Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

How to Choose the Right Broker for Your Future Trading Needs

Are you considering learning how to trade futures?

Futures trading has substantial benefits for investors. The high liquidity, high leverage and ease of short selling all make futures contracts a great way to hedge or diversify your portfolio. However, futures trading does come with complexities and risks and shouldn’t be entered into on a whim.

Or perhaps you have been trading futures for a while but would like to choose a new broker, try a new platform, and restructure your strategy.

In any of these cases, the right broker will give you substantial advantages by providing you with the tools and guidance you need in order to start trading futures successfully.

When it comes to future trading, choosing a broker with a variety of tools and an easy to use platform can mean the difference between great profit and disappointing outcomes. With the right tools at your disposal you can easily manage your futures portfolio.

How Futures Trading Works

A good futures charting software platform will give invaluable insights as you trade futures

Perhaps you have heard about the benefits of futures trading but are unsure as to the mechanics of the process. Understanding futures contracts is vital if you intend to make more than a nominal investment in this market.

What are Futures Contracts?

A futures contract is an agreement between a buyer and a seller regarding the sale of a commodity at some point in the future. This commodity could be physical assets, or even financial instruments.

Purchasing futures means committing to buying a given commodity, at a given time, for a given price. Selling futures means committing to sell that commodity, at a given time, for a given price.

Why Is There a Futures Trade?

Futures trading helps producers to be assured of a certain reasonable price for their commodity when the time comes to sell said product. This helps spread the profits of production over a wider span of time rather than all the profits coming in at the time of the physical commodities being sold.

Why Do Investors Buy Futures?

Investors purchase futures contracts in the hopes that prices of the commodity will be higher at the time that the contract specifies for the sale will be higher than they are at the time that the contract is purchased. When this date, called the “expiration date,” arrives, the commodity belongs to the investor who holds the futures contract and can then be sold, giving the proceeds of the sale to the holder of the contract.

Choosing the Right Software for Trading Futures Contracts

Cannon Trading has a stellar reputation for their customer service in futures markets

Amazing changes have taken place in how stocks are traded in the last couple of decades, and futures trading has become a possibility for anyone because of software that brings access to every investor.

However, this accessibility can be a double edged sword. It’s possible for you to learn all you need to know to make great gains in futures trading, but it’s equally possible for you to lose every penny if you don’t have a complete understanding of how futures contracts work, or a way to determine your risk tolerance.

For these reasons, choosing the right software can make a big difference in your profits. Choosing software that lines up with your trading strategy will give you the information you need to navigate price volatility and avoid assets that carry substantial risk. Futures trading can be a great way for you to take charge of your portfolio–but only if you are getting the best guidance.

Trade Futures With Confidence: Tools of the Trade

The futures market is an exciting place, filled with a variety of commodities that can fluctuate in value over the years, months and even weeks. As with any investment, the goal will always be to “buy low, sell high”–but as with any investment, it’s impossible to arrive at 100% certainty about how low and how high.

Using the internet, it is easy to get access to futures markets around the world. But as you navigate these markets, how do you decide which futures contract to buy?

Many futures trading platforms have tools to help you visualize and understand such characteristics as risk, contract value and trading activity. Choose the right futures trading platform to keep your priorities first and stay on the right investment plan.

Risk Management Tools

A good futures trading platform for beginners will have a built in risk manager tool, which will help you manage concepts like hedging.

Some commodities at certain times have very volatile futures prices, and can change substantially in value before their expiration date. Use a trading platform that allows you to see historic trends of the commodity you are considering.

The Right Broker Will Help You Find the Right Tools For Your Futures Trading Needs

When you are ready to start trading futures contracts, it is strongly advisable to choose a futures broker who is familiar with multiple futures markets and able to provide excellent technical analysis.

Your broker can help you create a plan to start trading futures in a way that lines up with your risk tolerance and can meet your profit goals. The advice of a good broker who is in your corner is invaluable to soften the learning curve of figuring out the futures market.

How Does a Broker Help Your Futures Trading?

Your broker can be as involved or as hands-off as your experience level requires. They will be able to do all your futures trading on your behalf, with you contributing only the investment capital via wire transfer; or they can let you take the wheel, choosing the futures contract that you consider the most promising, and only providing you with the tools and guidance that you request.

Next Steps As You Trade Futures

Whether you are brand new to the futures markets or whether you have been learning to trade futures contracts for the last decade, Cannon Trading can help you improve your margins, assess underlying asset values and perfect your margin trading.

