Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

Standard and Poor 500 Futures

The Standard and Poor 500 futures contract is one of the most actively traded financial instruments in the world. Often referred to as S&P 500 futures contracts, these derivatives allow investors to speculate on the future price movements of the Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures and hedge their portfolios against market volatility. As the cornerstone of futures trading, futures on S&P 500 are widely used by institutions, hedge funds, and individual traders alike.

The Rise of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

The S&P 500 future didn’t emerge in a vacuum. The foundation for this contract was laid in the early 1980s when financial markets began adopting electronic and index-based trading instruments. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) pioneered the introduction of futures trading based on stock indices, with the launch of futures on S&P 500 in 1982. This marked a watershed moment for the industry, making the SPX index futures an essential trading tool.

Before the introduction of these contracts, traders and institutional investors had limited avenues to hedge against broad market movements without individually trading numerous stocks. The advent of futures SP500 contracts revolutionized risk management and speculation by providing a single, liquid instrument that mirrored the broader market.

Key Figures Behind the Innovation

Several key figures played pivotal roles in developing and popularizing the S&P 500 futures contract. Among them was Leo Melamed, chairman of the CME, who spearheaded the development of financial futures. Working alongside economist Richard Sandor, often dubbed the “father of financial futures,” Melamed championed the concept that stock indices could be effectively used as underlying assets for future trading.

Richard Dennis, a legendary futures trader, also had a profound impact on the early adoption of futures on S&P 500. Dennis, known for his famous “Turtle Traders” experiment, was one of the earliest speculators to see the potential in index-based futures trading. Alongside traders like Paul Tudor Jones, who used Standard and Poor’s 500 futures to hedge his equity exposure, these pioneers helped cement the contract’s place in the financial ecosystem.

Forgotten Terms and Trading Techniques

Many traders today overlook some of the early terminology and trading techniques used in futures trading for stock indices. Terms such as “program trading,” “delta hedging,” and “synthetic futures” were once part of the daily jargon among traders.

  • Program Trading: Introduced in the 1980s, this involved using computer algorithms to execute large buy or sell orders in futures SP500 contracts.
  • Delta Hedging: A strategy used to manage risk by offsetting price fluctuations in the S&P 500 future through options.
  • Synthetic Futures: Created using a combination of options to mimic the price movements of SPX index futures.

Notable Trades and Case Studies

One of the most famous trades in Standard and Poor’s 500 futures history occurred during the 1987 Black Monday crash. Large institutional traders employed portfolio insurance, a strategy involving selling futures on S&P 500 to hedge against falling stock prices. However, this strategy exacerbated the downturn, leading to a record 22% drop in the market.

Another significant case study involves the 2008 financial crisis. During this period, hedge funds and proprietary trading firms leveraged futures SP500 to hedge against credit defaults. Traders such as John Paulson and Michael Burry made billions betting against subprime mortgage securities while managing risk through S&P 500 futures contracts.

Risks Associated with Trading Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

Despite their benefits, futures trading in the S&P 500 future market is not without risks. Some of the most significant risks include:

  • Leverage Risk: Because futures trading involves significant leverage, traders can experience amplified gains or losses.
  • Market Volatility: Standard and Poor 500 futures are highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, geopolitical risks, and Federal Reserve policies.
  • Liquidity Risk: While SPX index futures are highly liquid, sudden market shocks can lead to slippage and unexpected losses.
  • Margin Calls: Traders must maintain sufficient margin in their accounts to avoid forced liquidations.

The Role of a Good Futures Broker

Navigating future trading successfully requires the right futures broker. This is where Cannon Trading Company excels. With decades of experience, Cannon Trading Company provides traders with access to high-performance trading futures platforms, professional guidance, and a robust regulatory standing. Their commodity brokerage services cater to traders of all experience levels, offering:

  • Top-tier Trading Platforms: Access to cutting-edge tools for futures trading e mini futures and micros futures.
  • 5-Star Ratings on TrustPilot: A testament to their superior customer service and reliability.
  • Comprehensive Educational Resources: Helping traders understand what is futures trading and how to navigate the complexities of futures SP500 markets.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Ensuring transparency and adherence to industry best practices.

The Standard and Poor 500 futures contract has cemented itself as an indispensable financial instrument for traders and institutional investors alike. Its evolution from an innovative financial tool in 1982 to a globally traded contract has been marked by influential figures, technological advancements, and historic market events. While futures trading offers immense potential, understanding the risks, strategies, and market nuances is crucial for success.

