Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

Guide to Commodity Futures Trading from a Stock Market Broker

One of the most profitable areas a stock market broker can get into is commodities futures and you can start trading them right now with the right research tools and trading strategy to bet on the future of the market while you’re trading stocks and growing your bank account. Any online brokerage account should have a diversified portfolio with plenty of commodity futures and options trades to go around and pad the investment accounts, whether you’re self-directed or use online brokers. Most online brokers know the importance of investment objectives and can almost always be met with the help of futures and financial advisors are always there to give you an idea of where they’ll be the time your trade goes through.

Active traders have plenty of options when it comes to stock and ETF trades and a stock market broker is going to suggest that every investment portfolio has a few things to hedge your bets and ensure you’re growing your bank account and never losing money with your stock trading. Investment holdings should always include mutual fund trades, stock ETF trades, and commodity futures and every good stock trading platform will have a mobile app that lets you make the most of them. Here’s all the information that active stock traders need to get into commodities and buy stocks that not only cover their account fees but make them money.

Choosing the Right Online Broker

There are interactive brokers and online brokers that will sell stocks and mutual funds for you and take all the work of e-trade away from you so you can sit back and watch your account grow and mature over time and that might be the best option for beginner investors before they start trading. They’ll make all the investment decisions for you and they’ll make a cash bonus when exchange-traded funds get a boost, but you can choose commission-free trades by using a mobile app to do it all by yourself. Active investing takes many research tools and the best online stock brokers will have the educational resources you need to get the most out of trading platforms without using full-service brokers.

Your online brokerage account should come with investment advice and access to mutual funds trading forex trading, and alternative investments that you can look at and decide if you want to get into the same areas that advanced traders are using in their online brokerages. You can start trading right now by setting margin accounts on your online brokerage account and full-service brokers will take over from there, or you can act as your online broker and use trading platforms and brokerage firms for research. There are many financial products to choose from and the decision is yours, but you should ensure you have all the information you need to make the correct one.

What to Consider When Selecting an Online Broker

There are a few things to consider when you want to find the best brokerage accounts to help with your active investing and there are financial products, such as discount brokers, to help you buy stocks with a brokerage account that makes you money and grows your bank account. The best online brokers will have options for active traders as well as access to a full-service broker to take your taxable brokerage account and do all the trading work for you. These online brokers know the stock market and are monitored by the financial industry regulatory authority to keep you and your money safe.

It’s important to consider account minimums on any mobile app you choose to use so you can be sure that your online brokerage platform is something you can comfortably afford until you start to sell stocks and make money through mutual funds and stock and ETF trades. Stock trading platforms are monitored by the Securities and Exchange Commission so your taxable brokerage account is secure and your account minimum is safe. The best online brokerage accounts keep their account fees low so you can buy stocks and make money simply by using a mobile app that supports your active investing decisions.

Types of Online Brokerage Accounts

Stock Market Traders

The best online brokerage platform will have every option available to you, from Morgan self-directed investing to online brokers who trade mutual funds, futures, and commodities for you, based on your long-term goals and the amount of money you’ve given the trading platform to use on your behalf. If you want fully commission-free trading, it’s best to act as your online broker and use the trading platform for information and educational resources that let you make the best decisions for your trades. This is great for advanced traders who know how the market works and want to use the broker’s online trading platform for support rather than a full-service broker.

No matter which type of brokerage account you get, your money will be protected by the Securities Investor Protection Corporation if the firm goes bankrupt for any reason or the stock trading platform gets shut down. The best online broker will have educational resources on a mobile app that you can access to carry out the investment decisions you’ve made. You’ll also have access to interactive brokers and online brokers to do the e-trade work for you so you don’t have to do it all on your own.

Getting Started with Online Brokers

Interactive brokers are easy to find on the right trading platforms and active traders will take your goals and make e-trade decisions based on what you want from brokerage firms and all you have to do is set up an account on a mobile app. Everything from alternative investments to stock ETF trades and options trades will be available to you as soon as you get set up and you’ll have the best online brokers and interactive brokers working for you on your trading platform. Active traders and discount brokers will have your account minimum to work with and you get to watch your investment accounts grow.

Of course, you don’t have to use interactive brokers on any trading platforms if you want to act as your full-service broker and do the e-trade work on your own. Some of the best online brokers are people who do it on their own with self-directed trading platforms and it can be the best commission-free trading that you can get into. Trading stocks in commodities futures can be very lucrative, as long as you have the educational resources it takes to know what’s happening and which moves you should make.

Online Brokerage Account Features

Stock trading platforms are great for active traders because brokerage firms have done the leg work of gathering information on stock trading so you can make self-directed trades without paying online brokers to do it for you. The best online broker platform will have real-time information you can access whenever you need it before you make an e-trade and bet on the future of the commodities of your choosing. Stock and ETF trades should be easy to access and they’ll have charts that show you where a stock has been so you can make an informed decision on where it will be in the future.

Stock trading platforms will have full-service brokers to utilize, as well as self-directed e-trade options that you can choose based on your needs and how you want to go about your options trades. The right stock trading platforms will allow you to add and draw from your account for your money is never locked away from you and you’ll get the same information that brokerage firms and the best online brokers get to use. Interactive brokers will also be available to help you make e-trade decisions so your stock trading and mutual funds always turn profits, just like full-service brokers would be making for you.

Online Brokerage Account Safety and Security

Whether you go with self-directed investing or interactive brokers on a better stock trading platform, your account minimum will always be safe and your information will always be kept as secure as possible, so you can act as your online broker without worrying about it being stolen. Most online brokers and interactive brokers utilize security features on their trading platforms that encrypt your data from end to end so your stock and ETF trades stay safe from outside interference. Your banking and personal information will be secure, and your account minimum will always be there for you.

The Securities Investor Protection Corporation will also insure your money in the event your stock trading platform goes bankrupt or shuts down, just like the money in your bank is protected. It’s also overseen by the financial industry regulatory authority so everything is safe, from mutual funds trades to ETF trades and options trades. No matter what you trade, you’ll always be safe and secure when you use the best brokerage accounts you can find.

Is My Money Insured at a Brokerage Firm?

No matter what kind of brokerage account you have at your brokerage firm, your money is always insured and protected, so you don’t have to worry about it disappearing from the trading platform or your account minimum being taken. The trading platform and online broker will use high security features and everything will be overseen so you can sell stocks and deal in commodities futures with full peace of mind. Every brokerage account gets the same level of security, whether you’re using interactive brokers or simply trading with the account minimum they require you to have.

