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Category: Futures Trading

Futures trading is done by two main parties, one of which is the hedger and the other one is the speculator. Where a speculator is there to trade for either their own accounts or that of their clients, a hedger always uses futures as a possible protection from losses. Hedgers can also be described as individuals or business owners who are more risk averse. Speculators and hedgers are likely to benefit from futures trading if the trader has a strong ability to analyze the markets and understands that future behavior. Though futures can behigh risk, they offer an equally high return and are thus very tempting.

In case you are new to futures trading you need to understand how things work. We at Cannon Trading are there to help with your understanding of all the elements of futures trading and also counsel and advise you with the same. Our knowledge base featured on our website, is a store house of information. In order to know every aspect of futures trading, you must read through these articles that have been listed in this category archive. Go through it and get better informed!

Weekly Newsletter: Xmas Schedule, Dollar Index Outlook & Trading Levels for Dec. 23rd

Posted on by Ilan

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In this issue:

  • StoneX/E-Futures Platform Updates
  •  Important Notices – Christmas Trading Schedule
  • Hot Market of the Week – March US Dollar Index
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week
To our clients whose accounts are with StoneX and currently using the E-Futures Platform:

  • The new StoneX Futures platform will be up and running Monday, Dec. 16th.

 

  • Your existing LIVE user name and password will be accepted.

 

  • Your existing exchange data subscriptions will migrate to the new platform.
  • To login to the new trading interface please login here:

https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

  • If you like a demo ( and did not have a demo of StoneX Futures yet) CLICK HERE
  • In the mean time, your E-Futures platform will stay active until a date no earlier than Fri., Dec. 27th, with a firm decommission date to be announced
Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

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  • Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

March US Dollar Index

The November 25th QT Chart of the Day alerted readers that the US dollar index had completed its first upside PriceCount objective. The chart proceeded to correct lower which is normal reaction. Now, we are attempting to resume the rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count to the 109.98 area.

 

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?
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Daily Levels for December 23, 2024

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Weekly Levels

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

December Futures Expiration and March Rollover: Key Dates and Holiday Schedule

Posted on by Ilan

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Stock Index December contracts (i.e., the E-mini and Micro S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones and Russell 2000.) expire Friday, December 20th (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading in these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any December futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, Dec. 20th, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.

FRONT MONTH IS NOW MARCH , the symbol is H25, example for Micro mini SP is MESH25

The month code for March is ‘H.’  Please consider carefully how you place orders when changing over.
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Christmas Holiday trading Schedule!

 

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Daily Levels for December 20, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Post-FOMC Moves: Markets React to Rate Cut and Outlook

Posted on by Ilan

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The Day After FOMC – What will the Markets Do?

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

General:

The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by a quarter percentage point today, lowering the Fed’s benchmark federal-funds rate to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%, a two-year low.

“Today was a closer call but we decided it was the right call,” Powell told reporters at its post-announcement press conference. “It was the best decision to foster achievement of both of our goals,” referring to price stability and maximum employment.

The Fed cut rates at its two previous meetings, beginning with a half-percentage-point reduction in September and a quarter-point cut last month.

The Federal Reserve downgraded its view of how inflation will progress next year.  Back in September officials had penciled in around four cuts next year.  New projections released Wednesday show officials expect to make fewer rate reductions next year.  Most penciled in two cuts for 2025 if the economy grows steadily and inflation continues to decline.

Stock Indexes:

The Dec. E-mini Dow Jones futures contract and its related cash index are approaching a fifty-year record with today’s sell-off capping a 10-day losing streak – its worst since an 11-day slide in 1974.  Despite the streak, the Dow sits roughly 5% from an all-time high.

Stock index futures across the board sold off after the announcement.  The Dec. E-mini S&P 500 has fallen ±160 points / ± 2.6% as of this typing, moving further away from its all-time closing high 6096.75 on Dec. 4.

Crypto:

After trading intraday yesterday to yet another all-time high of 108,960, December Bitcoin futures have fallen ±8000 points below 10100 late this session.