For traders looking to excel in futures on S&P 500, choosing the right futures broker is critical. Cannon Trading Company stands out with its top-tier commodity brokerage services, commitment to client success, and a range of powerful trading platforms. Whether engaging in futures SP500, S&P 500 futures contracts, or micros futures, partnering with an experienced broker like Cannon Trading Company can make all the difference in achieving trading success.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572(International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

The High-Stakes Crude Oil & CPI Report: 3 Critical Signals for Market Movers

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Crude Oil

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Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

CPI and EIA Petroleum Stocks

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Prepare for shocks, on CPI and Stocks.

CPI Tomorrow before the Cash Open 7:30 am CST

Updated: March 11, 2025, 12:20 pm

US February consumer price index (CPI) data is forecast by analysts up +0.3% month-to-month, which compares to the previous month’s +0.5%. Core CPI on monthly terms is expected +0.3% in February compared to the prior month’s +0.4%. The data will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning. CPI on annualized terms is forecast up +2.9% from the year ago month, the core year-over-year figure is expected up +3.2%.

EIA Crude Oil Inventories Tomorrow

EIA Weekly Petroleum Stocks Estimates for Wednesday, March 12 at 9:30 AM CT

in million barrels per day (mln bpd)

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  CPI, EIA Crude Inventories, Beige Book

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Daily Levels for March 12th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Shocking Surge: 3 Powerful Ways to Survive Expanding Volatility in Trading

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Volatility Expands

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See below NQ 15 minute chart for an illustration of the expanded volatility, speed, size of moves etc.

The “bands” are expanding, consider reducing trading size? Possibly trading MICROS?

Evaluating your stops and targets to make sure they adjust to volatility?

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Daily Levels for March 11th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Oil Futures Contracts

The world of futures trading is vast, intricate, and, at times, obscured by layers of jargon and complexity. Among the most actively traded financial instruments in this domain are oil futures contracts, a crucial commodity derivative that influences global economies. Understanding these contracts—how they work, the potential risks, and their historical impacts—can make a critical difference for any futures trader seeking success.

What Are Oil Futures Contracts?

An oil futures contract is a legal agreement to buy or sell a specific amount of crude oil at a predetermined price at a future date. These contracts are standardized and traded on exchanges such as the CME Group’s New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). They allow producers and consumers to hedge against price fluctuations while providing opportunities for commodity brokerage firms and traders to speculate on oil price movements.

Oil futures come in various forms, including e-mini futures and micros futures, which allow for different contract sizes to cater to traders with varying risk appetites and capital.

10 Obscure Facts About Oil Futures Contracts That Traders Should Know

  1. The Market Has Negative Prices—And It Happened in 2020
    • On April 20, 2020, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for May delivery fell to -$37.63 per barrel. Due to an extreme storage shortage, holders of contracts were willing to pay others to take the contracts off their hands.
  2. Contango vs. Backwardation Can Make or Break a Trade
    • In futures trading, a market in contango means that future prices are higher than spot prices, often due to storage costs. In backwardation, future prices are lower, typically due to high demand. Understanding these states helps traders plan their strategies effectively.
  3. ‘Crack Spread’ Trading Exploits Oil Product Refining Margins
    • Futures traders use the “crack spread” strategy to hedge or profit from the difference between crude oil and refined products like gasoline or diesel. This spread reflects refinery margins and demand shifts.
  4. Oil Futures Contracts Expire Differently Than Stock Options
    • Unlike stock options, which expire monthly, oil futures have contract rollovers that can create price volatility around expiry dates. If a trader doesn’t roll over before expiry, they may have to accept physical delivery.
  5. Oil Price Moves Don’t Always Correlate With Global Events Immediately
    • While geopolitical events (like wars and OPEC decisions) impact oil, price reactions can be delayed due to hedging and algorithmic trading, making predictive trading challenging.
  6. Hedging by Airlines and Trucking Companies Influences Prices
    • Large-scale fuel consumers like airlines hedge fuel costs using oil futures contracts, impacting market dynamics. For example, Southwest Airlines famously saved billions by hedging its jet fuel costs during the 2000s.
  7. The ‘Tanker Trade’ Can Affect Oil Futures Prices
    • Oil traders sometimes buy physical crude oil and store it in tankers, waiting for higher prices in a contango market. This floating storage impacts oil futures market liquidity.
  8. Algorithmic Trading Dominates Oil Futures
    • High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms execute over 50% of futures trading volume, reacting to news, order flow, and price trends faster than human traders.
  9. Oil Futures Are Prone to Flash Crashes
    • Sudden price collapses (flash crashes) can happen due to electronic trading malfunctions or massive stop-loss triggers. One example occurred in 2018 when oil prices dropped 7% in a matter of minutes.
  10. ‘The Widowmaker’—A Dangerous Spread Trade
    • The natural gas futures spread trade between winter and summer contracts is nicknamed “The Widowmaker” because of its extreme volatility. Though unrelated to oil, it often moves in correlation, impacting oil-based hedging strategies.

