Day Trading Tips


2021 Key Takeaways, Christmas Holiday Trading Schedule & Support and Resistance Levels 12.23.2021

December 22nd, 2021 Filed under Future Trading News | Comment (0)

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Thursday, December 23, 2021 – Normal Market Close Time.  However, since the markets will remain closed until Sunday – we will require *Any open positions must meet Exchange Maintenance Margin 15 minutes before the market close (3:45 pm CST).

2021 Key Takeaways with Craig Bewick of the CMEGroup.com

What a year it’s been… again. Even though there are still 7 more trading days left in 2021, and much could change in the next 7 trading days, we decided to take an assessment of where we’ve come since 12/31/2020.
  • S&P 500 and Nasaq-100 futures prices were up by over 20%; E-mini S&P 500 options implied volatility is trading at just about the same level as it was a year ago
  • Even though it’s trading well off its highs of the year, WTI Crude Oil futures prices are up by nearly 50%
  • Gold futures prices were a bit “range bound” this year. However, if we look at implied volatility as one measure of potential price movement, the average closing 30-day implied volatility in 2021 was nearly equal to the average closing level since December of 2011. Also, if we look at it by year, the average closing level in 2021 was 14.2%; higher than 2017 (10.7%), 2018 (9.8%) and 2019 (10.8%).
  • US Treasury yields increased. The 10-Year yield is up from under 1% to nearly 1.5%. We used data from the St. Louis Fed to get the 12/31/21 value and compared it to the current 10-Year Micro Yield futures price so it’s not perfect, but does provide an indication of the yield increase. Of course, as Jim Iuorio pointed out in a recent Yield Insights video that was published here, the last time inflation readings were at the current levels, the 10-Year yield was near 12%.
  • Soybean futures prices, after a year of historic volatility, wound up almost unchanged on the year. We downloaded data from QuikStrike to verify this and included the graph below in which the orange line depicts the price level at the beginning and end of the year.
  • Natural Gas futures prices have also been characterized by historic volatility and, even though they are trading well below this year’s high levels, are still 50% higher than a year ago
  • In a year that saw CME launch several new cryptocurrency products, Bitcoin has increased in price by about 66% and implied volatility, while still among the highest compared to other CME options products, has come down from over 100% to about 78%
So, in a year that was not short of potentially market moving headlines and seemingly as more questions than answers remain, we hope all of our In FOCUS readers have enjoyed our daily commentary.
We wish everyone a very happy and healthy holiday season and good trading year in 2022.
Craig Bewick has spent 25 years in futures and options markets, starting at CBOT and CME working in risk management, regulatory, technology, product management and client development.

 

 

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-23-2021


Economic Reports, Source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.


Trading Crude Oil Futures

June 13th, 2018 Filed under Commodity Brokers, Commodity Trading, Crude Oil, Day Trading, Energy Futures, Futures Broker, Futures Trading, futures trading education, Options Trading, Trading Guide | Comment (0)

Tips for day trading NYMEX crude oil futures

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP Cannon Trading Co, Inc.

When it comes to day trading futures contracts, crude oil futures are assumed one of the leading positions as far as trading volume.

 

During the month of May 2018,  crude oil futures averaged around 1 Million contracts traded per day! That actually surpasses contracts like the ten-year notes, mini SP, mini Nasdaq and others who have traditionally been leaders’ in terms of volume.

 

Part of the growth in crude oil futures is attributed to day trader participation. Day traders, by definition, will enter and exit their positions during the same trading day. This adds volume to the market traded.

 

Some of the tips I am sharing below can be applied to most futures contracts as well as other financial products that are traded like stocks, forex, bonds and others. Some of the advice I am sharing is very specific to the crude oil futures trading field.

 

  1. Know the product you are trading:

 

  1. Just like a trader who trades a stock like Facebook knows what Facebook does, when its earning reports are due and other factors, so does a crude oil futures day trader needs to know a few facts about crude oil:

 

  • Contract Size: Crude Oil Futures consist of 1,000 barrels. For the trader this means that each full $1 move in crude futures = $1,000 against you or in your favor.

 

For example:  A move from 72.10 to 73.10 = $1,000 and a move from 72.10 to 72.11 = $10 (the minimum fluctuation size or the tick size). Be aware that the CME also offers the mini crude contract,  which is half the size.

 

  • Trading Hours: Crude oil futures trade on the Globex terminal between the hours of 5:00 PM CST the DAY BEFORE to 4:00 PM CST the following day. Which means 23 hours of straight trading. It is important to know that most of the volume will trade between the hours of 8:00 AM CST and 1:30 PM CST, as these hours correspond to the “pit session” of the old trading floor.

 

Another key aspect to remember is that crude oil is a deliverable commodity and the “front month” will change every 30 days or so. For example: since May 22nd 2018 we have been trading July crude oil.

 

  • Reports: There are more than a few reports that will affect crude oil future prices indirectly. These include monthly unemployment, the FOMC rate decision, and a few others.

