Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

Triple Witching Friday; Powerful Market Shift! 3 Crucial Facts About Triple Witching Friday

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Triple Witching!

triple witching

Triple Witching tomorrow!

Stock Index March contracts (i.e., the E-mini and Micro S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones and Russell 2000.) expire Friday, March 21st (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any March futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.

Triple Witching!

FRONT MONTH IS NOW JUNE, the symbol is M25, example for MICRO mini SP is MESM25

Things to know about Triple Witching

A “triple witching,” is NOT without risk for holders of futures and futures option contracts.

A triple witching is the simultaneous expiration of stock options, index futures, and index futures options that occurs four times a year.

The first triple witching of 2025 will take place this Friday. Futures Stock indices and futures Options cease to allow trading at the opening bell of the Cash Stock market and settle, NOT to the final traded price at that time but, at a fixed settlement price based on where all the stocks making up the index have opened, this becomes the cash settled price for those contracts not offset prior to the trading halt.

Triple Witching!

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Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a basket of 24 commodities spread across energy, grains, softs, livestock, industrial and precious metals. The weekly chart has developed a 2-year sideways range of trade. IF the chart can break out to the topside, there are upside PriceCount objectives in place which suggest that this index would have significant potential to run.

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Chart above is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normalfor the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 21st, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC: Shocking Decision Just Sent Gold Soaring: 3 Big Reasons Why

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Market Highlights

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

The Day After FOMC

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FOMC Meeting Update  

The FOMC left interest rates unchanged today.  In language newly added to its policy statement, “Uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased.”  Surveys of consumers and businesses, corporate earnings, and financial markets, albeit “soft data,” have suggested that the economic ground may be shifting beneath our feet.  Last Friday, the University of Michigan’s preliminary survey of consumer sentiment for March sank for the third straight month, showing sharply lower expectations for the future – regardless of respondents’ party affiliations.  Warnings have percolated from airlines and retailers, i.e. Dollar General and Walmart, about underwhelming consumer demand.  Outplacement firm Challenger Gray & Christmas announced layoffs reached their highest levels since the summer of 2020, when the pandemic was in full force — and the highest level for the month of February since 2009. That’s all for the FOMC for now.

Metals:

Gold prices edged higher to hover near all-time highs on the heels of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s post announcement press conference.

Daily Levels for March 20th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Gold Surges to All-Time Record High of $3040 – 5 Key Signals, 7 Volatility Triggers Before the FOMC Decision

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Movers & Shakers – GOLD

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

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Movers and Shakers:  FOMC Meeting Tomorrow @ 1:00PM CDT

    Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely. Prepare for shocks on the tomorrow FOMC Rate decision but, more importantly, expect a roller coaster during the Chairman’s statement and Q and A 30 minutes to follow.

How gold is your portfolio? 

All time highs in Gold today. 3040.00 per troy ounce of Gold. We have all contract sizes, from 1 oz to 100 ounces of Gold.

Today was a subdued trading day for almost all of the high-volume products we trade compared to the past 30 days or so.

Waiting for FOMC rate decision?

GOLD

Here were today’s top headlines.

Updated: March 18, 2025 7:32 am

US Housing Starts and Building Permits Headline Recap

**US February Housing Starts: +11.2% to 1.501 mln units annualized rate; expected +1.0% to 1.38 mln

**US February Building Permits: -1.2% to 1.456 mln unit annualized rate; expected -2.2% to 1.45 mln

Updated: March 18, 2025 8:17 am

Federal Reserve US Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization Headline Recap

**Federal Reserve February US Industrial Production: +0.7%; expected +0.3%

**Federal Reserve February US Capacity Utilization: +0.5% to 78.2; expected 77.8%

**Federal Reserve January US Industrial Production revised: +0.3%; prior +0.5%

  • **Federal Reserve January US Capacity Utilization revised: 77.7%; prior 77.8%

Daily Levels for March 19th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Gold Surges to Record $2,974: Powerful Trends & Market Shifts in This Month’s Report

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Monthly Micro

Gold, Silver and Copper

Markets Report

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Highlights in this issue include:

  • Gold prices reach new high of $2,974/oz amid tariff fears and a weaker USD.
  • Silver prices down 2.4% MoM: weaker industrial demand concerns persist.
  • Copper prices gain 1.8% MoM, the third consecutive month of growth despite tariff uncertainty.
  • Micro Gold futures saw 21% MoM growth in February.

