FOMC Results & Futures Levels 4.30.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday April 30, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

FOMC came and gone, Fed did not supply any new clues about timing for future rate increase and market volatility was a bit less than other FOMC meetings.

Many times the real reaction comes over night, the next trading day. Be ready for a possible volatile day tomorrow. The futures trading business is not an easy one, one moment of losing control, one moment of not following your rules can be very costly.

Make sure that every morning / start of trading day you are ready to trade. If you are sick, if your kids are home and taking your attention, master the level of maturity to tell yourself: “I should not be trading today”.

Continue reading “FOMC Results & Futures Levels 4.30.2015”

Economic Reports & Futures Levels 4.28.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday April 28, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

TradeTheNews.com Weekly Market Update: Springtime for the Nasdaq

The March quarter earnings season hit its stride this week, and just about half of the S&P500 components have released quarterly results. Global indices remain at or near all-time highs: in Asia, a PBoC RRR cut helped neutralize fears of a Chinese selloff after last Friday’s regulatory crackdown (although there was another round of similar fears regulators would be tightening the screws), while in the US a few rounds of strong earnings propelled the Nasdaq above its March 2000 all-time closing high and kept the S&P near its March all-time highs. In Europe, Greece missed another deadline to present its European partners with reforms to unlock funding, but equity and bond markets seem to be reacting much less severely to the story. Leading manufacturing indicators in Asia showed a difficult start for Q2, as advance PMIs for China and Japan saw significant deterioration. Beyond the unending Greek drama, Europe was looking slightly better, with a 10-month high in the Germany April IFO survey and another month of expansion in the preliminary Eurozone manufacturing PMI data. For the week, the DJIA added 1.4%, the S&P500 rose 1.7% and the Nasdaq surged 3.2%.

There was next to no progress made in resolving the Greek crisis at Friday’s Eurogroup meeting and yet another deadline for Athens to unveil its reform proposals was missed. With Europe’s patience running very thin, there was talk the ECB was mulling a plan to cut off the Greek financial system from ELA support and ECB President Draghi said the council would examine the issue at a May 6th meeting. In public statements, Greek and European officials continued to talk about the need to reach a deal and Greece made a few concessions, but press reports suggested talks were very heated and Greece’s creditors were considering a “final ultimatum” for Greece, with no funds released short of a comprehensive deal. The next big payment faced by Athens is a €1.4 billion bill redemption on May 8th. EUR/USD tested lows around 1.0660 on Tuesday and Thursday then rose to its highs of the week at 1.0900 on Friday.

The March home sales reports were mixed. March US existing home sales bounced higher, improving on the flattish February numbers that had been impacted by the harsh winter weather. Sales of previously owned homes climbed to the highest level since September 2013, up 13.5% y/y. Conversely, March new home sales disappointed with a 10% decline from February’s relatively good level. Analysts highlighted that both reports are highly erratic and subject to big revisions. Two major homebuilders also reported contrasting quarterly results this week. DR Horton met expectations in its second quarter and offered slightly improved FY guidance, with orders up ~30% y/y. Pulte Homes widely missed earnings and revenue targets. Pulte’s performance was weighed down with construction delays, which impeded closings.

In big tech, Microsoft and Amazon saw impressive gains in cloud computing revenue. Amazon’s quarterly revenue rose 12% and its quarterly loss was slightly smaller than expected. Investors were happy to see the firm break out AWS metrics for the first time: AWS had revenue of $1.5 billion in the quarter, with a run rate of $5 billion a year and profits of $265 million. Microsoft’s results showed CEO Nadella’s turnaround well under way, with mobile hardware and cloud services revenue up sharply even as legacy licensing and PC revenue continued to decline. IBM saw its 12th straight quarter of revenue contraction, exacerbated by lower hardware sales and the strength of the dollar

Facebook’s results were very good across the board, with advertising revenue up 46% y/y and user metrics up double digits. The social network joined the chorus of firms complaining about the effects of the strong dollar, saying forex headwinds would be even greater in Q2 than the 7% crimp in Q1. Google’s revenue and paid clicks rose slightly less than expected, although costs were lower. Analysts had been criticizing the firm for swelling expenses over recent quarters.