Cannon Trading was the first futures broker to enter the online trading market and continues to command respect as they manage their customers’ assets. Your futures trading account will be in good hands with this long established company. So when you are ready to start purchasing commodity futures and diversify your portfolio, call Cannon Trading and find out what they have to offer for your next purchase of a futures contract.

Deciphering FOMC: Navigating Market Volatility

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Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

Trading chart

 

FOMC Week

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

This week’s market moving features will be the closely watched with CPI pre market Wednesday and The FOMC meets Tomorrow and Wednesday.

The FOMC statement released at 1:00 CT on Wednesday will give a close read for any guidance in regard to the interest rate outlook.

This meeting will also be the release of the “Summary of Economic Projections” or SEP

The prior SEP was issued on March 20 and implied three rate cuts of 25 basis points later in 2024. Shortly after that, the data on inflation, the labor market, and economic growth made that projection out-of-date.

It is widely anticipated that the SEP will reduce the forecast for rate cuts to only one or two this year.

Powell’s prepared remarks regarding this rate decision will occur @1:30 CT.

Traders who are well informed know of the Interest Rate decision probabilities “Baked” into the market. They use the CME’s FedWatch tool.. as we do.

If you would like a personal tutorial, please call 800 454 9572 and simply ask for a fed watch tutorial!  The current probability of no rate movement up or down this week is 99.1 %.

If you are curious about the Next fed meeting in July? It’s currently @ 91.1 % probability of stay the same with an 8.9% chance of a .25 reduction.

From a trader’s standpoint, it’s fascinating to watch these percentages change intraday as new data, like the Wednesday CPI release, will undoubtedly change the percentage probabilities for all future FOMC rate decision meetings on the calendar.

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

 

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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Daily Levels for June 11th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter: Forecasting the Soybean Market and Milk Futures Analysis + Futures Levels 6.10.2024

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1197

In this issue:
  • Important Notices – FOMC is the main event
  • Futures 101 – 5 Things You Need to Know About Soybeans 2024
  • Hot Market of the Week – July Class III Milk
  • Market Scanner – For Monday June 10th
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Crude Oil Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

  • Monday starts quietly
  • Tuesday FOMC Meeting begins. Oracle announces Earnings after the close.
  • Heavy Wednesday! CPI Pre-Market, WASDE and Crop Production, FOMC Rate Decision, Chairman Powell presser, Broadcom Earnings after the close
  • Thursday, the data keeps rolling; Jobless Claims, Producer Price Index, NY FED President Williams speaks, Adobe earnings after the close
  • Friday Michigan consumer Sentiment, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks.
  • Monitor Open interest and Volume between June (M) indices and September (U) Look to begin trading September the following Monday.

 

 

 

Futures 101 :

Five Things to Watch in the Soybean Market in 2024

By AgResource

 

The opinions expressed in this report are those of AgResource and are considered market commentary. They are not intended to act as investment recommendations. Full disclaimers are available at the end of this report.
HIGHLIGHTS
Actual size of 2024 Brazilian crop
There’s currently no consensus on the size of Brazilian soybean production in 2024. South America’s surplus will be large in almost any scenario, but there’s currently a discrepancy of 6.3 million tons between the Brazilian government (CONAB), which projects production at 147.7 million tons, and USDA, which estimates production at 154 million. Some in the trade are still forecasting Brazilian soybean production in 2024 at 140 million tons or less, and some forecast production above 155 million tons.

 

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  • Hot Market of the Week – July Class III Milk

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
July Class III Milk
The July milk chart satisfied its third upside PriceCount objective last month and has developed a sideways consolidation trade. At this point, IF you can extend the rally with new sustained highs, we are left with the low percentage fourth count to aim for in the 24.75 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Market Scanner
If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.
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   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Balance Cont. V2 Copper

PRODUCT
SYSTEM TYPE
Swing
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$20,000
COST
USD 150 / monthly

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
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S
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Daily Levels for June 10th 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

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First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

NFP Tomorrow, non-farm payrolls + Levels for June 7th Futures

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Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

 

 

NFP tomorrow, FOMC Next Week:

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

Tomorrow is the first Friday of the month and for traders it marks the release of the Labor Department’s monthly Non-farm payrolls report.  The report is widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy.  It’s released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time.

 

To review, the Labor Dept.’s Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 individual work sites.  The report excludes farm workers, private household employees, domestic household workers and non-profit organization employees.  The report also includes other detailed industry data including the overall unemployment rate as a percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking work, wages, wage growth and average workday hours.