Understanding the Risk Potential of Oil Futures Contracts

Like all futures trading, oil futures contracts come with significant risks:

  • Leverage Risk: Futures contracts use leverage, meaning traders can control large positions with relatively small amounts of capital. However, leverage magnifies both gains and losses.
  • Volatility Risk: Oil prices can swing wildly due to geopolitical events, natural disasters, or economic reports.
  • Margin Calls: If a trader’s position moves against them, brokers may issue margin calls, requiring additional capital to maintain the position.
  • Liquidity Risk: While oil futures are generally liquid, extreme events can lead to price gaps and limited exit opportunities.
  • Regulatory Risk: Governments and regulatory bodies can impose new rules affecting oil trading. For example, position limits or increased margin requirements can change market conditions suddenly.

Case Studies: Real-Life Oil Futures Trading Lessons

Case Study 1: The 2020 Oil Price Crash

As mentioned earlier, WTI crude oil prices went negative in April 2020. Some traders who failed to roll over their contracts in time were forced to take delivery of oil, with no storage options available. The lesson: Always have an exit strategy before contract expiry.

Case Study 2: The 2008 Oil Price Surge and Crash

In 2008, crude oil surged to an all-time high of $147 per barrel, only to plummet to $33 by year-end. Many traders who went long near the peak suffered devastating losses. The takeaway? Markets can remain irrational longer than traders can stay solvent.

Case Study 3: How a Small Trader Profited from the Crack Spread

A trader noticed gasoline refining margins widening and strategically went long on gasoline futures while shorting crude oil. This classic crack spread trade yielded substantial profits as gasoline prices rose.

Why Cannon Trading Company is a Great Choice for Trading Oil Futures

For both new and experienced traders, having the right futures broker is essential. Cannon Trading Company stands out for several reasons:

  • Wide Selection of Trading Platforms: Offering cutting-edge platforms like CQG, Rithmic, and Sierra Chart, Cannon Trading ensures traders have the best tools.
  • TrustPilot 5-Star Ratings: With consistently high ratings, Cannon Trading has built a reputation for reliability and client satisfaction.
  • Decades of Experience: Established in 1988, the firm has deep industry expertise in commodity brokerage and futures trading.
  • Regulatory Excellence: Fully compliant with NFA and CFTC regulations, Cannon Trading provides a secure and transparent trading environment.
  • Support for All Trader Levels: Whether trading e-mini futures, micros futures, or full-sized contracts, Cannon Trading accommodates all experience levels.

Trading oil futures contracts is a high-risk, high-reward endeavor requiring deep market knowledge. From forgotten trading techniques like the crack spread to modern risks such as algorithmic-driven volatility, futures traders must stay informed. Cannon Trading Company, with its best-in-class platforms, compliance, and experience, is an excellent choice for anyone looking to engage in future trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Future S&P 500

Trading futures, particularly the future S&P 500 contracts, offers substantial opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on market movements. However, beyond common concerns like leverage and margin requirements, advanced traders may face complex and lesser-known issues that can significantly impact their strategies. Understanding these uncommon problems is crucial for futures traders, and finding effective solutions requires experience, insight, and risk management expertise. This article outlines ten uncommon challenges in trading futures, ranking multiple solutions for each in terms of effectiveness and risk mitigation.

10 Uncommon Problems Advanced Traders May Not Know About in Trading S&P 500 Futures

  1. Hidden Liquidity Gaps in After-Hours Trading

  2. While the E-mini futures and other S&P 500 derivatives appear liquid during regular market hours, unexpected liquidity gaps occur in after-hours trading, leading to severe slippage.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Limit Orders – The best way to mitigate this risk is to strictly use limit orders, ensuring that trades execute at predetermined prices. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Market Depth with DOM (Depth of Market) Tools – This allows traders to see actual liquidity and adjust strategies accordingly. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Only During High Liquidity Periods – If possible, stick to high-liquidity windows (e.g., overlap between European and U.S. sessions). (Moderate risk)
    4. Utilize Market Makers or Algorithmic Trading Strategies – Some market makers provide liquidity in off-hours, but it requires algorithmic expertise. (High risk)
    1. Sudden Margin Requirement Changes

    Futures brokers and clearinghouses can change margin requirements unexpectedly, affecting capital allocation.