It makes it easy to choose a brokerage firm that gives you access to commodities futures trading, mutual funds, options trades, and stock ETF trading when you know your money is insured and your information is always kept secure. You can make any investment decisions you want and the best online broker you can get will have your back, no matter what happens. Keep in mind that online brokers are overseen, just like all other brokerage accounts that you can open and manage.

Start Trading Futures Commodities with Online Brokers

CTC Traders

The best online brokers and brokerage accounts are waiting to make futures commodities trading possible right now and you can choose to go with interactive brokers or use the information they’ve collected to be your best online broker on your own, it’s completely up to you and how you want to trade. Commodities futures. stock ETF trades and options trades can be some of the most lucrative moves you can make and there’s an online broker ready to give you the chance to make lots of money off the market. You’ll get information on trends, past activity, and everything else you need to be the best online broker that you can be while you trade on your own behalf and make moves by trading stocks.

There are also active traders who can do the work for you if you don’t have the time it takes to become an expert on commodities futures and financial advisors who know the market and how to carry out the best trading strategy for you and your money. You don’t have to know everything about the stock market to start trading and making money off your investments right now. Just choose the best online broker and you’ll have all the resources you need to turn a profit and benefit from commodities futures.

Fed Easing Cycle Fuels Market Rally Amid Earnings Season and Economic Uncertainty

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The FED is your friend…..

14 October 2024

By GalTrades.com

The FED is your friend plus the trend is your friend. The Federal Reserve is in an easing cycle which is a positive for the markets. I would like to see that trend continue and there be no change in the Fed’s stance, we don’t want to see economic reports which would hint at inflation creeping back up. Federal Reserve officials debated whether to lower interest rates by a quarter or half of a percentage point last month. Almost all participants agreed that the upside risks to inflation had diminished, and most remarked that the downside risks to employment had increased. Inflation is broadly trending down. Markets had to digest a warmer-than-expected CPI report and a one-year high print in initial claims, rising geopolitical risks, along with higher oil prices and yields, yet stocks have been able to make new highs.

With markets at all-time highs, earnings season can be a boost or a test of lower support zones. All eyes will be on the earnings numbers and what executives have to say about their outlooks. In the week ahead, a number of influential companies are set to report. While the trend in stocks remains bullish, the environment is not without its risks and valuation is full. The forward P/E on the S&P 500 currently stands at roughly 22 versus the 10-year average of 17.7, per FactSet. Elevated valuation is largely driven by expectations for strong earnings growth and easing monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. Therefore, Q3 earnings season, which unofficially kicked off, will likely need to deliver strong results to keep this bull market going. High earnings valuations are fully priced in this growth story, any miss on overall earnings can generate a valuation re-set and a pullback. I would also like to look at Thursday’s Retail Sales report. The last couple of Retail Sales reports have been stronger than expected, so this data point will provide a good read on the state of the U.S. consumer. Friday CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor showed a 0.3% month/month drop in consumer spending, which could suggest a soft Retail Sales report. If so, this could be enough to trigger a profit-taking pullback in stocks.

If NVDA can obtain a new all-time high, or the small cap’s Russell can break out to fresh two-year highs next week, these would likely be near-term bullish catalysts. I would like to see a continuation of the uptrend; However, I am very cautious as any negative news from earnings or the retail’s report can change the momentum until the next catalyst.

S&P fifth straight weekly gain. The market is hitting this level without much help from tech stocks and the Magnificent 7 as the rally broadens out to the financials in response to positive third-quarter numbers from Wells Fargo, JPMorgan, and BlackRock.

Multiples are high and portfolio managers are saying they’re uncomfortable buying at these levels, but there is a lot of money coming in from the sidelines therefore they feel that they have to participate. The index level feels expensive as well, I hear analysts are looking for mid cap size companies.

Banks delivered earnings on Friday and their prices went up, which is a good start for earnings season. Year to date; JPM is up 31%, C 28%, GS 33%, BAC 25%, WFC 24%. That’s higher than the S&P YTD.

Cybersecurity: is making new highs, see ETF – BUG.

Money is coming out of China-related stocks on some disappointment around stimulus. Those dollars are rotating out of China tech names such as Alibaba and moving into the U.S. tech giants.

Bond yields rose this week, primarily driven by the warmer-than-expected inflation data. Two-year Treasury yields increased to 3.955% from 3.923% while 10-year yields tacked on roughly 10 basis points to 4.085% from 3.981%

Earnings & Economic reports this week: Monday, Oct.14: Charles Schwab (SCHW)

Tuesday, Oct. 15: Walgreens Boots Alliance(WBA), UnitedHealth (UNH), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Goldman Sachs (GS) United Airlines (UAL), Interactive Brokers (IBKR) and JB Hunt(JBHT) Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR), Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC), J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT)

Wednesday, Oct.16: Morgan Stanley (MS), Abbott Labs (ABT), ASML (ASML), US Bancorp (USB), Citizens (CFG) and Prologis (PLD) Alcoa (AA), PPG Industries(PPG), CSX (CSX), Kinder Morgan (KMI), Discover (DFS) and Crown Castle (CCI) Discover Financial Services (DFS), Equifax Inc. (EFX)

Thursday, Oct. 17: Initial Jobless Claims, Retail Sales, Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization

Taiwan Semi (TSM), Travelers (TRV), Elevance (ELV), Huntington Bancshares (HBAN), Blackstone (BX), Truist (TFC) and KeyCorp(KEY) Netflix (NFLX), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) and Crown Holdings (CCK) Elevance Health Inc. (ELV), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV),

Friday, Oct. 18: Housing Starts & Building Permits. American Express (AXP), SLB (SLB) and Procter & Gamble (PG) Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), Regions Financial Corp. (RF), Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY), Comerica Inc. (CMA),

Technical Analysis:

While the SPX and DOW made new all-time highs, the Nasdaq 100 did not. But it continued to trend higher this week and is on pace to close less than 2% below the all-time closing high of 20,675, hit back on July 10th. If Nvidia sets fresh all-time highs this could signal to markets that the AI trade is alive and well and should help the NASDAQ, but other AI plays are trading well as well, such as ORCL, AVGO, PLTR.

Small caps: the Russell is heavily weighted on regional banks and health care. The Russell 2000 was the relative outperformer Friday (+1.64%), assisted by several strong earnings reports out of the financial sector Friday. The index trading range is roughly 2,050-2,260. If the Index can notch a fresh two-year closing high this could send a bullish technical signal to the markets that small caps are finally ready to join the party.