Economists are expecting May job growth of 180,000 payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold tight at 3.9%

 

If the jobless rate comes in below 4.0 percent as expected, it would mark the 28th consecutive month of sub-4% unemployment, which would be the longest streak in more than 70 years going back to the early 1950’s.

 

General, Part 2:

 

In what could be the turning point in the international fight against inflation, the Canadian central bank cut its interest rate a quarter-point from 5.0% to 4.75%.  It’s that country’s first reduction in four years, making them the first G-7 nation to lower borrowing costs/interest rates following its post-pandemic surge.  Like the U.S., Canada has a 2% target for inflation.

 

Certainly planned well before Canada announced its rate cut, on Thursday the European Central Bank lowered interest rates for the first time in nearly five years which applies across all twenty countries that use the Euro.  The bank’s benchmark deposit rate was lowered from 4% – the highest in the bank’s 26-year history and where the rate had been set since September – down to 3.75%.

 

Last month Sweden’s central bank cut its key interest rate to 3.75% from 4.00% and in what was characterized as a surprise move in March, the Swiss National Bank lowered its main policy rate by 0.25 percentage points to 1.5%.

 

Meanwhile, back in the U.S., there is more reluctance to ease.  Officials at the Federal Reserve are waiting to be more confident that a recent run of stubborn inflation readings will end. The Federal Reserve is not expected to cut rates at either of its next two meetings – including next week’s – and there is debate about whether it will plan to cut rates at all this year.

 

Stock Indexes:

 

Major stock index futures climbed to new all-time highs yesterday as traders continued their buying into the excitement surrounding artificial-intelligence technology.

The June E-mini S&P 500 jumped 1.2% Wednesday to beat its record set two weeks ago. The E-mini Nasdaq rallied even more – 2% – to set its own all-time high.

 

Energies:

 

Crude oil futures rose for the second straight day today, bouncing back from four-month lows after the decision by OPEC+ to increase production triggered a selloff this week.

 

 

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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Daily Levels for June 7th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Surging Volumes and Open Interest: Records Broken in Copper Futures and Options

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Volumes:  

· On pace for our best copper futures (HG) volume year of all-time with YTD ADV of 140,125 (+32.4%).

o Current Annual Record: 129,802 set in 2018.

o #1 volume day all-time on 5/14/2024 with 380,197 contracts traded.

· Copper Options volumes have exploded in 2024, on pace for our best copper options (weekly + monthly) volume year of all time with YTD ADV of 14,202 (+94.1%).

o Current Annual Record: 5,889 set in 2018.

o 2 of the top 5 copper options volume days have occurred this month (May) and another in mid-April (see below in yellow).

· Micro copper volumes continue to surge as a result of retail interest. MTD ADV of 30,288 (+505.6% YTD YoY) and YTD ADV of 11,246 (+106.9% YTD YoY).

o Current Annual Record: 4,882 set in 2023.

o #1 volume day all-time on 5/15/2024 with 69,888 contracts traded.

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Open Interest: 

· Today standard futures (HG) open interest of ~300k, compared to 296,441 on May 1st. 

· Current options open interest of ~320,000, compared to 235k on May 1st. (all May OI HG options record days in yellow below)

· Micro copper open interest of 8,624, compared to 4,497 on May 1st. 

 

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If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

75657348 a427 4563 8a75 ab5da374c6e2

 

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Daily Levels for June 6th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Important Contract Expiry and First Notice Dates for the Upcoming Month

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Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

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Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for the upcoming month. Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL SHORT positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day. If you have any questions please contact the Trade Desk or your broker.

 

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If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

75657348 a427 4563 8a75 ab5da374c6e2

 

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Daily Levels for June 5th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Market Analysis: Grain Futures Trends Amidst Technical Shifts

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Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

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June Grain Comment

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Corn was the first of the spring time grain bulls to negate recent uptrends with bears officially seizing technical control of July contract with a crossover Moving Average on May 29th  and hasn’t looked back; on that day the contract closed at $5.05 – BU; todays close was $4.88. ¾ – BU. I would expect a range trade for the rest of this month up until the July 4th vacation, when trends can quickly reverse.

The Soybean market was next : Friday saw the technical damage done when the Crossover Moving Average reflected an outright sell with a closing price of $12.05 -BU. 53 cents off it’s May 23rd high. Also negating the bullish spring time sentiment that ordinarily comes with a weather market. July Soybeans closed @11.84 ½ down .20 ½ from Fridays settlement. As recent price uptrends on the daily graphs have been negated, it appears, this market at best, will trade sideways between $11.50 and $12.20/BU

The best option strategies for sideways markets include, “Short Strangle”,” Iron Condor” , “Short Straddle” and “Iron Butterfly” please consult with your Cannon Broker if you have any questions about these or other strategies you can utilize in perceived side-ways markets.