    Solutions:

    1. Keep Excess Margin in Reserve – The safest way to combat this is to maintain excess margin in accounts to withstand unexpected changes. (Low risk)
    2. Use Brokers with Predictable Margin Policies – Some futures trading brokers offer transparency in advance about margin shifts. (Moderate risk)
    3. Hedge Positions with Options – Using options to hedge S&P 500 futures can minimize exposure to margin increases. (High risk due to premium costs)
    1. Volatility-Induced Stop Hunting

    Some traders notice that during high volatility, stop orders are frequently triggered just before the price reverses.

    Solutions:

    1. Place Stops Beyond Key Levels – Understanding market psychology allows traders to place stops beyond resistance/support levels. (Low risk)
    2. Utilize Time-Based Exits Instead of Stop Orders – This prevents premature exits but requires discipline. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade with Larger Capital to Avoid Stops Altogether – High capital can weather swings but is capital-intensive. (High risk)
    1. Decoupling of S&P 500 Futures from the Index

    At times, futures prices diverge significantly from the underlying index.

    Solutions:

    1. Arbitrage with ETFs (SPY) or Other Instruments – Professional traders arbitrage these discrepancies for profit. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Premium/Discount Metrics on Bloomberg – Awareness of fair value premium can guide better entries. (Moderate risk)
    3. Avoid Trading During Key Economic Announcements – Futures prices often decouple during major news events. (High risk if mismanaged)
    1. Technical Failure of Trading Platforms

    Even with the best futures trading brokers, platform failures can occur during crucial moments.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Redundant Trading Accounts – Keeping accounts with multiple brokers mitigates risk. (Low risk)
    2. Automate Emergency Phone Orders with Broker Support – Calling a broker to execute trades manually during downtime can save losses. (Moderate risk)
    3. Use Cloud-Based Trading Over Locally Installed Software – Some traders rely on cloud platforms, but they still face latency issues. (High risk)
    1. Execution Delays During Flash Crashes

    High-frequency traders (HFTs) dominate the market, sometimes causing delays in execution.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Marketable Limit Orders – These ensure fast execution while controlling price slippage. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Order Flow Through Level II Data – Helps gauge when to enter/exit trades. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Away from Peak HFT Periods – Some traders avoid key HFT periods, but it limits trading opportunities. (High risk)
    1. Exchange Circuit Breaker Halts

    Trading halts due to extreme movements can trap traders in positions.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Hedging Strategies with Inverse ETFs – This helps mitigate loss during trading halts. (Low risk)
    2. Keep Cash Reserves for Post-Halt Trading – Allows capitalizing on post-halt movements. (Moderate risk)
    3. Preemptively Close Positions Before Expected Volatility – Difficult to time accurately. (High risk)
    1. Frontrunning by Large Institutions

    Institutional traders often place massive orders before retail traders, shifting the market.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Iceberg Orders – Hides trade size from the market. (Low risk)
    2. Trade During Off-Peak Hours – Reduces exposure to large players. (Moderate risk)
    3. Follow Institutional Order Flow Analysis – Helps mimic large orders but is difficult. (High risk)
    1. Tax Complexity in Futures Trading

    Futures taxation (60/40 rule) can be confusing and impact net returns.

    Solutions:

    1. Work with a Tax Professional Specializing in Futures – Ensures correct tax handling. (Low risk)
    2. Utilize Tax-Efficient Trading Structures – Certain entities reduce tax burdens. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Through Tax-Advantaged Accounts – Limited accessibility for all traders. (High risk)
    1. Broker Insolvency Risk

    Not all futures trading brokers are financially stable, leading to potential fund losses.