Market breadth:closed out the week strongly, with roughly 75% of SPX components trading above their respective 200-day moving averages. No change in market breadth. On a week-over-week basis, the SPX) breadth ticked down to 75.75% from 76.35%, the CCMP ticked up to 44.66% from 44.09%, and the RTY is flat at 55.87% from 55.76%.

Overseas: rates are in the news ahead of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) decision Thursday. The ECB has cut rates twice in 2024, and analysts expect a third one next week and a fourth in December, Reuters reported.

Bonds: Economy defies gravity, sending bond yields higher. The U.S. economy continues to defy expectations by growing faster than expected. Despite all of the constraints —tightening Federal Reserve monetary policy, weak global growth, wars in the Middle East and Ukraine, and low consumer confidence. GDP growth has been running at about a 3% annualized pace over the past four quarters. The major driver behind the growth is consumer spending. Supported by steady job and income growth, consumers are spending at a pace that is keeping the economy buoyant. In the Treasury bond market, yields, which generally move inversely to prices, have rebounded on these signs of strength.

XLK, XLI, XLF, MAGS, KRE, IJR, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL, IBM, CSCO, MU, DELL, CMG, WFC, BLK, GS, EBAY, VRT, ABNB, PINS, OGN, GOOGL, NXT, MBLY, FROG, AFRM, PANW, CRWD, GXO, HD, CLF, GLW, LEVI, DD.

What stands out to me: ever since the Microsoft Constellation energy deal, I have been looking for plays in the Energy sector particularly in nuclear power plants. Listen to Brad Gerstner podcast on BG2. I welcome any insight and news on the subject from any of you.

futures I am watching this week:

Have an amazing week.

The outlook contained in this article are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits. Futures trading is risky and suitable for everyone.

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Daily Levels for Oct. 15th 2024

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
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Nasdaq 100 Futures, Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures, and S&P 500 Futures Trading: Utilizing Efficiency in Futures Trading

Futures trading has emerged as one of the most potent instruments in the financial markets, enabling traders to speculate on the future value of major stock indices. Among the most prominent futures contracts traded globally are Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ Futures), Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures (DJIA Futures), and S&P 500 Futures (ES Futures). These futures allow traders to capitalize on movements in stock indices, either for speculation or hedging purposes. By effectively utilizing these instruments, futures traders can enhance their potential for profitability while managing risk in dynamic market conditions.

In this article, we’ll explore these index futures contracts in detail, discuss their distinct characteristics, and examine how traders can employ them in effective trading strategies. We will also touch on associated keywords like ES Futures, NQ Futures, and Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures.

Overview of Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ Futures)

What are Nasdaq 100 Futures?

Nasdaq 100 Futures, denoted as NQ Futures, are contracts based on the Nasdaq 100 Index, which includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. The companies in this index are largely in technology, telecommunications, retail, and healthcare sectors, making this contract particularly sensitive to tech-heavy stock movements.

Since technology plays an outsized role in the Nasdaq 100 Index, NQ Futures contracts are often seen as a way to gain exposure to the performance of high-growth tech companies such as Apple, Microsoft, and Google’s parent company, Alphabet.

Key Specifications of Nasdaq 100 Futures

  • Contract Size: Each Nasdaq 100 futures contract is worth the index level multiplied by a contract multiplier of 20.
  • Tick Size: The minimum price fluctuation, or tick, is 0.25 points, which is equivalent to $5 per contract.
  • Trading Hours: Nasdaq 100 futures trade nearly 24 hours a day, five days a week, providing ample trading opportunities in both U.S. and global market hours.

Trading Strategies for Nasdaq 100 Futures

Given the volatility and growth potential of the technology sector, Nasdaq 100 Futures are attractive for day traders, swing traders, and long-term investors. Traders often employ various strategies, including:

  • Trend Following: Traders may identify and capitalize on prevailing trends within the Nasdaq 100 Index. For instance, during bullish trends, traders might use long positions in NQ Futures to ride the upward momentum, while during bearish trends, shorting NQ Futures can be effective.
  • Hedging: Nasdaq 100 Futures are also popular among portfolio managers seeking to hedge risk in their tech-heavy stock portfolios. If a trader anticipates a downturn in the tech sector, they can hedge their risk by taking a short position in NQ Futures while maintaining their existing stock holdings.
  • Spread Trading: Spread strategies, such as trading the difference between Nasdaq 100 Futures and S&P 500 Futures (ES Futures), can exploit relative mispricing between these indices. Traders might short the Nasdaq and go long on the S&P 500 if they believe tech stocks will underperform the broader market.

Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures (DJIA Futures)

What are Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures?

The Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures are futures contracts that derive their value from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), an index comprising 30 of the largest and most influential companies in the United States. Unlike the Nasdaq 100, which skews toward technology, the DJIA encompasses a broad range of industries, including industrials, consumer goods, and financial services.

Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures, often referred to simply as DJIA Futures, are popular among traders looking to speculate or hedge their portfolios based on the overall performance of the U.S. economy’s blue-chip stocks.

Key Specifications of Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures

  • Contract Size: One DJIA Futures contract represents $10 times the DJIA Index value.
  • Tick Size: The minimum price movement is one point, which is equivalent to $10 per contract.
  • Trading Hours: Similar to other index futures, DJIA Futures are traded nearly 24 hours a day, allowing traders to access the market across global trading sessions. This contract is no longer in existence. The smaller size is the actual future contract traded.

Trading Strategies for Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures

Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures offer unique opportunities due to the stability and global recognition of the DJIA Index. Some common trading strategies include:

  1. Range Trading: Given the more stable and slower-moving nature of the Dow Jones Index, many traders use range-bound strategies. They may identify levels of support and resistance and trade within that range, buying near support and selling near resistance.
  2. Seasonal Trends: Certain sectors within the DJIA, like industrials, may experience seasonal performance variations. Traders may exploit these patterns by timing their entry into DJIA Futures contracts, particularly in months with historical outperformance for certain industries.
  3. Risk Management and Hedging: Since the DJIA Futures track large, well-established companies, they can serve as an excellent vehicle for hedging risk during periods of market uncertainty. Traders holding diversified portfolios with significant exposure to U.S. blue-chip stocks can use DJIA Futures to protect against potential downside risks.

S&P 500 Futures (ES Futures)

What are S&P 500 Futures?

The S&P 500 Futures, commonly known as ES Futures, are based on the S&P 500 Index, one of the most widely followed benchmarks for the U.S. stock market. The S&P 500 includes 500 of the largest companies across all sectors, providing a broad view of the overall health of the U.S. economy.

