FOMC Tomorrow and Managing Trading Size 3.16.2016
Posted By:- Ilan Levy-Mayer Vice President, Cannon Trading Futures Blog
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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday March 16, 2016
Hello Traders,
For 2016 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!
Greetings!
FRONT MONTH for STOCK INDEX is JUNE!!
The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 2:15 ET in the US tomorrow ( Wednesday, March 16th ). Also more than a few economic numbers ahead of the announcement.
FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.
if you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.
The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:
- Reduce trading size
- Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
- Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 1965.00 with a stop at 1959.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 1959.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example.
- Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
- Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
- Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
- Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
- Be patient and be disciplined
Have you checked out iSystems?? This cutting edge technology allows you to select, activate, change and view in real time professionally designed trading systems! Check out live data at: https://cannon.isystems.com
TRADE SMART / TRADE SYSTEMS — for the current rankings as well as actual performance of trading systems traded at Striker, click here.
GOOD TRADING
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
| Contract June 2016 | SP500 | Nasdaq100 | Dow Jones | Mini Russell | Dollar Index |
| Resistance 3 | 2027.33 | 4402.67 | 17334 | 1091.97 | 97.29 |
| Resistance 2 | 2018.67 | 4382.58 | 17247 | 1084.93 | 97.10 |
| Resistance 1 | 2012.33 | 4369.67 | 17197 | 1072.97 | 96.87 |
| Pivot | 2003.67 | 4349.58 | 17110 | 1065.93 | 96.68 |
| Support 1 | 1997.33 | 4336.67 | 17060 | 1053.97 | 96.46 |
| Support 2 | 1988.67 | 4316.58 | 16973 | 1046.93 | 96.27 |
| Support 3 | 1982.33 | 4303.67 | 16923 | 1034.97 | 96.04 |
| Contract | Apr. Gold | May Silver | Apr. Crude Oil | June Bonds | June Euro |
| Resistance 3 | 1252.1 | 15.62 | 38.68 | 163 22/32 | 1.1216 |
| Resistance 2 | 1245.4 | 15.52 | 38.04 | 163 5/32 | 1.1186 |
| Resistance 1 | 1239.4 | 15.40 | 37.24 | 162 10/32 | 1.1163 |
| Pivot | 1232.7 | 15.30 | 36.60 | 161 25/32 | 1.1133 |
| Support 1 | 1226.7 | 15.18 | 35.80 | 160 30/32 | 1.1110 |
| Support 2 | 1220.0 | 15.08 | 35.16 | 160 13/32 | 1.1080 |
| Support 3 | 1214.0 | 14.96 | 34.36 | 159 18/32 | 1.1057 |
| Contract | May Corn | May Wheat | May Beans | May SoyMeal | April Nat Gas |
| Resistance 3 | 372.8 | 486.3 | 901.67 | 276.37 | 1.99 |
| Resistance 2 | 371.0 | 482.8 | 898.33 | 274.13 | 1.94 |
| Resistance 1 | 369.8 | 480.0 | 895.17 | 271.17 | 1.90 |
| Pivot | 368.0 | 476.5 | 891.83 | 268.93 | 1.85 |
| Support 1 | 366.8 | 473.8 | 888.7 | 266.0 | 1.8 |
| Support 2 | 365.0 | 470.3 | 885.33 | 263.73 | 1.76 |
| Support 3 | 363.8 | 467.5 | 882.17 | 260.77 | 1.72 |
source:http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php
All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)
| Date | 4:07pm | Currency | Impact | Detail | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Graph | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WedMar 16 | 5:30am | GBP | Average Earnings Index 3m/y | 2.0% | 1.9% | ||||
| GBP | Claimant Count Change | -8.8K | -14.8K | ||||||
| GBP | Unemployment Rate | 5.1% | 5.1% | ||||||
| Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction | 0.26|1.2 | ||||||
| 8:30am | GBP | Annual Budget Release | |||||||
| USD | Building Permits | 1.20M | 1.20M | ||||||
| USD | CPI m/m | -0.2% | 0.0% | ||||||
| USD | Core CPI m/m | 0.2% | 0.3% | ||||||
| USD | Housing Starts | 1.15M | 1.10M | ||||||
| 9:15am | USD | Capacity Utilization Rate | 76.9% | 77.1% | |||||
| USD | Industrial Production m/m | -0.2% | 0.9% | ||||||
| 9:30am | GBP | CB Leading Index m/m | 0.4% | ||||||
| 10:30am | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | 2.9M | 3.9M | |||||
| 2:00pm | USD | FOMC Economic Projections | |||||||
| USD | FOMC Statement | ||||||||
| USD | Federal Funds Rate | <0.50% | <0.50% | ||||||
| 2:30pm | USD | FOMC Press Conference |
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
