Weekly Newsletter 1120: What Are the Big Boys Up to? + Levels for October 24th

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1120

Trading 102: Commitment of Traders Report – What Lies Beneath

 CFTC Launches New Commitments of Traders Reports; The New Environment Allows Users the Choice to Access Data with Enhanced Features or Utilize the Traditional Format
In this 24 page PDF booklet, Gary Kamen of Trends in Futures reviews the commitment of traders report, what it means, how traders can utilize it and much more.
Sign up and instantly download the booklet and learn about:
* History of the COT report
* Why is this report important?
* The new COT report
* How can you use the information in this report?
* And much more….

Futures Trading Videos:

1. Identifying Support And Resistance Using A Line Chart.
2. Finding Levels of Support Resistance
3. Day Trading crude oil futures using fear and greed….

VIEW VIDEOS HERE

Futures Trading Levels

10-24-2022

Daily Levels

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

WYNTK Before Trading Tomorrow, Sept. 22nd 2022 Futures Trading Levels

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Bullet Points: Hot off the FOMC Meeting

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Financials: for the third time in as many Federal Open Market Committee meetings, the twelve voting members unanimously approved a 0.75% rate increase for the benchmark federal funds rate – the overnight rate on lending between banks. With this the fifth consecutive rate increase from near 0% in March and the steepest rise since the 1980’s, not since 2008 has the fed. funds rate been set to this level. With two more FOMC meetings scheduled for the remainder of the year, the full 19-member committee signaled fed. funds are projected to continue their upward trajectory with 4.25% to 4.50% the expected target by year’s end.

The Federal Reserve also announced a program of reducing stimulus by shrinking its $8.8 trillion asset portfolio through attrition. As debt securities mature – to the tune of ±$95 billion a month – the Fed reduces its holdings by up to $95 billion a month.

Of course, all this is the Federal Reserve’s effort to quell inflation, the annual forecast of which officials revised up for the third time to 4.5% (core rate). “Inflation is running too hot. You don’t need to know much more than that,” said FOMC chairman Jerome Powell in his post-announcement news conference.

 

As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

09-22-2022

#goldfutures #sp500futures #crudeoilfutures # nasdaqfutures #dowfutures #futurestrading #futuresbrokers
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100  #NQ_FDow Jones  #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds  #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr  #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec.  Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept.  Euro Currency

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Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Order Flow, Buy & Sell Zones, & Support and Resistance Levels 9.24.2021

Dear Traders,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
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Yesterday we hosted a very interesting webinar with Bookmap about order flow, buy and sell zones, liquidity of large orders and MUCH MORE.

On a personal level I really enjoyed the information as I am the type of guy who has been looking at indicators/ volume charts, range bar charts and probably many of the things that many of futures traders are used to. The data and information shared yesterday during live market hours with forward thinking analysis was very interesting to me and I will do more homework on the topic.

If you did not attend the webinar and would like to see a recording, CLICK HERE.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-24-2021

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

VIX Stock Index Trading Signals & Support and Resistance Levels 7.22.2021

Dear Traders,

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VIX Stock Index Trading Signals

by Gabe Velazquez of www.TransparentTradingSolutions.com. For free trial to the room and more information, contact your broker.
Over the last several months, two of the major stock averages (the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100) have been on a relentless upward trajectory. This has occurred as the VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index) has remained elevated relative to its historical levels. In past bull markets, the VIX (which many refer to as the fear gauge) has traded in the low teens and even dropped to single digit readings during strong advances in the stock market. So why is this time different? More importantly, can we use the VIX to increase our odds of timing long and short entries in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures? I believe the answer is yes.
First, A quick definition of the VIX: It is an index that measures the premium of at-the-money Calls and Puts on the Cash S&P 500 going out one month in duration. Some market participants utilize options (because of their leverage component) to hedge long only portfolios. For that reason, when the stocks come under pressure, the demand for this protection increases and thus premiums (the cost to buy options) increases. Simply, there is an inverse correlation between the VIX index and stocks. As stocks drop, the VIX will rise and vice-versa.
Now that we have a better understanding of how the VIX works, let’s look at a 4 hour chart going back 2 months. In it, we can see that it has formed a clearly defined range between 15 on the lower band and 21 on the high extremity. If you look at a chart of the S&P 500 futures you will notice that on every corrective (drop) in this index over the last 2 months, the VIX has rallied up to 21. Additionally, note that when the VIX fails to move above this level, the ES (S&P 500 futures) stops falling and usually finds buyers. Conversely, when stocks advance, and the VIX stays above 15, stocks generally pause or struggle to have any meaningful move higher.
VIX article 7 14 21 1
ES article 7 14 21
Of course, this range will not persist indefinitely, as these patterns never do. However, I believe we can glean useful information from this environment. Can we surmise that a break above the recent range in the VIX implies more selling (bearish) implications? Separately, a break below the key 15 level may insinuate that institutional investors feel more comfortable lifting their hedges, thus leaving more room for stocks to rally in the short-term.
We can never rely on one single indicator to buy or sell, but as traders, we always need to seek an edge. Perhaps this can give you a different way to look at the markets. More importantly, by monitoring the VIX relative to what options traders and institutions are doing to hedge their portfolios, my hope is that it can help you make better trading decisions.
Until next time, I hope everyone has a great trading week.
Gabe
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

7-22-2021

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.