1-Ounce Gold futures see strong start: ADV reached 8,144 contracts in February.

READ FULL REPORT

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Daily Levels for March 18th, 2025

JUNE levels for stock index futures will be sent out tomorrow morning around the cash open!

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Currency & Stock Index Futures: Avoid Costly Mistakes with these 3 Critical Deadlines

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1234

  • Rollover
  • The Week Ahead – FOMC, Housing
  • Futures 102 – Can you handle Drawdowns??
  • Hot Market of the Week – May KC/ Chi Wheat Spread
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

currency

Currencies Last Trading Day & Stock Index rollover

Time to start trading June Stock Index futures like MESM25 and MNQM25.

Symbol for June is M.

Monday, March 17th is Last Trading Day for all currency futures contracts, except the Canadian Dollar (Last Trading Day for the Canadian Dollar is Tuesday, March 18th). Currency futures contracts are DELIVERABLE CONTRACTS. You need to exit ALL LONG and SHORT open positions or be required to deliver or take delivery of the ACTUAL NOMINAL VALUE of the respective futures contract, i.e. $12,500 Euros, or $12,500,000 Japanese Yen. DO NOT put your account is this position. Exit all March ‘25 currency futures. Start trading currency futures with the June ’25 futures contracts.

Friday, March. 21st is Last Trading Day for March stock index futures contracts, i.e., the E-mini S&P, E-mini NASDAQ, E-mini Dow Jones and their Micro relatives. These futures contracts will halt trading at 8:30 A.M., Central Time and are cash settled, meaning any remaining open positions will be offset/settled using a to-be-determined settlement price. It is recommended that all new positions be placed in the June ‘25 futures contracts as of this Sunday night’s opening of trading. Volume in the March ‘25 contracts will begin to drop off until their expiration Friday, March. 21th.

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

FOMC Week!

Indices traders roll to June, —M25

The Senate will vote today on a continuing resolution spending bill to keep the govt. open until Sept. 30. It must be on the Presidents desk by 11:59 pm EST to avoid a shut down, This may occur during market hours or after.

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to the potential for tariff implementations creating uncertainty in the marketplace. Therefore, increased volatility expectations.

Highlights next week will include Housing Data as well as the Wednesday Rate decision. Earnings reports continue to dwindle with 271 total reports while we are in the top of the 9th inning of earnings season, the reports will be impacting the indices much less than in past weeks Highlighted by many Chinese corp. reports. Finally, for Indices traders, contract rollover Monday. June will become the front month. M25. If you are on the new StoneX Platform, click on your current month tab at the top of your DOM or HOT to open the menu. Then slide down to Replace, now type in EPM25 if you are trading the Mini-S&P or ENQM25 for the Mini Nasdaq.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Quiet
  • Wed. Tencent
  • Thu. Micron, Nike
  • Fri. Quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.     Fed Blackout period
  • Tues.     Fed Blackout Period persists
  • Wed.     Fed Rate Decision 3/19/25 Chair Powell will Speak, 30 minutes after the rate decision.
  • Thu.      Last day of Fed Blackout period
  • Fri.       Williams 8:05 am CDT

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Empire State Mfg., NAHB Housing Market Index
  • Tue. Bldg. Permits, Housing Starts, Redbook, Industrial Production
  • Wed. EIA Crude Stocks, FOMC I.R. Decision 1:00 pm followed by Fed Presser 1:30 pm CDT
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, Existing Home Sales, EIA Nat Gas
  • Fri Quiet

Futures 102: System Traders: Can you handle the drawdowns?

Many investors may think, “I can handle drawdown”, but honestly you have no idea how much drawdown you can handle until you have been stuck in the eye of a number of your own personal drawdown storms.

While drawdown is a natural part of trading and investing, what does differ is how much drawdown each investor can mentally handle. As humans, we all ‘see’ the world differently. What appears as something normal to one person can appear completely disastrous to another. While a 10% portfolio drawdown could be extreme for one investor, the next investor may be able to trade through periods of 50% plus drawdown.

