Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

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Rate Cut, Nov. Feeder Cattle, Trading Psychology, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Must-Knows for Trading Futures the week of October 27th, 2025

Posted on October 24, 2025 by Cannon Operations

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter

In Today’s Issue #1263

The Week Ahead – FOMC Week!
Futures 101 – Trading Psychology Course
Hot Market of the Week – Nov. Feeder Cattle
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – MICRO NQ Swing Trading System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument	S2	S1	Pivot	R1	R2
Gold (GC) — Dec (GCZ5)	4007.90	4063.40	4111.20	4166.70	4214.50
Silver (SI) — Dec (SIZ5)	46.79	47.58	48.17	48.96	49.55
Crude Oil (CL) — Nov (CLX5)	60.38	60.93	61.76	62.31	63.14
Dow Jones (YM) — Dec 2025	46629	47017	47263	47651	47897

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

rate

Traders, much like the Federal Reserve Board, are dependent on data that, during a government shutdown is barely existent. We have a FOMC rate decision next week and immediately following, a Chair Jerome Powell presser. According to the CME Fed watch tool, we have a 99% chance of another .25-point reduction in the bank lending rate to a 3.75-4.00 range.

Actually, the tool reflects significant confidence of 2, count them, .25 rate reductions remaining this year (the next and final Fed Rate decision meeting is scheduled for December 10^th) even after Friday’s CPI release of .03 percent increase in the inflation rate probabilities have remained consistent. The December move would put the Fed Funds lending rate into the 3.50-3.75 range by year end.

As for earnings reports? Next week we will see the numbers for 5, Trillion dollar + market cap stocks; MSFT, GOOG, META, Wednesday and AAPL, AMZN on Thursday post close.

The on again off again nature of Tariff news has created golden opportunities for breakouts in some markets, rangebound trades in others. The gold market exploded out of it’s range I have been writing about for months. BTW, the US Dollar has been in a 4-cent range since April, conversely, the Euro has been in a 5-cent range since Memorial Day. The longer the range trade the harder and faster the breakout becomes.

Expect continued volatility next week as the markets have not been able to receive Gov’t data due to the ongoing, politician-imposed shutdown. Don’t be fooled, this is about politics NOT Policy. Additionally, markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts/ cessation, think Russia/Ukraine, sanctioning Russian oil company’s and applying pressure to country’s currently buying oil from them. Trade deals or no trade deals, China, Trump to meet with Xi Jinping in Korea, India, Canada (in trouble w/ the Reagan Foundation for cutting and pasting incorrectly, a 1987 Reagan Speech on Tariffs) and also, remember that Mexico’s extension will end October 29.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

Earnings Next Week:

· Mon. Quiet

· Tue. Visa, UnitedHealth Group,

· Wed. MSFT, GOOG, META

· Thu. AMZN, AAPL, Ely Lilly,

· Fri. Exxon Mobile, Chevron

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

· Mon. Quiet

· Tues. Quiet

· Wed. FOMC 1:30 Chair Powell Presser

· Thu. Quiet

· Fri. Logan 8:30 am, Bostic 11:00 am, Hammack 11:00 am

Economic Data week:

· Mon. with the government shutdown, data will be suspended. Check the list Below.

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· Understanding and using Motivation – Risk – Reward to its full advantage

· Creating effective trading technique strategies

· Qualities of Successful Traders

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

November Feeder Cattle

cattle

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus Upside ES Trading System

Markets Traded: MICRO NQ

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Caracal is a trend trade strategy that takes long trades only

Suggested Capital: $8,000

Developer Fee per contract: $19 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More & Detailed Results

Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

“System Description” is based upon information obtained from specific system marketing documents, system developers and/or system vendors themselves. While the information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its completeness or accuracy.