ES Futures are widely traded and are considered among the most liquid index futures globally, making them a staple in the portfolios of futures traders. These contracts can be used to speculate on the general direction of the U.S. stock market or to hedge positions in large-cap stocks.

Key Specifications of S&P 500 Futures

  • Contract Size: One ES Futures contract is worth $50 times the S&P 500 Index level.
  • Tick Size: The minimum tick size is 0.25 index points, equivalent to $12.50 per contract.
  • Trading Hours: Like the other index futures, S&P 500 Futures trade virtually 24 hours a day, allowing traders to participate in global market movements.

Trading Strategies for S&P 500 Futures

Given the widespread use of ES Futures, traders have developed various strategies tailored to this market:

  1. Scalping: Scalping involves making small, quick trades to profit from minor price movements in ES Futures. Given the high liquidity and tight spreads in this market, scalping can be an effective strategy for active traders looking to capitalize on short-term volatility.
  2. Position Trading: For longer-term traders, S&P 500 Futures offer an opportunity to hold positions based on macroeconomic trends or long-term market outlooks. Traders might buy ES Futures in anticipation of a prolonged bull market or short the futures if they expect a recession or significant market correction.
  3. Options Strategies: Futures options on the S&P 500 are popular instruments for hedging and speculating. Traders might buy puts to hedge their long positions in the S&P 500 stocks or sell covered calls against ES Futures holdings to generate additional income.

Micro E-Mini Futures: A Flexible Alternative

The Micro E-Mini Futures, including Micro S&P 500 Futures, Micro Nasdaq 100 Futures, and Micro Dow Jones Futures, offer a smaller, more accessible version of these contracts. With contract sizes that are one-tenth the size of their full-sized counterparts, they have become a popular choice for retail traders who want exposure to index futures without the larger risk profile.

For example:

  • The Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (MES) contract is worth $5 times the S&P 500 Index level, compared to $50 for the standard ES Futures contract.
  • The Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (MNQ) contract is worth $2 times the Nasdaq 100 Index level.
  • The Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures (MYM) contract is worth $0.50 times the DJIA Index level.

These micro contracts provide traders with greater flexibility in managing their risk, especially for those with smaller accounts.

Practical Applications of Futures Contracts in Trading

  1. Leverage and Margin Efficiency

Futures contracts allow traders to control a large position with a relatively small initial margin deposit. For example, instead of purchasing individual stocks within the S&P 500, traders can control the value of the entire index by trading ES Futures with significantly less capital. This leverage can amplify returns but also increases risk, making it crucial for traders to use proper risk management techniques.

  1. Hedging Stock Portfolios

Traders with stock portfolios can use futures contracts like Nasdaq 100 Futures or S&P 500 Futures to hedge against potential downturns in the market. For instance, if a trader is long on technology stocks but fears a market correction, they can short NQ Futures to offset potential losses in their portfolio.

  1. Diversification

Index futures provide exposure to broad segments of the stock market without the need to invest in individual stocks. By trading a combination of Nasdaq 100 Futures, Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures, and S&P 500 Futures, traders can diversify their risk across various sectors of the economy, benefiting from performance trends in different industries.

  1. Speculation on Macroeconomic Events

Futures traders often use index futures to speculate on macroeconomic events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, corporate earnings reports, and geopolitical developments. For example, a trader anticipating positive economic data may go long on ES Futures to capitalize on anticipated market gains.

Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ Futures), Dow Jones Industrial Index Futures (DJIA Futures), and S&P 500 Futures (ES Futures) are powerful tools for traders looking to speculate on or hedge against stock market movements. Each of these contracts offers unique advantages, from the tech-heavy focus of the Nasdaq 100 to the broad market representation of the S&P 500. By employing strategies like trend following, hedging, and spread trading, traders can leverage these futures contracts to optimize their performance and manage risk effectively.

As futures trading continues to evolve with the introduction of smaller contracts like Micro E-Mini Futures, more traders can participate in these markets, benefiting from lower capital requirements and increased flexibility. Whether you are a retail trader seeking diversification or a professional looking to hedge risk, index futures remain essential instruments in the modern trading landscape.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 (US) or (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

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Weekly Newsletter: Free Trial to Advanced Daily Market Insight + Trading Levels for Oct. 14th

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1212

In this issue:

  •  Important Notices – Quiet Reports Week & Iran/Israel in background
  • Futures 101 – Advanced Market Insight – Free trial
  • Hot Market of the Week – December Heating Oil
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Unleaded Swing Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

 

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

 

A relatively Quiet Data week next week, Geopolitics may be the only driver of volatility. One Caveat: the Fed Speakers dialogue may be given much more weight by investors as there will be a lot less noise in the form of Economic Data and earnings from prominent “Magnificent Seven” stocks to drive market volatility.

 

Prominent Earnings this Week:

  • Tues, pre-open United Healthcare, B Of A, Goldman Sachs, Citi Group, Johns and Johnson
  • Wed. Abbott Labs,
  • Thu. NetFlix Post-Close

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon. Kashkari, Waller, 2nd Kashkari.
  • Tue. Kugler, Bostic
  • Wed. QUIET
  • Thu. QUIET
  • Fri. Bostic, Waller, Kashkari, Bostic

 

Big Economic Data week:

  • Mon. BANKS CLOSED-Columbus Day National Holiday
  • Tues. Quiet
  • Wed. Quiet
  • Thur. Bus. Inventories, Jobless Claims.
  • Fri. Housing Starts, Building Permits

 

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    FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

    December Heating Oil

    December heating oil Rallied to its second upside PriceCount objective before correcting. At this point if the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the 3rd count would project a possible run into the 2.59 area

     

    PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Swing61B Cont v.3 _ RBOB Gasoline

PRODUCT

RB – RBOB ( unleaded gasoline)

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Swing Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$25,000

 

COST

USD 160 / monthly

 

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
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Daily Levels for October 14th, 2024

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Weekly Levels for the week of October 14th, 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Futures Trading Levels for Oct. 11th, 2024

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PPI numbers, University of Michigan survey and two FOMC members speaking tomorrow, Friday, Oct. 11th!

Ask a Broker: Futures Spreads Trading

Ask a Broker: Futures Spreads Trading
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December Heating Oil

December heating oil Rallied to its second upside PriceCount objective before correcting. At this point if the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the 3rd count would project a possible run into the 2.59 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Oct. 11th 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
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Cannon Trading Company
12100 Wilshire Boulevard
Suite 1640
Los Angeles, CA 90025
(800) 454-9572
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Crude Oil Rally Targets Amidst Busy Day of CPI, Natural Gas, and 30-Year Auction

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CPI numbers, Natural gas numbers, 30 year auction and more on a busy day tomorrow!  