From the behavioral finance point of view, some of the main negative facts of the human brain related to trading are:

  1. The fact that weak traders tend to be reluctant to realize losses and quick to realize gains. They are more risk averse when dealing with profitable positions and more risk seeking when dealing with losses.
  2. The fact that weak traders make inconsistent and irrational economic decisions over the same scenario depending on how it is described.
  3. The fact that weak traders deals with positions as if they were expecting mean reversion of prices. They are expecting the price to return to a long term average. This is the principle that makes them think they are buying expensive positions on volatility breakout or trend following strategies.

It is out of the scope of this article to talk much more about this science, but I will just point that:

  1. Weak traders know nothing about behavioral finance, so they think that his gut feeling is right and base their decisions on his gut feeling.
  2. Smart traders knows about behavioral finance. A smart trader has already studied about this and trained himself to overcome this limitations.  At least they know how to deal with their brain to avoid most of the damage it can create on their trading accounts. The best traders knows even how to monetize from this herd behavior.

Are drawdown periods a bad thing?

 

In my opinion, they are not a bad thing, in fact I believe that drawdown periods are a very sane and good thing for any solid strategy. Drawdown periods are very efficient to shake out weak traders from the strategy while smarter traders can pick up their money (which is the name of the game after all).

The time that passes since the first equity high until we reach a new equity high is the drawdown period.

So a drawdown period has two dimensions:

  • The drawdown depth
  • The drawdown length

Most people mostly care about the drawdown depth as this is what is easier to see on back tests. But human the brain is much more affected by drawdown length. During live trading, it is easier to deal with a 10% drawdown for one week than with a 5% drawdown for five months.

  • Detailed statistical information about the strategy: Expected profit, expected drawdown, maximal drawdown depth and length, average win percentage, reward to risk ratio, …
  • Different scenarios and the actions to take (if any): intense and/or deep drawdown periods and what to do (or do nothing), whether to trade during Christmas time or summer time, whether to keep opened positions during weekends or not, what to do after a losing year (or do nothing), funding and withdrawing plan, …
  • A very clear worst case scenario: it is basically the “line in the sand” where we know that the strategy has lost it’s edge and something must be done (stop trading the strategy, adapting parameters, …). There are many ways to calculate it (double the max historical drawdown, using montecarlo simulations, using regression lines multiplied by x times the standard deviation on the equity curve, …). In the end it is a number. The important thing is to have it written in the trading plan.

When facing a problem that generates pain or panic such as a sudden deep drawdown, most of the time, when analyzed with rigor and care, the problem is not so important, and everything is within expected statistics. You will see that there were many periods in the past with similar characteristics.

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

May KC – Chicago Wheat Spread

The KC-Chicago wheat spread has resumed its rally into a new high. If the chart can sustain further strength, the second upside PriceCount projects a possible run to the 32-cent area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Intra Nasdaq

PRODUCT

Mini NASDAQ

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$20,000

COST

USD 85 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 17th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com 

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Volatility Warning: 3 Crucial Adjustments to Avoid Devastating Losses in High Volatility!

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Volatility Expands

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Volatility is high!!

Volatility alert: The “bands” are expanding, consider reducing trading size? Possibly trading MICROS?

Evaluating your stops and targets to make sure they adjust to volatility?

Daily Levels for March 14th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Future Trading Brokers

Futures trading is a complex and dynamic sector of the financial markets, requiring traders to navigate volatility, leverage, and strategic execution. While many traders master the basics, advanced futures traders often encounter unexpected challenges. In this article, we explore ten uncommon problems in trading futures and provide detailed, risk-assessed solutions. We will also examine why futures trading has been a cornerstone of global financial markets and how Cannon Trading Company, a legacy commodity brokerage firm based in Los Angeles since 1988, has successfully weathered decades of market innovation.

  1. Latency Arbitrage Risks in High-Frequency Trading

  2. Problem: Even sophisticated futures traders underestimate how milliseconds of latency can impact execution in high-frequency trading (HFT). Certain firms exploit minor discrepancies in price feeds, engaging in latency arbitrage against slower participants.

    Solution: Traders should utilize direct market access (DMA) with co-located servers near exchanges to reduce execution time.

