Crude oil futures


Weekly Newsletter #1053 Trading Signals Directly to your Inbox, Crude Oil Recap & Trading Levels for Week Ahead 6.7.2021

June 4th, 2021 Filed under Weekly Newsletter | Comment (0)

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1053

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

VAREA Signal Trading Alerts

Directly to your Inbox!

  • A dynamic research tool for Futures traders based on revolutionary algorithmic IP. Experienced management team has combined decades of trading experience with superior programming capability to produce this unparalleled algorithmic trading product.
  • Daily email to traders identifying trading opportunities (signals) on more than 20 specific tickers per a discrete set of rules and conditions/algorithms.
  • Packages are signals only (Basic, $99/month) or signals with execution suggestions by VAREA trading specialists (Premium, $199/month) and get a free month of the Premium product when you sign up. Contact your broker for implementation instructions to get you started.

Market Pick Review for the Week:

Crude Oil Weekly Chart
The market trading against resistance on the weekly chart. Failure at these levels can generate a quick sell off, a break above $70 can trigger the next leg up.
Crude Oil Weekly Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

6-7-2021

 

Weekly Levels

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading


Weekly Newsletter #1037 Day Trading Mind Traps, Crude Oil Outlook/Chart and Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead 2.01.2021

January 29th, 2021 Filed under Crude Oil, Weekly Newsletter | Comment (0)

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1037

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Trading 102: Day Trading Mind Traps 
“One way our brain helps keep us safe is to protect us from an awareness of our weaknesses. The brain believes that it is better to be falsely confident than recognize the real risks. This protective mechanism tends to work against us in trading.” Kenneth Reid, Ph.D
MINDING THE MIND
The mind can play tricks on us. Intuitive Trading is an attempt to mind read the market, which makes us susceptible to whipsaws. Hindsight Bias causes traders to underestimate the difficulty of trading, while Competency Bias causes us to over-estimate our abilities. These are mental banana peels that set us up for a fall.
INTUITIVE TRADING
Intuitive trading is a natural response to excessive randomness and non-linearity in the market. But making informed guesses is not the same as formulating a rule-based pattern-recognition system that gives a trader a true edge. Without a rule-based plan, intuitive traders expend a great deal of energy mindreading the market, which will not improve your odds of success. In fact, professional traders make a good living exploiting the emotionally-driven behavior of intuitive amateurs.
The Bull / Bear Camps for crude oil
by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
For the bulls, when you’re hanging on to news from China that they’ve seen meaningful declines in crude oil stockpiles at key ports and increased refinery run rates playing catch-up to demand, that’s not a strong hand.
The new Biden Administration’s move to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline will likely elicit a muted response as its demise had been generally expected. Covid-related news continues to influence market sentiment, so the new South African variant and its impact on the global health crisis is ammunition for the bear camp. As well, last week’s Baker Hughes US oil rig count rose from 236 up to 289 rigs, within striking distance of the highest U.S. count since early May. It’s rational to view any intra-day price spikes with skepticism. Still, the bulls are not without their own home-court ammunition. Since the Nov./Dec. holidays, U.S. demand has improved and supplies have tightened per this week’s EIA report of a 9.9 million barrel inventory decline.
Crude Oil Futures Daily Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

2-01-2021

Futures Support & Resistance Levels 2.01.2021

 

Weekly Levels

Weekly Futures Support & Resistance Levels 2.01.2021 - 2.05.2021

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

MRCI Weekly Reports 1.29.2021 - 2.05.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in tradin


Weekly Newsletter #1036 Day Trading Commodities w/ Crude Oil Futures, Soybean Futures Chart and Resistance Levels 1.25.2021

January 22nd, 2021 Filed under Crude Oil, Future Trading News, Weekly Newsletter | Comment (0)