Ask a Broker: What is Day Trading Futures? watch below!

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November Crude Oil

November crude oil completed its first upside PriceCount objective to the $78 area and is correcting with a reversal trade. IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the second count would project a possible run to the 82.76 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for October 10, 2024

image 15

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

image 16

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.   #Equities, #Consolidation phase, #Interest rates, #Precious metals, #Gold, #Silver, #US Dollar, #Crude oil prices, #HurricaneHelene, #Middle East tensions, #Chinese stimulus, #Redbook US Retail Sales, #Case Schiller US Metro-Area Home Prices, #Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, #Service Sector Index, #Consumer Confidence, #New Home Sales, #Micron Technology

Market Consolidation Amidst Volatile Metals, Energy Declines, and Hurricane Milton

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Hurricane

Movers and Shakers

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

With Equities quietly trading in a consolidation phase since September 19th, Interest rates following, the precious metals ,once again surprised many traders with their mid-day selloff after last week’s Highest weekly Silver close since May of this year Silver down $1.30 or $6500.00 from yesterdays close per contract.

Gold lower by $33.00 @ 2634.00,

The US Dollar continuing to firm up after it’s end of Q3 Low, trading over 2 cents higher at 1.0227 ending it’s 2.5 month long slide after flirting with 14 month lows of 99.22. .

The Energy complex Dropping significantly today Crude off 4.25 %, the products off 3.5 to 4 %  as the menace that’s called Milton is racing East toward the Florida Gulf Coast,

Atlanta Fed Pres. Bostic was quoted “ Hurricanes have significant potential implications for US economy over the next couple quarters”

          So, with the Fed Funds, Interest rate markets and Equities range bound waiting for tomorrows FOMC Minutes @ 11:00 am CDT, and the looming Cat 5 potential Catastrophe, In addition to Heightened middle east tensions, Vigilance is the word and may be an opportunity to use options to enhance or protect your trading portfolio. Here is a fresh take by the EIA on short term price expectations in the winter months for the entire energy complex, freshly produced today! Take a look!.  https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/perspectives/2024/10-winterfuels/article.php

 FOMC Minutes tomorrow as well as Crude Oil Inventories

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Daily Levels for October 9, 2024

image 11

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

image 12

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.   #Equities, #Consolidation phase, #Interest rates, #Precious metals, #Gold, #Silver, #US Dollar, #Crude oil prices, #HurricaneHelene, #Middle East tensions, #Chinese stimulus, #Redbook US Retail Sales, #Case Schiller US Metro-Area Home Prices, #Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, #Service Sector Index, #Consumer Confidence, #New Home Sales, #Micron Technology

Market Rises Alongside 10-Year Yield: Navigating Earnings, Inflation, and Geopolitical Risks

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Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts


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Market is going up but so is the 10-year yield

7 October 2024

By GalTrades.com

Market is going up but so is the 10-year yield***

Advancing shares outnumbered declining ones by three-to-one this week through midday Friday, and seven of 11 S&Psectors trade with 80% or more of their components above their 50-day moving averages. This wide breadth indicates the cyclical trade into sectors beyond mega caps remains intact and markets aren’t moving toward defensive trades at the equity level.

On a technical basis, the SPXheld it’s ground this week above the prior all-time closing high from July despite geopolitical uncertainty . The uptrend remains intact, and the bulls still appear to be in control. 

Less bullish note, the SPX now trades at a nearly 22 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, historically high. This might damper investor enthusiasm for now, though solid earnings growth could help ease valuations.

Unfortunately for anyone banking on improved earnings growth, analysts keep backing up the truck. The average third quarter S&P 500 earnings per share estimate slipped to 4.2% today from 4.6% a week ago, according to research firm FactSet. That’s down from 7.8% at the end of June. 

The FED is easing, and the path of least resistance is intact. The S&P 500 is less than 1% below all-time highs, following September’s strong Nonfarm Payrolls report. 

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said, the U.S. economy is in solid shape and the Federal Reserve intends to keep it that way, Consumer household debt is very high. If the economy performs as expected, that would mean a total of 50 basis points of cuts for the remainder of this year, Powell said.

Stronger-than-expected September jobs data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday added fuel to arguments in favor of a soft landing, inflation closing in on the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. A gain of 254,000 nonfarm jobs last month paired with easing unemployment, it signals that the labor market remains on solid footing. And should help reduce calls for another big rate cut. Fed officials, however, will also have a couple more inflation readings to review before the meeting, as well as weekly jobless claims data and consumer spending updates. All of that could shift the economic outlook in the coming weeks.

The market now expects 25-basis-point interest rate cuts at the Fed’s November and December meetings following September’s 50-basis-point cut. That would equal 100 basis points, or 1 percentage point, worth of rate cuts before year-end. measured, methodical rate cuts. The U.S. economy is based on services, and we want consumers to stay robust as the Fed brings borrowing costs down. 

Friday’s jump in the 10-year Treasury yield on the jobs report. Home loans loosely follow the 10-year and rates on a 30-year fixed jumped Friday morning to 6.53%, according to Mortgage News Daily.

While the port strike ended, labor strikes have become more common, which likely translates into higher wages (wage gains from Fridays nonfarm payrolls report were +0.4% vs. +0.3% expected. For now, inflation data has been trending toward the Fed’s target. 

Analysts are saying this is Goldilocks scenario for the markets. Others are saying we might see some upside for inflation, crude prices are up 10% due to Middle East tensions. Wage inflation can play a role. The election can be a risk. But good news is good news. The positive forces should propel the market higher. 

Any money manager that’s been bearish this year is behind the index if they were in cash and now, they have to jump in. Who wants to sell now and have tax gains. Nine months into the year and we’re up 20%. plus, money that comes out of the declining money-market funds and expiring U.S. government bonds should make its way into equities, 

NOTE: The commodities futures trader report last week shows that large speculators and leveraged funds have the largest net short position in the 10 year treasury futures. they see long term interest rate going up. 

Why aren’t small caps rallying? Small caps and value trade together and value started to outperform growth, perhaps small caps will play catch up. typically, you see small caps outperform a year after the first cut. 

