Trading Resource of the Week – Filter Noise with Price Confirmation
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ZB Day Trading System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Trading Resource of the Week – Entering futures using stop orders as “price confirmation”
By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP
Watch video below on how you can possibly filter out some of the losing trades by using STOP orders as a way to ENTER trades ( rather than the typical stop loss use).
Try a FREE demo of the platform used to show the charts in this educational article. The platform is FREE and has charts, news, DOM, T&S, Alerts, advanced order entry, options and MUCH MORE!
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
As expected, today Federal Reserve officials raised interest rates by 25 basis points. This puts the Federal Funds Rate – the central bank’s key borrowing rate – at a range of 5.25 to 5.50. This is the highest level at which Fed Funds have been set since 2001. The vote was unanimous among the Fed governors to take this latest step in the bank’s efforts to rein in inflation and cool the economy. This increase is the latest in the fed’s months-long effort to rachet up borrowing costs resulting in a reduction in demand for goods, services and labor in the economy.
WTI crude oil has been repeatedly plumbing its lows of the year between $67 and $70 per barrel the entire second quarter. Yesterday it traded within 10 cents of $80.00 per barrel intraday (basis Sept.) to 3-month highs – a solid ±$12 per barrel move this month; a ±$12,000 per contract move. Analysts largely attribute the increase to recently announced output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
September soybeans traded up 21 ¼ cents today to this crop year’s and life-of-contract highs, closing at $15.56 ½ per bushel. The current rally off it’s late-May lows just above $12.00 per bushel (a ±$17,500 per contract move) reflect the continued sentiment that U.S. soybean crop conditions will continue to deteriorate as harvest approaches.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The week ahead Earnings, Earnings, FOMC, ECB Rate decision and more Earnings and more govt reports!
Tuesday @ 9 am CDT US Consumer confidence will be released, expectations are for better than last month by a few bases points then : Tuesday after the close GOOG reports Q2 earnings expectations are +$1.34 per share. MSFT also reports it’s fiscal Q4 , expectations are for earnings +$2.55 per share, Regional banks will also be reporting this week, The Regionals have the largest exposure to the Commercial Real Estate problem, keep a close on on any developments here. Wednesday META reports +$2.91 expected Thursday AMZN +$.34 expected. Govt Reports: Tuesday thru Friday C Confidence mentioned above and the start of the FOMC the last one until September Expectations are currently projected with a confidence rating of 98.9% for a .25 increase to the 5.25=5.50 range. The actual announcement is Wednesday @ 1pm CDT with a press conference to follow 30 minutes later . Thursday the ECB announces it’s short term rate policy and they are expected to follow suit another .25 @ 7:15 am CDT. Q2 GDP is released at 7:30 CDT along with Durable goods, Intl trade in Goods ands US Jobless claims. Friday we can take a breath as the markets unwind their directions from the previous three days and will tend to reverse in a risk off stance prior to the weekend as we head toward the Dog Days of summer.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Resource of the Week – Parabolics & Bollinger Bands
Hot Market of the Week – November Beans
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ Day Trading System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Important Notices – FX Trading Contest
Participate in the upcoming Currency Cup: FX Trading Challenge where you’ll trade our suite of highly liquid benchmark FX contracts in a risk-free environment while competing against other traders for the chance to win cash prizes.
Learn how to trade FX futures and options
Through participation in our challenge, you’ll receive daily exclusive educational videos where you’ll learn about the key benefits of trading FX futures contracts.
This competition is open to residents in the United States (US), Canada (CA) excluding Quebec, *Brazil (BR), United Kingdom (UK), Germany (DE), Netherlands (NL), Switzerland (CH), United Arab Emirates (UAE), Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), Republic of Korea (KR), Taiwan (TW), and Japan (JP).
*Residents of Brazil must have a bank account in the United States to be eligible to receive a prize.
Trading Resource of the Week – Parabolics and Bollinger Band
By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP
Watch video below on how you can utilize the Bollinger bands and parabolics studies in different ways.
Try a FREE demo of the platform used to show the charts in this educational article. The platform is FREE and has charts, news, DOM, T&S, Alerts, advanced order entry, options and MUCH MORE!
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
November Beans Extended the rally above $14 when the chart is attacking overhead and the December High ($14.27 )and last Springs contract High ($14.48). New sustained highs above these levels would open the top side for a possible run to the low percentage fourth upside PriceCount objective near the 15.82 area
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Highlights, Announcements by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
General:
Forecasts for the U.S. economy continue to reduce the chances of recession – or if one arrives its lower severity – as readings for reports like the Consumer & Producer Price Indexes and Personal Consumption continue to show inflation is coming under control. At the same time, fear has dissipated that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies will destabilize the business climate, particularly as it related to employment and hiring, albeit having cooled somewhat last month. Signs indeed point to the FOMC taking more of a wait-and-see stance in its upcoming meetings than the sense of tenacity it shown in raising rates eleven consecutive times ending in May. In the background, the U.S. dollar has drifted south giving exports a boost.
Agricultural:
Orange Juice futures (basis Sept.) traded to new all-time highs this week on the heels of Tuesday’s USDA crop report showing the U.S. orange crop’s 23% decline from last year and the smallest since 1937. As of this typing prices touched $2.9155 per pound intraday (contract size: 15,000 pounds). This is a substantial 90-cent price increase for the year, including a ±40-cent/$6,000 per contract move up in price this month alone.