The Lone holdout in the row crops and still in a very strong bull trend is the Wheat market. This springtime bull rally began mid April in the $5.60 – bu area and has gone as high as $7.20 – bu May 28th. Today we closed at $6.72 ¾ – bu down 5 ¾ from Friday’s close all done within a 30 cent range today!.

We haven’t yet done much technical damage, a close below 6.56 could trigger a sell, it’s wait and see here.

Although Wheat can move sympathetically with corn and beans, like today, it wouldn’t surprise us to see Wheat buck the trend and maintain it’s bullish technical credentials, this could be the “buy the Dip” moment with a reasonable risk management stop or put to cover.

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If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

75657348 a427 4563 8a75 ab5da374c6e2

 

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Daily Levels for June 4th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Mastering Vertical Spreads: A Guide to Risk-Defined Options Strategies + Trading Levels for June 3rd

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1196

In this issue:
  • Important Notices – Non Farm Payrolls is the main event
  • Futures 101 – Vertical Option Spreads
  • Hot Market of the Week –
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Crude Oil Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

  • Light Earnings week: Crowdstrike, LULULemon, Dollar Tree and HP are the 4 headliners
  • FOMC Blackout Period Begins in advance of the June 11-12 FOMC Mtg.
  • Econ Data: ISM MFG PMI Mon., JOLTS Tues., ISM SVCS PMI Wed, Jobless Claims Thur, NON Farm Payrolls B4 the open Fri.
  • August gold is front month
  • September is front month for bonds, 10 years, 5/2 notes.

 

 

 

Futures 101 :

Vertical Spreads

By Craig Bewick CMEGroup.com
“Vertical Spreads” involve buying (selling) a higher strike price option and selling (buying) a lower strike price option and can be executed with either Calls or Puts.
  • If a trader sells the lower strike CALL option and buys the higher strike CALL option, they would receive a CREDIT (the lower strike Call will trade at a higher price than the higher strike Call) for that trade. Selling the higher strike and buying the lower strike CALL would result in a DEBIT. The opposite is true if the trader executed a PUT spread.
These spreads are known as “risk defined” strategies because the max potential profit and loss is known to the trader at the time of execution.
If we hold all other variables constant, Call and Put Vertical spreads represent a bullish or bearish view on the price of the underlying instrument:
  • Long (debit) Call spreads and Short (credit) Put spreads represent a bullish view
  • Short (credit) Call spreads and Long (debit) Put spreads represent a bearish view
Of course, as with most options strategies, several factors, including volatility, can also impact the value of vertical spreads, as we’ll demonstrate below.
EXAMPLE:
Let’s look at a real-life example using E-mini S&P 500 options:
Using markets from 4/25 @ 10:35 AM CST, we selected the following options:
Futures: 5,038
Sell 1 5,090 Call | Premium 58.25 | IV: 14.3% | Delta: -.41 | Gamma: -.0019 | Vega: -550.8 | Theta: 1.35
Buy 1 5,130 Call | Premium 42.0 | IV: 13.9% | Delta: .33 | Gamma: .0018 | Vega: 513.8 | Theta: -1.23
Position: Delta: -.08 | Gamma: -.0001 | Vega: -37 | Theta: .12
Max profit and loss (excluding all fees and commissions):
  • The max profit that this position could realize is the credit taken in at execution
  • 58.25-42.0 = 16.25 pts (16.25*$50 = $812.50)
  • The max loss that this position could realize is the credit taken in minus the difference between the strike prices
  • 16.25-40.00 = 23.75 pts (23.75*$50 = $1,187.50)
  • The P&L graph of each option and the overall P&L is shown in the TOP image below
Short 5090 Call (Blue Line)
  • 58.25 points were collected at execution on the 5090 Call. At any price below 5090 at expiry, this option is worthless and the trader will keep the premium collected (58.25).
  • As the price rises above 5090, the option gains value incrementally which, because this position is short, has a negative impact on the P&L.
Long 5130 Call (Orange Line)
  • 42 points were paid at the execution of the 5130 Call. This option, at expiry, is worthless at any futures price at, or under, 5130.
  • Similar to the 5090, as the price rises above 5130, the option gains value incrementally, which, in this case, has a positive impact on the P&L.
Position P&L
  • They gray line represents the overall P&L of the position at expiration, based on the futures price on the X-axis. This is simply the addition of the value of the blue and orange lines.
P&L Scenarios Prior to Expiration
However, though the max profit and loss is defined at the entry point of the trade, as we mentioned earlier, because option pricing is multi-dimensional, factors like volatility and time can impact the value of the position between execution and expiration. Although it is impossible to illustrate all the different values at which this option could theoretically trade because of the dynamic nature of options pricing, we wanted to illustrate some “what-if” scenarios to demonstrate how things like implied volatility and time decay might impact the position. These are illustrated in the bottom image below.