Actual Monthly Performance

The table and charts represent the monthly/quarterly/annual summation of actual trades based on system-specified contract(s) executed through Striker Securities, Inc. using the referenced trading system or system vendor for the stated time period. Commissions and monthly vendor fees are deducted from the tabulation. Results are based on 1 contract. If a client trades 2 contracts his gain or loss is twice as displayed (and so on). This table is presented for information purposes only and is not a solicitation for the referenced system or vendor. The purpose of this information is for clients to compare their brokerage statements to what is displayed on Striker’s site. Striker as a matter of policy has no ownership with the referenced system or vendor or any other trading system or vendor. Past trade history may not be indicative of future results. The results indicated here may or may not be typical of the performance of this system and, ALTHOUGH WE BELIEVE THIS INFORMATION TO BE ACCURATE, CANNON TRADING COMPANY MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. This is not the only trading system that Striker executes for its clients. Potential traders should carefully investigate, evaluate and compare trading systems before investing capital. Some or all trading systems may involve an inappropriate level of risk for potential traders. It is the nature of commodity trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss. In opening an account through CANNON TRADING COMPANY, Customer acknowledges and agrees that he/she will rely solely upon the information that CANNON TRADING COMPANYprovides to you. Thus, all prior third-party materials provided are superseded by the information and disclosures provided by CANNON TRADING COMPANY.

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance are based on actual trading unless otherwise specified. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, developer fees, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system.

While the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy as they results are key punched and subject to human error. Performance information is not the performance of a single account, but a compilation of several accounts over time, and is based on the physical trading ticket. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND USED BY CURRENT CLIENTS TO AUDIT THEIR STATEMENTS TO STRIKER SITE. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future.

This trading system, like any other, may involve an inappropriate level of risk for prospective investors. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Prior to purchasing or leasing a trading system from this or any other system vendor or investing in a trading system with a registered commodity trading representative, investors need to carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for them in light of their own specific financial condition. In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees.

It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA’s.

The information contained in this report is provided with the objective of “standardizing” trading systems measurements, and it is intended for educational /informational purposes only. All information is offered with the understanding that an investor considering purchasing or leasing a system must carry out his/her own research and due diligence in deciding whether to purchase or lease any trading system noted within or without this report.

This report does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or invest in any trading system which may be mentioned herein. CANNON TRADING COMPANY AND STRIKER SECURITES, INC. MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY OTHER TRADING SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE TO ANY TRADING SYSTEM.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”. A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you. You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial, and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

Actual Monthly Performance

Striker as a matter of policy has no ownership with the referenced system or vendor or any other trading system or vendor. Past trade history may not be indicative of future results. The results indicated here may or may not be typical of the performance of this system and, ALTHOUGH WE BELIEVE THIS INFORMATION TO BE ACCURATE, CANNON TRADING COMPANY MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE.

This is not the only trading system that Striker executes for its clients. Potential traders should carefully investigate, evaluate and compare trading systems before investing capital. Some or all trading systems may involve an inappropriate level of risk for potential traders. It is the nature of commodity trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss. In opening an account through CANNON TRADING COMPANY, Customer acknowledges and agrees that he/she will rely solely upon the information that CANNON TRADING COMPANYprovides to you. Thus, all prior third-party materials provided are superseded by the information and disclosures provided by CANNON TRADING COMPANY.

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees. It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA’s.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

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Daily Levels for Oct 27th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

tradingreports 251024

Find us on Trustpilot

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Algorithmic Precision Trading, December Soymeal, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on October 24th, 2025

Posted on October 23, 2025 by Cannon Operations

Enhance Your Edge with Algorithmic Precision

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument	S2	S1	Pivot	R1	R2
Gold (GC) — Dec (GCZ5)	4035.77	4083.83	4127.67	4175.73	4219.57
Silver (SI) — Dec (SIZ5)	46.88	47.71	48.47	49.30	50.05
Crude Oil (CL) — Nov (CLX5)	58.60	60.12	61.16	62.68	63.72
Dow Jones (YM) — Dec 2025	46437	46669	46831	47063	47225

Enhance Your Edge with Algorithmic Precision

algorithmic

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Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.

The recommendations contained in this blog are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.

Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

December Soymeal

December meal satisfied its first upside PriceCount objective off of the October low. It would be normal for the chart to react from this level in the form of a near term consolidation or corrective trade. From here, if we can extend the rally with sustained strength, the second count would project a possible run to the $298 area.

And that’s a December Soymeal projection for you!

Daily Levels for Oct. 24th, 2025

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Economic Reports

U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Futures FYI: Metals, Stock Index Futures, Energies, Dec-March Corn Spread, Levels, Reports; Your 6 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on October 23rd, 2025

Posted on October 22, 2025 by Cannon Operations

What You Need to Know Before Trading Futures Tomorrow!

