of volatility and leverage are essential for success. With its extensive experience, top-rated platforms, and stellar reputation, Cannon Trading Company is an excellent choice for anyone looking to trade futures contracts. Whether you are an experienced futures trader or new to the world of trading futures, Cannon Trading provides the tools and support necessary to navigate the complexities of the futures markets confidently.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

 

National Day of Mourning Adjustments: January 9, 2025 – Trading Schedules and Market Insights

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C113

The President has declared January 9, 2025, as a National Day of Mourning in observance of the passing of former President James Earl Carter, Jr.

All banks will remain open, margin calls and money transfers will be processed as normal.

Please take note of the following adjusted trading schedules on January 9, 2025

(*all times are US Central Time):

CME Group:

Equity Index – Close at 8:30am, settle prices derived at 12:00pm. All Equity Index options expiring January 9th will be moved to expire on January 8th.

Interest Rates – Close at 12:15pm

Ags – Close at 12:15pm

Energy, FX, Metals, Crypto – Normal Trading Hours

MIAX Futures:

Hard Red Spring Wheat – 12:15pm

ICE US Commodities – Normal Trading Hours

Regular market opening times will be in place for the January 10, 2025 trade date.

Please let us know if you have any questions.

710adb07 8422 4303 b48b 7f4f982fdfee
ac2e9d39 35b9 42ae 9ff5 f0007c9e5b71
March Cotton

March cotton is threatening to break down once again. At this point, new sustained lows would project a possible run to the third downside PriceCount objective to the 62.18 area.

 

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

 

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for January 9th, 2024

a6435432 e0f8 4efe a747 1f0f0a5e8db4

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
e51d2648 7e4f 41eb b1c4 2eaad8561e4d
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Movers and Shakers: Dollar Dominance, Commodity Trends, and Key Market Updates!

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C96

Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Three trading days removed from Contract Highs in the U.S. Dollar index @ 109.325 basis the March 2025 contract and a 2 full cent retracement yesterday, the bulls certainly appear to be control of this market with a close today near the session highs @ 108.40.  The value of the dollar has numerous implications for our export markets, as the dollar becomes stronger the cost of goods become more expensive.

High Dollar values over the long term usually do not not bode well for commodity prices. Needless to say, the energy complex looks strong today with spot Feb WTI up .85 cents, nearing the $75 /bbl mark after being in the 60’s just 10 days ago.

The Grain market has nearly a mirror inverse image basis the daily charts compared to the U.S Dollar index. With one exception, The corn market.

Just an observation, the precious metals market have struggled to make new highs or even break above their 3 month Mid range price levels as the U.S. Dollar strength has been a main feature affecting the commodity markets.

The U.S Dollar is considered a safe haven.

 

Today’s Movers

Today’s News:

Updated: January 7, 2025 9:02 am

Institute of Supply Management (ISM) US Service Sector Headline Recap

 

**ISM US December Service Sector Composite Index: 54.1 ; expected 53.4 ; prior month 52.1

**ISM US December Service Sector Business Activity: 58.2 vs prior month 53.7

**ISM US December Service Sector Employment: 51.4 vs prior month 51.5

**ISM US December Service Sector New Orders: 54.2 vs prior month 53.7

**ISM US December Service Sector Prices Paid: 64.4 vs prior month 58.2

Updated: January 7, 2025 9:02 am

**US November 2024 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS): 8.098 mln; prior month 7.744 mln

bd0ae577 b134 4250 b021 ea8ccbbf63ea
US weekly jobless claims will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning, a day earlier than normal due to the funeral for former Pres. Carter, initial claims are expected at 215,000, up +4,000 from the prior week.

 

 

Watch Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

7:30 AM CST Waller Fed Speech

 

ADP December US Private Sector jobs net change data will be released Wednesday morning around 7:15 am CT. Analysts expect job gains of +136,000 that’s off 100,000 from the previous month’s +146,000.

 

11:00 AM CST FOMC minutes from the December Rate decision

 

Both crude oil and natural gas numbers are out tomorrow!

 

Earnings: very quiet, only 14 firms reporting

 

Daily Levels for January 8th, 2024

3a8e3005 4b6b 48ed a709 b6f9f08e2057

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
8c46d81f cb98 4564 ab15 78d6f9ff2702
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.