 

However, there are two major reports that move crude oil futures and its by-products (unleaded gasoline and heating oil) sharply: The API report, which comes out at 3:30 PM CST every Tuesday, and the DOE (Dept. of Energy) inventory numbers, which come out almost every Wednesday at 9:30AM CST.

 

Take a look at this one-minute chart from Wednesday, May 16th right around the report time below to understand the volatility involved.

As you can see above, the market made a move of $700 per ONE contract in a matter of minutes, perhaps even seconds! That type of risk and opportunity is one of the factors attracting day-traders into the crude oil market.

 

  • Geo Political Events: Middle East tensions, the Iran nuclear deal, tensions between Iraq and its neighbors…these are all examples of events that affect crude oil prices. Not to mention OPEC meetings!

 

 

  1. Trading Personality:

 

In my opinion crude oil (like many other markets) will have one of the following 3 modes: trending, two-sided volatility, or Choppy/quiet/range bound trading.

 

My experience is that crude will more often fall into the first 2 categories:  strong trend or two-sided volatility.  This leads me to my next point below, different trading set-ups.

 

  1. Trading Set-Ups:

 

My preferred methods for trading crude are either breakout concept in an attempt to catch a strong move up or down once the market broke some key support or resistance levels, AND/OR counter trend methods to take advantage of when the market is oversold or overbought. Crude does seem to bring more fear and greed out of traders. So looking at RSI levels, for example, and using moving averages ON the RSI to try and get a feel for market reversals are methods worth exploring.

 

  1. Keep a journal:

 

Like with any other trading, keep a journal. Take notes on how the market reacted to certain reports, how the markets traded during certain times of the day, and action you took and emotions you had that either helped or hurt you while trading. These notes will help you going forward.

 

In summary, crude oil futures volume has increased significantly these past few years. The crude oil futures offer traders certain dynamics that other markets may not at certain times. Volatility, fear and greed are key traits for this market. Remember that trading crude oil futures specifically and futures and options in general carries a large degree of risk and is not suitable for all investors. Make sure you consult with a series 3 broker if you never traded this market before. As always, I wish you Good Trading!

 

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.

The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.

There is not an actual account trading these recommendations.

Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.


Different Ways to Enter Futures Trades 6.10.2015

June 9th, 2015 Filed under Commodity Trading, Day Trading, Future Trading News, Futures Trading | Comment (0)

Connect with Us! Use Our Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports RSS Feed.

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday June 10, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

A Few Ways to Enter Trades – Day Trading 101 Continues

An important part of trading is trade entry. Assuming a trader knows why he/she is about to enter a trade, the next step sounds simple right?

Read More at:
http://www.financemagnates.com/executives/insights/few-way-to-enter-trades-day-trading-101-continues/

Read the rest of this entry »


Different Types of Trading Days 6.02.2015

June 1st, 2015 Filed under Commodity Trading, Day Trading, Future Trading News, Futures Trading, Trading Guide | Comment (0)

Connect with Us! Use Our Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports RSS Feed.

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday June 2, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

The first trading day of June 2015 was a wild ride in many markets….almost as if the markets were quite confused on the direction for the month and traded very choppy with “unexplained, fast moves” both ways. I saw this in stock index futures, metals, currencies and even the grain sector…

As traders we need to learn how to adapt quickly, sense what type of trading day is developing in front of us and trade accordingly.

I wrote the following a while back and shared it before but worth sharing again as refresher:

  • In my opinion there are 3 main types of trading days.

1. The most common day are two sided trading action with swings up and down – this type of trading day is most suitable for using support and resistance levels along with overbought/oversold indicators.

2. Strong trending days, mostly one directional – this type of trading day is the least common, many times will happen on Mondays and maybe 3-5 times a month at most – this type of trading day is most suitable for using ADX, MACD crossovers and pretty much looking for pullbacks to jump on the trend.

3. Slow and/or choppy trading days – this type of trading day is best suited for taking small profits from the market by looking at volume spikes, using stochastics as possible entry signals and usually wait for a pullback before jumping in.

Read the rest of this entry »


3 Different Types of Day Trading Days & Economic Reports 4.22.2015

April 21st, 2015 Filed under Crude Oil, Day Trading, Future Trading News | Comment (0)

Connect with Us! Use Our Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports RSS Feed.

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday April 22, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Many different ways to make and lose money trading futures, even more so when day trading.

Today’s action in crude oil futures led me to write about:

Three main approaches out there in my opinion.

The first is what I call the “trend is your friend”. A trader looks at few different time frames, looking to see if there is an established trend on longer time frame ( example 60 minutes chart) and then trying to look for pull back on lower time frames and “join the trend”. Only works for certain markets and only works few times of the month as most days markets do not have an intraday trend in my opinion.

Second method is what we call break out. Traders will look for markets that have been in a lower volatility situation using indicators such as ADX for example. Then they will look at the chart to find what they feel are levels that if broken can fuel a stronger move in the same direction. These levels can be extracted visually looking at the chart or using highs/ lows of X periods. This method works better on some markets than others. I noticed that crude oil and gold futures tend to have better chances of a continued breakout move than the mini SP 500 for example.

Read the rest of this entry »

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