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1036

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Trading 202: Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures
Crude Oil Futures Volatility Offers A “Different Market Personality” Than Stock Index Futures. Here Is Some Of The Things You Need To Know About Day Trading Crude Oil Futures:
By: Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker & VP
Crude Oil is one of MY favorite futures market for day trading. Before I dive in and share with you how the volatility in crude oil fits my risk tolerance for day trading and provide a couple of chart examples, we should review some of the specifications of Crude Oil Futures.
Crude Oil Futures have monthly expiration. So each month we trade a different contract month, so one needs to know when is the first notice day and last trading day for crude oil futures in order to always make sure we are trading the proper month with the most liquidity and avoid any chance of getting into delivery situation.
Next is the contract size. Crude Oil futures are based on 1000 barrels. To be honest from a day trading perspective all I care is that each tick or 1 cent fluctuation is $10 against me or in my favor per contract. That means that a move from 92.94 to 92.74 = $200.
Another factor is trading hours. At the time I am sharing my thoughts with you, April 8th 2013, crude oil futures trade on the CME Globex platform and trade from 5 PM CDT until the next day at 4 PM CDT. That is 23 of straight trading hours. I definitely don’t recommend day trading this market 23 hours…but it is good to know the trading hours.
Volume in crude oil futures is pretty good to trade in my opinion. Averaging about 300,000 contracts per day.
One last pointer to touch on is the API (American Petroleum Institute) report that normally comes out Wednesday at 9:30 CDT (on short weeks, holidays etc. , this report will be pushed to Thursday at 10 AM CDT). I tell my clients that this report is way too volatile and I like to be out 5 minutes before and not resume trading 5 minutes until after the report comes out. This report by itself deserves a writing but on short, the report provides information on how our stock pile is doing ( = supply/demand) and the market will move based on the numbers versus what was expected. Again as a day trader, your main job is to know about this report, when it comes out and in my opinion stay out of the market during this time..
March soybeans fell sharply today, losing ±$0.60 cents (-4.4%) down to $13.09 ¾ / bushel erasing all of its gains for the month of January. March corn declined as well, by $0.24 / bushel (-4.6%) to close at $5.00 ¼ / bushel. More welcome rain was forecast for Argentina today boosting forecasts of the last two days. That opened the door for improving crop conditions into early February. Forecasts for even more rain next week in Argentina and Brazil contributed to the sell-off’s momentum. Brazil’s 1-2-week forecast called for widespread rains over most growing regions. All this points to better-than-expected crop conditions across those two important growing areas into early February.
Would you like to try out the “turning points Algo” you see on the chart in the form of blue circle and red circles?
Soybean Futures Continuation Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

1-25-2021

Futures Support & Resistance Levels 1.25.2021

 

Weekly Levels

Weekly Futures Support & Resistance Levels 1.25 - 1.29.2021

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

MRCI Reports 1.25-1.29.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in tradin


Crude Oil Bullish? & Support and Resistance Levels 12.17.2020

December 16th, 2020 Filed under Future Trading News | Comment (0)

_________________________________________________

Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

_________________________________________________

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
We are entering the last 2 weeks of 2020.
The last two weeks of December can at times be very choppy as many larger traders/ institutions take the time off. However, this year with COVID, things might be different…..
In between a look at Crude Oil Futures daily chart. Crude has been showing some bullish signs past couple of weeks, possible levels on the chart below.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-17-2020

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Trading Crude Oil Futures

June 13th, 2018 Filed under Commodity Brokers, Commodity Trading, Crude Oil, Day Trading, Energy Futures, Futures Broker, Futures Trading, futures trading education, Options Trading, Trading Guide | Comment (0)

Tips for day trading NYMEX crude oil futures

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP Cannon Trading Co, Inc.

When it comes to day trading futures contracts, crude oil futures are assumed one of the leading positions as far as trading volume.

 

During the month of May 2018,  crude oil futures averaged around 1 Million contracts traded per day! That actually surpasses contracts like the ten-year notes, mini SP, mini Nasdaq and others who have traditionally been leaders’ in terms of volume.