    Risk Assessment: While co-location fees can be high, the alternative—being consistently front-run by faster traders—can lead to significantly larger financial losses over time.

    Why This Solution? Compared to conventional retail brokerage solutions, DMA provides superior execution speeds and minimizes the risk of adversarial HFT strategies exploiting slower market orders.

  1. Over-Optimization in Algorithmic Trading

  2. Problem: Traders using algorithmic strategies often curve-fit their models to historical data, leading to poor real-world performance.

    Solution: Implement walk-forward analysis and Monte Carlo simulations to test robustness against unseen market conditions.

    Risk Assessment: Over-reliance on historical data increases drawdown risk. Diversifying strategy inputs can mitigate failures in live markets.

    Why This Solution? Unlike standard backtesting, walk-forward analysis accounts for evolving market structures, reducing reliance on outdated data patterns.

  1. Misinterpreting Order Flow in Thin Markets

  2. Problem: Many futures traders misjudge liquidity in thinly traded contracts, leading to unexpected price slippage.

    Solution: Use iceberg orders and volume-weighted average price (VWAP) algorithms to execute large positions more efficiently.

    Risk Assessment: While VWAP orders can prevent market impact, improper execution timing can still lead to adverse selection.

    Why This Solution? Compared to manual execution, VWAP minimizes slippage in illiquid futures markets, ensuring better entry and exit efficiency.

  1. Neglecting Cross-Exchange Settlement Risks

  2. Problem: Traders using multiple futures trading brokers across exchanges sometimes fail to account for cross-exchange margin calls.

    Solution: Consolidate accounts with a prime futures broker that offers centralized risk assessment.

    Risk Assessment: Single brokerage consolidation increases counterparty risk, but decentralized positions create exposure to conflicting margin policies.

    Why This Solution? Prime brokerage mitigates liquidity fragmentation, reducing inefficiencies associated with collateral management.

  1. Hidden Costs in E-Mini Futures Trading

  2. Problem: Advanced traders often overlook exchange fees, data costs, and hidden liquidity provider markups when trading e-mini futures.

    Solution: Utilize a cost-analysis dashboard from a futures trading broker that provides transparency on fees.

    Risk Assessment: A trader might reduce cost-per-trade but risk losing access to critical order execution tools from premium platforms.

    Why This Solution? Full cost visibility allows better strategy refinement, optimizing profitability over time.

  1. The Fallacy of Static Hedging Strategies

  2. Problem: Many futures traders assume static hedging (e.g., long S&P 500 futures against short crude oil futures) will always perform consistently.

    Solution: Utilize dynamic delta hedging to adjust exposure as volatility fluctuates.

    Risk Assessment: Dynamic hedging requires frequent adjustments, increasing transaction costs.

    Why This Solution? Unlike static hedging, dynamic approaches account for changing market correlations, preventing unexpected losses.

  1. Unexpected Margin Call Liquidity Gaps

  2. Problem: Traders sometimes find themselves liquidated at extreme prices due to margin calls during low-liquidity periods.

    Solution: Implement preemptive margin buffer strategies and monitor overnight funding conditions.

    Risk Assessment: Holding excess capital reduces leverage efficiency but prevents forced liquidation at unfavorable prices.

    Why This Solution? Unlike reactive capital injections, preemptive margin buffers safeguard against adverse execution.

  1. Algorithmic Spoofing and Market Manipulation Risks

  2. Problem: Spoofing—placing fake orders to manipulate prices—can create deceptive liquidity illusions.

    Solution: Use proprietary spoof-detection indicators and confirm trades with time-and-sales analysis.

    Risk Assessment: False positives can lead to over-cautious trading, reducing profit opportunities.

    Why This Solution? Unlike conventional volume analysis, spoof-detection tools actively filter out manipulative activity.

  1. Execution Disruptions from Exchange Halts

  2. Problem: Circuit breakers and exchange halts can trap traders in highly leveraged positions.

    Solution: Diversify execution venues and employ hedge orders in correlated markets.

    Risk Assessment: Spreading orders across exchanges increases counterparty exposure, requiring careful counterparty risk management.

    Why This Solution? A multi-venue approach ensures continued execution flexibility, reducing exposure to exchange-specific disruptions.