Next week we’ve got several potential market moving catalysts, highlighted by monthly Inflation data: The September consumer price index (CPI) report is out Thursday. Economists are expecting a 2.2% year-over-year increase at the headline level, and a 3.1% year-over-year increase at the core level, which strips out volatile food and energy prices. watch the CPI’s shelter index, which has been a key underlying source of overall inflation. slowing of year-over-year price increases in shelter would be welcome.September producer price index (PPI) is out Friday. While the Fed is more concerned about consumer prices, the PPI is still important because if wholesale prices go up more than expected it might mean higher retail prices down the line as companies look to protect their margins. These inflation numbers will certainly figure into the Fed’s calculations concerning future rate cuts.

We also have the Robotaxi event for Tesla and Advanced Micro Devices holds an important artificial intelligence event.

Look out for next Friday’s big bank earnings reports (JPM, WFC, BK).

FactSet is currently forecasting Q3 earnings growth for the S&P 500 to be up a healthy 4.6%, down from the 7.8% at the start of the quarter.

Sectors worth watching; tech, cyclical, Housing, cybersecurity, aviation, power & grid. 

Summary: The intermediate technicals are bullish, but near-term price action has been choppy to sideways over the past few weeks. Geopolitical risk remains high, and the Fed may not be as accommodative as previously expected, the stronger than expected U.S. economic data appears to be the primary driver of the near-term direction for stocks, and that direction is higher for now. any upside surprises in the CPI report may cause for a correction. Earnings should help navigate market direction. 

The outlook contained in this article are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits. Futures trading is risky and suitable for everyone.

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image 9

Daily Levels for October 4, 2024

image 8

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

image 10

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.   #Equities, #Consolidation phase, #Interest rates, #Precious metals, #Gold, #Silver, #US Dollar, #Crude oil prices, #HurricaneHelene, #Middle East tensions, #Chinese stimulus, #Redbook US Retail Sales, #Case Schiller US Metro-Area Home Prices, #Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, #Service Sector Index, #Consumer Confidence, #New Home Sales, #Micron Technology

Micro S&P 500 Futures

The Micro S&P 500 Futures contract (also known as standard & poor’s 500 index futures, sp500 index futures, futures sp, standard and poor’s 500 future, futures sp500), introduced by the CME Group in May 2019, represents a significant innovation in the world of derivatives trading. It was designed to provide smaller retail traders access to the S&P 500 index, one of the most critical benchmarks in global markets. This futures contract has since revolutionized how traders interact with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500), broadening market accessibility and enhancing liquidity in a highly capital-intensive market.

This article will explore the rationale behind the creation of the Micro S&P 500 Futures contract, examine how it helps traders, review its history, and discuss the positive impact it has had on markets. Additionally, we will highlight Cannon Trading Company as a prime broker choice for trading these contracts.

Rationale Behind the Micro S&P 500 Futures Contract

The creation of the Micro standard & poor’s 500 index futures contract was driven by a few crucial considerations: accessibility, risk management, and increasing demand for fractional exposure to large indices. Let’s break down these factors:

1. Accessibility for Smaller Investors

The S&P 500, comprising 500 large-cap U.S. companies, is one of the most widely tracked indices globally. It represents about 80% of the total U.S. stock market by market capitalization. Traditionally, traders could gain exposure to this index through the standard & poor’s 500 index futures contract, often referred to as the E-mini S&P 500. However, this contract, with its higher margin requirements and significant exposure size, was inaccessible for many retail traders and smaller institutional players.

The E-mini S&P 500 contract, for example, represents $50 per point move in the index, creating a large notional value. Many retail traders found the contract too large for their capital and risk appetite. This barrier meant that small or medium-sized traders were unable to participate fully in the futures market tied to one of the world’s most important indices.

The Micro sp500 index futures contract, with a value of $5 per index point, offers one-tenth the size of the E-mini. By scaling down the contract, the CME Group made the S&P 500 index much more accessible to a broader range of participants, from beginner traders to those looking to hedge smaller portfolios.

2. Risk Management

Large contracts often create disproportionate risks for smaller traders who have limited capital. The introduction of the micro contract allows for more precise risk management, enabling traders to fine-tune their exposure to the market without taking on excessive financial burden. A trader can use multiple micro contracts to build the desired position size instead of being forced into the larger exposure of a single E-mini or full-sized contract.

The flexibility afforded by micro contracts means that smaller traders can still hedge their portfolios, speculate on market movements, or engage in day trading without overexposing themselves. Traders can better align their futures trading strategies with their capital and risk tolerance.

3. Fractional Exposure to Large Indices

The demand for fractional exposure across various asset classes has been growing, not just in futures markets but also in equity markets and cryptocurrencies. Micro contracts are the futures market’s response to this trend, allowing traders to gain exposure to the same price movements in a large index like the S&P 500 but on a smaller, fractional scale.

How the Micro S&P 500 Futures Contract Helps Traders

The introduction of the Micro sp500 index futures contract has provided several advantages to traders, offering flexibility and enhanced market participation. Here are a few critical ways in which the contract benefits traders:

1. Lower Margin Requirements

One of the primary benefits of the Micro futures sp contract is the lower margin requirement compared to its larger counterparts. Margin is the amount of capital required to open and maintain a futures position, and smaller contracts naturally come with lower margin requirements. For retail traders, lower margin requirements mean that they can participate in the market without needing substantial capital reserves.

For example, if the initial margin for an E-mini S&P 500 contract is around $16,060, the micro contract’s margin would be approximately one-tenth of that, around $1,606. This reduction in margin requirements opens the door for more traders to participate in the futures markets without requiring a large account balance.

2. Increased Liquidity

The introduction of the Micro futures sp Futures contract has led to increased liquidity in the S&P 500 futures markets. As more retail traders enter the market, the volume of contracts traded increases, which generally improves market efficiency and reduces the bid-ask spreads. Tighter spreads mean that traders can enter and exit positions with lower transaction costs, further benefiting those who trade frequently, such as day traders or swing traders.

3. Fine-Tuned Position Sizing

Traders often want to control the size of their positions carefully to manage risk or to hedge a specific portion of a portfolio. The larger contract size of the E-mini can be too big for traders who want to make smaller trades, or who want to hedge small amounts of equity. The micro contract allows for a more granular approach to position sizing. Traders can scale up or down based on their risk profile by simply buying more or fewer micro contracts.

4. Diversified Strategies

With the availability of micro contracts, traders can employ more diversified trading strategies. For example, instead of committing all their capital to one E-mini contract, traders can spread their capital across multiple micro contracts or even across different indices and futures markets. This diversification can help mitigate risk and increase potential returns.