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument	S2	S1	Pivot	R1	R2
Gold (GC) — Dec (GCZ5)	3951.53	4035.67	4105.33	4189.47	4259.43
Silver (SI) — Dec (SIZ5)	46.09	47.19	47.92	49.02	49.75
Crude Oil (CL) — Nov (CLX5)	56.37	57.88	58.86	60.37	61.35
Dow Jones (YM) — Dec 2025	46315	46553	46877	47115	47439

General:

Day 22 of the U.S Government shut-down, now the second-longest on record. Today it overtook the 21-day shutdown of 1995-96. Without a fix, many federal employees will not be getting paid this Friday, the first full paycheck they’ll miss as a result of the shutdown.

Stock Index Futures:

We’re amidst earning season for the third quarter. Moving into full swing, all eyes were on IBM, AT&T and in particular Tesla – all releasing their latest earnings results after the closing bell.

Tomorrow: Intel

Metals:

It’s another installment of the broken record precious metals report – with a twist.

On Monday, Dec. gold futures rose to a new all-time intraday high of $4,398.00/ounce and closed up nearly $150/ounce above Friday’s close. As this blog is being composed, the contract is trading ±$300/ounce lower ±$4,090/ounce – a ±$30,000 per contract move. This includes yesterday’s free-fall of over $300/ounce marking its largest single-day sell-off in 13 years.

Despite the dip, gold is still up over 50% year-to-date. HSBC predicts that the precious metal will hit $5,000 next year.

Energies:

After remaining on their lows last week – with a new multi-month intraday low of $55.96/barrel in the December contract on Monday, futures rose after President Trump again said India would reduce its purchases of Russian oil, while today’s EIA’s report showed a one-million-barrel drop in U.S. crude oil inventories following three weekly builds. Today, Dec. crude oil rose over $2.00/barrel to an intraday high of $59.67/barrel.

Dec – March Corn Spread

The Dec-March corn spread has resumed its rally into a new high. At this point, the chart appears to be taking aim at its third upside PriceCount objective to the -12 area.

Daily Levels for Oct. 23rd, 2025

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Economic Reports

U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

Find us on Trustpilot

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon

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Gov’t Shutdown Continues, Impact on Traders’ Reports, Blackout & Volatility, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on October 22nd, 2025

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Cannon Operations

Govt. Shut Down & Commitment of Traders Reports

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument	S2	S1	Pivot	R1	R2
Gold (GC) — Dec (GCZ5)	3903	4013.60	4203.60	4314.20	4504.20
Silver (SI) — Dec (SIZ5)	44.35	46.08	48.85	50.57	53.34
Crude Oil (CL) — Nov (CLX5)	55.56	56.49	57.29	58.22	59.02
Dow Jones (YM) — Dec 2025	46578	46865	47100	47387	47622

shutdown

Current 2025 Government Shutdown:

As of October 21, 2025, the ongoing U.S. government shutdown (which began October 1) has suspended COT reports since the last release covering data up to September 23.

Weekly Released Commitment of Traders

Weekly released Commitment of Traders reports from the CFTC provide transparency into the positioning of various trader groups (such as speculators, hedgers, and commercial participants) in futures and options markets.

Risk of Delay/Absence

When these reports are delayed or absent—typically due to events like government shutdowns or external disruptions—it creates a data vacuum that can amplify uncertainty among traders.

Threat of Insight Void

This lack of insight into market sentiment and positioning often leads to increased speculative activity, herding behavior, and potential overreactions, ultimately contributing to higher volatility in futures markets.

Blackout

This blackout has left commodity futures traders “flying blind,” relying on alternative indicators like open interest changes, ETF flows, and futures curve shapes to infer speculative trends. The absence amplifies risks of speculative crowding—where positions build excessively without oversight—potentially leading to sharper price reversals when reports resume.

Volatility

Overall market volatility has shown mixed effects: implied volatility has ticked up slightly due to uncertainty, but in some areas like bonds, it has actually decreased from a lack of data. Agricultural futures have been hit harder, with disruptions to USDA data releases causing supply chain delays and emotional, rumor-driven trading that heightens volatility

Instant Viewing/Download: Commitment of Traders Report – How to Use?

December Oats

December oats met the low percentage fourth downside PriceCount objective to the 2.85 area which suggests we may have come far enough to satisfy this phase of the bear move. At this point, if the chart can extend the recovery with two closes above the 3.015 October high, we would activate upside counts.