Industrial names showed stress from the strength of the dollar and overseas economic weakness. Caterpillar crushed earnings expectations, however the firm warned sales and profit in each of the remaining three quarters of 2015 would be lower than the first quarter. General Motors meanwhile widely missed on earnings and revenue, with significant losses in key overseas markets. Lockheed and United Technologies both missed on revenue, although Lockheed also slightly increased its FY guidance. Boeing’s revenue missed and the backlog shrank.

Consumer names Pepsi and Procter & Gamble saw flat profits and declining revenues; PG’s revenue fell for the fifth quarter in a row. McDonalds disclosed grim first-quarter results: revenue declined 11% y/y and guest traffic was down in all major segments. Shares rose post-earnings after the firm said it would disclose a major turnaround plan soon and said it closed another 220 locations worldwide in the quarter. YUM! Brands saw lower profits and continuing drag in China, but tweaked its FY outlook slightly higher. Coke had a solid quarterly report. Airlines United Continental and Southwest reported very good results, citing lower fuel prices and growing demand.

Dow Chemical saw its earnings bulked up by asset sales, even as its revenue declined 14% y/y. Competitor 3M missed earnings expectations and cut its FY guidance. Both names warned FX negative impacts on sales would be substantial for the full year. Steel firms Nucor and Reliance Steel disclosed very strong first quarter results, with both companies widely beating earnings expectations. Executives from the two firms cited improving industry conditions, although they also warned pricing remains under pressure.

Comcast officially abandoned its $45 billion deal to acquire Time Warner Cable. The announcement does not come as much of a surprise, as the consensus emerged that after the FCC’s net neutrality gambit the deal was next to impossible. The FCC was gearing up for hearings on the merger and press reports out this week suggested that DOJ lawyers were close to a decision to recommend blocking the merger. There is no breakup fee for either firm for walking away from the deal. Charter Communications (which is controlled by Liberty Media Corp) is widely understood to be interested in making a bid for Time Warner now that Comcast is out of the way, but reports indicate that TWC would demand a higher price than the $159/share that Comcast offered.

After weeks of rumors, Teva launched a $40.1 billion offer for rival Mylan. The cash-and-stock bid is valued at $82/share, a 48.3% premium compared to Mylan’s stock price on March 10, the last trading before speculation of a link-up between the two companies. The contest won’t likely be a friendly one: just last week, Mylan said a merger with Teva would be unlikely to win antitrust approval because of “significant overlap” among the two businesses. Mylan’s first line of defense was making its own offer for Perrigo. However, Perrigo rejected the initial unsolicited offer of $205/share and then also spurned a formalized cash and stock offer on the grounds that Mylan’s stock has been inflated by the Teva bid.

The PBoC started the week off with a bang, cutting its Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) by 100 bps to 18.5%, which eased some of the anxiety caused by new limits placed on margin trading last week. The economic data didn’t cooperate, however. The China flash HSBC PMI registered its fourth consecutive contraction and a one year low as the headline number missed estimates. Meanwhile, Japan’s preliminary April Markit manufacturing PMI missed expectations as well, and slipped into contraction for the first time in nearly a year. Japan monthly trade data saw its first surplus in almost three years, but that was at least in part due to the crash in oil prices pushing down import values.

Source: http://www.tradethenews.com/?storyId=1733445

 

 

 

