Trading Psychology Stage 1 Blissful Unawareness, January 24, 2011

by RealityTrader on Jan 10, 2011

As we mentioned in the previous article, first stage is usually the one where a newer trader doesn’t acknowledge the role of psyhcology in his trading. It happens out of ignorance or arrogance.

In a former case (ignorance) it’s simply lack of knowledge and mistaken notion that one can trade succeffully if given “right” system or indicator ot tip or whatever causes one to enter and exit his/her positions. It usually takes a while before a trader starts seeing how his mindset influences his trading and how his personal traits shine through his trading decisions. It comes as a surprize realization that different traders will get different results while trying to apply the same system. It is counter-intuitive, isn’t it?

In a latter case (arrogance), a trader shows some kind of denial – it’s “not me” attitude, thinking that goes along the lines “maybe it’s a problem for some but I am in control of myself,” “this stuff is for weak-minded” etc. Needless to say, it’s rarely the case… and even more importantly, it’s not so much about weak vs. strong mind as it is about influence one’s personality has over one’s trading.

In any case, the important thing at this stage is to come to appreciate this aspect of trading. It happens when one sees how much truth there is in saying “everyone gets what they want out of market” (Ed Seykota I think?) Again, seems counter-intuitive, right? After all, don’t we all want to succeed, to make winning trades, to make money? Sure… but it’s not about what our conscious mind wants, it’s about what our inner core dictates, and that is not always easy to realize and control.*

Simple example to illustrate the idea: do you know people who repeat certain behavior patterns harmful to themselves? Getting themselves into relationships with the types that make them miserable, over and over again? Repeating the same mistakes in their interaction with others, obviously not learning from the past? I bet you do (although you personally never act like this, right?) So, why do we do it even though we see (or could see if we looked) that these behavioral patterns hurt us? Because those patterns are not just some easy to break habits; rather they are a part of our personality, of who we are, and it takes much more than simple decision not to do that anymore to change our ways. Pretty much the same thing happens in trading – we know what not to do yet we continue doing it.

As soon as one realizes all this, the first stage is completed. The role of psychology in trading is acknowledged, denial is over – and this forms the foundation for a change.

*My favorite example of this phenomenon is the Russian movie Stalker. The plot line briefly: there is a certain machine granting wishes (stalkers in the movie are the people who take clients to it through the many dangerous traps). The machine grants wishes alright but there is catch: it’s not a wish that you stand in front of the machine and announce that will be granted… it’s a wish that constitutes your essence, your core, your deep desire – and it’s not necessary the one you realize and announce to yourself and to the world. Pretty much what happens in trading and pretty much what the author of that saying (everyone gets what they want in trading) meant.

Vadym Graifer is an author of the unique A Taoist Trader course devoted to trading philosophy and psychology

To read the rest of the articles in this series go to: http://www.traderplanet.com/profile/RealityTrader

GOOD TRADING!

TRADING LEVELS!

futures-trading-levels-20110124

Economics Report Source: http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Monday, January 24, 2011

Treasury Currency Report
Tentative USD

Tuesday, January 24, 2011

HPI m/m
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CB Consumer Confidence
10:00am USD

HPI m/m
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Richmond Manufacturing Index
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Company, Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 21, 2011

Last two days we saw the first meaningful price decline in more than a few good weeks.

Still we are not getting a confirmation from the Dow Jones index that this potential
I would like to see for a larger scale sell off.

Below you will see a daily chart of the mini NASDAQ 100 contract along with some potential levels.

SP-500-Day-Trading-2011-01-21 Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 21, 2011”

Futures Trading Levels and Weekly Newsletter, January 20, 2011

Great articles about trading psychology on our weekly newsletter at:
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https://www.cannontrading.com/community/newsletter/

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I think every trader should read these articles and the new ones to folow next week. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Weekly Newsletter, January 20, 2011”

Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 19, 2011

Below is a screen shot from the daily service I hold, called NAZLAN live charts or as some know it, daily webinar.

I think the term live charts is a better description for the service being offered, which you can have a free trial to until Jan. 28th, EVEN if you have had one before.

Sign up at: https://www.cannontrading.com/tools/intraday-futures-trading-signals

Every day around 8:30 AM central, I send an invite code where one can log in and view my live screen that includes 3 charts. Mini SP500, euro currency futures and crude oil futures. The charts include a few set ups that I like to use for intra-day trading along with some notes and general observations of the market for that day.

The corner stone of the charts is the “DIAMOND algorithm” I developed over the last couple of years, which I explain in details during the sessions and that I personally found as one leading indicator that gives me confidence to take certain day-trading set ups. The screen shot from todays webinar may provide a visual for what I just wrote above….

Upper left corner is small image of Euro currency chart, lower left is of the Crude oil and large right is of the mini SP 500. Actual size during the live service is much larger…..

SP-500-Day-Trading-2011-01-19

After the free trail, if you decide to subscribe, the cost of the service for CANNON trading clients is $119 per month and for non CANNON trading clients, the cost is $299 per month.

*** Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

In no event should the content of this newsletter be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from, Cannon Trading or it’s affiliates, that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 19, 2011”

Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 14, 2010

Stock futures indices are “boring”..slow movement, lack of “fear” and just gradual, slow move up.

On the other hand we have markets like Euro, Crude, grains etc. that have large intraday ranges, volatility and speed. Factors i think day-traders are looking for.

With that being said, we do have a day full of reports tomorrow ahead of long MLK weekend, so we’ll see if this wakes up stock indices a bit. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 14, 2010”

Futures Trading Levels and Weekly Newsletter for January 13, 2011

Our Weekly Futures Trading Newsletter is Ready for Your Review at:
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https://www.cannontrading.com/community/newsletter/
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Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 12, 2011

Market is still locked in a range….so far in 2011, the March SP500 been trading between 1255 and 1277….My feeling is that by Thursday we should break out one way or the other as the market awaits some economic reports and earnings are being released.

In between, you are welcome to check out our “Live Charts” service which I run daily.

Subscribers get a daily invitation to view my charts ( sample from todays session below). I share my charts, notes, set ups, trade philosophy and more for the mini SP, crude oil and Euro currency markets. For 2 week free trial (no repeat trials), please visit:

https://www.cannontrading.com/tools/intraday-futures-trading-signals

SP-500-Day-Trading-2011-01-12

There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, options and off-exchange foreign currency products.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 12, 2011”

Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 11, 2010

Interesting DATE tomorrow…1-11-11

Other than that I don’t have much to share, market is still waiting for either another leg up or correction to the downside.

I am looking at 1255 to 1273 as the band and think that an hourly close above or below can trigger the next move.

Plan your trade, trade your plan!

Mini SP hourly chart for your review below:

SP-500-Day-Trading-2011-01-10

Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 11, 2010”