“I get paid to wait…..” 2.14.2017

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Hello Traders

I heard this one today from a good client and wanted to share:

“I tell myself that I get paid to wait”

the client is a day-trader and was sharing with me that one of the biggest obstacles he had to overcome is the “need to look for trades” when nothing was there or how hard it is to be patient and wait for your set up. I thought I would share!

On a different note: Here is the recent press release mentioning Cannon Trading being #1 in two different categories!

Last but not least….a daily chart of US Dollar Index, which seems to be a major mover to many other markets. Currently on a bounce from a recent down trend correction and as always the big question is: will this bounce develop into another leg up or is this an opportunity to sell??

Trading Around Economic Reports 2.10.2017

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As a thank you….you get to have first look at an article I wrote and will be part of a series of articles about the different economic reports and different ways to explore trading around these reports: 

Futures Trading 101: Trading Around Economic Reports

Trading is truly a fascinating pursuit. The markets can in still excitement, frustration, irritation, exhilaration – really a wide range of emotions – conceivably, even within a single trade. Trading is definitely one of those undertakings where one has to constantly study, evolve and grow.

There are also a number of different approaches to trading, including day trading, swing trading and position trading. There are strategies that focus on just trading straight futures contracts, others solely trade options, including selling/writing options, still others incorporate long and short positions simultaneously – spread trading – utilizing futures and/or options.

One narrowly defined approach to trading – probably most relevant for day traders – is trading around economic reports.

The release of economic reports occurs almost daily. Most come from the U.S. federal government and look at national or large regional data; some come from other private surveys. Some garner considerable attention by traders; others draw barely a thought, much less a glance at their impact on the markets. This article doesn’t attempt to detail any particular number of them and their significance. Rather, it lists some pointers that can help traders prepare for reports releases.

  1. Know the times reports are set for release
  2. Know which markets reports may impact
  3. Know what the markets are expecting and how different outcomes will affect market movement
  4. Do your homework, i.e., go over charts from earlier dates when similar reports were released.
  5. Keep a journal. Focus on the reports that affect the markets you trade. In general, I like to know what the market expects, observe the market’s reaction to the actual data, let the initial strong move occur and then if there is a clear direction, I like to try trading the second wave. That means if I am looking to go short, I would give the market time, take a look at price action and wait for higher prices to go short. It’s possible I may miss the trade but I prefer to be rather conservative and follow the thinking that “no trade is better than a bad trade.” Another way more experienced traders can play major reports is by placing limits to both buy and sell at points they consider are the outer ranges for the short time frame. One must be experienced enough and understand the many factors and risks in trading during major numbers and know how to send attached orders.
  6. If you trade energies, you should know that Wednesday morning at 9:30 A.M., Central Time a key weekly report is released. If you trade natural gas, Thursday morning at 9:30 A.M., Central Time is similarly worth keeping an eye on.
  7. The financial markets (Treasury Bonds & Notes) are probably the markets most influenced by economic reports, such as Non-farm Payrolls/unemployment, housing starts, permits and home sales, Producer & Consumer Price Indexes, Consumer Confidence and others.
  8. There are a few great sources on the web that will list these reports and their meaning, including some free sources as well as paid services. The latter often provide real time updates and commentary.
  9. The vast majority of these reports are regularly scheduled weekly or monthly. Others, such as Federal Open Market Committee events occur every 6-8 weeks. Do your homework.
  10. Last but not least, do not enter a trade with the idea that you’ll just get in and see how it goes. Risk levels, potential targets, in other words, a game plan should be considered BEFORE you enter the trade!
  11. I will expand on this topic in future articles and write specifically about certain reports, the markets they affect, and more. Until then, don’t just jump in and start trading economic reports. Talk to a series 3 professionals at Cannon Trading Co, Inc. who can help you understand more, provide you with an honest outlook of both the risks and opportunities and who can help you devise a game plan!

Continue reading “Trading Around Economic Reports 2.10.2017”

BIG Grains Report Tomorrow! 2.09.2017

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With your help, Cannon Trading has won 1st place in both brokerage and blog categories on

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Big market mover report tomorrow in the grains sector, from the CME group: 

Industry experts preview the February 9 USDA WASDE report and discuss impacts to supply and demand fundamentals along with trading opportunities for the current environment.  

Watch video

Continue reading “BIG Grains Report Tomorrow! 2.09.2017”

Will 2017 be the Year of Risk? 2.08.2017

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An interesting video to watch, from the CME group: 

Equities: Will 2017 be the Year of Sector Risk? 

Watch video

On a different note, if you are a crude trader, don’t forget we have crude inventories report at 9:30 AM Central time.

Continue reading “Will 2017 be the Year of Risk? 2.08.2017”

Another Leg Up in Gold Futures 2.07.2017

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Nice upside breakout on gold! I included a daily chart for your review below along with support/ resistance levels – possible targets. 

On the other hand, ANOTHER LOW volatility, low volume, “dead action” in stock index futures. The last time I remember this was around summer of 2014 and December of 2013 where the ATR was less than 13 for more than a few days. Both times we witnessed a pretty good sell off following the tight ranges/ low volatility. No one can tell if this is what will happen next as the most famous disclaimer in our industry says: “Past performance is not indicative of future results” ….. 

Gold Daily chart:

GCE - Gold (Globex)Daily Chart, Equalized Active Daily Continuation

Unemployment Report Tomorrow 2.03.2017

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Friday, February 3rd
US January Non-Farm Payroll Report
Friday 08:30 EST /13:30GMT
(US) Jan Change in Non-farm Payrolls
(US) Jan Change in Private Payrolls
(US) Jan Change in Manufacturing Payrolls
What the News Desk Says www.TradeTheNews.com
In December unemployment was in line with expectations at 4.7%, while the non-farm payroll number was a little less than expected 156K net gain. Of note, average hourly earnings hit their highest level since 2009, rising +2.9% y/y, a positive indicator for wage growth.
Watch for more signs of wage inflation in Friday’s employment data. The headline numbers are expected to be steady, with the joblessness rate unchanged and another 170K gain in payrolls in January… more

FOMC tomorrow Feb. 1st + trading levels! 2.01.2017

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* Big day tomorrow.

We have FOMC, crude oil numbers. It is also the first day of the trading month for February as well as ADP employment figures…..Little note about trading on FOMC below: 

** The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 2:15 ET in the US tomorrow.

FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.

if you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

  • Reduce trading size
  • Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
  • Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 2265.00 with a stop at 2259.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 2259.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example.
  • Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
  • Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
  • Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
  • Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
  • Be patient and be disciplined

Continue reading “FOMC tomorrow Feb. 1st + trading levels! 2.01.2017”

Last Trading Day of the Month…..1.31.2017

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* Little more volatility to start the week than we have seen in a while….If you follow this blog, you probably read the following more than a few times over the years….Volatility is a cycle and it is rare that volatility remains extremely high or extremely low….I anticipate some higher volatility soon and who knows, between earning season and FOMC this Wednesday, we may actually see it sooner than later…. 

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Continue reading “Last Trading Day of the Month…..1.31.2017”