Daily Levels for Oct. 22nd, 2025

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

Find us on Trustpilot

Call Now

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon

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Overnight Edge, December Mini Dow, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on October 21st, 2025

Posted on October 20, 2025 by Cannon Operations

Where is the Edge?

edge

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument	S2	S1	Pivot	R1	R2
Gold (GC) — Dec (GCZ5)	4173.40	4285.40	4341.70	4453.70	4510.00
Silver (SI) — Dec (SIZ5)	49.49	50.65	51.24	52.40	52.99
Crude Oil (CL) — Nov (CLX5)	55.32	56.16	56.79	57.63	58.26
Dow Jones (YM) — Dec 2025	46087	46503	46733	47149	47379

Over the past few months, and especially in recent weeks, we’ve seen unusually large overnight moves. Some moves appear random, others reverse quickly, and some are driven by headlines such as tariff news. These dynamics have increased gap risk, reduced overnight liquidity, and produced frequent open-time dislocations.

Common question

Where is the edge?

Short answer

Trade the first 30 minutes and focus on short-term gap-fill or rejection setups.
Use same-day options when you expect a large directional move to limit tail risk and avoid being stopped out only to see the market move in your favor.
Trade spreads when relative strength diverges across instruments (for example, gold vs silver or mini-Dow vs ES).

Extended answer

I want to focus on the practical elements of trading like pre-market context, move behavior, market news correlation, liquidity, options limits, and whether to use mean reversion or momentum. I’ll also want to highlight key parts like risk management, stop placement, and position sizing. Planning should be direct with a simple checklist and no more than six sections. I should also consider using a relevant citation about tariff-related movements, but just one, and make sure it’s only placed where necessary. No framing or extra explanations.

Futures day-trading edge

You find edge by matching a repeatable hypothesis to the current market regime, then executing it with strict risk and execution rules.

Regime diagnosis (what the market is doing now)

Volatility regime: large overnight gaps and erratic premarket prints mean the market is in a news-driven, headline-sensitive volatility regime.
Catalyst profile: moves are often tied to macro headlines and tariff noise; those headlines create directional gaps that either persist into the session or sharply reverse at the open.
Liquidity profile: overnight liquidity is thin and fragmented, increasing slippage and fake outs at the open.

Reliable, tradeable edges you can use

Pre-open directional bias with size filter. Trade opens when overnight gap exceeds a threshold (e.g., 0.5% or X ticks) and pre-market order flow confirms (sustained prints, not one-off sweep).
Use reduced size and wider stops for gaps caused by headline noise.
Fade headline gap into first 30 minutes when structure is weakIf gap lacks follow-through volume and price fails to make a clean microstructure breakout, favor mean reversion to the first-tail or VWAP.
Trend-follow breakouts in high conviction regimeWhen overnight move is accompanied by aligned macro flow (rates, FX, commodities) and volume ramps into the open, follow momentum with a continuation plan.
Volatility arbitrage playsUse options or calendar spreads where available to sell realized volatility after spikes and buy protection around known headline windows.
Session-timing edgeTrade smaller and tighter in the first 15–30 minutes after the open; increase size after the market establishes structure (first clean high/low and confirmation).
Microstructure edge: limit vs market tacticsUse passive limit entries near structural levels and aggressive exits into liquidity. Avoid market entries into thin pre-open auction prints.

Concrete execution rules (checklist)

Pre-market checklist: identify gap size, top 3 headlines, correlated markets (bonds, FX, oil), and pre-open volume trend.
Entry rules: require either structural confirmation (higher high / lower low) or a mean-reversion setup with defined edge-to-risk ratio ≥ 2:1.
Sizing: reduce notional by 25–50% on headline-driven nights; increase only after two clean consecutive edges are realized.
Stops and targets: place stop where edge invalidates (clearly definable price level); scale out at predefined targets; never trade without a stop.
Slippage buffer: add tick buffer to stops and profit targets during thin liquidity opens.

How to test and keep the edge

Backtest regime-specific rules: label historical sessions by overnight gap size and headline events, test mean-reversion vs momentum rules separately.
Forward-test with small capital: run a two-week rolling simulator and log slippage, win rate, and expectancy.
Adaptive rules: codify a volatility threshold that switches you between momentum and fade strategies automatically.