    Solutions:

    1. Trade with Well-Capitalized Brokers like Cannon Trading – Choosing established brokers minimizes risks. (Low risk)
    2. Use Segregated Accounts for Funds – Reduces risk in case of broker collapse. (Moderate risk)
    3. Split Trading Capital Among Multiple Brokers – Adds complexity but mitigates single-point failures. (High risk)

The Legacy of Futures Trading and Cannon Trading Company

Futures trading has been an integral part of financial markets for centuries due to its role in hedging, speculation, and price discovery. The commodity brokerage sector has evolved, but firms like Cannon Trading Company, a premier futures broker since 1988, have consistently adapted to industry innovations. By prioritizing trader support, transparent execution, and compliance with NFA regulations, Cannon Trading remains a trusted name in futures trading. The firm’s resilience through market shifts, technological advances, and regulatory changes underscores why trading futures continues to be a cornerstone of global financial markets.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

⚠️ 5 Market Hazards Ahead – Soybean, Volatility, CPI & The Fed’s Blackout Shaking up Markets!

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

Soybean

March Soybean

In Today’s Issue #1233

  • Time Change
  • The Week Ahead – CPI, PPI, Fed Blackout
  • Futures 102 – Intro to Treasury Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – May July Beans Spread
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

USA Time Change!!

Final Week of Standard time in the U.S. “Spring Forward!” Begins Sunday, March 9th.

Advance your clocks 1 hour @ 2 A.M.

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Final Week of Standard time in the U.S. “Spring Forward!” Begins Sunday, March 9th.

Advance your clocks 1 hour @ 2 A.M.

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to the potential for tariff implementations creating uncertainty in the marketplace. Therefore, increased volatility expectations.

Highlights next week will also include CPI and PPI Wednesday and Thursday respectively prior to cash market open. No fed speakers as we enter the official “BlackOut” period. The next Fed Rate decision is do out the following week.

Earnings reports continue to dwindle with 302 total reports while we are in the top of the 9th inning of earnings season, the reports will be impacting the indices much less than in past weeks.

I am including the European carmakers as a benchmark. My belief is the market will be much more interested in the earnings of these companies in future quarters as bell weathers for potential tariff effects. Finally, for Indices traders, at the end of next week, Friday, this should be the last day you will want to trade the March contract. June will become the front month. M25.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Oracle post close
  • Tue. Volkswagen AG
  • Wed. Adobe post close, Porsche.
  • Thu.  Quiet
  • Fri. BMW

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.     Fed Blackout period
  • Tues.     until the day after
  • Wed.     the next rate announcement
  • Thu.     On Wednesday March 19th
  • Fri.       3/19/25 Chair Powell will Speak, 30 minutes after the rate decision.

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Redbook, Jolts, WASDE
  • Wed. CPI, EIA Crude Inventories, Beige Book
  • Thur. PPI, Initial Jobless Claims, EIA Nat Gas
  • Fri. Michigan Consumer Sentiment

Futures 102: Introduction to Treasuries

Course Overview

Central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve help shape short- and long-term economic growth by restricting or expanding the supply of money circulating in an economy. They do this through the use of debt obligations called treasuries — such as bills, notes and bonds – in which the government borrows money from the holder for a specified period of time. Because treasuries are viewed as being among safest of all investments, they can be in high demand.

Treasury futures offer one way to gain exposure without trading the individual securities themselves. Learn the basics behind trading Treasury futures, from the delivery process, contract specifications, key concepts like basis and Cheapest to Deliver (CTD) and more. Discover the different ways these contracts are used, from price discovery to risk management to profit speculation, and how they are intertwined with other financial markets like stocks and currencies.

 

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

Soybean Spread

May – July

The May – July soybean spread accelerated with a gap higher where it completed its second upside PriceCount objective off the February low. The chart is correcting and closed the gap. IF you can resume the rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the -9 area, which would be consistent with a challenge of the January spike reversal.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

The NZL automated trading system utilizes two main ALGOS in an attempt to identify either an early trend in the trading day and/or high percentage counter trend set ups.

The system is fully automated and runs between the hours of 4 AM central and 3:15 PM Central.

The model relies on volume charts rather than time charts.

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

COST

USD 199 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 10th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures

The Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures (commonly referred to as S&P 500 Futures Contracts) are among the most heavily traded derivatives in global markets. As a vital tool for hedging, speculation, and portfolio diversification, these contracts allow traders to take positions on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures before market opening and even when traditional stock exchanges are closed.

Traders and financial news consumers know the basics of futures on S&P 500, but there are many obscure facts, forgotten trading techniques, and historical trades that can enrich one’s understanding. Below, we delve into ten lesser-known facts about SPX Index Futures, examine real-world case studies, discuss risk potential, and explain why Cannon Trading Company is an exceptional brokerage for futures traders of all experience levels.