  1. The Illusion of Automated Trading Autonomy

  2. Problem: Traders often assume once an algorithm is deployed, it requires little oversight.

    Solution: Employ real-time risk monitoring with automated trade kill-switch mechanisms.

    Risk Assessment: Kill-switches may occasionally halt profitable trades, but they prevent catastrophic automation failures.

    Why This Solution? Unlike passive oversight, active monitoring ensures rogue algorithms don’t cause unchecked losses.

Why Futures Trading Has Thrived for Centuries

Futures trading has been a fundamental part of global financial markets because it provides essential functions—price discovery, hedging, and liquidity. From the early rice futures exchanges in 18th-century Japan to modern electronic markets, futures have enabled risk transfer between producers, speculators, and hedgers. Despite technological advances, the core principles of futures trading remain intact: efficient risk management and speculative opportunities.

Cannon Trading Company: A Legacy Futures Brokerage

Established in 1988, Cannon Trading Company has endured decades of market evolution through innovation and deep market expertise. As one of the longest-standing futures trading brokers in Los Angeles, Cannon Trading provides advanced trading tools, superior risk management solutions, and comprehensive brokerage services. By adapting to technological advancements while maintaining a strong client focus, Cannon Trading has remained a reliable partner for professional traders navigating the ever-changing landscape of futures trading.

Understanding and mitigating uncommon trading challenges can significantly enhance a futures trader’s success. By implementing advanced solutions tailored to each issue, traders can optimize performance and reduce risk. As evidenced by firms like Cannon Trading Company, longevity in the futures trading industry is achieved through adaptability, transparency, and an unwavering commitment to innovation.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

 

 

Standard and Poor 500’s Brutal 10% Drop: Is a Rebound or a Bigger Crash Coming?

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Markets Highlights

by

Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Standard and Poor 500 Futures: Market Next Move?

standard and poor 500

It was only three weeks ago that the March E-mini Standard and Poor 500 futures contract hit an all-time high.  Markets have been dealt a blow by growth and recession fears, the unpredictability of trade policy, and risks to sector-wide investment and spending.

Whether it’s a good buying opportunity or another growl towards a bear market is still up for debate, the Standard and Poor 500 index futures contract fell into correction territory yesterday, registering a decline of 10% in the span of less than a month.  While the Standard and Poor 500 futures contract trimmed some of the losses, big questions are still swirling over what lies ahead. The Trump administration is attempting to engineer a long-term structural change to the U.S. economy.  The reality of that goal is hotly debated, but it is no doubt taking a toll on the short-term animal spirits that enveloped the market since November.

Here’s a 10-point checklist that will determine the market’s future trajectory:

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Daily Levels for March 13th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Standard and Poor 500 Futures

The Standard and Poor 500 futures contract is one of the most actively traded financial instruments in the world. Often referred to as S&P 500 futures contracts, these derivatives allow investors to speculate on the future price movements of the Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures and hedge their portfolios against market volatility. As the cornerstone of futures trading, futures on S&P 500 are widely used by institutions, hedge funds, and individual traders alike.

The Rise of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

The S&P 500 future didn’t emerge in a vacuum. The foundation for this contract was laid in the early 1980s when financial markets began adopting electronic and index-based trading instruments. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) pioneered the introduction of futures trading based on stock indices, with the launch of futures on S&P 500 in 1982. This marked a watershed moment for the industry, making the SPX index futures an essential trading tool.

Before the introduction of these contracts, traders and institutional investors had limited avenues to hedge against broad market movements without individually trading numerous stocks. The advent of futures SP500 contracts revolutionized risk management and speculation by providing a single, liquid instrument that mirrored the broader market.

Key Figures Behind the Innovation

Several key figures played pivotal roles in developing and popularizing the S&P 500 futures contract. Among them was Leo Melamed, chairman of the CME, who spearheaded the development of financial futures. Working alongside economist Richard Sandor, often dubbed the “father of financial futures,” Melamed championed the concept that stock indices could be effectively used as underlying assets for future trading.

Richard Dennis, a legendary futures trader, also had a profound impact on the early adoption of futures on S&P 500. Dennis, known for his famous “Turtle Traders” experiment, was one of the earliest speculators to see the potential in index-based futures trading. Alongside traders like Paul Tudor Jones, who used Standard and Poor’s 500 futures to hedge his equity exposure, these pioneers helped cement the contract’s place in the financial ecosystem.