Brief trade plan template

Hypothesis: (e.g., “Overnight tariff headline caused a 0.7% gap that lacks confirmatory volume; first 20 minutes will mean-revert to VWAP.”)
Entry: limit at VWAP + X ticks or on 1-minute reversal candle.
Stop: invalidation beyond the overnight high/low + slippage buffer.
Target: partial at VWAP, final at first structure level.
Size: 50% normal when gap driver = headline; full size only when macro alignment confirmed.

Be systematic: diagnose regime, pick the strategy that historically wins in that regime, enforce execution and risk rules, and iterate from measured data.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.

The recommendations contained in this blog are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.

Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

December Mini DOW

The December mini DJIA chart satisfied its second upside PriceCount objective earlier this month and corrected lower. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the 52041 area.

Daily Levels for Oct. 21st, 2025

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

Find us on Trustpilot

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon

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Less Data amidst Gov’t Shutdown, NEW WEBINAR, Dec. Crude Oil, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of October 20th, 2025

Posted on October 17, 2025 by Cannon Operations

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter

In Today’s Issue #1263

The Week Ahead – Govt. Shutdown = Less Data
Futures 101 – Recorded Webinar: Insight Into Futures Spreads
Hot Market of the Week – Dec. Crude Oil
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mini SP Swing Trading System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

data

Traders, much like the Federal Reserve Board, are dependent on data that, during a government shutdown is barely existent. 1 Fed Speaker next week as we move into the Fed Blackout period with 11 days to go before the next Rate announcement. According to the CME Fed watch tool, we have a 99% chance of another .25-point reduction in the bank lending rate to a 3.75-4.00 range.

Overnight margins have increased twice this week for the Precious Metals, Comex Gold and Silver margins are now $20,900 Initial each. When the margin rates get jacked up quickly due to high volatility and price, the trend tends to correct as affordability becomes an issue.

As for earnings reports? Next week we will see the numbers for Tesla, Netflix, Intel and IBM to name but a few.

The on again off again nature of Tariff news has created golden opportunities for breakouts in some markets, rangebound trades in others. The gold market exploded out of its range I have been writing about for months. One note on Gold, a very well-respected analyst is suggesting to cover your long positions in Gold with an oft used phrase “pigs get fat and hogs get slaughtered” as he sees a near term top in the gold market. Watch Crude oil as it broke down and out of its 60-65bb range and has been trading comfortably under the $60.00bbl mark.

The longer the range trade the harder and faster the breakout becomes.

The Continued volatility to come as next week as the markets have not been able to receive Gov’t data due to the ongoing shutdown that our politicians have imposed. Don’t be fooled, this is about politics NOT Policy. Additionally, markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts/ cessation, think Russia/Ukraine and what’s happening in international waters off the coast of Venezuela? Trade deals or no trade deals, China, India, Canada and Russia Also, remember that Mexico’s extension will end October 29.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

Earnings Next Week:

Mon. Quiet
Tue. Netflix, GE Aerospace, Coca-Cola
Wed. Tesla, IBM
Thu. Intel, T-Mobile
Fri. P&G,

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

Mon. Quiet
Tues. Waller 8:00am, Waller 2:30pm
Wed. Fed Blackout period
Thu. Begins
Fri

Economic Data week:

Mon. with the government shutdown, data will be suspended.

Watch the recorded webinar below where you’ll discover the powerful strategies professional traders use to capitalize on market opportunities while managing risk. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, this session will break down the essentials of spread trading, uncover actionable techniques, and show you how to navigate the futures market with confidence. Don’t miss this chance to learn from industry experts and take your trading skills to the next level

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Hot Market of the Week

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Dec. Crude Oil

December crude oil activated downside PriceCount objectives off the June high. The first count projects a possible slide to the $53 area which would require making a new contract low first. A trade below the early May reactionary low would formally negate the remaining unmet counts to the topside.

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus Upside ES Trading System

Markets Traded: Mini SP500 ES/EP

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $28,000

Developer Fee per contract: $175 Monthly Subscription

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Learn More & Detailed Results

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

Actual Monthly Performance

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

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Daily Levels for Oct 20th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

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Volatility Tips, December Crude Oil, Bollinger Bands & Parabolics, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on October 17th, 2025

Posted on October 16, 2025 by Cannon Operations

Volatility Pointers

volatility

The last few trading sessions we saw tremendous volatility across many markets.