The extreme heat across parts of the U.S., including low triple-digit temperatures forecast in key soybean and corn production areas next week have further threatened this year’s already stressed crops. In addition, grain supply disruptions related to the war in Ukraine are adding pressure on global grain supplies. Soybean futures (basis August) remain near their contract highs close to $15.00 per bushel and corn futures (basis September) have climbed back above $5.50 per bushel intraday today and yesterday, half-way back to its mid-June highs near $6.25 per bushel.
Financial:
What a run for stock index futures the last two weeks. Prior to what looks like a meaningful down day today, the Dow Jones cash market had risen seven consecutive days – since Mon. July 10 – its longest winning streak since March 2021. The Sept. YM futures contract made a similar move: up ±1450 points from its closing price of Friday July 7 to Wednesday’s intraday high. That’s a $7,250 per contract move. The ES made a similar ±8,500 per contract move and the NQ made an impressive ±$17,100 move.
Sign up for the Cannon Trading via CME Group FX Futures Trading Challenge for your chance to sizzle the competition this summer – Trade futures currencies like the euro, Canadian dollar, Yen, British pound and other contracts in a risk-free environment while competing with fe11ow traders for a cash prize•.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Govt Reports, Earnings and the Fed Blackout period.
On the close of Business June 16th the S&P was at 4453.00, today we have a hi as of this writing, with 3.5 more hours to go in the session, of 4553.50 Up 100 points and of course, not in a straight line.
This does illustrate a continued bullish undertone. S&P + .022%, The NQ is up .035% and the broadest market index, the Russell index, the winner over this time period, up .041% .
This brings us to a number of questions: can the rally that begin in March continue through the summer? What factors is the market watching for clues and direction?
This week the most meaningful economic numbers to be released should be the June data on retail and food services sales at 7:30am CT on Tuesday. Inflation expectations are overall well-anchored, if at levels a bit above where they were before the current episode began in 2021.
Earnings season has arrived. Last week the JPM and C released their numbers, This week the Regional Banks will start reporting results in addition to B of A, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, the Tech and consumer stocks the market will be very interested with are Tesla and Netflix. United Airlines reports as well.
Expectations are certainly muted from a year ago, and the lowered expectations have already been inserted on the game board by most analysts and ratings firms. Therefore, any good news should have a positive impact on the indices continued grind higher.
Of note this week is the Fed Black out period in advance of the July 25-26 meeting where traders are currently expecting another .25 rate hike after the last sessions pause.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Resource of the Week – Trading Pattern: Rectangle Trading
Hot Market of the Week – August Live Cattle
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES Day Trading System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Important Notices – FX Trading Contest
Participate in the upcoming Currency Cup: FX Trading Challenge where you’ll trade our suite of highly liquid benchmark FX contracts in a risk-free environment while competing against other traders for the chance to win cash prizes.
Learn how to trade FX futures and options
Through participation in our challenge, you’ll receive daily exclusive educational videos where you’ll learn about the key benefits of trading FX futures contracts.
This competition is open to residents in the United States (US), Canada (CA) excluding Quebec, *Brazil (BR), United Kingdom (UK), Germany (DE), Netherlands (NL), Switzerland (CH), United Arab Emirates (UAE), Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), Republic of Korea (KR), Taiwan (TW), and Japan (JP).
*Residents of Brazil must have a bank account in the United States to be eligible to receive a prize.
Trading Resource of the Week – : Rectangle Trading Pattern
By Joe Easton, Senior Broker
Formation:
This pattern is defined as price coming into a tight range between support and resistance
This pattern is a continuation pattern. If the trend was up it will continue up and down it will continue down
Typically, volume is lower through this period of consolidation.
Try a FREE demo of the platform used to show the charts in this educational article. The platform is FREE and has charts, news, DOM, T&S, Alerts, advanced order entry, options and MUCH MORE!
In the examples above the range is creating a rectangle pattern in an uptrend. Ideally this pattern breaks higher without breaking lower support. If lower support is broken this pattern would no longer be a rectangle.
How to Trade:
The ideal entry is toward the bottom of the rectangle support. If entered on this line your stop should be below support. Price should bounce off support 2 to 3 times to be confident support is present.
The more conservative entry would be when the resistance in the rectangle is broken. This can happen very quickly and needs to be timed more accurately. The lower support line then becomes your stop. You could also make the resistance line become your stop.
When price breaks out you can measure the width of rectangle and project the price to move from the breakout that same distance at a minimum.
Summary:
Rectangles patterns exist in low volume consolidation in both uptrends and downtrends. Price corrects in two ways, time and price. This would classify more as a time correction considering price stays relatively consistent. Once price closes above the resistance you can expect the price to not retrace back into the rectangle. If there is a false breakout, the continuation is less likely to occur. Generally, if you are able to spot a rectangle you can expect the price trend to continue.
Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this chart are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
August Live cattle Is extending its rally into new highs where the chart is taking aim at its low percentage fourth upside PriceCount to the 183.30 area. This objective is consistent with the weekly chart High established last month it should be enough to satisfy this phase of the bull market.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
An introductory guide to trading futures. If you’re a trader who is interested in branching out from equities or cash FX into futures, this guide will provide a great starting point. If you already know something about futures trading, you can jump to any chapter for a review or to the back of the booklet and test your knowledge in our Futures Quiz.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.