GOOD TRADING

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Futures Trading Levels

Contract June 2015 SP500 Nasdaq100 Dow Jones Mini Russell Dollar Index
Resistance 3 2135.08 4595.17 18241 1297.37 98.22
Resistance 2 2127.42 4575.33 18176 1286.13 97.84
Resistance 1 2115.58 4548.92 18078 1268.07 97.38
Pivot 2107.92 4529.08 18013 1256.83 97.00
Support 1 2096.08 4502.67 17915 1238.77 96.54
Support 2 2088.42 4482.83 17850 1227.53 96.16
Support 3 2076.58 4456.42 17752 1209.47 95.70
Contract June Gold July Silver June Crude Oil June Bonds June   Euro
Resistance 3 1242.4 17.46 59.00 164 24/32 1.1051
Resistance 2 1224.5 16.97 58.44 164 1/32 1.0992
Resistance 1 1213.3 16.69 57.63 163 13/32 1.0943
Pivot 1195.4 16.20 57.07 162 22/32 1.0884
Support 1 1184.2 15.92 56.26 162 2/32 1.0835
Support 2 1166.3 15.43 55.70 161 11/32 1.0776
Support 3 1155.1 15.15 54.89 160 23/32 1.0727
Contract July Corn July Wheat July Beans July SoyMeal June Nat Gas
Resistance 3 367.3 496.1 985.17 321.83 2.58
Resistance 2 365.9 491.4 982.33 319.27 2.56
Resistance 1 363.3 482.3 977.67 316.63 2.53
Pivot 361.9 477.7 974.83 314.07 2.51
Support 1 359.3 468.6 970.2 311.4 2.5
Support 2 357.9 463.9 967.33 308.87 2.46
Support 3 355.3 454.8 962.67 306.23 2.43
5. Economic Reports

source:http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)

Date 4:21pm Currency Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Graph
TueApr 28  9:00am USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y 4.7% 4.6%
10:00am USD CB Consumer Confidence 102.6 101.3
USD Richmond Manufacturing Index -2 -8

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

 

Futures Market Recap & Futures Levels 4.21.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday April 21, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Big turn around on equities between Friday and today thanks to China news….will be interesting to see what tomorrow will bring…..

From our friends at TradeTheNews.com weekly summary below, followed by mid session update from today, to provide you with a bit more of the fundamentals moving the markets:

” The Shanghai Composite rose higher for the sixth straight week, tacking on another 6%, making for impressive rally of over 30% for the year. Investors have been undeterred by the apparent slowdown in the economy, as showcased by Q1 GDP and the bulk of data-points for the month of March. First quarter GDP growth of 7% was right in line with consensus and matched the overall 2015 target but still marked a 6-year low. Retail sales grew just 10.2% y/y, the slowest since February 2006 and missing forecasts. Industrial output grew 5.6%, the slowest since November 2008 and well below estimates at 7%e. Fixed-asset investment grew at a 14-year low of 13.5%.

Continue reading “Futures Market Recap & Futures Levels 4.21.2015”

Heiken-Ashi Mini Nasdaq Futures Chart & Economic Reports 4.16.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday April 16, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Earnings season is well underway and it this point I am clueless as to which way one should trade this market outside the day-trading time frame….looks like we have about 200 mini NASDAQ points of “existing range/bans for now.

I would look for either a break higher or failure to do so as the first clue. Continue reading “Heiken-Ashi Mini Nasdaq Futures Chart & Economic Reports 4.16.2015”

Day Trading Futures 101 & Futures Levels 4.15.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday April 15, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Day Trading 101: Tight Stops? Wide Stops? Which one should I Use?

Today I decided to touch more on an educational feature rather than provide a certain market outlook.

Many of my clients and blog readers know that when it comes to short term trading I am a fan of adjusting your trading technique/ game plan according to your assessment of the type of trading day that is developing in front of you. Continue reading “Day Trading Futures 101 & Futures Levels 4.15.2015”

New eBook & Futures Levels 4.01.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday April 1, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Trading Book Giveaway:

15 ways to improve your trading in 7 minutes or less.

Tap here to download this ebook

Great news!

Today you can get your copy of the brand new eBook I’m featured in, 15 Ways to Improve Your Trading in 7 Minutes or less – at no cost.

The eBook is packed with different trading tips you can start using today.

Tap here to download your copy now.

This collaborative book brings you the top trading tips from a whole host of pro traders.

Each one is a quick, easy to use, power strategy that could help your trading arsenal.

You’ll find little-known trading tips for a wide range of market including

Options, Forex, Futures, Stocks, Nadex Binary Options, and more.

The book is “interactive” which means you’ll get videos of some of the trading tips and strategies embedded in the eBook.

So tap here to download your ebook right now.