Here are some ideas to explore during times like these:

1. You don’t have a crystal ball. To think you can buy an ES contract in this volatility and use a 2 point stop in hopes of making 20 points profit is a very low probability event…you would need to buy it at the PEREFECT time for this to happen. Point is, with higher volatility you need to use WIDER stops to give yourself a chance. That may mean using SMALLER trade size.

2. If you are able to, share your read with another trader, it may provide you with a better perspective just by sharing.

3. If you think there is room for a big move or what we call a “runner” – be prepared to for the pullbacks. Use multiple time frames to gain a better perspective and hang in there for the big move, if this is what you think can happen.

4. If you have enough risk capital, try to use multiple contracts, example buying 2 rather than 1. Taking profit on the first part of the position will help you relax and look at what the market is really telling you rather than what you would like it to say. It helps reduce both the fear and the greed.

5. “Plan your trade, trade your plan”

Again, these are just some short pointers, written quickly after today’s session in hopes of helping you when you face a similar situation.

How I like to Use Bollinger Bands and Parabolics for Trade Exits

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December Crude Oil

Daily Levels for Oct. 17th, 2025

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Economic Reports

U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Price Extremes: Gold, Silver, Crude Oil; December KC Wheat, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on October 16th, 2025

Posted on October 15, 2025 by Cannon Operations

Price Extremes

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General:

Day 15 of the U.S Government shutdown.

Stock Index Futures:

Dec. stock index futures returned to solid gains late today as markets remained alert over US-China trade tensions and amid hopes for interest rate cuts and strong quarterly earnings results from Wall Street banks. Traders have cemented bets on a rate cut later this month, and odds of a rate cut in December have jumped in recent days to around 96% according to the CME Group FedWatch tool:

Prices Metals:

It’s the broken record metals report. Dec. gold futures rose to new all-time highs today – its 47^th new record of the year – trading up to $4,235.80/ounce intraday.

Alongside gold, Dec. silver rocketed up nearly $2.00/oz. today to set its own all-time record high, trading intraday up to $52.55/ounce. This after yesterday when the contract took out a 45-year-old record closing price of $48.70/ounce, during the time when the Hunt brothers tried to corner the market.

Prices Energies:

November crude oil futures have remained on their lows this week – with a new multi-month intraday low of $58.20/barrel on continued concerns about oversupply and the possible impact on demand of rekindled U.S.-China trade tensions – its fourth day in a row closing below $60/barrel.

Livestock:

Dec. live cattle and Jan. feeder cattle both closed little changed today and within pennies of their own all-time record high closing prices at the close of trading yesterday. Tight supplies and strong feeder markets pushed cash cattle higher and the futures markets followed suit. The supply of cattle has lingered at a near 75-year low, with the closure of the US-Mexico border to Mexican cattle imports further constraining an already tight supply.

December KC Wheat

December KC wheat satisfied its third downside PriceCount objective and reacted with a key reversal higher. It would be normal to get a mean reversion from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective phase, at least. If the chart can sustain further weakness, we are left with the low percentage fourth count to aim for in the $4.37 area. That we trade down to this level is a realistic target although we have traded that low just 5 years ago.

Daily Levels for Oct. 16th, 2025

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Economic Reports

U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Options Trading, All Time Highs for Gold/Silver, Spread Trading Webinar TOMORROW, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on October 15th, 2025

Posted on October 14, 2025 by Cannon Operations

Volatility – New All Time High on Gold, Silver!

Learn How to hedge utilizing Options

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

options

Option Hedging 201

This fall, some markets have exceeded upside expectations, Examples include Equities, Livestock, Precious Metals, Coffee and Cocoa.

If you are a long-term investor of Gold, Gold ETF’s Gold Futures and want to or need to protect your investments I put together, for the second time this year, with a few tweaks, Option strategies to protect your downside risk.

You can use these for any market with liquid options.

These are not dollar for dollar coverage strategies, However, I have included pros and cons as I did previously, to help you determine suitability given your personal risk assessment.

Read the rest along with specific examples and charts.

Instant Viewing/Download: Hedging with Options Cheat Sheet

SPECIAL WEBINAR Tomorrow- limited space

Ever got stopped out on a trade just to see the market goes back in your direction??

Perhaps it’s time to learn about spread trading?