Forgotten Terms and Trading Techniques

Many traders today overlook some of the early terminology and trading techniques used in futures trading for stock indices. Terms such as “program trading,” “delta hedging,” and “synthetic futures” were once part of the daily jargon among traders.

  • Program Trading: Introduced in the 1980s, this involved using computer algorithms to execute large buy or sell orders in futures SP500 contracts.
  • Delta Hedging: A strategy used to manage risk by offsetting price fluctuations in the S&P 500 future through options.
  • Synthetic Futures: Created using a combination of options to mimic the price movements of SPX index futures.

Notable Trades and Case Studies

One of the most famous trades in Standard and Poor’s 500 futures history occurred during the 1987 Black Monday crash. Large institutional traders employed portfolio insurance, a strategy involving selling futures on S&P 500 to hedge against falling stock prices. However, this strategy exacerbated the downturn, leading to a record 22% drop in the market.

Another significant case study involves the 2008 financial crisis. During this period, hedge funds and proprietary trading firms leveraged futures SP500 to hedge against credit defaults. Traders such as John Paulson and Michael Burry made billions betting against subprime mortgage securities while managing risk through S&P 500 futures contracts.

Risks Associated with Trading Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

Despite their benefits, futures trading in the S&P 500 future market is not without risks. Some of the most significant risks include:

  • Leverage Risk: Because futures trading involves significant leverage, traders can experience amplified gains or losses.
  • Market Volatility: Standard and Poor 500 futures are highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, geopolitical risks, and Federal Reserve policies.
  • Liquidity Risk: While SPX index futures are highly liquid, sudden market shocks can lead to slippage and unexpected losses.
  • Margin Calls: Traders must maintain sufficient margin in their accounts to avoid forced liquidations.

The Role of a Good Futures Broker

Navigating future trading successfully requires the right futures broker. This is where Cannon Trading Company excels. With decades of experience, Cannon Trading Company provides traders with access to high-performance trading futures platforms, professional guidance, and a robust regulatory standing. Their commodity brokerage services cater to traders of all experience levels, offering:

  • Top-tier Trading Platforms: Access to cutting-edge tools for futures trading e mini futures and micros futures.
  • 5-Star Ratings on TrustPilot: A testament to their superior customer service and reliability.
  • Comprehensive Educational Resources: Helping traders understand what is futures trading and how to navigate the complexities of futures SP500 markets.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Ensuring transparency and adherence to industry best practices.

The Standard and Poor 500 futures contract has cemented itself as an indispensable financial instrument for traders and institutional investors alike. Its evolution from an innovative financial tool in 1982 to a globally traded contract has been marked by influential figures, technological advancements, and historic market events. While futures trading offers immense potential, understanding the risks, strategies, and market nuances is crucial for success.

For traders looking to excel in futures on S&P 500, choosing the right futures broker is critical. Cannon Trading Company stands out with its top-tier commodity brokerage services, commitment to client success, and a range of powerful trading platforms. Whether engaging in futures SP500, S&P 500 futures contracts, or micros futures, partnering with an experienced broker like Cannon Trading Company can make all the difference in achieving trading success.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572(International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

The High-Stakes Crude Oil & CPI Report: 3 Critical Signals for Market Movers

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Crude Oil

crude oil

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

CPI and EIA Petroleum Stocks

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Prepare for shocks, on CPI and Stocks.

CPI Tomorrow before the Cash Open 7:30 am CST

Updated: March 11, 2025, 12:20 pm

US February consumer price index (CPI) data is forecast by analysts up +0.3% month-to-month, which compares to the previous month’s +0.5%. Core CPI on monthly terms is expected +0.3% in February compared to the prior month’s +0.4%. The data will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning. CPI on annualized terms is forecast up +2.9% from the year ago month, the core year-over-year figure is expected up +3.2%.

EIA Crude Oil Inventories Tomorrow

EIA Weekly Petroleum Stocks Estimates for Wednesday, March 12 at 9:30 AM CT

in million barrels per day (mln bpd)

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  CPI, EIA Crude Inventories, Beige Book

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Daily Levels for March 12th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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