Continue reading “New eBook & Futures Levels 4.01.2015”

Good Friday Holiday Futures Trading Schedule 2015

Globex Good Friday Holiday Futures Trading Schedule

Equity Products

Thursday, April 2

 1615 CT / 1715 ET / 2115 UTC – Regular close

 1700 CT / 1800 ET / 2200 UTC – Regular open for trade date Friday, April 3

Friday, April 3

 0815 CT / 0915 ET / 1315 UTC – Early CME Globex close for trade date Friday April 3

 Sunday, April 5

1700 CT / 1800 ET / 2200 UTC – Regular open for trade date Monday, April 6

Interest Rate & FX Products

Thursday, April 2

 1600 CT / 1700 ET / 2100 UTC – Regular close

 1700 CT / 1800 ET / 2200 UTC – Regular open for trade date Friday, April 3

Friday, April 3

 1015 CT / 1115 ET / 1515 UTC – Early CME Globex close for trade date Friday April 3

Sunday, April 5

1700 CT/ 1800 ET / 2200 UTC – Regular open for trade date Monday, April 6

Energy, Metals & DME Products

Thursday, April 2

 1615 CT / 1715 ET / 2115 UTC – Regular close

Friday, April 3

 CME Globex is closed

Sunday, April 5

 1700 CT / 1800 ET / 2200 UTC – Regular open for trade date Monday, April 6

Grain, Oilseed & MGEX Products

 Thursday, April 2

 Regular close – Per each product schedule

 Friday, April 3

 CME Globex is closed

Sunday, April 5

1900 CT / 2000 ET / 0000 UTC – Regular open for trade date Monday, April 6

 Monday, April 6

 0700 CT / 0800 ET / 1200 UTC – MGEX Apple Juice – regular open

 Regular close – Per each product

Livestock, Dairy & Lumber Products

Thursday, April 2

 1355 CT / 1455 ET / 1855 UTC – Early Close

Friday, April 3

 CME Globex is closed

Sunday, April 5

 1700 CT / 1800 ET / 2200 UTC – Dairy markets open for trade date Monday, April 6

 Monday, April 6

 900 CT / 1000 ET / 1400 UTC – Lumber market open

 905 CT / 1005 ET / 1405 UTC – Livestock markets open

More details at: http://www.cmegroup.com/tools-information/holiday-calendar/files/2015-good-friday-holiday-schedule.pdf

Continue reading “Good Friday Holiday Futures Trading Schedule 2015”

Futures Levels & Economic Reports 3.31.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday March 31, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

New look to our email but the same great content and format!

Tomorrow is last trading day for March! A bit on what moving the market below from our friends at TradeTheNews.com

TradeTheNews.com Weekly Market Update: Mixed Data Blunts Risk On Appetite

Global equity indices retreated from at or near record high levels this week. Traders noted technical trading around some key sector reversals, historically weak seasonal patterns observed post March options expiration and pre-Q1 earnings releases, and geopolitical worries emanating from the Middle East as all playing a role in reversing equity sentiment. US economic data was mixed but definitively continues to point to a slowdown in Q1 economic activity. The momentum technology and biotech stocks saw a few bouts of selling which garnered attention as they did on a couple of occasions in 2014. There were glimmers of hope in Europe. Measures of confidence among German businesses and consumers saw surprising improvements, while other European nations also saw an uptick in confidence surveys. German and euro zone March preliminary services and manufacturing PMIs surveys beat expectations and rose further into expansion territory. In Asia, China’s March HSBC PMI manufacturing survey slipped to an 11-month low amid wider unease about the nation’s economy. Chinese officials continue to talk down growth expectations, with Vice Premier Zhang saying China has “paid a price” for very high growth and that high growth levels are “not sustainable.” For the week, the DJIA fell 2.3%, the S&P500 lost 2.2% and the Nasdaq dropped 2.7%.

Just before markets closed on Friday, Fed Chair Yellen reiterated that rates are likely to rise this year, but that the path of rates is more important than the timing of rate lift off. She again mentioned that the dollar strength will impact US exports, but said that the currency market has to be put in context, and that other factors like robust consumer spending and foreign central bank stimulus will help the US economy.

Other Fed speakers this week also reiterated that the June, July and September Fed meetings would be live for possible rate hikes. Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer said the FOMC would “eventually raise rates by 25 basis points,” jesting that this would take Fed policy from “ultra-accommodative” to “extremely accommodative”.

Continue reading “Futures Levels & Economic Reports 3.31.2015”