10 Obscure Facts About Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures

  1. The First S&P 500 Futures Contract Had a Different Underlying
    The S&P 500 Future was first launched on April 21, 1982, by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). However, the early contracts were not directly based on the S&P 500 Index but instead on a related basket of stocks. Over time, adjustments were made to better reflect the actual futures on S&P 500.
  2. The Notorious 1987 Crash and Circuit Breakers
    On October 19, 1987—Black Monday—the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures played a pivotal role in accelerating the crash. The market saw a 22.6% drop in one day, leading to the introduction of circuit breakers—automatic halts in futures trading e-mini futures to prevent catastrophic sell-offs.
  3. Trading Pit Hand Signals Still Exist
    While most of the trading today happens electronically, remnants of the old commodity brokerage system remain. Some veteran traders in Chicago and New York still use outdated hand signals to communicate, despite trading via electronic platforms.
  4. The “Fair Value” Calculation is a Game Changer
    SPX Index Futures prices do not always align with the underlying index due to interest rates, dividends, and arbitrage opportunities. Institutional traders monitor the fair value of the futures on S&P 500 to make strategic moves before market openings.
  5. Micro E-mini Futures Changed the Game
    The introduction of micros futures in 2019 made it easier for retail traders to enter the futures trading e-mini futures market. With contracts one-tenth the size of standard S&P 500 Futures Contracts, these new instruments opened up risk-managed access to one of the most liquid markets in the world.
  6. Hedging with Futures Prevented a 2008 Collapse
    During the 2008 financial crisis, firms that effectively used futures on S&P 500 for hedging avoided catastrophic losses. Goldman Sachs, for example, managed to mitigate stock losses by shorting S&P 500 Futures Contracts, preserving billions in value.
  7. The Dark Side of Market Manipulation
    In 2010, the Flash Crash occurred due to high-frequency trading and manipulation of SPX Index Futures. A single trader, Navinder Singh Sarao, used a technique called “spoofing” to move markets with fake orders, temporarily crashing major indices.
  8. The Expiration of Futures Contracts Can Cause Mini Flash Crashes
    S&P 500 Futures Contracts expire quarterly, leading to heightened volatility known as “quadruple witching” when options and futures on indices and stocks all expire simultaneously.
  9. The Role of the VIX in Trading Futures SP500
    The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), also known as the “fear gauge,” directly influences futures on S&P 500. Traders use the VIX to predict upcoming market swings and hedge against downside risks.
  10. Historical Anomalies Can Repeat
    Market behavior during futures trading e-mini futures often follows historical patterns. Studying past crashes and recoveries in SPX Index Futures can provide traders with predictive insights, such as the dramatic rebounds after the COVID-19 crash in 2020.

Risk Potential in Trading Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

While trading futures can be highly rewarding, it is also fraught with risk. Below are some of the key dangers:

  • Leverage Risk: Futures trading involves substantial leverage, meaning that small price movements can result in massive gains or catastrophic losses.
  • Liquidity Risk: Although S&P 500 Futures Contracts are highly liquid, unexpected geopolitical events can cause slippage, making execution difficult.
  • Overnight Exposure: Unlike stocks, SPX Index Futures trade 24/5, making traders susceptible to overnight movements and global events.
  • Margin Calls: Traders using excessive margin in futures trading e-mini futures can face unexpected liquidation.
  • Psychological Pressure: Trading S&P 500 Futures Contracts requires discipline, as impulsive decisions in volatile conditions can wipe out accounts.

Why Cannon Trading Company is a Great Brokerage for S&P 500 Future Trading

With decades of expertise in commodity brokerage, Cannon Trading Company is a premier destination for traders seeking top-tier platforms and support. Here’s why:

  • Unparalleled Trading Platforms: Cannon Trading offers a selection of the industry’s best platforms for trading futures, including NinjaTrader, TradeStation, and MultiCharts.
  • Regulatory Excellence: The firm has an exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies such as the National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
  • 5-Star Ratings on TrustPilot: With consistent top ratings, traders trust Cannon Trading for its reliability and customer service.
  • Education for All Levels: Whether you’re a novice learning what is futures trading or a professional seeking futures broker support, Cannon provides extensive training materials.
  • Micro Futures Accessibility: With micro futures trading e-mini futures, traders can enter the market at lower capital thresholds while maintaining strong risk management.

Understanding Standard and Poor’s 500 Futures requires more than just technical knowledge. Traders who grasp the market’s historical anomalies, obscure trading techniques, and risk factors can navigate volatility with confidence.