 

 

Daily Chart of the mini SP500 below:

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Daily Levels for December 19, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Movers and Shakers: Markets Await Fed Decision Amid Retail Sales Strength

Posted on by Ilan

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

 

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Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

The Equity markets got a little less frothy today ahead of the Final rate decision; prices down marginally. Some SMA crossovers are showing a downside break is in store for the DOW Index. Not so for the S & P or Nasdaq Indices. Although the S&P does not appear to be poised for a breakdown like the Dow, (range bound for the past 3 weeks) NQ’s story is a little different and the Magnificent 7 have continue to fuel the endless rally with only a minor 6/10th’s of a percentage correction. My personal view is this is simply a retail selling opportunity in advance of the FOMC results tomorrow, I call it a little “risk off”.

 

Energies, Grains, Metals, softs are all closing on the negative for the day with very few exceptions within the complexes.

 

US Advance Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**US November Advance Retail Sales: +0.7%; expected +0.6%

**US November Advance Retail Sales ex Autos: +0.2%; expected +0.4%

 

**US revised October Retail Sales: +0.5% from +0.4%

 

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.5% in the first two weeks of December 2024 vs December 2023

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.8% in the week ending December 14th vs yr ago week

 

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

 

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +6.5% in the first week of September 2024 vs September 2023

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +6.5% in the week ending September 7 vs yr ago week

 

Updated: December 17, 2024 8:15 am

Federal Reserve US Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization Headline Recap

 

**Federal Reserve November US Industrial Production: -0.1%; expected +0.2%

**Federal Reserve November US Capacity Utilization: 76.8%; expected 77.2%

 

**Federal Reserve October US Industrial Production revised: -0.4%; prior -0.3%

**Federal Reserve October US Capacity Utilization revised: 77.0%; prior 77.1%

 

Updated: December 17, 2024 9:38 am

**US House Speaker Johnson Tuesday morning said the stopgap funding bill will have $10 billion for US farmers

Updated: September 10, 2024 12:49 pm

 

 

Watch Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

 

 

Fed Funds FOMC Rate decision @ 1P.M. Central with 1:30 PM Presser with J. Powell to follow.

 

Consensus Outlook:

The US Federal Reserve will announce their FOMC policy statement Wednesday afternoon around 1:00 pm CT. Many economists expect the FOMC to lower the key Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points, to a range between 4.25% to 4.50%. However, after Tuesday’s strong November US retail sales data showed underlying economic momentum, pundits are wondering if the Fed may signal a cautious, slowing pace of interest rate cuts in 2025.

Soybeans Daily Chart Below:
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Daily Levels for December 18, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Weekly Newsletter: Rollover, Levels for Monday, Sugar Outlook & More!

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more by joining our Private Facebook Group!
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1221

In this issue:

  • StoneX/E-Futures Platform Updates
  •  Important Notices – Earnings, FOMC, Rollover, The Week Ahead.
  • Futures 102 – SP500 Outlook + Premium Daily Research Trial
  • Hot Market of the Week – March Sugar
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

 

To our clients whose accounts are with StoneX and currently using the E-Futures Platform:

  • The new StoneX Futures platform will be up and running Monday, Dec. 16th.

 

  • Your existing LIVE user name and password will be accepted.

 

  • Your existing exchange data subscriptions will migrate to the new platform.
  • To login to the new trading interface please login here:

https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

  • If you like a demo ( and did not have a demo of StoneX Futures yet) CLICK HERE
  • In the mean time, your E-Futures platform will stay active until a date no earlier than Fri., Dec. 27th, with a firm decommission date to be announced

 

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

 

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

  • 122 corporate earnings reports and a number of meaningful Economic data releases including Core Personal Consumption and Expenditures Index (PCE) a closely watched Data point for the FED.Additionally, The final fed funds rate decision of 2024 will be announced on Wed. Dec. 18th, to be followed by Chairman Powell’s presser 30 minutes later.Below are the Rate change Probabilities as of this morning from the CME Fedwatch tool.