 

Part of the growth in crude oil futures is attributed to day trader participation. Day traders, by definition, will enter and exit their positions during the same trading day. This adds volume to the market traded.

 

Some of the tips I am sharing below can be applied to most futures contracts as well as other financial products that are traded like stocks, forex, bonds and others. Some of the advice I am sharing is very specific to the crude oil futures trading field.

 

  1. Know the product you are trading:

 

  1. Just like a trader who trades a stock like Facebook knows what Facebook does, when its earning reports are due and other factors, so does a crude oil futures day trader needs to know a few facts about crude oil:

 

  • Contract Size: Crude Oil Futures consist of 1,000 barrels. For the trader this means that each full $1 move in crude futures = $1,000 against you or in your favor.

 

For example:  A move from 72.10 to 73.10 = $1,000 and a move from 72.10 to 72.11 = $10 (the minimum fluctuation size or the tick size). Be aware that the CME also offers the mini crude contract,  which is half the size.

 

  • Trading Hours: Crude oil futures trade on the Globex terminal between the hours of 5:00 PM CST the DAY BEFORE to 4:00 PM CST the following day. Which means 23 hours of straight trading. It is important to know that most of the volume will trade between the hours of 8:00 AM CST and 1:30 PM CST, as these hours correspond to the “pit session” of the old trading floor.

 

Another key aspect to remember is that crude oil is a deliverable commodity and the “front month” will change every 30 days or so. For example: since May 22nd 2018 we have been trading July crude oil.

 

  • Reports: There are more than a few reports that will affect crude oil future prices indirectly. These include monthly unemployment, the FOMC rate decision, and a few others.

 

However, there are two major reports that move crude oil futures and its by-products (unleaded gasoline and heating oil) sharply: The API report, which comes out at 3:30 PM CST every Tuesday, and the DOE (Dept. of Energy) inventory numbers, which come out almost every Wednesday at 9:30AM CST.

 

Take a look at this one-minute chart from Wednesday, May 16th right around the report time below to understand the volatility involved.

As you can see above, the market made a move of $700 per ONE contract in a matter of minutes, perhaps even seconds! That type of risk and opportunity is one of the factors attracting day-traders into the crude oil market.

 

  • Geo Political Events: Middle East tensions, the Iran nuclear deal, tensions between Iraq and its neighbors…these are all examples of events that affect crude oil prices. Not to mention OPEC meetings!

 

 

  1. Trading Personality:

 

In my opinion crude oil (like many other markets) will have one of the following 3 modes: trending, two-sided volatility, or Choppy/quiet/range bound trading.

 

My experience is that crude will more often fall into the first 2 categories:  strong trend or two-sided volatility.  This leads me to my next point below, different trading set-ups.

 

  1. Trading Set-Ups:

 

My preferred methods for trading crude are either breakout concept in an attempt to catch a strong move up or down once the market broke some key support or resistance levels, AND/OR counter trend methods to take advantage of when the market is oversold or overbought. Crude does seem to bring more fear and greed out of traders. So looking at RSI levels, for example, and using moving averages ON the RSI to try and get a feel for market reversals are methods worth exploring.

 

  1. Keep a journal:

 

Like with any other trading, keep a journal. Take notes on how the market reacted to certain reports, how the markets traded during certain times of the day, and action you took and emotions you had that either helped or hurt you while trading. These notes will help you going forward.

 

In summary, crude oil futures volume has increased significantly these past few years. The crude oil futures offer traders certain dynamics that other markets may not at certain times. Volatility, fear and greed are key traits for this market. Remember that trading crude oil futures specifically and futures and options in general carries a large degree of risk and is not suitable for all investors. Make sure you consult with a series 3 broker if you never traded this market before. As always, I wish you Good Trading!

 

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.

The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.

There is not an actual account trading these recommendations.

Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

________
Doing Business With
See more...
Loading
Loading

Loading