Futures Trading Levels for July 20th, 2021

Dear Traders,

Volatility is back!
COVID Variants fears…..While past performance is not indicative of future results, it might be worthwhile to look at how markets behaved during Jan-May of 2020.
Intraday Volatility in stock index futures is extremely high. Actually across many markets Crude and NASDAQ futures leading the volatility but metals, energies and grains have seen higher volatility. I noticed the stock index futures today as I was actively monitoring and trading with some clients and saw the ES make 14 points moves and more, BOTH ways in the same 15 minutes….Intraday chart for illustration below.
1.  Learn to reduce trading size. Perhaps trade smaller contracts like the micros.
2. Adjust stops and entries based on volatility ( ATR/ Parabolics).
3. Be extra picky on entries without chasing trades.
4. Understand that loses are part of trading and this is definitely not a good time to “fight the markets”.
5. Focus more on risk management and ways to protect certain positions as needed. Survive to trade another day.
Markets are moving extremely fast and at times quoting systems, platforms can’t even keep up.
The risk is MUCH GREATER than I have seen, yet some traders look for it.
That is ok, as long as you :
Know the rules, understand current margins, know where the circuit breakers are/ limit moves.
Figure out your max risk.
After you do all that, feel free to trade but jumping in and trying to trade without the basic knowledge above is like jumping into a stormy ocean without a life vest…..
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

 

Futures Trading Levels

7-20-2021

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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GOOD TRADING!

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter, Trading Resources, and More! 7/19/21

Dear Traders,

ALGO Trade Signals
Directly to your Inbox!
·    A dynamic research tool for Futures traders based on revolutionary algorithmic IP. Experienced management team has combined decades of trading experience with superior programming capability to produce this unparalleled algorithmic trading product.
·    Daily email to traders identifying trading opportunities (signals) on more than 20 specific tickers per a discrete set of rules and conditions/algorithms.
·    Packages are signals only (Basic, $99/month) or signals with execution suggestions by VAREA trading specialists (Premium, $199/month) and get a free month of the Premium product when you sign up. Contact your broker for implementation instructions to get you started.
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Webinar Recording: Cannon Trading & CME Group invites you to WATCH recorded webinar from Wednesday July 14, to learn more about Micro WTI Crude Oil futures, a new tool for managing crude oil price exposure.
FREE Futures Forthright Premium eBook
Cannon Trading Is Pleased To Present “Futures Forthright eBook“, Available For Instant Download Written By Cannon Trading Staff
Fresh off the press is Cannon Trading’s new eBook! Written by our very own staff of brokers, this eBook is designed as a guide to the commodities market for both beginners and veterans alike. Inside you can find:
• A plan with steps that may lead to success
• Steps Towards Mastering your Day Trading
• The top mistakes traders make daily
• How to handle the market noise
• and much more…..
The futures industry is complex and risky, which is why you need someone to be forthright with you…. Download eBook instantly.
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Futures Trading Levels

7-19-2021

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates
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GOOD TRADING!

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Recorded MICRO Crude Webinar & Levels – July 16th, 2021

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
If you missed our MICRO Crude Oil webinar yesterday, here is the link to the recording.

 

Futures Trading Levels

7-16-2021

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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GOOD TRADING!

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1032 – Trading Resources and more! 12.14.2020

_________________________________________________

Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

_________________________________________________

Hello Ilan,
Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Rollover notice: Front month for stock index futures ( es/ym/nq/micros etc.) as well as currencies is now MARCH.
Free eBook:
Opportunities and Risk, an Educational Guide to Trading Futures and Options
93 page PDF eBook available for instant download
*Learn about futures basics
*Learn about options basics
*Margins and margin calculations
*Spreads
*Options spreads and calculations
*Trading Strategies
*Regulations
*Much More!
NASDAQ 100 Futures
Daily chart of NASDAQ100 futures ( NQ and the MICRO MNQ) below for your review.
March is now the FRONT month. NQH21.
While volatility is not as high as it was in March / April, we are still witnessing very large moves both ways.
Current trend is up but market looks a bit overbought and ready for a possible correction. Please see chart for potential support and resistance levels.
With the high volatility we are seeing, I would highly recommend looking at the MICRO contracts including the MICRO NQ which is 1/10th the size of the mini NASDAQ. The symbol is MNQ and you can read more about the MICROS here.
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-14-2020

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

S&P 500 Futures are almost 40!

SP 500 FuturesDon’t look now, the S&P Futures market is almost 40 years old! Prepare the over the hill jokes. On April 20th 1982, following winning a lawsuit to prevent the opening, regulators at the CFTC and SEC agreed to allow the contract, with the condition that it be settled using cash instead of delivering stocks. This was a revolution to the Commodity Sector, which was founded on delivering physical commodities like Live Cattle, Soy Beans and Silver. The move was expected to begin the merge between the equity and commodity sectors.