History of the Micro S&P 500 Futures Contract

The S&P 500 futures market began in 1982, when the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (now the CME Group) first introduced the full-sized S&P 500 futures contract. This contract quickly gained popularity among institutional investors as a way to gain exposure to the U.S. stock market. Over the years, the S&P 500 futures market grew, but it remained primarily accessible to institutional traders because of its large contract size and capital requirements.

In 1997, CME introduced the E-mini standard and poor’s 500 future contract, which represented one-fifth the size of the full contract. The E-mini revolutionized the S&P 500 futures market by making it accessible to smaller traders while still retaining appeal for institutions. The E-mini became the most popular futures contract globally, with daily volumes exceeding one million contracts at times.

As market participation continued to evolve, the demand for even smaller contract sizes became apparent. With retail trading platforms booming and the rise of smaller traders, the Micro E-mini standard and poor’s 500 future contract was launched in May 2019. This contract was designed specifically to meet the growing demand for a more accessible product with lower margin requirements, smaller contract sizes, and greater flexibility for a wider range of market participants.

Cannon Trading Company: A Good Broker Choice for Micro S&P 500 Futures

For traders looking to participate in the Micro standard and poor’s 500 future market, Cannon Trading Company is a top-tier brokerage option. With over 35 years of experience in the futures market, Cannon Trading is known for its customer service, comprehensive platform offerings, and competitive pricing structures. Their expertise in the futures industry, including in the micro contracts market, makes them an excellent choice for both novice and seasoned traders.

Cannon Trading provides access to a range of platforms suitable for futures trading, including platforms optimized for Micro S&P 500 futures. Their commission structure is competitive, and they offer various educational resources to help traders succeed in the futures market.

Some benefits of using Cannon Trading for trading Micro S&P 500 Futures include:

  • Low margins and fees: Competitive rates for micro contracts.
  • Excellent customer support: Personalized service for traders of all levels.
  • Education and research: Access to market insights, trading tools, and educational materials.
  • Technology and platforms: Access to a variety of trading platforms tailored for futures trading, including advanced charting tools.

Positive Impact of the Micro S&P 500 Futures Contract on the Markets

The introduction of the Micro futures sp500 contract has had a profoundly positive impact on the markets, benefiting traders and the broader economy. Here’s how:

1. Increased Participation

The smaller contract size has democratized the futures market, allowing more retail investors to participate. The increased participation has led to higher liquidity in the futures market, particularly in the S&P 500 segment. Greater liquidity means that prices can be determined more efficiently, reflecting the true supply and demand in the market.

2. Enhanced Risk Management

Smaller contracts have also made it easier for retail investors to hedge their portfolios. Since the Micro  futures sp500 are one-tenth the size of the E-mini, traders can take more precise hedge positions without over-committing their capital.

3. Improved Market Efficiency

With more participants and increased trading volume, market efficiency has improved. Higher liquidity generally leads to tighter bid-ask spreads, reducing trading costs for everyone involved. Moreover, the increased number of smaller trades can lead to a more accurate reflection of investor sentiment, helping to stabilize markets.

4. Opportunities for Learning and Growth

The micro contract also provides an excellent learning platform for new traders. With smaller notional value and margin requirements, traders can experiment with strategies, learn the mechanics of futures trading, and develop their skills without risking substantial amounts of capital. This opportunity for skill development benefits not only individual traders but also the broader market by cultivating a more informed and active trading community.

The Micro S&P 500 Futures contract has been a game-changer for the futures industry, opening up access to one of the most important stock market indices in the world. Its smaller contract size has made it easier for retail traders to participate, manage risk, and diversify their strategies. Brokers like Cannon Trading Company have become essential partners in facilitating this participation, offering the platforms, tools, and education needed to succeed in the micro futures market.

With the Micro  futures sp500, both new and seasoned traders can enjoy the benefits of futures trading on a more accessible and manageable scale, driving greater liquidity, participation, and efficiency in the market as a whole.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures—commonly referred to as S&P 500 futures, SP500 index futures, futures sp, standard and poor’s 500 future, futures sp500, or simply SP futures—are one of the most actively traded financial derivatives globally. These contracts provide market participants with a way to speculate on or hedge against movements in the S&P 500, which is a broad index encompassing 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. Given its depth, liquidity, and representativeness of the overall U.S. economy, the S&P 500 index is a favored benchmark for institutional, retail, and hedging market participants alike.

This guide will explore the components of S&P 500 futures contracts, delve into their use cases by various market participants, chart their history, and explain their evolution, especially since futures trading went online. Special emphasis will be given to the E-Mini S&P 500 futures, Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures, and other key contracts tied to the index.

Components of the S&P 500 Futures Contract

At its core, a Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell the underlying Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures contract at a predetermined price on a specific future date. However, there are several specific components that traders must understand when trading these contracts.

  • Underlying Asset

The underlying asset of standard and poor’s 500 future contract is the S&P 500 Index itself. Unlike a stock or a commodity, which has physical representation, the index is an abstract entity representing the performance of 500 of the largest U.S. companies. The price of the futures contract is derived from the index’s value.

  • Contract Size

The contract size refers to the dollar amount of the underlying asset that one futures contract controls. The standard and poor’s 500 future contracts have multiple variations in terms of size, including the E-Mini and Micro E-Mini futures:

  • E-Mini S&P 500 futures (ES): Each contract represents 50 times the value of the S&P 500 index. For example, if the index is trading at 4,500 points, the notional value of one E-Mini sp500 index futures contract is 4,500 × 50 = $225,000.
  • Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures (MES): A much smaller version of the E-Mini, the Micro contract represents 1/10th of the E-Mini contract, or 5 times the index. If the index is trading at 4,500 points, the notional value of one Micro sp500 index futures contract is 4,500 × 5 = $22,500.
  • Expiration Date

Each S&P 500 futures contract has a specific expiration date. Most commonly, these contracts expire quarterly in the months of March, June, September, and December. The date is important because at expiration, the contract must be settled, either through cash settlement or the rolling over of the contract to a new expiration.

  • Pricing

S&P 500 futures pricing is driven by supply and demand, similar to other futures. However, because the futures contract is based on an index, it’s also influenced by factors like interest rates, dividends from the underlying stocks, and time to expiration. The formula for determining the fair value of the futures contract is:

Futures Price = Spot Price × [1 + (Risk-free Interest Rate – Dividend Yield)]

  • Settlement

S&P 500 futures are settled in cash, meaning there is no physical delivery of the index components. Instead, at expiration, any profit or loss is settled based on the difference between the contract price and the actual index level at that time.