     

     

    Prominent Earnings Next Week:

    • Mon. Quiet (32 rpts)
    • Tue. Quiet (19 rpts)
    • Wed. Micron, Lennar Homes Post close
    • Thu. Quiet (30 rpts)
    • Fri. Quiet (18 rpts)

     

     

    FED SPEECHES:

    • Wed. 1:30 P.M. CST FOMC Chair Jerome Powell, leads Fed Presser on Rate decision.

     

    Economic Data week:

    • Mon. NY Empire State Manu. Index, S&P Global PMI Composite,
    • Tues. Retail Sales , Redbook, Industrial Production, Business Inventories, Housing Market Index,
    • Wed. Bldg Permits, Housing Starts, FOMC Rate Decision, Economic projections
    • Thur. Jobless claims, Core PCR, GDP Final, Philly Fed, Conference Board Leading Economic Indicators, Existing Home Sales
    • Fri. Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income
    •  For stock index futures traders, it’s time to “roll over” and start trading the March ’25 futures contracts. This Friday, Dec. 20th at 8:30 A.M., Central Time, the Dec. ’24 futures contracts will officially halt trading and the exchange will cash settle all open positions. 

 

 

Futures 102: Daily Research Free Trial

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Get Personalized Trading Reports Like the One Above Directly to your Inbox!

SIGN UP FOR A FREE TRIAL

  • Get qualified support and resistance levels for precise risk management on different commodity markets.
  • Get pivot points that highlight shifts in the futures market momentum.
  • Get technical forecasts to keep you on the right side of a specific commodity trading market.
  • One on One “Daily Digest” with a dedicated series 3 professional.

 

 

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    • Hot Market of the Week 

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

March Sugar

The rally in March sugar ran out of momentum and the chart has been trending lower since. If the chart can sustain its break from here, the second downside PriceCount projects a possible run to the 20.16 area. It would take a trade below the September reactionary low to formally negate the remaining unmet upside count which would also be consistent with targeting the third downside count.

 

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Fusion NQ

 

PRODUCT

Nasdaq 100 Mini

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Swing Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$50,000

 

COST

USD 150 / monthly

 

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
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Daily Levels for December 16th, 2024

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Weekly Levels for the week of

December 16th, 2024

 

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Daily Insights and Market Levels: Unlock Premium Research with Artac Advisory

Posted on by Ilan

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!
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Daily research, market levels and much more from our friends at Artac Advisory – feel free to sign up for a FREE, NO OBLIGATION trial of their premium service and research!

 

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Daily Levels for December 13, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
7e6a70a5 8356 4193 98c4 6aebdcde9ff0
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

OPEC Meeting Tomorrow: Crude Oil Insights and Trading Strategies

Posted on by Ilan

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!
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OPEC meeting tomorrow.

Crude Oil analysis from our friends at Artac Advisory.
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Get Personalized Trading Reports Like the One Above Directly to your Inbox!

SIGN UP FOR A FREE TRIAL

  • Get qualified support and resistance levels for precise risk management on different commodity markets.
  • Get pivot points that highlight shifts in the futures market momentum.
  • Get technical forecasts to keep you on the right side of a specific commodity trading market.
  • One on One “Daily Digest” with a dedicated series 3 professional.
8649f59e d2cb 4b29 a7c6 f8f3469d889e
Ask a Broker: What is Day Trading Futures, Part 2?
Ask a Broker: What is Day Trading Futures, Pt 2?

 

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Daily Levels for December 9, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
d9f16aca 9757 4ac6 b11c 616bf943bca3
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

NFP Tomorrow: Key Insights and Market Impacts

Posted on by Ilan

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!
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NFP tomorrow!

Non Farm Payrolls, market moving event!

Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;

This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts;

Please see an SP500 outlook from our friends at Artac Advisory and feel free to sign up for a FREE, NO OBLIGATION trial of their premium service and research!

