ECB Rate Decision + Rollover Notice Tomorrow! 3.09.2017

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Thursday, March 9th

ECB Interest Rate Decision

07:45 EDT/12:45 GMT

Expected to leave key rates unchanged

– Maintain Main Refinancing Rate at 0.00%
– Maintains Deposit Rate at -0.40%
– Maintain Marginal Lending Rates at 0.25%

What the News Desk Says

The ECB governing council will likely keep its policy steady this week despite a steady improvement on the inflation front (being dictated primarily by energy prices). Analysts noted that the Feb Advance CPI moved above the ECB target of ‘around 2%’ for the first time in four years, thus putting pressure on the ECB to reduce its stimulus. But the continued firming seen in headline inflation readings is not apt to budge ECB message for the time being because core inflation remains stubbornly low. As 2017 progresses, the stimulus debate at the ECB may shift as the threat of deflation recedes and inflation levels begin to look sustainable across the whole euro zone region in coming months.

Analysis:
– Press conference seen to retain dovish bias on the back of political uncertainty
– ECB is likely to announce an extension of the TLTRO… more

Rollover Notice:

I personally will start trading the June mini SP this Friday but most traders will rollover tomorrow:

Rollover Notice for Stock Index Futures

Important notice: For those of you trading any stock index futures contracts, i.e., the E-mini S&P, E-mini NASDAQ, E-mini Dow Jones, the “Big” pit-traded S&P 500, etc., it is extremely important to remember that tomorrow, Thursday, March 9th, at 8:30 am CDT  Time is rollover day.

Starting March 9th, the June 2016 futures contracts will be the front month contracts. It is recommended that all new positions be placed in the June 2017 contract as of March 9th. Volume in the March 2017 contracts will begin to drop off until its expiration on Friday March 17th.

The month code for June is M7.

Traders with electronic trading software should make sure that defaults reflect the proper contract as of Thursday morning.

Please close any open March Currency positions by the close on Friday the 10th.

GOOD TRADING

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Futures Trading Levels

Levels for Trade Date of 03.09.2017

Contract March 2017  SP500 Nasdaq100 Dow Jones Mini Russell Dollar Index
Resistance 3 2384.67 5424.58 21056 1395.60 102.77
Resistance 2 2378.83 5400.92 21007 1389.10 102.48
Resistance 1 2371.17 5381.08 20936 1377.20 102.29
Pivot 2365.33 5357.42 20887 1370.70 102.00
Support 1 2357.67 5337.58 20816 1358.80 101.81
Support 2 2351.83 5313.92 20767 1352.30 101.52
Support 3 2344.17 5294.08 20696 1340.40 101.33
Contract Apr. Gold May Silver April Crude Oil June  Bonds March  Euro
Resistance 3 1228.2 17.80 55.01 150 14/32 1.0608
Resistance 2 1223.4 17.69 53.96 149 21/32 1.0592
Resistance 1 1216.1 17.48 52.14 148 26/32 1.0569
Pivot 1211.3 17.36 51.09 148  1/32 1.0553
Support 1 1204.0 17.15 49.27 147  6/32 1.0529
Support 2 1199.2 17.04 48.22 146 13/32 1.0513
Support 3 1191.9 16.83 46.40 145 18/32 1.0490
Contract May  Corn May Wheat May Beans May SoyMeal April Nat Gas
Resistance 3 379.6 462.3 1033.17 336.47 3.08
Resistance 2 377.9 458.5 1029.58 334.43 3.01
Resistance 1 375.1 452.8 1025.67 332.77 2.96
Pivot 373.4 449.0 1022.08 330.73 2.90
Support 1 370.6 443.3 1018.2 329.1 2.8
Support 2 368.9 439.5 1014.58 327.03 2.78
Support 3 366.1 433.8 1010.67 325.37 2.73

All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)

source:http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Date 3:35pm Currency Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Graph
ThuMar 9 1:30am EUR
French Final Non-Farm Payrolls q/q
0.4% 0.4%
Day 1 EUR
ECOFIN Meetings
7:30am USD
Challenger Job Cuts y/y
-38.8%
7:45am EUR
Minimum Bid Rate
0.00% 0.00%
8:30am EUR
ECB Press Conference
USD
Unemployment Claims
239K 223K
USD
Import Prices m/m
0.1% 0.4%
10:30am USD
Natural Gas Storage
-59B 7B

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.