  • Margins

When trading futures sp500, traders are not required to pay the full notional value upfront. Instead, they post an initial margin, which is a fraction of the total contract value, usually around 5-10%. Margins are subject to change based on market conditions, with brokers typically adjusting the requirements based on volatility.

Institutional Use of S&P 500 Futures

Institutional traders—including hedge funds, pension funds, mutual funds, and large asset managers—are the primary users of S&P 500 futures. They utilize these contracts for various purposes:

  • Portfolio Hedging

Institutions holding large portfolios of U.S. stocks use S&P 500 futures to hedge against potential downturns. For example, a fund that mirrors the S&P 500 can sell (short) futures sp500 contracts as a way to protect its portfolio if the market declines.

  • Asset Allocation

Institutions use futures as a tool for efficient asset allocation. By entering into futures contracts, they can quickly and cost-effectively adjust their portfolio’s exposure to U.S. equities without having to buy or sell the underlying stocks.

  • Leverage

Institutional investors often use futures to gain leveraged exposure to the S&P 500. By trading futures, they can control a large notional value of the index with only a fraction of the capital required to buy the actual stocks.

  • Arbitrage

Arbitrageurs use futures sp to take advantage of price discrepancies between the futures contract and the underlying index. This activity helps keep the price of the futures contract in line with the spot value of the S&P 500 index.

Retail Use of S&P 500 Futures

S&P 500 futures are also popular among retail traders, though their use differs significantly from that of institutional traders.

  • Speculation

Many retail traders use futures sp to speculate on the direction of the market. Because futures provide leverage, a small price movement in the underlying index can result in significant gains or losses, making it a favored instrument for active traders looking to profit from short-term moves.

  • Leverage

Retail traders, like institutions, are attracted to the leverage that futures contracts offer. By putting down a margin that is a fraction of the contract’s notional value, retail traders can control large positions with relatively small amounts of capital.

  • Day Trading

Due to the liquidity and volatility of S&P 500 futures, they are a popular vehicle for day traders. The futures market operates nearly 24 hours a day, allowing traders to participate during extended hours, including times when the stock market is closed.

  • Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures

Introduced in 2019, the Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures were designed specifically for retail traders. With a smaller contract size (1/10th of an E-Mini), retail traders can participate in the S&P 500 futures market with less capital and reduced risk.

Hedging with S&P 500 Futures

Hedgers, whether institutional or individual, use S&P 500 futures to manage their exposure to market risk. The flexibility of these contracts makes them an ideal tool for hedging purposes across a range of scenarios:

  • Equity Portfolio Hedging

Investors holding a portfolio of U.S. equities can hedge against potential market declines by selling (shorting) S&P 500 futures. If the market falls, the losses in the portfolio can be offset by gains in the futures position.

  • Corporate Hedging

Corporations that have significant exposure to the U.S. equity market, either through pension funds or stock-based compensation plans, also use S&P 500 futures to hedge against adverse market movements.

  • Sector-Specific Hedging

While S&P 500 futures reflect the broader U.S. market, some sectors within the index have more weight than others (such as technology or financials). Hedgers can use S&P 500 futures to manage sector-specific risks, depending on the composition of their portfolios.

A Brief History of S&P 500 Futures

The history of S&P 500 futures dates back to 1982 when the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) introduced the first futures contracts on the S&P 500 index. This event marked a significant evolution in financial markets, as it provided a liquid and efficient way for traders to speculate on or hedge against movements in the U.S. stock market.

1982: Inception of S&P 500 Futures

Initially, the contracts were large, with a high notional value that primarily attracted institutional traders. The futures contract quickly gained popularity due to the flexibility and liquidity it offered.

1997: Introduction of E-Mini S&P 500 Futures

The E-Mini S&P 500 futures were introduced in 1997 to appeal to smaller traders, both institutional and retail. With a contract size of 1/5th of the original S&P 500 futures contract, the E-Mini was a game changer. The reduced margin requirements and lower notional value opened the door for a wider array of market participants.

2019: Introduction of Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures

Further lowering the barrier to entry, the CME launched the Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures in 2019. These contracts are 1/10th the size of the E-Mini, making them an ideal choice for retail traders who want to participate in the S&P 500 futures market but with less exposure and lower margin requirements.

The Digital Revolution

The growth of online trading platforms and the advent of electronic trading has transformed the futures market. Electronic trading allows near-instant execution of trades, providing liquidity and transparency around the clock. Online platforms have made it easier than ever for retail traders to access the futures market, leading to a democratization of trading that continues to this day.

Evolution of S&P 500 Futures Since the Onset of Online Trading

Since futures trading went online in the late 1990s and early 2000s, there has been a dramatic shift in how futures are traded and accessed. Online trading platforms now allow traders, from retail to institutional, to access real-time quotes, execute trades instantly, and manage risk using advanced order types like stop losses and limit orders.

  • Increased Participation

The accessibility of online platforms has led to increased participation in the S&P 500 futures market. What was once a tool primarily used by institutional traders has now become an essential component of many retail portfolios.

  • Reduced Transaction Costs

With the rise of online trading, transaction costs for trading S&P 500 futures have fallen significantly. The elimination of manual order processing and increased competition among brokers have resulted in lower commissions and fees.

  • 24-Hour Market Access

One of the major benefits of electronic trading is the ability to trade nearly 24 hours a day, five days a week. This is particularly important for global traders and those who want to react to events that happen outside of regular market hours.

Key S&P 500 Futures Contracts: E-Mini and Micro E-Mini

Two of the most important S&P 500 futures contracts today are the E-Mini S&P 500 futures and the Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures.

E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (ES)

  • Launched: 1997
  • Contract Size: 50 times the value of the S&P 500 index
  • Minimum Tick Size: 0.25 index points, or $12.50 per tick
  • Trading Hours: Nearly 24 hours a day on CME’s Globex platform

Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (MES)

  • Launched: 2019
  • Contract Size: 5 times the value of the S&P 500 index
  • Minimum Tick Size: 0.25 index points, or $1.25 per tick
  • Trading Hours: Nearly 24 hours a day on CME’s Globex platform

S&P 500 futures have evolved into one of the most versatile and widely traded financial instruments in the world. They provide institutions, retail traders, and hedgers with an efficient way to gain exposure to, speculate on, or hedge against movements in the U.S. stock market. With the advent of E-Mini and Micro E-Mini contracts, as well as the growth of online trading platforms, participation in the S&P 500 futures market has expanded dramatically, making it more accessible than ever before. Whether used for hedging, speculation, or asset allocation, S&P 500 futures remain a cornerstone of modern financial markets.

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Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

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