 
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Daily Levels for December 6, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
fbb39a7c 15f6 4cdc b9d6 55a01d942bb5
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Movers and Shakers: Political Turmoil, Market Highs, and Economic Indicators

Posted on by Ilan

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!
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Movers and shakers! 

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

General: 

 

Leaders of two staunch U.S. allies, South Korea and France, are facing their ouster today.  French Prime Minister Michel Barnier faces a pivotal no-confidence vote that risks toppling his government and derailing France’s efforts to get its public finances back on track.  This is the result of a monthslong battle over France’s 2025 budget. Mr. Barnier’s proposed budget demands 60 billion euros – equivalent to $63.1 billion – in spending cuts and tax increases to narrow France’s deficit, which is projected to reach more than 6% of gross domestic product this year, double the European Union’s limit.

 

One day after declaring martial law – a type of military control that had been avoided in South Korea for more than four decades, its president, Yoon Suk Yeol, is now facing the prospect of impeachment, creating more political instability for this close Asian U.S. ally.  Mr. Yoon’s move to declare martial law late Tuesday night stunned South Korea’s political establishment and caught U.S. officials by surprise. Within about six hours, Mr. Yoon reversed course after lawmakers voted 190-0 against the measure, a group that included nearly 20 lawmakers from Yoon’s own party.

 

More General: 

 

It’s that time of the month again: we’re a couple of days from when the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report.  It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy.  The report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.

 

Stock Indexes: 

 

Today, the Dec. E-mini S&P 500, the E-mini Nasdaq and the E-mini Dow Jones futures contracts traded to new all-time highs, with the E-mini S&P 500 piercing 6100, the Dow over 45,000 and the Nasdaq above 21,500.

 

Crypto: 

 

December Bitcoin futures retained its lofty valuation, moving up ±$3,000 / ±$3%, above 99,000 and within striking distance of its second highest all-time close after closing at 100,815 on November 22.

 

Soy Complex: 

 

After dropping nearly 8 cents today, January soybeans, the futures’ front month for another few weeks, closed at $9.83¾ per bushel and remains mired within striking distance of its intraday life-of-contract low at 973½ per bushel posted back on August 14th.

 
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Daily Levels for December 5, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
365f31a1 7462 4c3a 9155 e46382b7e753
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Movers and Shakers: Analyzing Market Trends and Upcoming Fed Signals

Posted on by Ilan

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!
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Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Fed Chair Powell speaks tomorrow.

WTI Backwardation:

For a short period of time now, the Crude oil markets structure has been in Backwardation.  Backwardation is where the spot or front futures contract is trading at higher prices than the future or deferred months.

      In the short run , this could be seen as bullish for the commodity, meaning there is a more aggressive need to own or hold the product now, rather than in the future. This could be the result of supply chain issues, geopolitical threats, or in very few cases short covering rallies.

Front Month WTI Crude, January is currently trading at 70.04 up 1.94 from yesterdays close. 40 cents higher than the next month February , and a full dollar higher than April contract currently trading at 69.04..

Backwardation can resolve itself in a day or within months, depending on the perception and severity of the supply side shortage or the demand side aggression.

You may have heard the opposite of Backwardation in the futures markets is Contango. Contango is typically considered a carrying charge market, where the future price or deferred contract prices are higher as a result of cost to carry, storage and insurance.

Today’s movers and shakers

updated: December 3, 2024 9:00 am

**US October 2024 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS): 7.744 mln; prior month 7.443 mln

Updated: December 3, 2024 11:33 am

San Francisco Fed President Daly: will have restrictive policy until inflation gets to 2%

Updated: December 3, 2024 11:40 am

Fed Governor Kugler: worries Congress and Trump administration will affect productivity

Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks @ 12:45 CST NYTimes Dealbook Summit.

ADP 7:15 CST, SP Svcs PMI 8:45 CST, ISM Svcs PMI 9:00 CST

 
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Daily Levels for December 4, 2024

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