By trading with a top-tier futures broker like Cannon Trading Company, traders gain access to elite platforms, regulatory protection, and expert guidance. Whether you’re trading standard S&P 500 Futures Contracts or experimenting with micros futures, Cannon Trading ensures that traders of all levels are equipped for success.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

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Shocking Risks of Non-Farm Payrolls—Are You Prepared for the Volatility?

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Non-Farm Payrolls

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Tomorrow

Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow is a market moving event.

Non-Farm Payrolls: Be aware and don’t get in right before if you CANNOT handle the increased risk and volatility.

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Daily Levels for March 7th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Copper Prices Surge $6,500 per Contract After Trump’s 25% Tariff Bombshell!

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Markets Highlights on Copper

Copper

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General:

The big one! It’s that time of the month again: we’re a couple of days from when the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report. It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy and the report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.

Ahead of that, today the ADP National Employment Report showed payrolls increased by 77,000 jobs in February, the smallest gain since July 2024, after rising 186,000 in January. Economists had forecast private employment advancing 140,000.

The ADP report, jointly developed with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, likely exaggerates the labor market slowdown and has no correlation with the government’s employment report.

 Softs:

Arabica coffee futures rose sharply today with the market heading back up towards recent record highs. May ICE coffee rose almost 5% to $4.1855 per lb. intraday. Traders indicated the market showing signs of resuming its upward trend after suffering a sharp setback which took prices from a record high of $4.2995 on Feb. 11 to a low of $3.6630 a week ago – a ±$23,900 per contract correction! The market was keeping a close watch on the weather in top grower Brazil with hot, dry conditions raising some concerns about the upcoming crop.

Energy:

Crude oil futures settled down for the fourth consecutive session today after U.S. crude oil stockpiles posted a larger-than-expected build, adding a further headwind as investors worried about OPEC+ plans to increase output in April and U.S. tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico. April West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) settled down $1.95, or 2.86%, to $66.31 a barrel, its lowest since November ’24. OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, decided on Monday to proceed with a planned April oil output increase of 138,000 barrels per day, its first since 2022.

Metals:

Copper

CME/COMEX copper futures soared today following President Donald Trump’s announced 25% tariffs on copper imports during his Tuesday night speech to Congress. May copper rose ±26 cents/lb. (±5.7% as of this blog post – a $6,500 per contract move – to a $4.825/lb. intraday high.

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April Crude Oil

April crude oil is completing its second downside PriceCount objective to the 66.53 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. At this point, IF the chart can sustain further weakness, the third count would project a possible slide to a new contract low around 62.78. A trade below the October reactionary low would formally negate the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for March 6th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Futures Gold

Gold has long been a symbol of wealth and a cornerstone of financial systems worldwide. In the realm of futures trading, gold futures contracts offer traders a unique opportunity to speculate on the future price movements of this precious metal. This comprehensive exploration delves into the nuances of gold futures, shedding light on lesser-known facts, trading techniques, and the inherent risks involved. Additionally, we’ll examine why Cannon Trading Company stands out as a premier choice for traders navigating the futures markets.

Gold Futures Contracts

A gold futures contract is a standardized agreement to buy or sell a specific quantity of gold at a predetermined price on a set future date. These contracts are traded on exchanges like the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), providing a platform for hedgers and speculators to manage their exposure to gold price fluctuations.

