Tech Turmoil, AI Competition, and the FED Decision: A Pivotal Week for Markets

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C102

Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

What a reversal!  After yesterday’s huge tech sell off initiated by a realization that a new AI app uses cheaper chips, The AI challenge from China shook the trading consciousness to the very roots of the U.S. AI talking points/ narrative. If true, what a breath of fresh air, think about it, the barriers to entry for innovation have been lowered 10 fold or more!, More competition in the A.I. zeitgeist is critical to reaching innovative success.

Tomorrow is FED Rate decision day, followed by Chairman Powell’s presser at 1PM CDT and 1:30 PM CDT respectively.

According to CME’s FEDWATCH tool , expectations are for no change from the current 4.25-4.50 fed funds rate, the rate charged to borrowing banks. Higher inflation, leads to higher Bond yields, Higher Yields lead to lower bond prices, and greater hesitancy by the FED to lower rates anytime soon.

Watch out for post cash close Earnings tomorrow and a number of other events.

 

Today’s Movers

**US December Advanced Durable Goods: -2.2%; prior -1.2%

**US December Advanced Durable Goods ex Trans: +0.3%; prior -0.1%

**US December Advanced Durable Goods ex Def: -2.4%; prior -0.3%

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.5% in the first four weeks of January 2025 vs January 2024

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.9% in the week ending January 25th vs yr ago wee

Case Schiller 20 US Metro-Area Home Prices Recap

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for November Y/Y: +4.3% from the year ago month

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for November M/M: +0.4% vs prior month

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Headline Recap

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Index: -4.0 ; prior -10.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Shipments Index: -9.0 ; prior -11.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing New Orders: -4.0 ; prior -11.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Employees: +3.0 ; prior -8.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Prices Paid: +2.37 ; prior +2.86

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Prices Received: +1.21 ; prior +1.71

**Richmond Fed January Service Sector Index: +4.0 ; prior +23.0

Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

7:30 AM CST Goods Trade Balance and Retail/Wholesale inventories.

1:00 PM CDT Fed Rate Decision

1:00 PM CDT Fed Press Conference

  Earnings:

(95 rpts) Pre-Open Alibaba, MSFT, META, TSLA, IBM all after the cash close.

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

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Daily Levels for January 29th, 2024

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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