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Trading Levels


Seasonality in Futures Trading 2.21.2018

February 20th, 2018 Filed under Future Trading News, Futures Trading | Comment (0)

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Seasonal Futures Trading

There are seasonal commodity trends that may reoccur within the futures market. This could help guide traders and build a plan for a seasonal futures trading strategies.

Trading Commodity Seasonal Patterns

Every calendar year there are different seasons. It is how we plan our lives. Weather is the first to come to mind, but there are holidays, sports, shopping and many more that help break up the monotony of our day to day patterns. The commodities market is no different. Just as you use a calendar to plan and differentiate Thanksgiving from Opening Day in baseball, you can use the same calendar to blueprint possibly when wheat futures will be high and copper prices low. Traders can use these seasonal patterns to their advantage because it allows a certain degree of predictability of future price movements, rather than being bombarded by an endless stream of often contradictory market noise. Now of course there are other factors too numerous to list that can affect the futures markets, but certain conditions and events reoccur at annual intervals and help traders anticipate where the market is headed.

Seasonality of Futures

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Important Market Report Tomorrow – CPI 2.15.2018

February 14th, 2018 Filed under Future Trading News, Futures Trading | Comment (0)

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Monthly Metals Update
  • Record 3rd highest Gold futures volume day of 698,050 lots on January 25.
  • Platinum futures OI record of 92,277 contracts set on January 31.
  • Copper futures volumes continue to grow, up 55% YoY. Record 2nd highest Copper futures volume day of 260,330 lots on January 16.
  • U.S. Midwest Domestic Hot-Rolled Coil Steel (CRU) futures (HRC) set a monthly volume record in January of 10,435 lots (208,700 short tons), up 81% YoY.

READ REPORT

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Important Market Report Tomorrow – CPI 2.14.2018

February 13th, 2018 Filed under Future Trading News, Futures Trading | Comment (0)

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CPI report tomorrow early morning, will be watched closely by traders.
 

MARKET PLACE WRAP-UP

Interest Rates

Hedge Funds’ Biggest Short in Bonds Faces Make-or-Break Moment

(Bloomberg) — Hedge funds and other large speculators are more convinced than ever that the 2018 bond-market rout will resume in the days ahead.

The group, known for trading on momentum, boosted short bets in 10-year Treasury futures to a record 939,351 contracts, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data through Feb. 6. That means the violent market moves on Feb. 5, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered an unprecedented drop and 10-year yields fell almost 14 basis points, weren’t enough to dissuade wagers that rates are headed higher. The next gut-check comes Wednesday, with the latest read on consumer prices.

Speculators’ positioning matters because it can push momentum to extremes, and can serve as a contrarian indicator since these traders are among the quickest to switch directions when prices turn against them. By contrast, longer-term holders like asset managers are seen as more likely to stay the course. Their net long in 10-year futures is the highest since October 2015.

The question facing Treasuries traders throughout the 2018 selloff is whether something is truly different this time that will push yields ever higher. After all, asset managers have been adding to long positions for months, and 10-year yields just keep setting multi-year highs. At the very least, investors may be recalibrating to a higher yield range.

The speculators’ stance “signals people think the 10-year has more value at 3-plus percent than at 2.85 percent,” said Ben Emons, head of credit portfolio management at Intellectus Partners LLC. “Anecdotal evidence suggests more pent-up demand for duration at 3 percent, especially by long-only players.”

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Volatile Markets – Be Careful!! Grains Weather Updates…. 2.09.2018

February 8th, 2018 Filed under Future Trading News, Index Futures | Comment (0)

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Dryness Extensive Across Southern Plains Wheat Belt

Moisture levels have remained very low across the majority of the hard red wheat belt in the central Plains throughout the winter, with moderate drought now widespread across eastern Colorado into central Oklahoma, and severe to extreme drought located in southern Kansas, Oklahoma, and much of central and northwestern Texas (see map below).

The outlook for the next few weeks shows an upturn in moisture across the northern Plains, with Colorado and Nebraska likely to see some notable improvements in moisture in the form of snowfall. Meanwhile, moisture receipts will likely remain below normal across south central Kansas into west central Oklahoma and northwestern Texas. While moisture needs this time of year are very low for wheat as it remains in dormancy, an upturn in moisture will be critical for these areas once it emerges from dormancy.

However, a drier pattern is expected to continue across the majority of the region in March, which will likely result in some significant stress as spring crop growth resumes. An upturn in rains is possible across the heart of the hard red wheat belt in April, though, which should begin to improve moisture supplies and crop conditions. The rains will be critical to prevent substantial yield reductions for the wheat crop.

By: Don Keeney
Senior Ag Meteorologist
Radiant Solutions  Read More with charts and other data at: http://pages.cmegroup.com/index.php/email/emailWebview

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CME Raises Margins on Stock Indices 2.08.2018

February 7th, 2018 Filed under Future Trading News, Index Futures, Indices | Comment (0)

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With the recent volatility the CME have raised some of the overnight margins for stock index futures.

Most of our clients enjoy $500 daytrading margins for the contracts below, depending on the platform and in rare cases market conditions. Few of the trading platforms will use % of overnight margins and/or  if you plan on holding positions more than intraday than note below:

ES was $5,555 –> now $6,105

NQ, $5,720 –> $6,380

YM, $4,620 –> $5,280

RTY, $3,245 –> $3,630

NKD, $4,565 –> $5,280

BE CAREFUL!! THESE ARE NOT “REGULAR OR NORMAL TIMES”

Plan your trade, trade your plan and ALWAYS try to asses the risk/ reward ratio you are about to trade.

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