Ten Obscure Facts About Gold Futures Contracts

  1. The “Backwardation” Phenomenon: While commodities typically exhibit “contango,” where futures prices are higher than spot prices due to storage and financing costs, gold occasionally experiences “backwardation.” In this scenario, the spot price exceeds the futures price, often indicating strong immediate demand or supply constraints.
  2. “EFP” Transactions: Exchange for Physical (EFP) is a mechanism allowing traders to swap a futures position for the underlying physical commodity. In gold trading, this enables the conversion of paper contracts into actual bullion, facilitating physical delivery outside the exchange.
  3. “Tick” Size and Value: In gold futures trading, a “tick” represents the minimum price movement of the contract. For COMEX gold futures, the tick size is $0.10 per troy ounce, equating to a $10 movement per contract, given the standard contract size of 100 troy ounces.
  4. “Initial” and “Maintenance” Margins: Traders are required to deposit an initial margin to open a position in gold futures. To keep the position open, a maintenance margin must be maintained. If the account balance falls below this level due to adverse price movements, a margin call is issued, requiring additional funds.
  5. “Volume” vs. “Open Interest”: Volume refers to the number of contracts traded within a specific period, while open interest denotes the total number of outstanding contracts at the end of that period. Analyzing both metrics provides insights into market liquidity and potential price trends.
  6. “Spread Trading” Strategies: Traders employ spread trading by simultaneously buying and selling gold futures contracts with different delivery months or against other commodities. This approach aims to profit from the price differential between the two positions, reducing exposure to outright price movements.
  7. “Delivery” Process Nuances: While many traders close their positions before expiration, those holding contracts into the delivery month must be aware of the delivery process. On COMEX, gold delivery involves the transfer of warehouse receipts, representing specific bars stored in approved facilities, rather than the physical movement of gold.
  8. “Position Limits” and Accountability: Exchanges impose position limits to prevent market manipulation and excessive speculation. Traders exceeding certain thresholds may face increased scrutiny and are required to provide justification for their large positions.
  9. “Circuit Breakers” in Gold Futures: To curb extreme volatility, exchanges implement circuit breakers that temporarily halt trading if prices move beyond predefined thresholds within a session. This mechanism allows traders to assess information and make informed decisions during turbulent market conditions.
  10. “E-Mini” Gold Futures: Beyond the standard 100 troy ounce contract, traders can access E-Mini gold futures, which represent 50 troy ounces. These smaller contracts offer flexibility for those seeking exposure to gold with reduced capital requirements.

Real-Life Case Studies in Gold Futures Trading

Case Study 1: The 2011 Gold Price Surge

In 2011, gold prices reached an all-time high, driven by economic uncertainty and currency devaluation fears. Savvy traders who anticipated this uptrend entered long positions in gold futures early in the year. For instance, a trader buying a gold futures contract at $1,400 per ounce in January and selling at the peak of $1,900 in August would have realized a profit of $50,000 per contract (a $500 increase per ounce over 100 ounces).

Case Study 2: The 2020 Pandemic-Induced Volatility

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 led to unprecedented volatility across financial markets, including gold. Initially, gold prices dropped as investors liquidated assets for cash. However, as central banks implemented expansive monetary policies, gold rebounded, reaching new highs. Traders employing spread strategies, such as long gold and short equities, capitalized on the divergent performance between asset classes during this period.

Risks Associated with Gold Futures Trading

While gold futures offer lucrative opportunities, they also come with inherent risks:

  • Leverage Risk: Futures trading involves significant leverage, amplifying both gains and losses. A small adverse price movement can lead to substantial losses, potentially exceeding the initial investment.
  • Market Risk: Gold prices are influenced by various factors, including geopolitical events, currency fluctuations, and macroeconomic indicators. Unexpected developments can lead to sharp price movements.
  • Liquidity Risk: During periods of low trading volume, entering or exiting positions at desired prices may be challenging, leading to slippage and unfavorable fills.
  • Margin Calls: Adverse price movements can erode account equity, triggering margin calls. Failure to meet these calls can result in forced liquidation of positions at unfavorable prices.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company for Gold Futures Trading?

Selecting the right futures broker is crucial for successful trading. Cannon Trading Company distinguishes itself through several key attributes:

  • Diverse Trading Platforms: Cannon offers a wide selection of top-performing trading platforms, catering to the varied needs of futures traders. Whether you’re a novice or an experienced trader, you’ll find a platform that aligns with your trading style and preferences.
  • Stellar Reputation: With decades of experience in the futures markets, Cannon has earned a 5 out of 5-star rating on TrustPilot. This reflects consistent client satisfaction and trust in their services.
  • Regulatory Excellence: Cannon Trading maintains an exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies, ensuring compliance and fostering a secure trading environment.
  • Educational Resources: Understanding that informed traders are successful traders, Cannon provides a wealth of educational materials, including webinars, articles, and personalized consultations.
  • Dedicated Support: Clients have access to a team of experienced brokers and support staff, ready to assist with technical issues, market insights, and strategic guidance.

Gold futures trading presents a dynamic avenue for traders to engage with one of the world’s most valued commodities. By understanding the intricate aspects of gold futures contracts, including obscure facts and specialized trading techniques, traders can navigate this market with greater proficiency. However, it’s imperative to recognize and manage the associated risks diligently.

Partnering with a reputable and experienced futures broker, such as Cannon Trading Company, can significantly enhance the trading experience. Their comprehensive offerings, regulatory integrity, and commitment to client success make them an excellent choice for traders at all levels.