Join us for an exclusive webinar on “Futures Spread Trading,” where you’ll discover the powerful strategies professional traders use to capitalize on market opportunities while managing risk. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, this session will break down the essentials of spread trading, uncover actionable techniques, and show you how to navigate the futures market with confidence. Don’t miss this chance to learn from industry experts and take your trading skills to the next level—reserve your spot today!

This is the second in a series of four episodes!

Date & Time

Oct 15, 2025 1:30 PM Central

Register Today – Space is Limited!

December Canadian Dollar

The December Canadian Dollar satisfied its second downside PriceCount objective. Fuel is now behind to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective rise. If the chart can sustain further downside, the third count would project a possible slide to the 0.6967 area.

Daily Levels for Oct. 15th, 2025

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Economic Reports

U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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or wherever you listen to podcasts!

Volatility Tuesday! All-time Highs on Gold, December Cocoa, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on October 14th, 2025

Posted on October 13, 2025 by Cannon Operations

Volatility – New All Time High on Gold!

volatility

The last few trading sessions we saw tremendous volatility across many markets.

What we witnessed last night and during today’s session reminded me of the markets when COVID first broke out and we saw limit moves across the board.

The moves down Friday on equities, metals and other markets and then the HUGE GAP open yesterday on the Sunday afternoon re-open were a bit SCARY to be honest but also present some large potentials as well.

New All-time highs on gold!!

Here are some ideas to explore during times like these:

1. You don’t have a crystal ball.

To think you can buy an ES contract in this volatility and use a 2 point stop in hopes of making 20 points profit is a very low probability event…you would need to buy it at the PEREFECT time for this to happen. Point is, with higher volatility you need to use WIDER stops to give yourself a chance. That may mean using SMALLER trade size.

2. If you are able to,

share your read with another trader,

it may provide you with a better perspective just by sharing.

3. If you think there is room for a big move or what we call a “runner” –

be prepared to for the pullbacks.

Use multiple time frames to gain a better perspective and hang in there for the big move, if this is what you think can happen.

4. If you have enough risk capital, try to use multiple contracts, example buying 2 rather than 1. Taking profit on the first part of the position will help you relax and look at what the market is really telling you rather than what you would like it to say. It helps reduce both the fear and the greed.

5. “Plan your trade, trade your plan”.

Again, these are just some short pointers, written quickly after today’s session in hopes of helping you when you face a similar situation.

December Cocoa

December cocoa extended its break into a new low where the chart is satisfying its third downside PriceCount objective. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade, at least. From here, IF the chart can sustain further weakness with another leg down, we are left with the low percentage fourth count to aim for to the 3647 area, consistent with a test of the contract low.

Daily Levels for Oct. 14th, 2025

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

Find us on Trustpilot

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter

In Today’s Issue #1263

The Week Ahead – FOMC Week!

Futures 101 – Trading Psychology Course

Hot Market of the Week – Nov. Feeder Cattle

Broker’s Trading System of the Week – MICRO NQ Swing Trading System

At-a-Glance Levels

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Get An Edge With the Trading Psychology Course

“You must understand that there is more than one path to the top of the mountain.”- Miyamoto Musashi, A Book of Five Rings: The Classic Guide to Strategy

Many experienced traders say that the stiffest challenge you’ll face in becoming a futures trader is conquering your own psyche. Why? Because losing is part of trading, and people hate to lose.

Hot Market of the Week

November Feeder Cattle

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus Upside ES Trading System

Daily Levels for Oct 27th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

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Enhance Your Edge with Algorithmic Precision

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Enhance Your Edge with Algorithmic Precision

Take the guesswork out of your trading decisions…

✅ Identify possible high-probability setups

✅ Manage risk with precision

✅ Streamline complex analysis into clear, actionable signals

December Soymeal

And that’s a December Soymeal projection for you!

Daily Levels for Oct. 24th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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What You Need to Know Before Trading Futures Tomorrow!

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

General:

Stock Index Futures:

Tomorrow: Intel

Metals:

Energies:

Dec – March Corn Spread

Daily Levels for Oct. 23rd, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Govt. Shut Down & Commitment of Traders Reports

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Current 2025 Government Shutdown:

Weekly Released Commitment of Traders

Risk of Delay/Absence

Threat of Insight Void

Blackout

Volatility

December Oats

Daily Levels for Oct. 22nd, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Where is the Edge?