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  • Hot Market of the Week – December Corn

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
Dec Corn
The rally in December corn ran out of momentum after completing a second upside PriceCount objective. Now, on the correction lower the chart has activated downside counts too. The first downside objective project a run to the $4.61 area. It takes a trade below $4.56 1/2 to formally negate the remaining unmet upside counts
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Agora Crude

PRODUCT
SYSTEM TYPE
Swing
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$20,000
COST
USD 70 / monthly

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S
If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side.
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Daily Levels for June 3rd 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

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First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Navigating the Reality of Losing Days in Trading Futures

Get Real Time updates and more by joining our Private Facebook Group!
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel
Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

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 August gold is front month.

September bonds, 10 years, 5/2 and notes is front month.

Some days are just losing days….

 

Don’t fight it. You will have losing days. I have been in the futures industry for 15 years now and never have I met a trader who did not have a losing day…and I will never meet one….impossible.

 

Understand it and accept it. One of your hardest jobs as a day trader is to make sure a losing day does NOT become a disaster…Our human emotions and our brain is not programmed very well to learn how to lose. Yet one of the key differences between traders and those who try to become “traders”…is that traders first learn how to lose. They understand losing is part of trading. The others, refuse to take a losing day and will make many mistakes along the way to make a “normal losing” day into a disaster. That may be carrying positions overnight when they normally don’t, reversing, pyramiding and many other mistakes that they would normally not make. That turns a “normal losing day” (maybe for an account of $10,000, a normal losing day would be down $700?) into one of those days where they wipe out half of their account, if not more.

 

Have realistic expectations. Under the statistics of your own trading. Keep notes.

 

Sometimes we need to learn how to lose before we can excel in trading.

 

 

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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stars

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Daily Levels for May 31st, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Commodity Market Milestones this week: Record-Breaking Trends Across Commodities and Economic Indicators

Get Real Time updates and more by joining our Private Facebook Group!
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel
Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts

 

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 The Rest of the Short Trading Week:

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General: 

 

Breaking records – either multi-year or all-time – has been in style for commodities in recent months.  Notable markets to set new all-time record highs include all three major stock index futures: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, cocoa, gold, silver and Bitcoin.

 

Not to be overlooked, in February natural gas traded to lows not seen in nearly 30 years.

 

One other record is garnering attention lately because of its sheer persistence and no sign of ending.  And while it’s not a futures market, it is an economic indicator futures traders and others watch closely – known as an inverted yield curve, in which yields on short-term Treasurys exceed those of longer-term government debt.  Long taken as a nearly surefire signal that an economic pullback is on the horizon (it happened prior to each of the last eight downturns in the U.S.), the current yield curve inversion has now stretched for over 400 trading sessions with no measurable signs of a major economic slow-down in sight.

 

It harkens to one of the principal rules in trading that we strive to drill into the minds of traders: Past performance is not indicative of future results.

 

Energies: 

 

Due to the short trading week, both the natural gas and the crude oil numbers will be released tomorrow.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, a collection of nations that produces 40% of the world’s crude oil are getting together to decide their strategy at OPEC’s ministerial meeting on Sunday, June 2nd.  Traders and analysts are predicting the 2.2 million barrels per day voluntary production cuts will stay in place.

 

Metals: 

 

Last Tuesday, July silver closed at $32.20/ounce and at this typing, the contract is trading barely 3 cents from there at ±$32.17 per ounce.  Sandwiched between there – within five trading sessions – the contract dropped ±$2.00/ounce then rallied right back, a ±$10,000 per contract swing in both directions.

 

Crypto: 

 

Bitcoin futures have threatened to breach the 70,000 mark over the last eight trading sessions – dating to May 20.  The front month June contract’s all-time high close on March 13: 75,900.  This is a ±$12,000 per contract move from its last correction low on May 1 near 58,000.

 

 

If you are a day trader, below you will see markets that our proprietary ALGO has identified as being more suitable for attacking either from the long side or the short side for the next trading session.

Questions? We are happy to help!

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stars

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Daily Levels for May 30th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.