On April 21st 1982 at the CME “The Spoos” began trading futures based off the S&P 500 stock market index. Using 500 broad ranged stocks, S&P 500 Futures has since become the gauge for the economy. According to the April 22nd edition of the New York Times, “Indeed, the first trade was executed by a prominent gold trader, Maury A. Kravitz, who said he bought a contract for a client with a substantial stock portfolio. The seller was another floor trader, George I. Segal, who normally trades frozen pork bellies futures. Mr. Segal also said he was trading for a client with a large stock holding.” In the same year Paul Volcker and the Federal Reserve increased interest rates to nearly 20% successfully curbing inflation that kept the market suppressed since the late 1960s highs. The opening price was 116.35 and traded at $500 a point with a 1.5-point range. There were almost 4,000 contracts traded the first day. The notional value was about $58,500 and $3,200 margin.

In September 1997 S&P 500 Futures got its license to drive; opening on the online trading roads called GLOBEX. S&P Futures split in half making it $250 a point (moving to tenths from twentieths) while creating the E-mini (ES) 1/5 size contracts. The E-mini is traded exclusively on GLOBEX in quarter point increments allowing for the first time -traders to place their own trades instead of having to call it down to the floor. In 1998 the market closed over $1,000 for the first time. The volume was about 100,000 per day and the Notional value was $250,000 for the full size and $50,000 ES. The margin was about $5,000 per contract for the ES.

In May 2019 the ES E-mini S&P Futures at 37 years old had offspring of its own when the CME launched Micro Futures on the ES. The Micro ES, symbol MES, is 1/10 the size of the ES and 1/50 the size of the full size and 1/100 of the original contract. The original S&P Futures have all been but phased out with the closing of the physical pit a few years ago. The E-mini (ES)- now becoming known as the new “standard-size” S&P, is trading over price 3,300 making a nominal value of $165,000 per contract. This is 3x the size of the original futures contract’s nominal value while using the contract that was 1/10 of the size, using the $500 per point vs the $50 per point. Comparing apples to apples; the nominal value would have grown from $58,500 to $1,650,000 per contract. The volume is typically between 1 million and 2 million contracts traded per day and the margin is currently $7,290 for the ES contract, with many Brokers offering $500 day margins. If the cycle continues, the MES Micro ES futures will grow in size and who knows might become “standard- size” one day.

Celebrate the evolution by registering for a free Demo below to try the New Micro S&P Futures.

RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.

Should I Trade FOREX or Currency Futures?

By Matt Kang, Senior Broker

FOREX (foreign exchange market or currency market) refers to an international exchange market where currencies(pairs) are bought and sold. For instance, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD and more. If you are trading forex, you can hold your positions as long as you want because it doesn’t have any expiration date. But there is a cost associated with keeping the position over night, it can either be a credit or debit depending on the interest difference between two countries.

Currency futures are in one currency such as EURO FX or Canadian Dollar. Unlike FOREX, there is an expiration date which means you can only hold the position until that time. For example, if you are trading Mexican Peso and South African Rand but carry the position after the expiration date, these currencies are physically delivered four times in a year on the third Wednesday of March, June, September, and December.

 

Liquidity and Centralized Market?

 

The FOREX market is the largest and most liquid market in the world.  There is no centralized location for FOREX, which means there is no one physical location which is supervising this market. Therefore, traders must check the quotes of various currency pairs from each dealer.

The currency futures market has a respectable daily average closer to $100 billion. Compared to the 4 trillion FOREX daily volume. Currency futures are not as liquid as forex, but sufficient enough to trade. Currency futures are a centralized market, and one key aspect of centralized markets is that all traders and investors are able to see same quotes and the existence of a clearing house, it guarantees the integrity of the transactions. The resulting benefit of reduced risk from not dealing with variable counterparties is a key aspect of this.

 

Cost of Trading and Commission?

 

Some people say “I trade FOREX because there is no exchange, no regulatory fees and no commissions” but it is not true.  If you trade currency futures, you will see all of these fees exist, such as NFA fees, exchange fees and commission fees. It will cost around $5-8 (buy and sell) for a self-directed account. If you are trading FOREX, then all of these fees are included in a bid/ask spread. A typical spread for EUR/USD is 1.2 pips which is equivalent to $12.

 

So Should I Trade FOREX or Currency Futures?

 

 

For the average investor who trades an account of $2,500 to $500,000 it is probably wiser, and more cost effective to trade Currency futures. The cost of trading will be lowest with this amount of funding and the roll-over rate will not dramatically impact your trading.

 

If you are working with very little money ($250 to $2,000) OR trading with more than $1 million OR trading some exotic pairs, then you will be better off with FOREX because it offers mini as well as micro trading sizes. Also, if you are investing over $1 million, then it is possible to earn interest and lower spread (fees).

 

Disclaimer – Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.